Discover
Norbert’s Wealth Dome
Norbert’s Wealth Dome
Author: Norbert B.M.
Subscribed: 0Played: 0Subscribe
Share
© Norbert B.M.
Description
73 Episodes
Reverse
Hello traders and investors — welcome back to Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.Today’s breakdown focuses on the top five stocks positioned to outperform over the next 1–3 years, not because of hype, but because fundamentals + technicals + catalysts all align right now.Let’s dive right in.⭐ 1. Meta Platforms (META)📈 AI-driven ads • WhatsApp monetization • Global platform dominanceAfter running from $300 to nearly $800, Meta pulled back to the $600 zone — not due to weak performance, but due to rising CapEx for AI infrastructure.Earnings Snapshot* EPS beat* Revenue strong double-digit growth* AI-optimized advertising pushing ROAS higher* WhatsApp business expansion underwayMark Zuckerberg said:“We are building for the next decade of AI.“Short-term margin pressure, long-term dominance.Technical Breakdown* RSI oversold (daily)* MACD oversold, trying to trigger a buy* Below major MAs → near-term resistance* Weekly chart still bullish above 100-dayCatalysts* WhatsApp business monetization* AI ad performance expansion* Reality Labs optional upsideRisks* High CapEx* Regulatory pressure (especially EU)* TikTok + YouTube competitionOutlook* Short-term: Neutral → bullish* Long-term: Very bullish⭐ 2. Amazon (AMZN)📈 AWS acceleration + Ads > YouTube + peak automation cycleAmazon’s earnings remain some of the strongest in mega-cap tech.Earnings Snapshot* EPS beat* Margin expansion improving* AWS revenue re-accelerating* Ads growing faster than YouTubeCEO comment:“The largest AWS infrastructure upgrade cycle ever.”Technical Breakdown* Stock pulled to 20-day MA* All MAs aligned bullish: 20 > 50 > 100 > 200* RSI ~50* MACD sell signal but stabilizingCatalysts* AWS hitting +20% growth again* Advertising becoming a mega-engine* Robotics lowering fulfillment cost* Healthcare + logistics expansionRisks* Cloud competition (Azure, Google Cloud)* Antitrust pressure* Retail softening in recessionOutlook* Strong long-term compounder* Ideal 1–3 year hold⭐ 3. MercadoLibre (MELI)📈 Amazon + PayPal + Shopify of Latin AmericaOne of the strongest digital growth stories on the planet.Earnings Snapshot* 30–40% revenue growth* Fintech margins rapidly improving* Massive multi-year runwayTechnical Breakdown* RSI: 36 (oversold territory)* MACD Sell* Sitting near long-term weekly supports* Historically bounces from 200-day MACatalysts* Fintech becoming the primary revenue engine* E-commerce adoption accelerating across LATAM* Logistics moat extremely strongRisks* FX volatility* Political instability* Amazon competitionOutlook* Premium valuation, but justified* My top non-US long-term pick⭐ 4. Brookfield Corporation (BN)📈 Global alternative asset management giantBrookfield is a global compounder controlling:* Infrastructure* Real estate* Renewables* Private credit* Private equityEarnings Snapshot* Fee-related earnings growing* AUM ~ $900B* Strong global capital recycling* Completed acquisition of Oaktree stake (Howard Marks legacy)Technical Breakdown* Between 100-day and 200-day MA* RSI ~40 (mildly oversold)* Attractive long-term entry zone approachingCatalysts* Global infrastructure spending* Private credit overtaking banks* Renewables accelerating worldwideRisks* Real estate drag* Multi-business complexity* Macro sensitivityOutlook* One of the best long-term compounders globally* I prefer BN over many ETFs⭐ 5. Netflix (NFLX)📉 Big drop → Huge opportunity?Netflix just had a 10:1 stock split, bringing the share price from ~$1,112 → ~$111.Earnings Snapshot* Beat all revenue + engagement metrics* Paid sharing strong* Ad tier scaling fastYet… stock dropped ~14%.Technical Breakdown* Below 200-day MA* RSI ~43* MACD Buy still holding* Split + earnings weighed on sentimentCatalysts* Ad tier becomes massive* Gaming strengthens engagement* AI lowers production costsRisks* High content costs* Amazon & Disney competition* Ad monetization volatilityOutlook* Short-term weak* Long-term very bullish💡 Final ThoughtsThese five stocks — META, AMZN, MELI, BN, NFLX — combine:* Strong fundamentals* Clear catalysts* Reasonable technical entry zones* Multi-year growth potentialI’ll follow up with a full video on how I would allocate $10,000 across these five stocks.Thanks for reading — I’m Norbert B.M.I build and protect wealth. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
How I Would Invest $10,000 Into 5 Stocks Today (12–36 Month Outlook)Welcome back to Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.In the previous breakdown, I shared the five top stocks I believe will outperform over the next 12–36 months:⭐ Meta (META)⭐ Amazon (AMZN)⭐ MercadoLibre (MELI)⭐ Brookfield Corporation (BN)⭐ Netflix (NFLX)Today, I’ll show exactly how I would allocate $10,000 across these 5 stocks — using fundamentals, technical entries, and long-term conviction.🔥 Portfolio Allocation SummaryStockAllocationAmountRationaleMeta (META)25%~$2,500Oversold RSI + long-term AI ad growthAmazon (AMZN)25%~$2,350AWS acceleration + ads scaling + roboticsMercadoLibre (MELI)20%~$2,053LATAM fintech + e-commerce rocketshipBrookfield Corp (BN)15%~$1,461Global infrastructure + private creditNetflix (NFLX)15%~$1,670Post-split opportunity + fast-growing ad tierTotal invested: $9,957.74Cash remaining: $42.26⭐ Meta (META) — 25% AllocationCurrent price: $609Bought: 4 sharesWhy Meta here?* Oversold on RSI* MACD near buy trigger* Strong fundamental drivers* WhatsApp monetization + AI ad performance risingIf Meta dips further into its support zone, it becomes an even better buy.Long-term outlook: Very bullish.⭐ Amazon (AMZN) — 25% AllocationCurrent price: $235Bought: 10 sharesWhy Amazon?* AWS re-accelerating* Advertising growing faster than YouTube* Logistics & robots cutting costs* 20/50/100/200-day MAs perfectly bullishIf AMZN pulls back to its 200-day MA (~$180 area), it becomes a strong add.Long-term outlook: Excellent compounder.⭐ MercadoLibre (MELI) — 20% AllocationCurrent price: $2,053Bought: 1 shareMELI is expensive — but for good reason.Why MELI?* 30–40% revenue growth* Fintech segment exploding* Massive LATAM adoption runway* Strong long-term support zoneLong-term outlook: Top international pick.⭐ Brookfield Corporation (BN) — 15% AllocationCurrent price: $44.28Bought: 33 sharesWhy BN?* Exposure to infrastructure, renewables, private credit, real estate* Oaktree integration* Near long-term supportBN is like buying the world’s infrastructure growth engine.Long-term outlook: Strong and diversified.⭐ Netflix (NFLX) — 15% AllocationCurrent price: $111 (post split)Bought: 15 sharesWhy NFLX?* Split → psychological entry price advantage* Strong earnings* Paid sharing success* Ad tier growth accelerating* RSI 43 — attractive levelNFLX is perfect for a long-term 1–3 year horizon.📊 Final Portfolio Overview* $9,957 invested* $42 remaining cash* 5 carefully selected stocks spanning:* Tech* Consumer services* Communication services* Fintech* Global infrastructureA simple portfolio — yet diversified enough to weather most conditions.But remember:If a recession hits, everything drops. Diversification reduces risk — not eliminates it.🧠 Final ThoughtsThis is not financial advice — just how I would deploy $10,000 today based on valuation, technicals, and conviction.I’m Norbert B.M.I build and protect wealth.See you in the next breakdown. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
NVIDIA (NVDA) Pre-Earnings Breakdown | 5 Days Before Earnings: Buy the Dip or Big Risk Ahead?Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome to Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.With 5 days to go until NVIDIA reports earnings on November 19th, the stock has started pulling back. The question now is simple:Is this a dip worth buying, or is the risk too high heading into earnings?Let’s break down NVIDIA’s fundamentals, technical setup, and option strategies before the big day.⚙️ Why NVIDIA Matters Right NowNVIDIA dominates AI accelerators, data center GPUs, gaming GPUs, autonomous vehicles, robotics, and more.The company sits at the center of the global AI boom — and investors treat it as the “heartbeat” of the entire AI cycle.CEO Jensen Huang (not Jason Wong) has led NVIDIA for decades and transformed it into a $4.5+ trillion giant, with analysts asking whether NVDA can hit $5 trillion by year-end.📊 NVIDIA Last Earnings HighlightsMetricValueRevenue$46BGross Profit$33BOperating Income$28BPre-Tax Income$31BNet Income$26BAdjusted EBITDA75%EPS (diluted)$0.67YoY Net Income Growth+168%📌 Segment Growth* Data Center: $26B (+16% QoQ)* Gaming: $2.9BThese numbers are insane — yet the market reaction last quarter was muted.Why?* Margin compression* Expectations already sky-high📈 NVIDIA Growth Expectations (Annual)YearRevenue Outlook2024: 2.94 → 2.95T2025: Expected 4.55T2026: Expected 6.74T2027: Expected 8.73T2028: Expected 8.01T2026–2027 are the critical years.If NVIDIA fails to “pull another rabbit out of the hat,” growth may taper.🧩 CEO Commentary (Jensen Huang)“Demand remains strong. Anticipation for Blackwell is incredible.Global data centers are in full throttle to modernize with accelerated computing and AI.”Translation: NVIDIA’s future growth relies on Blackwell AI chips becoming a global standard.⚠️ Risks & Pressure Points* China export restrictions* High expectations baked into the stock* Margin compression risk* Valuation stretched heading into earnings📉 Technical Analysis (5 Days Before Earnings)* MACD: Sell signal with growing red bars* RSI: 46 — slightly oversold, but not extreme* Price Action: Bounced off 50-day moving average* Still above: 100-day & 200-day — strong long-term uptrend* Ichimoku: Bullish — price above cloud, Tenkan > KijunSupport Zones* Primary: $170 (just under 100-day MA)* Secondary: $150–$130* Deep Value Zone: $115–$90Sub-$150 would be a massive buying opportunity.💰 Option Strategy (from your transcript)For Nov 21 expiration:* Sell $170 Put → ~ $190–$200 premium* If NVDA stays above $170: keep full premium* If NVDA drops below: you buy NVDA at $170Safer alternative:* Sell $167.50 Put for ~$150 premiumExpected earnings move ~ ±$15🧠 Investor Takeaways* NVIDIA is still riding the AI boom* Growth is exceptional* Expectations are dangerously high* The pullback may be buyable — but not without risk“If you’re holding for 2027–2028, current levels are fine.But a deeper pullback would be an even better gift.”📊 Mentioned StocksNVDA, AAPL, GOOGL, MSFT, QQQ, SPX🔗 Relevant Links* NVIDIA Investor Relations* Wealth Dome YouTube💡 Final ThoughtsNVIDIA’s upcoming earnings are one of the biggest catalysts of the year.The potential upside is massive — but so is the volatility risk.“If NVDA dips, I’m buying. If it pops, I’m holding.”— Norbert B.M., Wealth Dome This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome back to Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) just posted its strongest quarter in company history, with $7.7 billion in revenue, a 32% year-over-year increase, and rising demand for AI data center chips.But despite record growth, margins collapsed, triggering volatility across semiconductor stocks.So, is AMD a buy, sell, or hold? Let’s break it down 👇⚙️ AMD Earnings Highlights (Q2 2025)🧩 What’s Behind the Margin Decline?“The fundamentals are solid — the drop is largely due to accounting and export-related headwinds.”💾 Data Center SegmentSegmentQ2 2025YoY ChangeRevenue$3.2B+14%Operating Margin5%+ improvementOperating Income−$155M↓ from −$743M YoYThe data center division continues to show strength, though profitability remains under pressure.🧮 Financial Outlook (Q3 2025 Guidance)* Revenue: $8.7B ± $300M* Gross Margin: 54%* Operating Expenses: $2.55B* Effective Tax Rate: 13%“If AMD delivers on this guidance, they’re on track for one of their most profitable years ever.”🔮 Long-Term Growth ForecastGrowth expectations are extremely bullish, especially from 2026 onward.But the key question: has the stock already priced it in?⚠️ Risks & Challenges* Margin compression from export restrictions* Execution risk for MI350/MI450 accelerators* Potential China export delays* Rising competition from NVIDIA (NVDA)“AMD’s success depends on flawless execution in a tightening global environment.”🧭 Technical Analysis* RSI: 61 — neutral* MACD: Attempting bullish crossover* Ichimoku Cloud: Price above cloud (bullish trend)* Key Support Levels: 240 → 215 → 190 → 165* Resistance: 300 (psychological + Fibonacci 125% extension)“A correction to the $215–$235 zone could create the next big entry point.”🧠 Trader’s View* Short-Term: Volatile; expect consolidation* Swing Traders: Target $215–$235 for re-entry* Long-Term Investors: Still strong — execution and timing matter💬 CEO Commentary (Lisa Su)“We are well positioned to deliver significant growth in the second half of the year, driven by the ramp of our MI350 accelerators and Ryzen processor sales.”Translation: AMD is betting hard on its next-gen AI chips — execution is everything.📈 Analyst UpgradesFollowing AMD’s growth projection of 35% compounded annual revenue growth, several analysts upgraded the stock with price targets ranging $285–$320, citing long-term AI momentum.📊 Mentioned StocksAMD, NVDA, TSMC, SPX, QQQ, MSFT, GOOGL, META🔗 Relevant Links* AMD Investor Relations* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel* Lisa Su’s Growth Forecast Article (LA Times)💡 Final ThoughtsAMD remains a top-tier AI and semiconductor growth stock, but after a major rally, risk/reward looks balanced in the short term.“The fundamentals are strong — but the price may already reflect 2026.”Patience and timing are key for the next leg up. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome to Wealth Dome, where we build and protect wealth.Today we’re taking a deep dive into Rocket Lab (RKLB) — the small-cap space company that’s quietly becoming one of the most consistent performers in aerospace.Rocket Lab just reported record-breaking quarterly revenue, up 48% year-over-year to $155 million, while also securing new defense-grade contracts and expanding into satellite and payload systems.Let’s unpack the results and see whether this recent dip is a buy-the-dip opportunity or a warning sign.🚀 Rocket Lab (RKLB) Q3 2025 Earnings HighlightsMetricResultYoY ChangeRevenue$155M+48%Gross Margin (GAAP)37%Record HighEPS (GAAP)−$0.03Improved from −$0.09Launch Contracts70 Dedicated LaunchesRecord HighLiquidity$1.0B+After New Financing“We once again delivered record revenue with progress across our major space system programs. Our backlog is strong, and we’re poised to deliver long-term growth.”— Peter Beck, CEO, Rocket Lab🛰️ Company OverviewRocket Lab is a full-stack space company — designing, manufacturing, and launching rockets, as well as satellites and defense-grade payload systems.* Launch Systems: Electron (operational), Neutron (in development)* Space Systems: Satellite design, integration & defense tech* Government Partnerships: U.S. Department of Defense, NASA“Rocket Lab isn’t just a launch company anymore — it’s becoming a full-scale defense and space infrastructure player.”💡 Financial Outlook (Q4 2025 Guidance)* Revenue: $170–$180M* Gross Margin: 37–39%* Adjusted EBITDA: −$23M to −$29M* Profitability Goal: 2026 (cash flow neutral by year-end)Rocket Lab continues to narrow its losses each quarter — a critical milestone for long-term investors betting on the commercialization of low-Earth orbit operations.📈 Stock Performance* YTD: +101%* 1-Year: +250%* Current Price: ~$51* Support Zone: $49–$50 (100-day MA)* Resistance Zone: $58–$60 (50-day MA)The stock remains above its 100-day moving average, but the RSI at 38.8 shows it’s nearing oversold territory, creating an interesting setup for swing traders.“If RKLB dips under $50, that’s where nibbling starts. Patience pays in volatile growth sectors.”🔍 Technical Breakdown* Ichimoku Cloud: Inside (neutral, turning red soon)* MACD: Bearish crossover forming — short-term weakness likely* RSI: 38.8 (mildly oversold)* Trend: Holding the long-term uptrend but needs momentum confirmationBuy Zone: $47–$50 rangeStrong Buy Zone: $40–$45 (if market correction deepens)⚖️ Pros vs Cons✅ Strengths* 48% revenue growth* Record contract backlog* Expanding into defense and payload systems* Over $1B liquidity⚠️ Weaknesses* Still unprofitable* Heavy CapEx requirements* Market sensitivity to growth stocks* High competition (SpaceX, Blue Origin, Amazon’s Kuiper)“Strong fundamentals, but execution and patience are key — this is still a long-term play.”🧭 Trader’s Take* Short-Term: Neutral to slightly bullish; expect volatility* Mid-Term: Accumulate between $40–$50* Long-Term: Strong growth potential once Neutron rocket launches“You can’t invest in SpaceX — but you can own Rocket Lab.”📊 Mentioned StocksRKLB, SPCE, AMZN, TSLA, SPX, QQQ🔗 Relevant Links* Rocket Lab Investor Relations* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel* NASA Partnership Overview💡 Final ThoughtsRocket Lab continues to deliver — not just rockets, but consistent execution.For investors who believe in the commercial space race, RKLB remains one of the few accessible, credible plays.“Growth is real, profitability is coming — but as with space, timing is everything.” This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome back to Wealth Dome, where we build and protect wealth.Today we’re breaking down one of the most surprising stories in the AI and infrastructure world — Iris Energy (IREN).Formerly a Bitcoin mining company, Iris has transformed into a full-fledged AI data center operator, powered by renewable energy and secured by a $9.7 billion multi-year deal with Microsoft (MSFT).The result? A stock that’s up nearly 480% year-to-date.But is this sustainable — or is IREN getting ahead of itself?Let’s dive in 👇⚙️ From Bitcoin to AI Cloud: The PivotOriginally focused on crypto mining, Iris Energy now uses its vertically integrated power infrastructure to host large-scale GPU clusters in renewable-rich regions.This transition has shifted IREN from volatile mining profits to high-margin, recurring cloud revenue.“It’s not a crypto story anymore — it’s an AI infrastructure story.”💰 The $9.7B Microsoft PartnershipThis is the crown jewel of Iris’s business pivot.* Contract Size: $9.7B over five years* Partner: Microsoft (MSFT)* Purpose: Deliver and operate NVIDIA GB300 GPU clusters for AI and data workloads* Revenue Backlog Visibility: Extremely high — rare for a company of this size“AI startups dream of this kind of guaranteed revenue stream.”This deal effectively transforms Iris Energy into a miniature AI cloud provider with a powerful client base and long-term cash visibility.📊 Financial Snapshot (Q1 2026 Guidance)MetricValueChange (YoY)Revenue$240M+335%Net Income$384MHuge turnaroundNet Margin160%ExceptionalFree Float Shares254M—Long-Term Debt$60MManageablePE Ratio31Reasonable for growthP/S Ratio32High but justified by backlogThis is massive growth, but remember — markets move on expectations, not just results.📉 Valuation vs PeersCompanyPE5-Year AvgCommentIris Energy (IREN)31−2.7From loss to profitBitmain−35696Volatile mining modelApplied Digital (APLD)−44−124UnprofitableMarathon Digital (MARA)65200+Still speculativeIREN clearly leads its group — but the valuation premium reflects that.“Investors are paying for the AI narrative — not the current numbers.”⚠️ Execution Risks* Speed of buildout: Any delay in data center expansion could hurt sentiment.* Power access: Large-scale GPU clusters require reliable, renewable energy.* Supply constraints: NVIDIA GPU shortages could slow deployment.* Overvaluation: Traditional DCF puts IREN closer to $25/share, far below its current $69/share.“The story is strong — but the stock price may be sprinting ahead of reality.”📈 Technical Analysis* Daily Chart: Above 50-day MA, pierced 20-day recently — short-term correction likely.* Weekly RSI: 83 (massively overbought)* MACD: Bearish divergence — potential correction setup.* Support Levels: $60 → $50 → $35 major long-term zone* Resistance: $70–$75 range“The chart suggests a healthy correction is coming. Long-term bulls should wait for re-entry near $35–$45.”🧭 Trading Viewpoint* For Swing Traders: Avoid chasing — wait for RSI reset below 50.* For Long-Term Investors: Hold small position; scale in during 20–30% dips.* For Risk-Takers: Watch $21–$25 as the deep value accumulation zone.“If IREN revisits the $20s — that’s where smart money steps in again.”💬 Personal Take“I hold a small position in IREN, but I’m waiting for a deeper correction before adding. Growth stories like this often retrace hard before the next run.”📊 Mentioned StocksIREN, MSFT, NVDA, BITF, APLD, MARA, BTCUSD🔗 Relevant Links* Iris Energy Investor Relations* Microsoft IR* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel💡 Final ThoughtsIris Energy has done what few crypto miners could — reinvent themselves into AI infrastructure providers.The fundamentals are improving, but valuation risk remains high.“Be patient. AI and energy convergence is real — but let the market give you a discount.” This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Meta (META) Stock Crash: Buy, Hold, or Sell? | 26% Oversold RSI & AI Growth BreakdownGood morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome back to Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.After a strong year of performance, Meta Platforms (META) stock has pulled back sharply post-earnings — down over 20% from recent highs.So the question is:“Is this a buying opportunity, a warning signal, or just a healthy correction?”Let’s break it all down 👇💡 What Hit META Stock?Two major things:* Infrastructure spending surge — heavy Reality Labs CapEx.* $50.9 billion tax charge, which distorted reported net income.Despite these one-time factors, Meta’s core business remains a cash-printing machine — but the stock market has shifted its narrative from undervalued tech to AI growth story under scrutiny.📊 Meta Q3 2025 Earnings OverviewMetricQ3 2025YoY ChangeRevenue$51.24B+26%Net Income$2.7B↓83% (due to tax charge)Adjusted Net Income$18.6B+19% (excluding tax)Free Cash Flow$10.6B+28%EPS (diluted)$7.25+6.2%Key takeaway:“The fundamentals are still strong — it’s the accounting that spooked investors.”🧮 Valuation vs PeersCompanyPE Ratio5-Year AvgCommentMeta (META)25.521.9Slightly above avgAlphabet (GOOGL)33.921More expensiveMastercard (MA)37.749ExpensiveNetflix (NFLX)5549OvervaluedAlibaba (BABA)2022Cheap alternativeMeta’s forward PE sits just above its historical average — not cheap, but still fair compared to peers, especially given AI-driven ad revenue acceleration.🤖 Growth Drivers* AI-Enhanced Ad Targeting – boosting impressions & price per ad.* Reels Monetization – closing the gap with TikTok.* Threads Growth – slow but steady user base expansion.* Reality Labs (VR/AR) – CapEx-heavy but strategic for future platforms.“Meta is not a social media company — it’s an ad company with AI scalability.”📈 Ad Performance by Region (YoY Change)RegionAd ImpressionsAvg. Price per AdU.S. & Canada↓1%Slight declineEurope+9%Up from 6%Asia-Pacific+23%Strongest regionRest of World+20%Strong reboundThe most important metric: Meta’s pricing power remains intact.“When a company can raise ad prices — that’s real strength.”⚙️ Technical Analysis: Oversold Setup* RSI: 26.3 (massively oversold)* MACD: Bearish crossover, but flattening* Ichimoku Cloud: Below cloud (short-term bearish)* Support: $500–$570 zone* Resistance: $650–$680 zone“A bounce toward the 200-day moving average is likely — the 500–570 zone could be a generational buy area.”🧭 Buy, Hold, or Sell?* Long-Term Investors: Hold and consider adding gradually near support.* Swing Traders: Watch for RSI recovery and confirmation near 570.* Short-Term Outlook: Oversold bounce likely, but volatility remains high.“If you already own META, hold tight. If you’re looking to add, scale in between $500–$570.”📊 Mentioned StocksMETA, GOOGL, MA, NFLX, BABA, KO, SPX, NDX🔗 Relevant Links* Meta Investor Relations* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel* Meta Q3 2025 Report💬 Final ThoughtsMeta remains one of the most profitable AI-powered ad businesses in the world.Short-term pain from tax and CapEx spending is overshadowing a structurally strong cash engine.“This is not a broken company — it’s a misunderstood one. Great companies go on sale only a few times per decade.” This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Growth is King, Profit is the Crown | Weekly Market Recap (Nov 8, 2025)Good morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome to the Weekend Edition of Wealth Dome, where I build and protect wealth.This first week of November sent a powerful message:“Growth is king, but profitability is the crown.”Earnings season continued at full steam with high-profile reports from AMD, Super Micro Computer, Palantir, Uber, Airbnb, Shopify, Spotify, Hims & Hers, Novo Nordisk, Celsius, and Elf Beauty — painting a picture of a market divided between AI-driven growth and profit-driven fundamentals.📈 Market Overview* S&P 500: +0.13% (still strong, 17% YTD)* NASDAQ: −0.25% (but up 21.5% YTD)* Dow Jones: +0.06% (up 12% YTD)* Russell 2000: −1.3% (lagging small caps)10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.09% (up from 3.9%)VIX: 22.7 — volatility creeping back inWTI Crude Oil: ~$59–60, hovering under pressureGold: Testing $4,000 resistance — potential for range-bound tradesBitcoin: ~$102,000, consolidating for a possible Santa Claus rally“The message is clear: AI spending drives growth, but the market is rewarding companies that deliver both expansion and profitability.”💾 Earnings Breakdown⚙️ Semiconductors & AI InfrastructureAMD (AMD)* Revenue: $9.2B (+36% YoY)* EPS: $1.20 (beat)* Data Center Growth: +36%* PC Segment: +46% rebound“AI story validated — buy for the long term.”Super Micro Computer (SMCI)* Revenue: $2.33B (miss)* EPS: Missed expectations* Stock down 27% in 5 days due to delivery delays on AI orders.“Short-term pain, long-term potential. Buy cautiously under $40.”Palantir (PLTR)* Revenue: $1.8B (+63%)* EPS: $0.20 (beat)“Commercial growth is booming, but valuation remains stretched. Hold for now.”🚗 Digital Commerce & PlatformsUber (UBER)* Gross Bookings: $49.7B* Free Cash Flow: $2.2B* EBITDA: $2.3B (beat)“Strong across delivery and mobility — a long-term buy under $45.”Airbnb (ABNB)* Revenue Beat, EPS Miss“Found footing near $117. Quality compounder but rich valuation. Wait for deeper pullback.”Shopify (SHOP)* Revenue: $2.84B (beat)“Momentum into the holiday season — near-term buy if technicals hold above Ichimoku cloud.”Spotify (SPOT)* Revenue & Subscriber Beat“Margins improving, but chart still weak — cautious add only if it holds above 200-day MA.”💊 Health & Consumer StaplesHims & Hers (HIMS)* Revenue: $599M (+49% YoY)“Growth story strong, but profitability unclear. Wait for margin stabilization.”Novo Nordisk (NVO)* Revenue Beat, EPS Beat* Weight-loss drugs fueling long-term potential.“Buy long-term; great dividend and growth catalyst in 2026.”Celsius (CELH)* Revenue: +97% YoY* Margins expanding“Oversold but fundamentally strong. Buy opportunity under $60.”Elf Beauty (ELF)* Revenue Beat, EPS Beat“Digital-first strategy winning — Buy. Best-in-class consumer growth stock.”💬 Investor Takeaways* AI CapEx boom continues: AMD, SMCI, and PLTR are leading.* Consumer resilience in ELF and CELH contrasts with weak staples.* Profitability matters more than ever — the market is rewarding cash flow.“Use weakness in quality names as an opportunity to accumulate for 2026.”📅 Next Week’s Earnings to Watch* Disney (DIS)* Cisco (CSCO)* Brookfield (BN)* Paramount (PARA)* Bitmain, Hive, and Oklo (speculative plays)💸 My Weekly Trades & Portfolio UpdateDateTickerResult (€)TypeNov 3NLY+€39DividendNov 4CPB+€33.75DividendNov 4RACE+€124Sold positionNov 4MELI+€793Sold positionNov 4FHN+€68Small tradeNov 4AMZN+€270Pre-earnings saleNov 4AXON+€134Closed position💰 Weekly Profit: €1,268📊 November Goal: €500/week — on track!📊 Mentioned StocksAMD, SMCI, PLTR, UBER, ABNB, SHOP, SPOT, HIMS, NVO, CELH, ELF, AMZN, AXON, MELI, RACE, FHN, NLY, CPB, DIS, CSCO, BN, PARA🔗 Relevant Links* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel* AMD Investor Relations* Palantir Investor Relations* Uber Investor Relations* Elf Beauty Investor Relations* Celsius Investor Relations🧠 Final ThoughtsThe first week of November set the tone — AI innovation meets disciplined profitability.Investors who can balance growth with patience will outperform over the next cycle.“Be the investor who waits for great companies to fall into your buy zone — and never stop protecting your wealth.” This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
ELF Beauty (ELF) Stock Tanks After Earnings | Rising Debt, Margin Pressure & Hidden OpportunitiesGood morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M. and this is Wealth Dome, where we build and protect wealth.Today’s focus is on ELF Beauty (ELF), the mass-market cosmetics brand that just reported its 27th consecutive quarter of growth — an incredible streak. But while sales rose again, the stock dropped sharply after hours.Let’s break down what happened, why the market reacted this way, and what’s next for this fast-growing beauty brand.💄 Company OverviewELF Beauty is a clean, vegan, cruelty-free beauty company selling products under several brands:* e.l.f. Cosmetics* Well People* Keys Soulcare* Naturium* Good ChemistryThe company’s focus is affordable luxury — high-quality cosmetics at drugstore prices, sold through Target, Sephora, and e-commerce platforms.But while sales are booming, costs and debt are rising faster than expected.📊 Q2 2025 Earnings Highlights* Net Sales: $343M (+14% YoY, up from $301M)* Gross Margin: 69% (−165 bps YoY)* GAAP Net Income: $3M or $0.05/share* Adjusted EPS: $0.60/share* Adjusted EBITDA: $66M (~19% margin)* Cash: $194M* Long-Term Debt: $831M (up sharply)* FY2026 Sales Outlook: $1.50–$1.57B (+18–20% YoY)📉 Stock ReactionAfter the earnings call, ELF stock plunged:* Closed at $118 pre-market* Dropped to $82 after hours* Rebounded slightly to $92/shareThe selloff came mainly due to rising debt levels and declining margins, despite strong revenue growth.“High growth with high debt is a dangerous combination in a high-rate environment.”⚖️ Fundamentals: The Good, The Bad, The Beautiful✅ Positives:* Strong revenue growth (+14% YoY)* 27 consecutive quarters of growth* Expanding brand presence in U.S., Canada, and U.K.* Omnichannel strategy (Target, Sephora, DTC)⚠️ Negatives:* Margins under pressure (SG&A up to 67% of net sales)* Heavy long-term debt ($831M)* Higher risk if economic slowdown hits* Rising competition from cheaper beauty brands📈 Technical Analysis: ELF at a Crossroads* Previous Close: $118* After-Hours: $92* Support: $73–$80 (potential buy zone)* Resistance: $100–$105* Trend: Broke below 200-day MA — technical damage confirmedThe stock is in the Ichimoku cloud on weekly charts, meaning uncertain momentum.If ELF drops below $80, I’d look for selling puts near $70 — a strategy that allows potential entry at a much lower cost basis.“If assigned, I’d own ELF at a discount. If not, I’d collect premium income while waiting.”💬 CEO Commentary – Tarang Amin“Our results reflect consistency and category-leading growth over 27 quarters, with record-breaking launches at Sephora North America.”Translation: management remains bullish, but margins and debt must be managed carefully to sustain this growth story.📊 Geographic ExpansionRegion2021 Market Share2025 Market ShareU.S.13%45%Canada8%26%U.K.6%19%ELF continues to take share from legacy players like L’Oréal (OR.PA) and Estée Lauder (EL).🧭 Trader Takeaways* 📈 Growth is strong, but debt is rising faster than earnings.* 💰 Watch margins — they tell the real story.* 🧱 Consider options strategies (selling puts) for lower entry risk.* 🕵️♂️ Key catalyst: product launches and debt reduction in 2026.“Growth alone isn’t everything — margin control and debt management are what make growth sustainable.”📌 Mentioned StocksELF, EL, OR.PA, TGT, WMT, AMZN🔗 Relevant Links* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel* ELF Press Release Q2 2025🧠 Final ThoughtsELF Beauty is still one of the best-performing retail growth stories — but the rising debt and falling margins are warning signs.This could be a great long-term brand if management reins in leverage. For now, watch for price stabilization before jumping in.“Beautiful brands can become ugly stocks — until they fix their balance sheet.” This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Duolingo (DUOL) Earnings Crash Explained | 41% Growth, 50M Daily Users & Stock Selloff BreakdownGood morning traders and investors — I’m Norbert B.M., and welcome back to Wealth Dome, where we build and protect wealth.Today’s spotlight is on Duolingo (DUOL) — the world’s most popular language-learning app, now expanding into math, chess, and AI-powered education.The company smashed its Q3 2025 earnings report — revenue up 41%, daily active users up 36%, and profits soaring nearly 300 million.So why did the stock collapse right after? Let’s break it down 👇📊 Duolingo Q3 2025 Earnings Highlights* Revenue: $271M (+41% YoY)* Bookings: $281.9M (+33% YoY)* Net Income: $292M (+massive YoY jump)* Adjusted EBITDA: $80M (+29%)* Daily Active Users: 50M (+36%)* Monthly Active Users: 135M (+20%)* Paid Subscribers: 11.5M (+34%)* Subscriber Penetration: 9%Incredible growth. Yet the stock dropped more than 25% in a single day.💬 Management Commentary“We passed a major milestone — more than 50 million people now use Duolingo every day.”“We are prioritizing user growth over monetization. AI will fundamentally change how we teach.”CEO Luis von Ahn emphasized long-term vision over short-term profits — mirroring Amazon’s playbook in its early days.That’s great for growth. But Wall Street wants profits now.🧮 Financial Reality CheckWhile revenue is soaring, Duolingo is reinvesting heavily in user acquisition and AI development:* Higher SG&A Costs: Eating into margins* Shift Toward Free Users: Slower near-term monetization* AI Expansion: Heavy R&D expenseThis is what caused the selloff — not bad fundamentals, but a shift in focus.“When growth companies pivot toward investment mode, short-term traders panic — long-term investors celebrate.”🧠 The Bigger Picture: AI in EducationDuolingo isn’t just a language app anymore.The company’s AI-driven platform now teaches math, music, and chess — using adaptive learning and gamification.Their mission:“To develop the best education in the world and make it universally available.”That’s an ambitious (and expensive) goal — but potentially revolutionary.🧩 Stock Performance* 1 Day: −25%* 5 Days: −27%* 1 Month: −40%* 6 Months: −61%* YTD: −40%* All-Time (since IPO 2021): −37%From $520 highs to $192/share, DUOL is now trading below its IPO range — with RSI near 19 (oversold).Technical Setup:* RSI: Oversold (<20)* MACD: Bearish crossover* Support: $175–$185* Resistance: $210–$220* Pattern: Gap fill possible toward $220“Oversold doesn’t mean reversal — but it means opportunity for patient traders.”⚙️ Option Strategy ExampleIf you believe in the long-term story:* Sell December 150 Put: Collect ~$305 premium* Or create Synthetic Stock: Buy Jan 2027 85 Call / Sell Dec 24 130 Call→ Approx. cost: $8,500 vs. $19,000 for 100 sharesGoal: Leverage upside with controlled downside risk.📌 Mentioned StocksDUOL, AMZN, AAPL, GOOGL, SPX🔗 Relevant Links* Duolingo Investor Relations* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel* Duolingo Q3 2025 Shareholder Letter🧠 Final ThoughtsDuolingo’s growth story is far from over — it’s just entering its next phase.Yes, short-term volatility hurts. But for long-term investors, this could be a rare opportunity to buy a premium education tech brand at a discount.“AI, education, and community-driven learning — Duolingo is building the future of learning, one lesson at a time.”🎥 YouTube SetupHigh CTR Title:🔥 Duolingo (DUOL) Earnings SHOCK! | 41% Growth, 50M Users & Massive Stock CrashDescription (SEO Optimized):Duolingo (DUOL) just reported incredible Q3 2025 results:* 41% revenue growth* 50M daily users* Profits up 300%So why did the stock crash over 25%? In this video, I break down the financials, CEO comments, and technical analysis to reveal what’s next for DUOL.📊 Mentioned: DUOL, AMZN, AAPL, GOOGL, SPX💡 For educational purposes only — not financial advice.🔔 Subscribe to Wealth Dome for weekly earnings breakdowns & portfolio insights.#stocks #investing #duolingo #earnings #ai #wealthdome This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Microsoft, Google, Apple & Amazon Earnings Ignite AI Boom | Weekly RecapGood morning traders and investors — this is Norbert B.M. from Wealth Dome, where we build and protect wealth.This week marked another milestone for the markets: U.S. equities neared record highs as mega-cap earnings and AI optimism powered investor sentiment. The S&P 500 (SPX), NASDAQ (IXIC), and Dow Jones (DJI) stayed strong, while fund inflows cooled slightly as investors awaited key macro data.Let’s break it all down 👇📈 Market Overview* S&P 500: 6,840 – near record highs* NASDAQ: 25,858 – slightly red, but futures green* Dow Jones: Green close* Oil (CL=F): Closed higher* Gold (XAUUSD): Under pressure from strong USD* Silver (XAGUSD): Range-bound, short-term opportunities* Copper (HG=F): Testing the 20-day MA; potential short setup* EUR/USD: Weakening* USD/JPY: Dollar strengthening against the Yen* Bitcoin (BTC-USD): Sideways; possible correction ahead💻 Tech Titans: The Magnificent Seven Earnings🟦 Microsoft (MSFT)* Revenue: $78B (+18% YoY)* EPS: $3.72* Azure Growth: +40%* Outlook: AI & cloud expansion with CapEx guidance up to $48B“Management calls it a ‘planet-scale AI factory’ — Microsoft is still the leader.”⚙️ Key Watch: Pullback to 450–400 zone = ideal buy zone.🔴 Alphabet (GOOGL)* Revenue: $102B (+16% YoY)* EPS: $2.87* Cloud Revenue: $15.2B (+34%)* CapEx: Raised to $91–93B for AI infrastructure“Disciplined cost control + AI integration = strong management confidence.”⚙️ Key Watch: YouTube Shorts monetization and AI ad integration.🟠 Amazon (AMZN)* Revenue: $150B* EPS: $1.95* AWS Growth: +20% YoY* Net Income: $9.5B (boosted by Anthropic investment)“AWS growth must continue to outpace Google Cloud and Azure — that’s key.”⚙️ CapEx: $125B planned for 2025 — heavy AI data center investment.🟣 Meta (META)* Revenue: $51B* EPS: $1.05 (due to $15B non-cash tax charge)* CapEx: $117–118B* AI Spend: Massive but uncertain ROI“Meta’s problem? No device. No ecosystem. Llama is lame.”⚙️ Watch: Ad demand, Reality Labs results, and AI Glass rollout.🍏 Apple (AAPL)* Revenue: $102B (+8% YoY)* EPS: $1.85* Services: Record high* iPhone: Record revenue, weak China sales“Love the products, not the stock right now. Waiting for innovation to kick in.”⚙️ Watch: Service growth, iPhone Pro mix, AI features in 2025 models.☕ Starbucks (SBUX)* Revenue: $9.6B (+5% YoY)* EPS: $0.52 (missed)“Turnaround underway — but remember Munger: most turnarounds don’t turn.”🌯 Chipotle (CMG)* Revenue: $3B (+7.5% YoY)* EPS: $0.29* Margins: 24.5%“Oversold but risky — I’d wait for a confirmed bottom.”🌎 MercadoLibre (MELI)* Revenue: $7.4B (+39% YoY)* EPS: $8.32 (miss)“Latin America’s Amazon — solid long-term compounder.”💊 Eli Lilly (LLY)* Revenue: $17.6B (+54% YoY)* EPS: $7.02* Mounjaro Sales: $6.5B“Weight-loss pipeline fueling monster growth — waiting for a pullback to add.”🛢️ ExxonMobil (XOM) & Chevron (CVX)* Exxon: EPS $1.88, Revenue $7.5B* Chevron: EPS $3.60, Record production“Strong cash flow, buybacks, and 3–4% dividends — energy giants remain disciplined.”💳 Visa (V) | MasterCard (MA) | PayPal (PYPL) | SoFi (SOFI)* Visa/MasterCard: Consumer spending solid; cross-border growth steady* PayPal: AI partnerships with OpenAI & Google* SoFi: Profitability milestone; re-entering crypto remittances“Fintechs are adapting fast — SoFi’s growth is worth watching.”🩺 UnitedHealth (UNH)* Revenue: $113B (+12% YoY)* EPS: $2.92* Medicare Advantage Growth: +625K members“Margins under pressure but long-term story intact.”💼 My Weekly Trades SummaryDateTickerResult (€)NotesOct 28ADBE+15.92Small profitOct 28WBD+31.2Trading takeover rumorsOct 29UNH+330.9Sold positionOct 29WU+218Strong reboundOct 29META+49.4Pre-earnings sellOct 30AXON+103Partial profitOct 30MSFT+19Scalped post-earningsOct 30AVGO+192Trimmed positionOct 30MELI+149Took gainsOct 30AAPL+248Reduced 1 shareOct 30AMZN+70.7Partial sale📊 October Final Result: +€721 net⚙️ Options Recap* AMD (AMD): +$48* NVDA (NVDA): +$26* SBUX (SBUX): +$35* U.S. Oil (CL=F): +$13* OSCR: +$11* AMZN (AMZN): +$250* Losing Trades: SHOP (−$273), IWM (−$40), 3M (−$108), NG (−$200)“Cut losers early, let winners run — my options philosophy in one sentence.”📊 Mentioned StocksSPX, IXIC, DJI, EURUSD, USDJPY, BTCUSD, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, META, AAPL, SBUX, CMG, MELI, LLY, XOM, CVX, V, MA, PYPL, SOFI, UNH, ADBE, WBD, WU, AXON, IBKR, AVGO, MMM, OSCR, AMD, NVDA, CL=F🔗 Relevant Links* Wealth Dome YouTube Channel* Microsoft IR* Alphabet IR* Amazon IR* Apple IR* Meta IR* Eli Lilly IR* Visa IR* ExxonMobil IR* Chevron IR💬 Final ThoughtsThe AI megatrend continues to define this market. Tech is leading, but diversification remains key as small caps and commodities lag.“Stay patient, stay strategic — and always protect your wealth.” This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
📊 Market Recap* S&P 500 (SPX): Closed the week positive, extending its climb from April lows to fresh all-time highs.* Nasdaq (IXIC): +0.44%, tech strength intact.* Dow Jones (DJI): Also ended in the green.* 10Y Treasury Yield (TNX): Slight uptick near 4.2%.* Crude Oil (Brent): Choppy; I remain short.* Gold & Silver: Both moved higher — silver even parabolic.* Copper: Watching for a bounce if the 20-day holds.* Bitcoin (BTC): Sitting at a pivot; risk of pullback if the 200-day breaks.🏦 Inflation & Fed WatchThe PCE index for August rose 2.7% YoY, with core PCE at 2.9% YoY — still above the Fed’s target.* This keeps Treasury yields elevated and tempers hopes for aggressive rate cuts.* Watch yields closely: they remain a key drag on risk appetite.🔗 Federal Reserve Data💻 Nvidia, OpenAI & Intel Buzz* Nvidia (NVDA) shocked markets with a $100B investment in OpenAI to expand computing infrastructure.* Intel (INTC) ripped higher again after last week’s $5B stake from Nvidia.* Reports surfaced of possible partnerships with Apple (AAPL) and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM).* Speculation around M&A and government backing fueled strong flows into Intel shares.🔗 Nvidia (NVDA) | Intel (INTC) | Apple (AAPL) | TSMC (TSM)📱 Oracle & TikTokOracle (ORCL) remains in the spotlight as it explores acquiring TikTok’s US operations.* If successful, Oracle could become a hybrid cloud + social media powerhouse.* Regulatory risks remain high, especially beyond the Trump administration.🔗 Oracle (ORCL)🎮 Big Movers & Earnings* Electronic Arts (EA): +15% after WSJ reported a $50B LBO bid backed by Saudi PIF & Silver Lake.* Costco (COST): Dropped after earnings miss, but looks like a strong long-term buy opportunity.* ASML (ASML): Still elevated; waiting for a pullback before re-entering.🔗 Electronic Arts (EA) | Costco (COST) | ASML (ASML)💼 Trades of the Week* Intel (INTC): Sold full position on Sep 26 → €920 gross / $791 net profit. Out for now, watching RSI (80+) for a pullback before re-entry.* Apple (AAPL): Partial sale on Sep 26 → €350 gross / $301 net profit. Still bullish long-term given Apple’s ecosystem.Weekly profit: $1,092September total so far: $2,874YTD profit: $70,421📌 Key Takeaways* AI is still king: Nvidia, Intel, and OpenAI dominate headlines.* Intel momentum > Nvidia momentum: telling you where speculative money is flowing.* Earnings mixed: Costco down, EA soared, ASML extended.* Macro backdrop: Inflation sticky, yields rising.* Strategy: Take profits, reduce risk, protect wealth. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
📊 Market Recap* S&P 500 (SPX): Closed at 6,664 (+0.49%), a new all-time high.* Nasdaq (IXIC): +0.7% on the week, led by tech.* Russell 2000 (RUT): Small caps joined the rally with record highs.* 10Y Treasury Yield (TNX): Rose to ~4.14%.* Crude Oil (Brent): Fell despite Fed easing.🏦 Federal Reserve Cuts RatesThe Federal Reserve lowered rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.00–4.25%.* Chair Powell stressed this was a risk management move due to labor market softness.* One dissenter, Gov. Stephen Miran, argued for a larger 50 bp cut.🔗 Read the Fed statement💻 Nvidia–Intel Shock DealIn a surprise move, Nvidia (NVDA) invested $5 billion into Intel (INTC).* Intel shares rallied over 30% in a single day, the biggest jump since 1987.* The US government is also a stakeholder, deepening Intel’s strategic importance.🔗 Nvidia (NVDA) | Intel (INTC)📱 Oracle & TikTok TalksThe US government and China reopened talks over TikTok, with Oracle (ORCL) emerging as a potential buyer.* If Oracle secures a large stake, it could transform into a major social media player.* The stock is consolidating near highs, forming what looks like a bullish flag.🔗 Oracle (ORCL)🚀 IPO HighlightsIt was a busy IPO week with $2.7B raised across multiple listings:* StubHub (STUB): Opened at $26, peaked at $28, then collapsed to $18.51.* WaterBridge Infrastructure (WBI): Jumped 50% on debut.* Pattern Group (PTRN): +12% first week.* Microcaps Chow Holdings (CHOW) and PLTS Energy (PLTS) also surged.⚠️ Pro tip: Don’t chase IPOs. Wait for earnings and signs of sustainable growth.📌 Trades of the WeekHere’s what we traded between Sep 15–19:* Bitfarms (BITF): Small gain on Sept 15.* Realty Income (O): Dividend received (€24.5).* ASML (ASML): Sold full position, locking in €1,038 profit; watching for a pullback to re-enter.* McDonald’s (MCD): Dividend received (€19.56).* Warrior Met Coal (HCC): Closed trade with a small profit (€38).Weekly net profit: ~$983September total so far: ~$1,781 (with one week left).🔗 ASML Holding (ASML) | McDonald’s (MCD) | Realty Income (O) | Bitfarms (BITF) | Warrior Met Coal (HCC)🔑 Key Takeaways* Fed is easing but long yields are rising → watch growth vs. defensives.* Semiconductors surged on Nvidia–Intel news.* IPOs returned with volatility, a sign of risk appetite.* Trades booked solid gains, led by ASML sale.💬 What do you think about Nvidia’s stake in Intel? Will it pay off long-term? Share your thoughts in the comments 👇 This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
This week’s market recap covers:* Oracle (ORCL) & Adobe (ADBE) earnings results.* Market outlook ahead of the Fed’s rate cut decision.* Tesla (TSLA) surging +7.36%.* My weekly trades, including Alibaba (BABA), Broadcom (AVGO), NVIDIA (NVDA), Paramount (PSKY), and more.📊 Mentioned Stocks: ORCL, ADBE, TSLA, AVGO, BABA, PSKY, NVDA, MU, OPEN, INOD, MTPLF, PNG, PCFP, TLT💡 None of this is financial advice. Please do your own research.✅ Subscribe for more weekly breakdowns and earnings analysis!#investing #stocks #oracle #adobe #tesla #trading This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Welcome back to Wealth Dome — where we grow and protect our wealth!This week was full of drama on Wall Street: court rulings, AI stock turbulence, record highs, and even the U.S. government stepping into Intel (INTC) with a 10% stake.🔥 Market Highlights* Tariff Ruling: U.S. appeals court struck down most of Trump’s tariffs → easing inflation fears.* S&P 500 Record High: Closed at 6504, despite weakness on Friday.* GDP Surprise: U.S. Q2 GDP at 3.3% vs. forecast 3.1%.* Fed Rate Cut Odds: 85% probability of 25 bps cut in September fueling optimism.* Small Caps Lagging: Divergence as mega-cap tech leads.💡 Key Earnings Recap* Alibaba (BABA): Beat EPS, missed revenue, unveiled AI chip → stock jumped +13%.* Nvidia (NVDA): EPS +54%, revenue +56% → but stock dropped on AI chip competition fears.* Autodesk (ADSK): Beat across the board; retraced gains.* CrowdStrike (CRWD): Strong earnings + acquisition → but heavy pullback.* Dell (DELL): Earnings beat, but stock broke below 100-day MA → possible cooling period.* Eli Lilly (LLY): +6% on positive pill trial, but downtrend intact.📰 Intel Shock* U.S. government acquires 10% stake in Intel (INTC) under CHIPS Act funding.* Passive stake, no board seat, but raises concerns about international sales.* Intel remains -60% from all-time highs → turnaround hopes but uphill battle.📈 My Trades (Aug 25–29)* SoFi (SOFI): Quick trade, +€17.50. Watching pullback zones for re-entry.* Ferrari (RACE): Range-bound, small gain +€15.10.* Rheinmetall (RHM.DE): Defense play, +€55.50, but cautious outlook.* Alphabet (GOOGL): Sold entire position in two tranches. +€421.91 net. Will re-enter lower.* Visa (V): +€47.72 after tax.* Constellation Software (W9C.TO): +€810 small gain.* CrowdStrike (CRWD): +€72.24. Sold shares post-earnings pullback.Weekly Profit: +€160 (~$187)August Total: €985 ($1,090) — short of my €2,000 monthly target, but solid discipline shown.📌 Lessons Learned* Stick to Strategy: Taking profits early saved me from reversals.* Don’t Chase AI Hype: Nvidia & CrowdStrike show the risk of overbought momentum.* Cash is King: September’s packed with ISM, jobs, CPI, PPI, and Fed — dry powder is essential.📅 Important Events Next Week* Sept 3 (Tue): ISM Manufacturing PMI* Sept 5 (Thu): Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI* Sept 6 (Fri): Non-Farm Payrolls & Unemployment Rate* Following weeks: CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, Fed FOMC Meetings → high volatility expected.🔗 Relevant Mentions* Alibaba Earnings (BABA)* Nvidia Investor Relations (NVDA)* Autodesk IR (ADSK)* CrowdStrike Reports (CRWD)* Intel CHIPS Act News (INTC)* Wealth Dome Substack Archive⏱️ Timestamps* 00:00 – Weekly intro & market drama* 00:29 – Tariff ruling shakes markets* 00:43 – Alibaba earnings & AI chip boom (BABA)* 01:12 – U.S. market surge (S&P 500 hits 6504)* 01:53 – GDP + jobs data beat* 02:43 – Nasdaq weakness, RSI divergence* 03:12 – Fed rate cut odds 85%* 03:53 – Nvidia earnings breakdown (NVDA)* 05:32 – Autodesk earnings pop (ADSK)* 07:12 – CrowdStrike analysis (CRWD)* 08:57 – Dell earnings impact (DELL)* 09:53 – Eli Lilly weight loss drug trial (LLY)* 12:02 – Intel 10% U.S. stake explained (INTC)* 14:35 – Market rotation, Caterpillar/Deere weakness* 15:58 – Next week’s key events (PMI, NFP)* 16:55 – Announcement: new investing basics series* 17:56 – Weekly trades recap (SOFI, RACE, RHM.DE, GOOGL, V, W9C.TO, CRWD)* 26:35 – Alphabet (GOOGL) sell explained & re-entry zones* 27:01 – Wrap-up & closing thoughts This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
📊 Weekly Market Recap & Trades (Aug 18–22, 2025)Welcome back traders and investors! Here’s a breakdown of my trades, dividends, and lessons from last week — a volatile one with Jerome Powell hinting at possible rate cuts in September.⏱ Timestamps (mm:ss)* 00:00 – Intro & Powell’s rate hint* 00:37 – Novo Nordisk dividend* 01:34 – Amazon cautious sell* 02:10 – MercadoLibre trade* 02:37 – Opendoor revenge trade* 03:08 – Exiting Palo Alto Networks pre-Jackson Hole* 03:48 – Airbnb trim* 04:16 – Eli Lilly profit booked* 04:36 – Small honorable mentions (PLTR, CSCO, Gold)* 04:54 – Weekly net €567 ($616)* 05:05 – Powell Jackson Hole impact* 05:13 – Closing thoughts💵 Dividends* Novo Nordisk (NVO) – Received a dividend payout on Aug 19th: 65.47€ gross → 56.21€ net after tax.📈 Trades Breakdown✅ Profitable Moves* Amazon (AMZN) – Sold part of my position cautiously, +67.6€ (≈58.04$). Still bullish for 2026–27.* MercadoLibre (MELI) – In-and-out trade, +56.7€ gross → 48.68€ net.* Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) – Revenge trade, small +52.6€ gain.* Palo Alto Networks (PANW) – Fully sold position pre-Jackson Hole to avoid downside. Locked ~80€ profit.* Airbnb (ABNB) – Exited before weekend risk, +29.2€.* Eli Lilly (LLY) – One of my favorites, but trimmed with a strong +300.29€ gain.❌ Missed / Smaller Gains* Opendoor (OPEN) – Missed the bigger rally after selling.* Airbnb (ABNB) – Will likely reenter if rates are cut (bullish for demand).🎗 Honorable Mentions (Small <€10 trades)* Palantir (PLTR)* Cisco Systems (CSCO)* Physical Gold (XAU/USD)Total from these small trades: ~20€.📊 Weekly Profit Summary* Net Profit: €567 (~$616)* Achieved and exceeded weekly income target!📰 Market Context* Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole hinted at flexible rate policy → Markets reacted positively.* Expectation: potential rate cuts = bullish for growth stocks like AMZN, ABNB, MELI.🧠 Lessons Learned* Trim winners, but don’t sell too early (Opendoor rally reminder).* Avoid weekend risk during macro events.* Diversify trades across tech, healthcare, and consumer. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
The week of August 11–15, 2025 delivered fresh all-time highs for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones — despite hot inflation data. Strong consumer spending, hopes for a September Fed rate cut, and key corporate earnings moved the markets. In this recap, I’ll break down the top stock market events, major earnings (AMC, Cisco, Applied Materials, Amazon, Ford, CoreWeave, UnitedHealth, Intel, Nike, Costco, Apple, Procter & Gamble, Realty Income, Mercado Libre), plus share my own trades and dividend income from the week.📊 Market Action* S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq (IXIC), and Dow Jones (DJI) hit new record highs before Friday’s slight pullback.* Small caps surged to six-month peaks.* Nearly $9 billion flowed into U.S. equity funds, led by technology stocks.👉 Related: What drove the S&P 500 higher this week?🛍 Consumer Spending & Retail* July retail sales rose +0.5%, showing consumer resilience.* Winners included Costco (COST), Netflix (NFLX), and Spotify (SPOT).* Analysts eye Nike (NKE) as a 2025 turnaround play with leadership changes and tariff benefits.🌍 Global & Macro* U.S.–China tariff truce supported optimism.* Trump announced new tariffs on semiconductors and steel, boosting Intel (INTC) nearly 9%.* In Europe:* Shein sales surged +33% in the UK, surpassing Boohoo and Asos.* Associated British Foods (ASBFY) acquired Hovis, creating the UK’s largest bread brand.💡 Company Spotlights* Amazon (AMZN): Expanded grocery delivery to 33,000+ locations.* CoreWeave (CRWE): Stock sank post-IPO on heavier losses.* Applied Materials (AMAT): Beat earnings but gave cautious guidance, pressuring chipmakers.* Ford (F): Unveiled new EV platform, calling it a modern “Model T moment.”🧾 Earnings Recap* AMC Entertainment (AMC): $1.4B revenue, breakeven EPS — better than expected.* Cisco (CSCO): EPS $0.99 vs. $0.97 est, $14.7B revenue, $2B in AI infrastructure orders.* Applied Materials (AMAT): Revenue +1.1% surprise, EPS +5.2% surprise, but cautious outlook.👉 Related: Full U.S. Earnings Calendar💼 My Trades & Dividends (Aug 11–15)* Sold small positions in:* Mercado Libre (MELI): +$23* Apple (AAPL): +$115* Costco (COST): +$14* Dividends received:* Apple (AAPL): $11* Costco (COST): $6* Realty Income (O): $23* Procter & Gamble (PG): $66* Weekly Net Profit: $247* August Month-to-Date: $985🔮 Looking AheadNext week brings key U.S. economic data:* Tuesday: Building permits, housing starts* Wednesday: FOMC minutes* Thursday: Existing home sales* Friday: Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Jackson HoleClosing:This was a cautious but profitable week, with more gains expected if the Fed signals a September cut. Stay subscribed to Wealth Dome — where we build and protect wealth. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Hello Wealth DOME readers,This week was packed with market-moving news—from Donald Trump’s new tariffs on Switzerland, Canada, and India, to Apple’s $100 billion U.S. manufacturing pledge, and a string of major earnings reports from some of the market’s biggest names. Here’s your breakdown.🌍 Tariffs & Trade Tensions* 39% tariffs on Switzerland targeting luxury goods, chocolate, and gold exports* Tariffs on Canada & India increased, with India now facing 50% tariffs on oil* Global trade war fears rise, with potential ripple effects in the gold market📉 U.S. Labor Market* Jobs report showed a slowdown in growth* Speculation increases that the Federal Reserve could cut rates* Bond yields fell on weaker employment data🍏 Apple’s $100 Billion U.S. Investment ($AAPL)* Tim Cook announces additional $100B investment in U.S. manufacturing* Brings total planned U.S. investments to $600B* Apple stock jumped for three consecutive days, closing at $230 on Friday💼 Earnings Highlights* Eli Lilly ($LLY) – Revenue +38% YoY to $15.56B, EPS $6.31; stock fell 13.7% on sentiment concerns despite strong results.* * Hims & Hers ($HIMS) – Revenue +73% to $544.8M; stock up 2% on strong subscriber growth.* * Uber ($UBER) – Revenue +17% to $12.7B; announced $20B buyback; stock volatile.* * Shopify ($SHOP) – Revenue +31% to $2.68B; stock jumped 20%.* * Airbnb ($ABNB) – Revenue +13% to $3.1B; announced $6B buyback but stock fell on cautious guidance.* * Palantir ($PLTR) – Revenue +48% to $1B; U.S. commercial revenue +93%.* * AMD ($AMD) – Revenue +32% to $7.7B; strength in data center & gaming segments.* * Super Micro Computer ($SMCI) – Revenue +19% but missed forecasts; stock hit 200-day MA.* * McDonald’s ($MCD) – Revenue +5% to $6.84B; dividend ex-date Sept 2.* * Disney ($DIS) – Revenue +2% to $23.7B; strong theme parks & streaming, but potential correction ahead.* 📈 My Weekly Trades (Week 32)* Sold: $PLTR, $RHM, gold (PPFP), $MELI, $COST, $AMZN, $TSLA, $AAPL* Best Trade: $AAPL (+€332)* Weekly Total: +$489 (target was $500)🔮 Next Week’s Preview* Tuesday: Inflation data* Thursday: PPI report* Friday: Retail sales & Michigan Consumer Sentiment⚠️ Expect volatility—consider defensive plays.🔗 Relevant Links* Apple Investor Relations* Eli Lilly Investor Relations* Shopify IR* Airbnb IR* Palantir IRSEO Tags: tariffs, US labor market, Apple $100B investment, Eli Lilly earnings, HIMS growth, UBER buyback, SHOP stock rally, ABNB cautious guidance, PLTR revenue growth, AMD semiconductor growth, SMCI correction, MCD dividend date, DIS earnings. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Hey Wealth Dome readers,Eli Lilly (LLY) just dropped a bombshell—both good and bad. The Q2 2025 earnings were stellar on paper, yet the market punished the stock with a 14% post-earnings sell-off. Let's dive into the key metrics, chart analysis, sentiment, and my short-, medium-, and long-term price predictions.🧾 Earnings Highlights – Q2 2025* Revenue: $15.6 billion (+38% YoY)* Non-GAAP EPS: $6.31 (+61% YoY)* Full-year guidance: $60B–$62BStar products Mounjaro and Zepbound continue to drive growth, but the market reaction tells a different story...❌ Why Did Eli Lilly (LLY) Stock Crash?The sell-off was triggered by disappointment in the oral version of its GLP-1 weight loss drug, Orforglipron, which showed only 11.5% placebo-adjusted weight loss, lagging behind Novo Nordisk’s (NVO) injectable alternatives (14–15%).Investor sentiment tanked due to:* Weaker-than-expected weight-loss results* Concerns over long-term efficacy* Skittishness from a previously overbought chart📉 Chart & Technical AnalysisCurrent Price: ~$633RSI: 25 (deeply oversold)Major Moving Averages: Below 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day MAsKey Resistance Levels:* $680–$700 (23.6% Fibonacci)* $750 (38.2% Fibonacci)* $800 (50% Fibonacci)If these levels break, we could see LLY either bounce or enter a multi-year correction.📈 Price Predictions (Not Financial Advice)Short-Term (1–4 weeks): Rebound to $680–$700Medium-Term (1–3 months): Range-bound between $650–$760Long-Term: Only bullish if $800 level is retested and held. Be cautious if 200-day MA breaks on the 5Y chart.⚠️ Final ThoughtsWhile earnings are strong, sentiment rules the short-term game. Orforglipron’s underwhelming results have spooked investors, despite LLY’s solid fundamentals.Personally, I’m not bullish on the stock, but I’ll share any trades I make in the Weekend Edition. Stay cautious out there.—Noble B.M.I protect wealth. This is Wealth Town.🔗 Mentioned Links* Eli Lilly (LLY) IR Page* Mounjaro Drug Info* Zepbound Drug Info* Orforglipron Overview This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe
Welcome to this detailed AMD (NASDAQ: AMD) earnings report analysis and stock price prediction. This report covers the recent earnings release, key financial figures, chart analysis, and forecasts for short, medium, and long-term stock movements.AMD just dropped its Q2 2025 earnings! 🚀 In this detailed analysis, we cover AMD’s financials, key growth drivers like AI, and potential impact from China export restrictions. Plus, we dive into a detailed technical analysis to forecast AMD’s stock price in the short, medium, and long term.📈 AMD Earnings Highlights* Revenue: $7.7 billion (+32% YoY)* GAAP Net Income: $872 million* Non-GAAP Net Income: $781 million* Diluted Earnings Per Share (EPS):* Q2 2024: $0.16* Q2 2025: $0.54 (significant growth)📌 Revenue Breakdown* Gaming & Client Segments: Up 69% YoY, 23% QoQ* Data Center Segment: Growing, yet impacted by export restrictions🔍 Key Stock Drivers* AI and Data Center Expansion: Growth driven by AI infrastructure (MI350 & MI355X processors)* China Export Restrictions: Exports of the Instinct MI308 to China remain uncertain, impacting guidance and stock sentiment* Potential Catalyst: A favorable U.S.-China trade deal could significantly boost AMD📊 Technical Chart Analysis* Current pullback landed on Fibonacci retracement level of 23.6%* Key Moving Averages:* 20-day: Resistance* 50-day: Critical resistance around $140* 100-day recently crossed above the 200-day moving average (bullish indicator)🎯 Short-Term Outlook (1-4 weeks)* Likely pullback to support zones around $123-$138🚦 Medium-Term Outlook (1-3 months)* Stabilization and potential recovery* Target range: $160-$180 (approaching previous all-time highs)🌟 Long-Term Outlook (6-12 months)* Potential new all-time highs* Price targets: $210-$260 range This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit norbertbm.substack.com/subscribe



















