Podzept - Deutsche Bank Research

Podzept is a podcast, which addresses the fundamental issues driving the world of economics and finance: it provides a platform for Deutsche Bank analysts to share their findings with clients and the wider world.

Quant Pulse 2: Navigating Market Dynamics and Quant Strategies

Portfolio construction specialist Vivek Anand explores the latest market trends and the performance of DB’s quant systematic strategies. He highlights the mixed market environment and how it has been supportive for quant investing, discussing the performance of Portfolio 365. Vivek also delves into the DB research team’s outlook, suggesting a potential market breather in the short term, and wraps up by highlighting key economic indicators and events to watch out for this week and their potential impact on quant investing.

06-23
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Quant Pulse: Navigating Market Dynamics and Quant Strategies

Portfolio construction specialist Vivek Anand explores the latest market trends and the performance of DB's quant systematic strategies. He also discusses the DB research team's optimistic outlook for the latter half of the year and its implications for the strategies. Wrapping up, he highlights the key economic indicators and events to watch out for this week and their potential impact on quant investing.

06-17
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Focus Europe: All you need to know five weeks ahead of the EU parliamentary election

EU-policy experts Marion Mühlberger and Ursula Walther discuss with Chief Economist for Germany Robin Winkler what EU elections mean for policy priorities and the EU economy in the next 5-year legislative term. With less than five weeks to go until election day, the hot phase of the election campaign has begun. Policy priorities are likely to be centered around security and defense, competitiveness and enlargement. While there is consensus about priorities, financing remains the missing link.

05-07
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The Wide Angle: The global credit cycle signals a still tricky economic path ahead

Senior US Economist Brett Ryan and Senior International Economist Peter Sidorov discuss the latest trends in bank lending and financing conditions and their implications. In the past two years, central banks on both sides of the Atlantic have delivered their sharpest hiking cycles since the 1980s. But the economic impact of these has varied widely, opening the door for less synchronous policy as central banks contemplate cutting rates.

04-03
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Making Sense of Space – Earth Observation

In our series Making Sense of Space, we discuss the prospects for Earth Observation (EO) live at our studio in NYC. Don Osborne, President and CEO at EarthDaily Analytics joins us.

03-04
22:43

Macro MATTers: The current outlook for the Fed, the US Economy & Inflation

In the latest Podzept episode from Deutsche Bank Research, Matthew Barnard sat down with Matthew Luzzetti (Chief US Economist) and Matthew Raskin (Head of US Rates Research) to discuss DB’s revised US economic forecast, recent hotter than expected inflation data, current expectations and pricing, and DB’s view on R-Star.

02-25
18:48

Gen Z: Soft living, but financially prudent

Olga Cotaga and Luke Templeman discuss Generation Z’s financial habits for spending and investing. This younger generation is different from Millennials and has embraced the trend of ‘soft living’. Yet, they combine this with hard finances. In short, Gen Z save, invest young, buy real estate quicker and appreciate risk.

02-14
13:40

Macro MATTers: The outlook for the Fed, Quantitative Tightening, Rates & Inflation

In the latest Podzept episode from Deutsche Bank Research, Matthew Barnard sat down with Matthew Luzzetti (Chief US Economist) and Matthew Raskin (Head of US Rates Research) to discuss key topics surrounding the path forward for the Fed, including the magnitude and timing of interest rate cuts. Also discussed is the outlook for the Fed’s balance sheet and QT.

01-22
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Making Sense of Space – Visit to the Wormhole

In our series Making Sense of Space, we discuss the rocket launch market, taking a visit to the “Wormhole” in Long Beach, California. Tim Ellis from Relativity Space joins us.

01-21
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Demographics: The market impact to 2030

Luke Templeman and Olga Cotaga discuss the implications of ageing populations on economies, financial markets and corporate balance sheets. The thematic research analysts rebuke common misconceptions that more retirees equals to government budgets blowing out, or that there could be an equity sell-off as baby boomers switch to bonds. On top of this, they discuss why some Western countries have an underappreciated demographic advantage and why short-term ageing concerns in China may be overdone.

12-26
15:31

Making Sense of Space – Spanish Rockets

In our series Making Sense of Space, we discuss the rocket launch market, mainly from the European perspective where the supply shortage is most acute. Jose Manuel Rodriguez from PLD Space joins us.

12-11
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Making Sense of Space – Evolution of geospatial intelligence in govt

In our series Making Sense of Space, we discuss the evolution of geospatial intelligence in the government, focusing on the satellite imagery aspect. Robert Cardillo, Chief Strategist and Chairman of the Board - Planet Federal, joins us.

12-10
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2024 US election insights: Preview of the economic & political landscape

With just under a year until the US elections, Pam Finelli, COO of Research and Head of Fixed Income Research, Brett Ryan, Senior US Economist and Mike Moran, Head of US Political Affairs discuss the unfolding narrative and navigate the anticipated policy implications, shed light on key issues at stake, and unravel the historical market reactions that investors should brace for.

11-26
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Where’s my AI revolution? Practical ways to get less chat, more action

Adrian Cox discusses the practical challenges of generative AI with Olga Cotaga. The thematic analysts address the three main hurdles for enterprises wanting to implement AI, how they fit into a well-worn historical pattern and how companies can begin to overcome them.

11-13
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Macro MATTers: The outlook for the US economy and rates after the recent curve steepening

In the latest Podzept episode from Deutsche Bank Research, Matthew Barnard sat down with Matthew Luzzetti (Chief US Economist) and Matthew Raskin (Head of US Rates Research) to discuss key topics around the US economy, interest rates and the health of the consumer. More specifically, they talk through their baseline views for a first half 2024 recession, the outlook for rates, the changing slope of the yield curve, and more.

10-24
16:12

Making Sense of Space: Moving Around In-Orbit

In our series Making Sense of Space, we discuss the logistics of moving around after reaching orbit. Rockets do the heavy lifting off the ground but what happens after the payload is in space? Luca Rossettini from D-Orbit joins us.

08-21
31:44

Top thematic ideas for H2

In this episode Luke Templeman provides a brief summary of the teams’ top thematic ideas for the rest of the year.

08-01
15:25

World outlook: The waiting game...

Deutsche Bank Research has just released the latest World Outlook, featuring updated views on economics and markets. They have called this edition “The Waiting Game…” because they maintain their call for a US recession in Q4 as the lags from tighter monetary policy really start to hit. That weak outlook is evident elsewhere too, and their forecasts don’t expect any G7 country to grow by more than 0.8% in 2024. However, when it comes to the long term they are very enthusiastic about the prospects of AI changing the nature of our economies in the years ahead, which could offer some optimism after a very challenging start to the decade.

06-12
17:22

AI in action: where is the smart money going?

Artificial intelligence is an overnight success that has been many years in the making. But where is it going next? In our latest Podzept episode, Dr Marion Laboure, Cassidy Ainsworth-Grace and Adrian Cox, analyse the details of an extensive database of AI venture capital deals and patents to anticipate what innovations will soon be arriving on our doorsteps.

06-06
11:44

Can AI help high-labour firms to boost returns?

Artificial intelligence offers the tantalising prospect of improving the perennial underperformance of companies with many employees.In this podcast, Luke Templeman, Olga Cotaga and Adrian Cox discuss why high-staff companies tend to have a lower market capitalisation, thinner margins and lower growth rates than lower-staff ones. They analyse evidence that suggests AI could enable high-employee companies to get more value from each staff member. That may generate an outsize benefit in return on equity and potentially catalyse equity market returns in the years to come.

05-29
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