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Signal or Noise?
Signal or Noise?
Author: Charlie Bilello, Peter Mallouk, Creative Planning
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© 2023
Description
Which financial headlines are signals of something bigger, and which are just noise you should tune out? Creative Planning Chief Market Strategist Charlie Bilello and President & CEO Peter Mallouk break down what's happening in the markets and economy and let you know which headlines you should actually be paying attention to. Come for the approachable analysis and entertaining conversation. Stay for the sharp insights. Become a more informed investor.
65 Episodes
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After hearing many stories from clients this year about how Creative Planning helped them navigate the loss of their parent or spouse, Charlie and Peter share seven actions that can help create financial peace of mind for you and your loved ones.
From why you shouldn’t fear all-time market highs to the reason we diversify, Charlie and Peter discuss seven important lessons from 2025. Plus, a good reminder that time is worth more than money.
In this episode, Charlie and Peter examine why consumer sentiment is so low even with stocks at all-time highs — it’s a gap unlike anything we’ve seen before. Is this low consumer sentiment a signal or just noise?
In this episode, Charlie and Peter examine whether we’re in an AI bubble, discussing how a speculative bubble is defined, the warning signs of a bubble, the possibility that this is actually an AI revolution, and what investors should do.
Covering topics spanning the power of compounding to why you shouldn’t bet against America, Charlie and Peter examine 10 charts illustrating important investment principles all investors should understand.
From how a credit card works to how to add value to any organization, Charlie and Peter discuss five important things to teach your children before they turn 18. Plus, the government shutdown: is it a signal or just noise?
With a record $7.7 trillion sitting in money market accounts, Charlie and Peter discuss the opportunity cost of sitting in cash, the odds that waiting for a market correction will allow you to buy in at a better price and other considerations for investing your own cash on the sidelines. Plus, see how investing at the “worst” time every year, historically, would have performed compared to sitting in cash.
After a year of pressure to cut rates, the Fed seems poised to lower rates by 0.25%-0.50% next week. Peter and Charlie discuss the logic behind this imminent rate cut as well as the likelihood of a recession and the biggest risk for investors. Plus, is rising unemployment from a cycle low a signal or just noise?
With home prices far outpacing wages over the last decade, Charlie and Peter discuss the record housing affordability gap and its wide-ranging implications before turning to potential solutions and the barriers that may prevent or postpone implementing them. Plus, discover where you can see Peter and Charlie at an upcoming CONNECT25 event.
With investors seeing another all time high in the market, many are left wondering what’s next and how long this can last. Charlie and Peter share their analysis, plus discuss earnings, the tech revolution, strong international markets and the low unemployment rate. They wrap up with a reminder to not get too comfortable and provide five investor takeaways to help you remain prepared.
Charlie and Peter dive into the triumph created from long-term investing, including why it’s better to be an owner than a lender and the importance of global diversification. Together they offer insights into the behavior of investors, the cost of pessimism, and economic indicators that influence your portfolio. Plus, the continued growth of AI and new all-time highs.
Charlie and Peter shake things up by pressing pause on their usual market commentary to instead discuss 10 important life lessons from Peter Mallouk. Plus, discover how you can see Peter and Charlie live by attending a CONNECT25 event near you.
Charlie and Peter are joined by noted Wall Street Journal columnist and Creative Planning Director of Education Jonathan Clements to discuss 10 valuable lessons handpicked from his many contributions to the world of personal finance. Plus, learn how you can contribute to Jonathan's charitable Getting Going on Savings Initiative while furthering your own financial education.
On this episode, Charlie and Peter examine how the bill recently passed by the Housecould further impact the national deficit and why addressing spending patterns is crucialfor long-term fiscal health.
With Warren Buffet announcing he’ll be stepping down as the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway at the end of this year, Charlie and Peter discuss seven new lessons we can glean from his legacy. Plus, we’ve seen one of the most significant market rebounds in history since the bear market low in April. Is it a signal or just noise?
With much debate still surrounding whether we’re heading into a recession, Charlie and Peter give their thoughts and share five tips for investing in the face of an economic downturn. Plus, is the international stock surge a signal or just noise?
Tariffs may grab headlines, but what’s the real story for investors? In this episode, Charlie and Peter cut through the noise to dive into the ripple effects of trade tensions on the markets — what investors should watch in both the short and long run. Plus, they discuss the recent slide in the U.S. dollar index and what it could mean for your portfolio.
Amid this week's tariff-induced market volatility, Peter and Charlie share their bear market playbook for long-term investors, addressing market timing, tax-loss harvesting and rebalancing opportunities.
As markets respond to the administration’s sweeping tariff announcements, Peter and Charlie break down the details. Their discussion covers the basics of how tariffs work, the realities of implementing widespread tariffs, whether tariffs can effectively bring jobs back to the U.S., and potential economic outcomes.
As we endure the 30th market pullback of more than 5% since the March 2009 low, Charlie and Peter take this opportunity to discuss the ins and outs of market corrections and provide you with a checklist of five things to think about each time the market experiences a correction.



