Scaling Knowledge

Anton on Twitter: https://twitter.com/atroyn Moritz on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MoritzW42 Scaling Knowledge: https://scalingknowledge.substack.com Mentioned Resources Unlimiformer: Long-Range Transformers with Unlimited Length Input: arxiv.org/abs/2305.01625 Memorizing Transformers: arxiv.org/abs/2203.08913 Chroma: https://www.trychroma.com ⁠You and your Research⁠: https://www.cs.virginia.edu/~robins/YouAndYourResearch.html Against Method⁠: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Against_Method Contents: (00:00) Preview (01:14) Introduction (06:13) Edech (12:12) Airchips cost structure (24:06) Techno Optimism (25:09) Convenience vs Enabling Technology (31:13) Chroma and LLM Landscape (35:37) Minecraft Bot (37:05) Knowledge Retrieval (39:38) New Knowledge Retrieval Research and Techniques: (Direct Retrieval Augmentation of Transformers, Conditional Retrieval) (42:35) AI Native Platforms (45:43) Theorem Proving and Generation (49:40) Do LLMs Reason (52:18) Computational Complexity and LessWrong (53:58) Frameworks and Taking Your Work Seriously (55:53) Job Displacement and Jobs Supply vs Demand Side (58:29) The Printing Press

Twitter: Moritz (@moritzW42) Blog: https://scalingknowledge.substack.com ---- About Erik: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Erik_J._Larson Erik's book: https://www.amazon.com/Myth-Artificial-Intelligence-Computers-Think/dp/0674983513 Transcript: https://scalingknowledge.substack.com/i/135360356/transcript-rawapproximation ---- Content (00:00) Preview (01:33) Intro (06:55) Unpredictability of Invention (10:09) Limits of Deep learning progress (12:59) Abduction (16:45) Creativity and Serendipity (19:16) Neumann on Self Improving Machines (24:30) His upcoming book (26:40) Progress & Innovation decentralisation (28:21) Neurosymbolic AI (30:29) AI research progress (33:16) Automation, Displament, and Alienation (34:58) Outro

Created with wondercraft.ai (get 50% off with SCALINGKNOWLEDGE50) Keith Rabois Twitter: twitter.com/rabois Wikipedia: wikipedia.org/wiki/Keith_Rabois Mo Golshan OG written content version Mo's twitter: twitter.com/mogolshan Mentioned links: Interview with John Sculley on Apple and Steve Jobs: John Sculley On Steve Jobs, The Full Interview Transcript | Cult of Mac Read The Cognitive Style of PowerPoint by Edward Tufte: http://www.edwardtufte.com/tufte/powerpoint Achieving Business Success One Person at a Time* by Peter Engel: The Exceptional Individual: Achieving Business Success One Person at a Time by Engel, Peter Advisory board: Should Your Startup Have an Advisory Board? | by Mark Suster | Both Sides of the Table Essay on hiring great PMs: How to Hire a Product Manager: the Classic Essay by Ken Norton What is more important for a start-up: quality of team or size of market? pmarca archive.posterous.com/the pmarca guide to startups part 4 How to Raise money before launch? How to raise money before launch. by Delian Asparouhov Should a student finish college or go work for a startup if given the chance to work for a YC, TechStars alumni? A Student's Guide to Startups Content: (00:00): Intro (01:00): Navigating the Ambitious Problem-Solving Journey: From Start to Success (28:34): Navigating Startup Operations: From Team Building to Executive Hiring (28:58): "Lessons on Assembling Your Founding Team: Complimentary Co-founders, Cult Creation, and Problem Solving" (01:41:31): "Exploring Venture: Lessons on Assembling Founders, Succeeding in Early Stage Investing, and Venture Capital" (01:41:53): "Assessing Extraordinary Founders: Traits, Strategies, and Unconventional Qualities" (02:34:31): "Productivity and Life Advice: Strategies for Success in Venture and Beyond" (02:34:50): Contrarian Thinking and Managing Time: Lessons for Success (03:06:20): Outro

We discuss qualitative and quantitative moats, midwits, altruism, egalitarianism, regulation, obstructionism and more. Twitter Brian (@psychosort) Moritz (@moritzW42) Blogs Brian: From the New World Moritz: Scaling Knowledge Content: (00:00) Brian's background (03:20) On writing (07:05) AI doomers: steel man and critique (14:05) Job displacement (19:20) Signaling jobs (28:20) Future economics of art (31:10) Qualitative v. quantitative moats (Google doc leak) (37:00) Midwits and conformity selection (40:00) How to fix Midwits phenomenon (Civil service reforms) (42:00) Why the free market selects against the free market (46:00) Problems with regulators (FDA and co.) (52:00) The root of Altruism (55:00) Origin of envy (55:25) Conspiracy theories and egalitarianism (1:00:00) Egalitarian murders (1:06:45) Polarization and obstructionism (1:09:05) Obstructionism and regulation (1:10:25) Issue polarization, affective polarization, and partisanship (1:12:00) Education system and the Freddie deBoer case

Part 1: Naval and others on Product Design, Smart Glasses, the AI Industry, 10x Designers, and more. A collection of conversations from ⁠Airchat⁠ Find Scaling Knowledge on ⁠other platforms⁠ Full transcript Content (00:00) Intro (00:58) Amazon Gentrification (02:01) Freedom (04:22) Innovation (05:25) Consensus (07:00) Numeracy Skills (08:19) Mastery and Creativity Intersection (09:20) Fun (10:41) Curiosity (13:48) Nassim Taleb and Deutsch (18:20) Identity and Epistemology (23:20) Evolution of Truth (24:06) Naval on organized religion (26:42) Curiosity (26:42) Zone of Genius (29:53) The great Scientists (33:00) Nature vs. Nurture (40:09) Outro

Part 2: Naval and others on Freedom, Consensus, Zone of Genius, Identity, and the Evolution of Truth [Airchat Part 2] A collection of conversations from Airchat. Find Scaling Knowledge on other platforms. Scaling Knowledge blog. Full transcript here. Content (00:00) Intro (00:56) Simplicity (05:34) Design feeling natural (06:46) Smart Glasses (14:00) AirPods (16:06) Humane (hu.ma.ne) (24:10) Conversational Dunbar number (25:10) AI Industry and platforms (29:04) Disrupting Ebay (34:00) 10x Engineers/Designers (40:59) Outro People Naval Twitter Airchat Brian Twitter AirChat Kumar Twitter AirChat Keith AirChat Tom Twitter AirChat Moritz Twitter AirChat Kyle Barber Patryush Sing Raghav Gulati Petri Kajander Some AirChat Links Conversational Dunbar number product design simplicity (Naval) product design simplicityu (Brian) natural design

The Knowledge Illusion: Why We Never Think Alone: https://www.amazon.com/Knowledge-Illusion-Never-Think-Alone/dp/0399184368 Stevens Bio: https://vivo.brown.edu/display/ssloman Steven on Google Scholar: https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=YL5RTcUAAAAJ Follow Moritz on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MoritzW42

I had fun chatting with my friend Logan Chipkin about various topics and misconceptions related to the growth of knowledge and wealth including:  Austrian Economics and Critical Rationalism Black Box View of Government Economic Creationism Time Imperialists Why Equality is undesirable Moralizing Anarcho Capitalism Austrian Economics Subscribe to Scaling Knowledge: https://scalingknowledge.substack.com Follow Logan on Twitter: https://twitter.com/ChipkinLogan Follow Moritz on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MoritzW42

Follow Kenneth on Twitter: https://twitter.com/kenneth0stanley and check out his website! Subscribe to Scaling Knowledge: https://scalingknowledge.substack.com Follow James on Twitter: https://twitter.com/experilearning Follow Moritz on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MoritzW42 0:00 - Intro  1:02 - Why are objectives flawed? What does it mean for the education system?  14:48 - What feedback have you gotten from students/parents/teachers/administrators?  21:37 - How can students implement non-objective driven search book while in school?  31:21 - What is the role of curiosity in non-objective driven search?  39:55 - Is our nose for the interesting innate? Is it fixed ability, or can it improve/get worse over time? Does the education system worsen it?  49:25 - How does novelty search accumulate complexity?  59:36 - Can following your interests just cause you to spin your wheels, not making any significant progress? What is the risk-reward tradeoff in novelty search 1:11:27 - Startups and non-objective search.  1:19:40 - Homeschooling - balancing non-objective driven learning with objective-driven learning.  1:28:11 - Knowledge accumulation in society and open-endedness.  1:35:11 - Creating networks/communities to facilitate open-ended search in education and beyond.  1:48:51 - How to adapt to the mindset of non-objective search and taking risks?  1:55:15 - Would privatization of the education system help? How can we measure whether an open-ended system is making progress?  2:04:37 - Minimum criteria and open-ended systems. Observing rather than measuring open-ended systems.  2:09:16 - Closing comments

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