Politics Matters

Everybody wants to be informed about the next election, but not everybody has the time to watch the news for hours every day. Keep up with American politics and elections like never before with Politics Matters, your spot for high-quality election analysis. Topics covered include but are not limited to redistricting, voting rights, polling data, election forecasting, and statistics.

Warnock vs Walker Georgia Runoff Preview

@RyanJakubowski makes his predictions for the 2022 Georgia runoff election

12-04
22:20

Republicans Underperform Expectations In Senate, Gubernatorial Races | Midterms Analysis (Podcast)

@RyanJakubowski analyzes why Republicans performed so poorly in competitive Senate and Gubernatorial races

11-20
46:08

FINAL 2022 MIDTERMS PREDICTIONS!

It's that time! @RyanJakubowski lays out his 2022 midterm predictions in-depth and explains who will win each and every Senate/Governor race this year.

11-06
01:00:00

(Almost) Final U.S. Midterm Talk With Evan Scrimshaw

@RyanJakubowski is joined by @EScrimshaw for the final time before the 2022 midterms to discuss what to expect on Election Night

11-04
01:17:17

Nevada, Georgia, Pennsylvania Looking Good? Dems Regain A Bit Of Momentum?

@RyanJakubowski analyzes the most recent batch of early voting/mail-in voting data and explains why it's looking good for Democrats right now. Democrats also seem to have regained a bit of momentum in the polls.

10-30
40:54

Answering Your Questions About The 2022 Midterms

@RyanJakubowski answers Twitter's questions about the 2022 midterms

10-27
33:48

Republicans Retake The Lead In The Generic Ballot - Should Democrats Panic?

@RyanJakubowski gives a bit of a more pro-Democratic outlook on the 2022 midterms than the current consensus and analyzes why the Democrats are probably in a better spot than you think - but still have a long ways to go. Listen for generic ballot talk, poll analysis, early voting information, and some brief Senate rundown.

10-22
47:14

Early Midterm Signs And Senate Takes (Feat. Evan Scrimshaw)

@RyanJakubowski is joined by @EScrimshaw to discuss a few early signs for how the midterms will go, as well as some hot takes about the battle for control of the Senate

10-20
01:13:15

Debates! Early Voting! House Triages! This Week In Politics

@RyanJakubowski analyzes the recent debates (Ohio, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Arizona, Georgia), looks into the (very preliminary) early vote data we have in a few swing states and what it can tell us, and lists the seats House Democrats have all but officially given up on since last week

10-16
29:47

An In-Depth Look At The Tossup Gubernatorial Races (Feat. Arthur Garton)

@RyanJakubowski is joined by @GartonArthur to take a close look at the six closest governor's races (Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Kansas, Arizona, Nevada, Oregon) and break down who's winning in each of them. They also discuss the fascinating polls out of Oklahoma and South Dakota and debate how much stock should be put into them.

10-12
46:20

No, Oklahoma and South Dakota Won't Go Blue. But Georgia's Looking Good

@RyanJakubowski breaks down why, despite some curious new polling, the deep red states of Oklahoma and South Dakota will not be close this year. However, down in Georgia, Raphael Warnock's chances of reelection are looking better than ever.

10-09
29:09

2022 Senate Map - Analysis & Predictions (Feat. Lakshya Jain)

(10/2/22) @RyanJakubowski is joined by @lxeagle17 to discuss this year's most competitive Senate seats. Ryan and Lakshya analyze and break down the paths for both parties across each and every important state this year, and make predictions for how the map will end up unfolding.

10-02
01:18:09

Republicans in Disarray? An Analysis of the House and Senate Maps (9/25)

@RyanJakubowski details why the GOP may be in serious trouble come November, even in the House. 

09-26
41:48

There Might Be A Polling Miss. No, It Won't Be Big Enough To Save The Republicans.

@RyanJakubowski discusses why the scale of the potential polling miss the GOP would need to win in November is very unlikely and talks about his current expectations for where polls will overestimate Democratic support

09-18
45:13

Hobbs Won't Debate, Trafalgar Makes No Sense, And The House Is A Tossup

@RyanJakubowski discusses the eventful week we've had in politics. Listen for discussion of Katie Hobbs's debate misstep, Trafalgar's polling inconsistencies, and talk about the model built last week that shows the Democrats favored to win the House.

09-03
37:26

Democrats Are Favored To Win The Senate And Are Close In The House (Feat. Evan Scrimshaw)

@RyanJakubowski and @EScrimshaw explain why in the aftermath of Pat Ryan's victory in NY-19, the Democrats are favored to win the Senate and are within striking distance of the GOP in the House

08-27
01:37:20

Democrats Up Big in Pennsylvania, Nevada | Analyzing 2022's Most Contested Races

@RyanJakubowski talks about the latest polls out of Nevada and Pennsylvania and explains why they point to trouble for the GOP. He also goes through a few contested Senate and Gubernatorial elections and discusses where they're at as of today.

08-22
33:39

I'm Kinda Starting To Think The Democrats Are Going To Win The Senate

@RyanJakubowski takes a deep dive into this year's competitive Senate races and explains why, as of today, the Democrats seem poised to hold onto their Senate majority. Tune in for poll analysis, detailed looks at trends, and electorate forecasting.

08-14
34:49

Calm Down, Democrats. Josh Shapiro Is Still Very Much On Track To Win.

@RyanJakubowski dives deep into the all-important Pennsylvania gubernatorial election, where Democratic AG Josh Shapiro takes on Republican State Senator Doug Mastriano. Shapiro is still the clear favorite as it stands today, and yes, Democrats should stop freaking out about this race.

07-31
32:50

Top Senate and Gubernatorial Races To Watch This year (Feat. Arthur Garton)

@RyanJakubowski and @GartonArthur overview the most hotly contested Senate and Gubernatorial races in this upcoming election. Listen to them talk polling data, candidate quality, and rural Nevada.

07-17
01:07:34

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