Predictive Programming

PredMTrader joins Henry and Chris to explain what it's like from his newcomer perspective to trade prediction markets. In this episode we discuss mention markets, political markets, sports markets and more.  Ready to understand how sports prediction markets are being revolutionized from the inside? Listen to discover key industry insights and peer into the future of prediction markets. Chapters (00:00:00) - Predictable, Predictable(00:00:10) - Predicting Market Traders(00:00:34) - Prediction Markets Guy(00:02:14) - Disclosure: I Trade Prediction Markets(00:09:17) - In the Elevator With Stock Trading(00:10:02) - Are You Ever Making Money On Crypto?(00:11:07) - Followers: What's Your Selling Point?(00:12:14) - The Taylor Swift Stream(00:14:57) - Marathon on Trading & Content(00:18:31) - Markets: What Other Data Feeds Are You Using?(00:20:56) - How AI Trading and Sports Betting Have Impact(00:24:52) - Predicting Sports on MSN(00:27:31) - What's Next for the Market?(00:28:43) - Political and Business Markets: How They're Going(00:33:58) - Sports and Crypto: Will They Replace Prediction Markets?

Chris announces he's leaving his sports gambling career behind to join Novig! Ready to understand how sports prediction markets are being revolutionized from the inside? Listen to discover key industry insights and peer into the future of prediction markets.   Chapters (00:00:00) - Intro(00:00:30) - You Dress As You Want to(00:01:21) - Chris has a new job(00:01:52) - Novig's potential(00:05:57) - Joe Buck on Speculated Markets(00:14:21) - Market Maker: Better Standards for Prediction Markets(00:19:16) - DraftKings and Matching: The End of Sports Betting on(00:24:32) - Potential Use Cases for Prediction Markets(00:28:55) - Predicting Markets: The Future of Tech

Adhi Rajaprabhakaran is back to deep dive parlays on prediction markets. Ready to understand how sports prediction markets are being revolutionized from the inside? Listen to discover key industry insights and peer into the future of prediction markets. Chapters (00:00:00) - Predictive Programming(00:00:37) - Jannik: Sinner is Not My Peer(00:04:31) - NFL Predictions: RFQ Parlay(00:07:22) - Barclays on the Parlay System(00:14:01) - Punishment for Parlay: Dead Money(00:18:36) - DraftKings vs Kalshee(00:20:04) - Market Maker Says Parlays Can't Be Eliminated(00:24:02) - Does It Actually Matter Who Is Faster?(00:29:00) - Kalsha on Robinhood and the Future(00:30:05) - Robinhood vs. Cowys: Which One Is the Real Val(00:33:29) - Audi vs. Porsche

Media coverage—even when satirical or critical—serves to legitimize prediction markets by boosting public awareness, helping to normalize the concept in mainstream culture. At the same time, the difficulty some successful bettors face in distinguishing between traditional sportsbooks and exchanges underscores a broader knowledge gap, highlighting how prediction markets operate on fundamentally different principles than casual sports betting. Chapters (00:00:00) - Predictable, Predictable Eagles vs Vikings Prediction(00:00:17) - Predictive Programming: Week 4(00:00:58) - South Park and The Wall Street Journal: Paid Shills(00:02:52) - Could You Write an Article About the Prediction Market Industry?(00:04:06) - CFTC Roundtable(00:04:51) - Novig Is for Sale(00:07:01) - NFL Star on His Bigger Goal(00:08:41) - How to Become a Sports Trader(00:11:43) - Novig on FanDuel(00:13:24) - Liquidity Provider vs. Trading: Their Preference(00:14:13) - Expert: Working at a Sportsbook Is Bad for Talent(00:17:27) - Trade on an Exchange(00:18:50) - Predicting Markets: The Future of Money Trading(00:20:23) - What Software Do You Use To Trade Sports?(00:25:18) - Inventing Sports With Insider Trading Tools(00:27:51) - Will Businesses Bite Into Bloomberg Terminal?(00:31:47) - Bloomberg's 'Bitcoin' Story(00:34:16) - Joe Biden on SNL

Henry and Chris discuss the ever evolving role of prediction markets in the financial sector and more! Chapters (00:00:00) - Predictable Predictions(00:00:10) - Sports Betting(00:00:38) - Will the Federal Funds Rate Decision Hurt the Market?(00:04:12) - Predicting If a Company Will Beat Earnings or Not(00:07:46) - Fed Rate Cuts: Can They Ever Happen?(00:17:01) - Polymarket CEO on the CFTC and Crypto(00:19:28) - Polymarket: What Valuation Should Investors Give to the Company?(00:21:17) - Robinhood: The Future of Crypto(00:27:25) - The #MeToo Moment(00:28:02) - Market Makers Are Not Sportsbooks, Sarah Slane Says(00:34:04) - Market Maker: Parlays Need Open(00:41:06) - How to Talk to Newcomers(00:43:02) - Let's Talk Future Plans

Adhi is the author of "50c Dollars", the definitive Prediction Market newsletter. Find him on Twitter @eightyhi Chapters (00:00:00) - Predicting. Predictable Predictions(00:00:10) - The First Guest on #PredictingSports(00:01:45) - How Kalshi Betting Changed My Life(00:03:21) - Prediction Markets: The Betting Experience(00:12:21) - Predicting the NBA, Sportsbooks(00:14:57) - How to Make a Living on Predictions(00:18:35) - Expert: Don't Get Run Over by Insider Trading on Crypto(00:26:55) - Are Stock Exchanges Bad for Investors?(00:30:41) - DraftKings CEO on Market Makers(00:32:33) - DraftKings vs. FanDuel: How Can Both Win(00:37:21) - Interview

Nobody understands the fee structure. Everybody's gonna get rich. Henry touts rap beefs from 20 years ago. Chapters (00:00:00) - Intro(00:00:08) - Prediction Markets Update(00:05:23) - FIFO(00:10:26) - Penny Jumping(00:14:41) - Liquidity(00:18:19) - Sports vs. Everything Else(00:21:20) - What Will the People Choose?(00:29:05) - Riggable Outcomes and PMs(00:31:10) - Conclusion