RiskReversal Pod

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas of SoFi discuss a range of topics including regional banks' performance, market volatility, private equity concerns, and gold's unprecedented rise. They delve into financial instability stemming from bankruptcies, fraud, and speculative leverage, stressing the systemic risks in non-bank financial institutions. The episode also highlights the divergence in regional versus large banks' performances, the implications on liquidity, and the broader economic outlook. Additionally, they explore the unexpected resilience and meteoric rise of gold, driven largely by central bank buying and investor sentiment, defying technical expectations. The podcast wraps up with a brief insight into CPI data and its anticipated market impact. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan, Guy Adami, Danny Moses, Vincent Daniel, and Porter Collins delve into the upcoming week in finance, focusing on earnings reports and the anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. They discuss notable companies such as Netflix, Taiwan Semi, and Tesla, analyzing their performance and potential market impact. The conversation covers inflation's structural issues, policy drivers, and CPI's influence on market volatility. AI and its implications for companies like Google and Tesla are debated, along with predictions on the Fed's actions and housing market trends. The podcast closes with reflections on potential market risks and the overarching influence of AI investments. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate”: https://whatarewedoingonthedesk.substack.com/ This is a loaded RiskReversal Podcast featuring Guy Adami, Dan Nathan, Danny Moses, Vincent Daniel, and Porter Collins discussing the current state of the financial markets amid various economic conditions. They touch on topics such as the strength of the broader market, the influence of passive investing, the effects of potential government shutdowns, and significant geopolitical tensions with China. Comparisons are made to the 1999 market, with discussions on valuations and technological advancements. The group also delves into the AI boom, its economic implications, and the potential risks of a financial bubble. Additionally, they talk about the performance of gold, the repercussions of a weakening labor market, and the impact of monetary policies. The conversation rounds off with a look at specific companies and sectors, anticipation of upcoming earnings reports, and a critical view of the Federal Reserve’s actions. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas of SoFi discuss the market's response to recent political developments, with a focus on the significant market sell-off and subsequent bounce-back. They analyze the fragility of the market, particularly in high-risk assets like meme stocks and cryptocurrency. The conversation also explores the role of algorithmic trading in market volatility, the dynamics of the bank earnings season, and expectations for the financial sector amid recent capital market activities. They delve into the impacts on regional banks versus larger financial institutions, discussing the influence of a steepening yield curve and M&A activity. The podcast also touches on the complexities of current asset class relationships, unexpected market behaviors, and the significance of gold as a safe-haven asset. A brief discussion on the implications of the government shutdown for economic data releases and federal monetary policy rounds out the episode. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami break down a dramatic week in the markets, spotlighting the volatility surge driven by surprise tariff headlines and shifting macro risks. They dig into the growing dangers of passive investing, the outsized impact of the “Magnificent 7” on everyday portfolios, and why even small CapEx pullbacks in Big Tech could ripple across the market. The hosts also examine gold’s frenzy (fueled by retail and historic central bank buying) and debate whether recent sell-offs foreshadow a broader reset, and warn that rising tariffs, weak consumer signals, and struggling IPOs could all spell trouble ahead. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and Danny Moses discuss a variety of topics impacting the stock market and economy. They start by drawing parallels between the current market situation and past events, such as the late '90s dot-com bubble and the 2008 financial crisis. They highlight the rise of AI and its resemblance to the internet boom, expressing concerns over vendor financing and unsustainable company valuations. The conversation shifts to the potential impact of a weakening U.S. dollar and the significant role of gold, as central banks accumulate it to hedge against economic instability. They also touch on the fragility of the Japanese yen and its economic implications. Passive investing's influence on market behavior is examined, and the potential for sectors like healthcare and energy to offer value is discussed. The episode concludes with an analysis of current trends in sports gambling markets and NFL game predictions. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas explore historical market trends, comparing the current market environment to the late 1990s, and debate the potential for continued market rallies. The conversation shifts to potential impacts of a government shutdown, the significance of technical analysis in the absence of economic data, and the influence of international markets. They also examine recent developments in Japan's economy and the potential implications for global markets. The episode concludes with a discussion on regional bank M&A activity and its implications for the broader financial sector. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami discuss the current market situation amid a government shutdown and the ongoing AI investment trends. They explore topics such as market complacency, valuations, and the potential impact of geopolitical issues. The duo also debates the decision between investing in the stock market or opting for a 4% CD, given the market's all-time highs. They analyze the recent performance of Bitcoin, gold, and crypto markets, and their implications on the broader financial landscape. Additionally, they touch on concerns around the AI investment bubble, technological commoditization, and global trade tensions, specifically regarding Nvidia and Huawei's AI developments. Story Links AI investors are in for a rude awakening (The Guardian) The AI capex endgame is approaching (FT) What if we're wrong? (Axios) Jeff Bezos hails AI boom as ‘good’ kind of bubble (FT) Cracks are forming in the AI capex boom, warns Morgan Stanley. What to buy and sell (MarketWatch) AI startup valuations raise bubble fears as funding surges (Reuters) This Is How the AI Bubble Will Pop (Derek Thompson) James Anderson warns Nvidia’s $100bn OpenAI bet echoes dotcom bubble (FT) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome Cameron Dawson of NewEdge Wealth. They discuss NewEdge's recent accolade as the third top RIA in the U.S. awarded by Barron's. The conversation delves into market positioning changes since April, the impact of institutional investor behavior, and liquidity trends. They also explore valuation concerns, the influence of AI on corporate earnings, and the future growth potential. The discussion touches on the performance and strategies of major tech companies, consumer economic impacts, and market predictions for 2026. Additionally, they consider alternative investment opportunities like infrastructure and litigation finance, highlighting their relevance in current client portfolios Links Checkout 'The Daily Spark' Checkout Earnings Insight Guy's Wikipedia —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, Guy Adami and Liz Thomas of SoFi discuss recent sports highlights, including the Milwaukee Brewers' and Green Bay Packers' performances. They delve into the potential market impact of a looming government shutdown, focusing on labor market data and how the Fed's moves might influence economic trends. The conversation also touches on key data metrics like jolts and PMI, along with the implications of AI on the market. Additionally, they explore international markets, specifically China's tech sector, and the rising gold market. They conclude with observations on market volatility and possible end-of-year trends. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the RiskReversal Podcast, hosts Guy Adami and Dan Nathan discuss the latest economic indicators, including the September non-farm payrolls, PCE inflation readings, and GDP data. They analyze the inconsistency between accelerating GDP and slowing employment growth, touching on the potential impact of AI and reduced immigration. The conversation further explores the recent market dynamics, including bond yields, the performance of major tech stocks, particularly the AI-driven surge of Nvidia, and the skepticism from various market commentators. They also discuss recent government investments in Intel and the unusual valuation of TikTok in a proposed acquisition deal. The episode wraps up with a look ahead at the upcoming earnings report from Nike and what they might indicate for the broader market. Links Mentioned The Daily Spark (Apollo) David Einhorn Sounds Warning on the AI Spending Splurge - (Bloomberg) Spending on AI Is at Epic Levels. Will It Ever Pay Off? (WSJ) An $800 Billion Revenue Shortfall Threatens AI Future, Bain Says (Bloomberg) AI investment bubble inflated by trio of dilemmas (Reuters) The $100 Billion Nvidia-OpenAI Virtuous Circle Has an Ugly Side (Bloomberg) —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

On the Risk Reversal Podcast, Dan Nathan hosts Marko Kolanovic, former Chief Market Strategist at JP Morgan, to discuss recent market movements and economic trends. They explore the impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts, market reactions to recent economic data, and how seasonal factors and technical aspects could influence market dynamics. The conversation highlights concerns about the sustainability of AI-driven market gains, the concentration of tech stocks, and the potential risks posed by geopolitical issues and tariffs. Marko offers insights into strategic investments in value stocks and critiques recent government involvement in major tech companies like Intel. The discussion wraps up with reflections on the broader implications of state capitalism versus free market principles. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan and Peter Boockvar host Louis-Vincent Gave, founder and CEO of Gavekal, to discuss the evolving dynamics of China trade. The conversation explores China's response to U.S. restrictions on technology, particularly semiconductors, and the broader implications of the growing U.S.-China tech competition. Louis offers insights into China's rapid industrial advancements, the strategic importance of Taiwan, and the potential future of U.S.-China relations. The discussion also touches on the global impact of China's economic integration with Russia and India, and the challenges faced by American companies in maintaining competitiveness in the Chinese market. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas delve into current market trends, including semiconductor news, Apple's near all-time high, and the fluctuating bond market. The conversation transitions to discussions on gold's performance, valuations, and the potential impact on investors. Market strategist Tony Pascarella's stance on holding positions rather than chasing the rally is also highlighted. Further, the duo touches upon the bond market's reaction to Fed rate cuts and the construction employment market's downturn, which could signal broader economic shifts. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan welcomes Gene Munster, founder and managing partner of Deepwater Asset Management. They discuss a range of topics including Apple’s latest iPhone release, consumer reactions, and its implications for the company’s future earnings and margins. The conversation then shifts to Nvidia's $5 billion investment in Intel and its implications in the context of U.S.-China trade relations. Additionally, the duo analyzes Nvidia’s $900 million acquihire move and the broader implications for AI advancements. The podcast also covers the ongoing trade discussions related to TikTok and its potential acquisition by an American consortium, emphasizing the importance of controlling the algorithm and data privacy. Gene and Dan debate the impact of these developments on the market and the tech industry at large. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

In this episode of the Risk Reversal podcast, hosts Dan Nathan and Guy Adami welcome Michelle Meyer, Chief Economist at Mastercard, to discuss her career and economic insights. Meyer shares her journey from Lehman Brothers during the financial crisis to her current role at MasterCard. She reflects on key economic events, the housing market collapse, and the impact of the pandemic. The conversation covers the Federal Reserve’s policies, consumer behavior, the influence of tariffs, and the resilience of the U.S. and global economies. Meyer emphasizes the importance of understanding behavioral economics and real-time data in navigating economic changes and predicting future trends. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan & Guy deliver a rapid reaction to the Fed's 25bps rate cut on Wednesday. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami is joined by Peter Boockvar to discuss the ramifications of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and market trends. The conversation covers factors influencing stock, bond, and metals markets, including the Fed's motives behind rate cuts, the labor market, and inflation dynamics. They delve into political influences within the Fed and the potential for further economic deceleration. Additionally, they examine the global economic landscape, including central bank actions in the UK and Japan, foreign trade impacts, and US home builder market challenges. The episode concludes with insights on the importance of economic data and historical market patterns. Checkout 'The Boock Report' —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Guy Adami and Liz Thomas bring you an in-depth analysis of the United States stock market hitting an all-time high, bond yields, and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts. They explore the likelihood of a 50 basis point cut and the Fed's challenge in explaining such a move. The discussion includes comparisons to last year's market conditions, the labor market, and the importance of the Fed's upcoming economic projections. The hosts also examine regional manufacturing surveys, leading indicators, and market reactions to company earnings and guidance. The episode wraps up with an exploration of the substantial market cap of top tech companies and discussions on Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves under Warren Buffett. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media

Dan Nathan is joined by Danny Moses and Terry Duffy, Chairman and CEO of CME Group, to discuss their partnership and market evolution. They talk about the growth in retail trading, the impact of technological advancements, and CME's new products like futures, event contracts, and binary contracts designed for retail investors. The discussion also covers the significance of risk management tools such as stop-losses, the recent rise in open positions in equity and interest rates at CME, and the broader implications of high national debt and technology disruption on the markets. They delve into the importance of timing in listing products, using Bitcoin's listing in 2017 as an example, and touch on the interconnectedness of global financial stability and market structure. —FOLLOW USYouTube: @RiskReversalMediaInstagram: @riskreversalmediaTwitter: @RiskReversalLinkedIn: RiskReversal Media