In this episode, Robert compares today’s AI boom to past “productive bubbles” where speculation led to real progress and lasting innovation. He explains why AI’s growth is backed by earnings and infrastructure, not hype, and how investors can position for the next phase of this cycle. Plus, insights on managing gold positions during volatility, and why pullbacks in bull markets often create opportunity rather than risk.
Robert explains why investors are flocking to gold and Bitcoin as governments flood the system, creating what he calls the “debasement trade.” He connects today’s currency dilution to historical collapses in monetary confidence, and breaks down why this time is different, with stocks and hard assets rising together. Plus, insights on portfolio positioning, the rise of rare earth investing, and how disciplined risk management continues to pay off even amid market volatility.
In this episode, Robert draws powerful parallels between today’s AI boom and past technological revolutions to reveal where we really are in the cycle. He breaks down why the strongest bull markets are often the most hated, how sentiment and fundamentals are clashing in today’s market, and what that means for investors navigating record profits, high valuations, and constant bubble talk. Plus, how his disciplined options strategy has delivered 15 straight wins and why sometimes doing nothing is the smartest trade of all.
From Bell Labs to AI, this episode explores how innovation shifts from pure research to real revenue. Robert breaks down why this AI function could be the trillion-dollar driver of the next market cycle, and what that means for investors today. He looks at the buildout phase, the strain on energy infrastructure, and the opportunities (and risks) in names like $GOOGL, $RDDT, and $CRWV. Plus, why staying aligned with the primary trend beats chasing every dip.
Markets may be climbing, but many investors are still stuck in bearish thinking. In this week’s note, Robert explains how optimism has historically outperformed skepticism, why the “stimulus wave” is only just beginning, and what that means for stocks, small caps, and AI. He shares his framework for managing runaway winners like $OKLO, discusses how Fed rate cuts and yield curve control could fuel the next leg higher, and answers a member question about when to lock in gains. Plus, reflections on why pessimism may sound smart but rarely compounds wealth.
The AI boom is only just beginning and the biggest gains may still be ahead. In this week’s episode, Robert explains why Phase 2 of AI could unlock even greater earnings power than model training, why investors like Howard Marks are calling this bubble “early innings,” and what that means for markets. He also shares how he’s approaching stock selection with Stage Analysis, why chasing “falling knives” is a losing game, and answers a reader question about Waste Management. Plus, a candid reflection on the dangerous rise of political violence and why it poses a real risk to both free markets and free societies.
In this episode, Robert explores why resilience is the single most underrated quality in trading and investing. Drawing parallels from Stan Druckenmiller and George Soros to a famous baseball player, he explains being quick to move on can be just as important as finding winners. He then connects this mindset to today’s market setup covering the stimulus wave, technical trends, and the sectors showing strength as volatility creeps in. From gold miners and AI stocks to the surprising opportunity in financials, Robert shares where he’s putting his focus now. Plus, a listener question sparks a deep dive on Alphabet ($GOOGL), regulation, and why it still has long-term upside.
In this episode, Robert tackles the question on everyone’s mind: are U.S. tech stocks in a bubble? He unpacks why constant “bubble talk” misses the bigger picture, what history gets wrong about comparisons to the Dot-Com era, and how the rise of AI, liquidity cycles, and profit margins are changing the game. From Nvidia’s explosive growth to Palantir’s surge, he explains why valuations aren’t the whole story and why any true AI bubble could dwarf 2000. Plus, a listener question on his strategy behind closing 11 straight options trades for profit opening up a discussion about risk, strategy, and how to build consistency in volatile markets.
In this episode, Robert breaks down why some investors felt far more pain than others during the week’s market volatility and what that reveals about portfolio risk, beta, and balance. He explains how to think about high-growth names like Palantir and Robinhood alongside steadier compounders like Berkshire Hathaway and Visa, and why position sizing matters more than most investors realize. From crypto allocation to Fed policy shifts, he shares how he structures his own portfolio to outperform without getting blown up by drawdowns. Plus, a listener question on housing and interest rates sparks a conversation about what really drives mortgage costs.
In this episode, Robert connects today’s market setup to history, explaining how sentiment, fundamentals, and technicals are colliding in ways most investors miss. From the psychology driving bull markets to the forces shaping AI, Nvidia, and the broader economy, he unpacks what’s really moving stocks right now and why pessimism may not match reality. Plus, he answers a listener question that gets to the core of current market risks.
In this episode, Robert revisits one of Warren Buffett’s most famous investing ideas and asks what happens when the “wide economic moat” starts to shrink. He explores how once-unshakable giants can lose their edge, what separates a moat from a mirage, and why some advantages are built to last. From trash collection to social networks to the world’s most trusted cryptocurrency, he shares examples of moats that still hold strong and what makes them different. Plus, a listener question on his most controversial investing takes and why the market’s next phase could reward the patient and prepared.
In this episode, Robert draws a powerful parallel between today’s AI boom and a forgotten era of tech dominance. He explains why history doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. He breaks down the original “hyperscalers” of the dot-com era, the lessons they offer today’s giants, and the one key difference that could shape the next five years of growth. From infrastructure bottlenecks to energy constraints, he unpacks what’s driving today’s biggest tech bets and where smart capital is flowing now. Plus, a listener question on falling knives, technical trends, and why being “cheap” isn’t always a buy.
In this episode, Robert explores the two investor mindsets that quietly shape long-term performance and how one can cost you everything. He breaks down the traits that separate reaction from reflection, short-term thinking from durable conviction, and explains why your personal habits might be your portfolio’s biggest threat. From the psychology of FOMO to this cycle’s stimulus footprint, Robert shares how he’s positioning for the next 12 months and why the market might already be pricing in what comes after Powell. Plus, a listener question on booking fast profits, reading risk signals, and knowing when to take the gift.
In this episode, Robert unpacks what a Vegas hot streak can teach us about investing in a falling dollar and what happens when chips suddenly lose value. He breaks down the key drivers behind the recent market rally, explains why a short-term reversal in the dollar could cool things off, and shares how he’s navigating the current environment. From buy lists to breakout trades, he highlights the setups he’s watching now and how to stay nimble without losing sight of the bigger picture. Plus, a listener question on concentrated bets, portfolio conviction, and riding Palantir through the chaos.
In this episode, Robert makes the case for why being wrong isn’t a flaw in investing, it’s the job. He shares examples of Nobel laureates, hedge fund legends, and trillion-dollar CEOs who’ve all missed big calls, and explains why success in markets isn’t about perfection but something else entirely. From the psychology of bad trades to three bold calls he still believes in, including what's next for Bitcoin, Robert unpacks how to stay sharp without falling for perfectionism. Plus, a listener question on Buffett, Berkshire, and whether it’s time to rotate out of value.
In this episode, Robert covers the “disbelief rally” and explains why the loudest skeptics might be missing the bigger picture. He breaks down what’s really powering the market beneath the surface, how to spot the signals most investors overlook, and why this setup could lead to one of the strongest runs in years. From stimulus tailwinds to the psychology of missing out, he shares how he’s positioning now and why comparison is still the ultimate thief of joy. Plus, a listener question on missed opportunity regrets, and how to stay sharp during a bull market.
In this episode, Robert reflects on the trades that changed his life and the moments of doubt that nearly stopped him from making them. From Apple to Palantir, he unpacks the patterns behind his biggest wins and why the best ideas rarely feel obvious in the moment. He explains why conviction matters more than anything, and why one under-the-radar stock could offer asymmetric upside in today’s market. Plus, a listener question on stablecoins, Visa, and the future of digital payments.
In this episode, Robert unpacks a quiet force holding investors back and it's not market risk, but something else entirely. He explores how past losses shape future decisions in ways most don’t realize, and why fear, headlines, and mental narratives can do more damage to portfolios than volatility ever could. From investor PTSD to the dangers of shorting bull markets, he makes the case for rewriting your internal scripts and shares what to focus on as stimulus, liquidity, and momentum reshape the landscape. Plus, a listener question on Trump, tariffs, and how to recover after betting against the rally.
In this episode, Robert draws a striking comparison between today’s market conditions and a moment in history most investors have forgotten but shouldn’t. He explores why stocks can soar even when the world feels like it’s unraveling, and what this means for those navigating volatility, protests, geopolitical risk, and the rise of AI. From the role of liquidity cycles to retail psychology, he explains what really drives markets and what investors should watch for in the second half of the decade. Plus, he answers a listener question on the dollar, deficits, and whether the U.S. is headed for a true reckoning.
In this episode, Robert breaks down what might be the most important shift in U.S. economic policy in a generation and why it matters more than any political drama. From rising retail investor influence to signs of coordinated government stimulus, he unpacks the signals under the surface that explain the relentless bid in markets. Plus, he explains what this means for your portfolio and answers a listener question about how to navigate the Tesla pullback amid the Elon vs. Trump feud. If you’ve been watching yields, tax cuts, and retail flows with interest, you won’t want to miss this one.