Nordea Markets Insights FI

Fed aloitti tällä viikolla koronlaskut suurella liikkeellä. Kuinka huolissaan keskuspankki on talousnäkymistä? Kiihdyttääkö myös EKP laskujaan? Mitä tekevät muut keskuspankit? Korkonäkymistä keskustelemassa Kristian Nummelin ja Jan von Gerich. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Suomen taloudessa on nähty alkuvuoden aikana ensimmäisiä positiivisia merkkejä, ja kasvun oraat puskevat jo esiin syyspellosta. Vaikka lähiajan näkymät ovat vielä hauraat, odotamme ensi vuodelta laaja-alaisempaa kasvun kiihtymistä. Nordean uusista talousennusteista ja Suomen näkymistä ovat keskustelemassa ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen ja analyytikko Rono Nihtinen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Mitä Skandinavian keskuspankeilla on mielessään, ja mihin Ruotsin ja Norjan kruunut seuraavaksi suuntaavat? Jääkö Suomen talous taas jalkoihin Pohjoismaisessa vertailussa, vai joko lähtisi piristymään? Asuntomarkkinaa, kulutusta, öljyä ynnä muuta ovat pohtimassa ekonomistit Juho Kostiainen ja Kristian Nummelin sekä analyytikko Rono Nihtinen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Kesälomien jälkeen podimme pohtii etenkin euroalueen ja Suomen talouden näkymiä nykyisissä epävarmoissa tunnelmissa. Studiossa pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu, ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen ja pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Mitä kevään talouskehityksestä jäi mieleen ja mitä yllätyksiä kesä voi tuoda tullessaan? Keskustelemassa Nordean Research-tiimi. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Ovatko asunnot nyt halpoja vai kalliita? Joko käänne kolkuttelee kulman takana, kun EKP ryhtyy laskemaan korkoja? Mistä asuntojen ylitarjonta kumpuaa? Näitä kysymyksiä pohtivat ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen, Nordean Kiinnitysluottopankin toimitusjohtaja Jussi Pajala ja analyytikko Rono Nihtinen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Markkinoilla maailmantalouden näkymät hinnoitellaan tällä hetkellä melko positiivisessa valossa. Riskejä kuitenkin riittää niin ylä- kuin alasuuntaankin kiinteistösektorista Kiinaan ja inflaatiosta geopolitiikkaan. Maailman ja Suomen kasvuriskejä sekä mahdollisuuksia pohtimassa pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu, ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen ja pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Kiina-riskeistä on puhuttu vähemmän viime aikoina, mutta haasteita on edelleen paljon. Juankin on ollut taas heikkenemispaineessa. Miltä Kiinan lyhyemmän ja pidemmän aikavälin tulevaisuus näyttää? Podistudiossa pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu, ekonomisti Kristian Nummelin ja pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Nordea julkaisi juuri uuden talousennusteen, jossa maailmantalouden yleiskuva on pykälän talviennustetta pirteämpi. Euroalueella koronlaskujen odotetaan olevan nurkan takana, kun taas Yhdysvaltojen talouskehitykseen sisältyy epävarmuutta suuntaan jos toiseen. Tuoreen maailmantalouden ennusteen pääkohtia kertaamassa ja vastaamattomia webinaari-kysymyksiä puimassa ekonomistit Tuuli Koivu ja Kristian Nummelin. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Miten vihreä siirtymä etenee Suomessa ja onko investointihalukkuutta riittävästi? Miltä yrityksien päästövähennykset näyttävät, ja toisaalta mikä on rahoitusmarkkinoiden rooli vihreässä siirtymässä? Aiheesta keskustelemassa kestävän rahoituksen asiantuntija Juho Maalahti sekä ekonomistit Juho Kostiainen ja Kristian Nummelin. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Keskuspankit liikkuvat kohti koronlaskuja, mutta kuinka paljon korkoja tarvitsee edes laskea ja minkälaista korkotasoa on lupa odottaa pidemmällä aikavälillä? Mukana keskustelemassa Juha Vainikainen, Jan von Gerich ja Kristian Nummelin. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Asuntomarkkinoilla alkuvuosi on ollut vielä hiljainen. Mitkä tekijät jarruttavat asunnon ostoa ja miltä näyttää asuntojen hintakehitys? Miksi uudiskohteet eivät käy kaupaksi? Korkojen nousu on näkynyt etenkin lapsiperheiden kulujen kasvua. Mitä se on tarkoittanut perheasuntojen markkinoilla? Lopuksi perehdytään maahanmuuton asuntomarkkinavaikutuksiin. Näistä aiheista juttelemassa Nordea Kiinnitysluottopankin toimitusjohtaja Jussi Pajala ja ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Keskuspankkien viesti on vihdoin uponnut markkinoilla ja korot ovat korjanneet korkeammalle. Paljon on silti avoimia kysymyksiä – helpottavatko hintapaineet, kuihtuuko kasvu? Millainen koronlaskusykli on lopulta näkyvissä? Taloutta ja markkinoita tulkitsemassa pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich, ekonomisti Kristian Nummelin ja analyytikko Olli Malinen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Suomen talous vajosi taantumaan viime vuoden lopulla. Millaiset ovat Suomen lyhyen ja pidemmän aikavälin kasvunäkymät? Näkyykö asuntomarkkinoilla jo valoa tunnelin päässä? Tuntuvatko lakot Suomen talouskasvussa? Suomen talouden kuvaa maalaamassa Juho Kostiainen ja Olli Malinen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Inflaatio jatkaa hidastumistaan sekä euroalueella että USA:ssa, mutta talouskasvunäkymät eroavat voimakkaasti. Euroopan talous polkee paikallaan, kun USA:n talous porskuttaa eteenpäin osittain elvytyksen vetämänä – ja samaan keinoon on tartuttu nyt myös Kiinassa. Spekulaatiot keskuspankkien korkojen laskun ajankohdasta käyvät kuumina, mutta voiko laskujen osalta tulla vielä mutkia matkaan? Muun muassa näistä aiheista keskustelemassa Tuuli Koivu, Jan von Gerich ja Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Markkinoiden pikaiset koronlasku odotukset ovat ottaneet osumaa viime aikoina. Keskuspankit ovat yrittäneet vakuutella, ettei koronlaskujen aika ole vielä, kun taas geopoliittiset jännitteet ovat lisänneet yläsuuntaisia inflaatioriskejä. Näitä teemoja pohtivat ekonomisti Kristian Nummelin, pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich ja analyytikko Olli Malinen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Kuluneena vuonna käänteitä riitti niin taloudessa kuin rahoitusmarkkinoillakin. Mikä käänteistä jäi parhaiten mieleen ja mitkä ovat vuoden 2024 puheenaiheet markkinoilla? Muun muassa näitä aiheita pohtii Nordea Marketsin tutkimusporukka. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Ekonomistit Tuuli Koivu ja Juho Kostiainen keskustelevat Tuulin tunnelmista Kiinan matkan jälkeen ja käyvät lyhyesti läpi tuoreita talouslukuja myös Suomesta ja euroalueelta. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Suomen talous supistui syksyllä ja lähiajan näkymät ovat heikot sekä teollisuudessa että rakentamisessa. Inflaation hidastuminen ja odotukset koronlaskuista tuovat valoa, mutta jaksaako talous piristyä jo ensi vuonna? Keskustelemassa ekonomistit Juho Kostiainen ja Kristian Nummelin. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

Keskuspankkien viesti alkaa olla linjassa sen kanssa, että koronnostot on vähitellen nähty. Onko pahin jo takana Suomen asuntomarkkinoilla, ja mitkä ovat edellytykset talouden toipumiselle? Näistä aiheista keskustelemassa ekonomistit Juho Kostiainen ja Kristian Nummelin sekä pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.