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Staturdays

Staturdays
Author: staturdays
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Description
College Football stats and analytics for the common fan.
Kyle and Drew Bennison host Wednesdays, with weekly team ratings, betting predictions, and analysis.
- Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
- Follow us on Twitter @staturdays
- Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest articles straight to your inbox
- Read the latest articles on College Football Analytics at staturdays.com
57 Episodes
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We wrap up a 2020 College Football season like no other, discuss the National Championship game where Alabama defeated Ohio State, recap our favorite games and moments from this season, and finish off with our final Elo Rankings of the year.
Alabama defeats Ohio State in the National Championship (2:55-8:51)
2020 Season Highlights and Our Top 3 Games (8:52-15:42)
Evaluating Elo in 2020 (15:43-21:05)
Where Alabama ranks historically (21:06-29:33)
Final Elo Rankings (29:35-31:16)
Offseason Plans (32:30-34:50)
Fill out our podcast survey (34:50-35:42)
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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Read the latest articles on College Football Analytics
Learn more about the advanced stats we talk about on the show with College Football Stats Explained
And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E26 - January 13th, 2021 - 2020 Week 19 - Conclusion of 2020 CFB Season
In our final preview show of the 2020 College Football season, we pick the National Championship game, plus recap the CFP semifinal games and react to the Heisman winner, DeVonta Smith.
DeVonta Smith wins the 2020 Heisman Trophy Award (1:20-7:30)
Alabama defeats Notre Dame fairly easily (7:30-11:57)
Ohio State shocks Clemson with an impressive performance (11:58-20:20)
National Championship Preview, EPA, Success Rate, Elo Ratings, and Picks (20:21-32:58)
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E25 - January 6th, 2021 - 2020 Week 18 - CFB Playoff National Championship
Our first live show on Twitter brings bowl-season picks using Elo ratings, Expected Points Added, and success rates. Hear our thoughts on all the New Year's Six bowl games, including the two College Football Playoff Semifinals.
Liberty's kneeling struggles vs. Coastal Carolina (1:50-7:49)
Alabama-Notre Dame (8:15-17:16)
Clemson-Ohio State (17:20-23:30)
Florida-Oklahoma (23:35-27:22)
Georgia-Cincinnati (27:23-31:49)
Auburn-Northwestern (31:50-35:37)
Texas A&M-UNC (35:38-38:18)
Elo Picks (38:19-41:30)
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E24 - December 30th, 2020 - 2020 Week 17 - CFB Playoff Semifinal and Bowl Games
Happy Holidays from the Staturdays crew! We recap the conference championship weekend, our new Heisman prediction model, and our thoughts on the CFB Playoff selection and how it compared to Elo.
Thank you to all our listeners (00:00-3:50)
Clemson-Notre Dame Round 2 (4:58-11:38)
Florida-Alabama SEC Championship (16:38-27:10)
College Football Playoff final rankings and selections (27:10-43:05)
Heisman Prediction Model and who our 2020 winner is (43:05-1:01:36)
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S3E23 - December 23rd, 2020 - 2020 Week 16 - Conference Championship Week
Florida fall a foot short of victory and Kyle Trask is no longer a shoe-in for the Heisman.
LSU-Florida and the shoe-toss (3:40-10:45)
USC-UCLA (10:45-17:07)
Penn State on a three-game win streak (17:08-22:26)
Heisman Odds Updated (22:28-31:15)
College Football Playoff Rankings (32:05-42:06)
Conference Championships Preview (42:18-58:08)
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E22 - December 16th, 2020 - 2020 Week 15
The biggest game of the year in the Big Ten is cancelled and the #4 team in the CFB Playoff rankings has been disqualified from competing in the Big Ten Championship game.
Michigan–Ohio State is Cancelled (2:24-14:42)
Should the CFP open up to more conference champs this year? (15:00-17:05)
CFB Playoff Rankings and Thoughts (17:06-20:08)
BYU–Coastal Carolina Recap (20:09-26:00)
Penn State–Rutgers (26:01-29:02)
Clemson–Virginia Tech (29:02-31:20)
Kyle recounts his College Gameday virtual fan experience (31:29-37:11)
Week 15 Preview (37:12-47:45)
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E21 - December 9th, 2020 - 2020 Week 14
Kyle Trask and Mac Jones are the favorites to win this year's Heisman, but Kyle thinks the 'Bama QB isn't getting enough love. We discuss why an extra week of rest and game prep may not be that helpful, and pick Week 14 games.
Penn State are 1-0 (this week) (1:31)
Other Notable Week 13 Results (10:04)
How do teams play after a bye-week? (13:30)
Updated CFP Rankings (29:55)
Heisman Stats (39:50)
Week 14 Picks (48:20)
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E20 - December 2nd, 2020 - 2020 Week 13
We give our immediate reaction to the first round of College Football Playoff rankings from the committee, talk about Air Yards and the results from Drew charting the Iowa-Penn State game, and pick Week 13 games.
2:05 - College Football Playoff Committee initial rankings
11:42 - Week 12 Recap
22:10 - Passing Charts and Air Yards from the Iowa-Penn State game (Drew's article)
44:49 - Week 13 Preview
45:28 - Penn State vs. Michigan
53:43 - Auburn vs. Alabama
57:45 - Notre Dame vs. UNC
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E19 - November 25th, 2020 - 2020 Week 12
Indiana and Northwestern are 4-0. That's all you need to know about how 2020 is going. We discuss the chaos in the Big Ten, diagnose why Elo struggles against Vegas, and preview some Top 25 matchups.
2:54 - Should Will Levis start over Sean Clifford for PSU?
9:09 - Playoff Picture and potential conference championship matchups
11:40 - Elo and Betting
28:00 - Week 12 Preview
31:40 - #9 Indiana at #3 Ohio State
37:00 - #10 Wisconsin at #19 Northwestern
42:50 - #14 Oklahoma St. at #18 Oklahoma
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E18 - November 18th, 2020 - 2020 Week 11
We recap a crazy Clemson-Notre Dame game, talk about the big-win hangover, and discuss Penn State's current issues.
2:20 - Clemson-ND and Ian Book's boring name
5:40 - Season sim and rest of the season outlook
10:12 - Penn State
13:20 - Is James Franklin subscribing to the Ted Lasso coaching philosophy?
18:17 - Our mother is harassing Penn State fans
19:10 - Playing football amongst 2020 distractions
25:50 - How to evaluate conference strength without head-to-head
34:17 - Does the hangover effect exist (preread)
52:30 - Week 11 Picks
53:27 - Miami - VT
58:05 - Wake Forest - UNC
58:38 - Ohio State - Maryland
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E17 - November 11th, 2020 - 2020 Week 10
Ohio State's path to the Big Ten Championship looks smooth from here-on-out, we recap the OSU-Penn State game, talk about Notre Dame's chances against Clemson with a backup QB, and pick the Florida-Georgia game.
00:21 - Wisconsin misses a second-straight weekend due to COVID
4:00 - Ohio State vs. Penn State recap and advanced stats
10:25 - Michigan St. Upsets Michigan in a toss-up game
17:40 - Are the Big-12 out of CFP discussion?
26:59 - Week 10 Preview
27:05 - Florida vs. Georgia
30:58 - Clemson vs. Notre Dame
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S3E16 - November 4th, 2020 - 2020 Week 9
We go through Bill Connelly's article on the value of key plays, the statistical difference between great and elite teams, and how it all relates to EPA (preread here).
PLUS, Kyle tries to defend Sean Clifford, we recap the first week of Big Ten Football, and preview Week 9 including the game formerly known as the WHITE OUT.
2:14 - Bill Connelly's article
5:50 - Success Rate recap
7:42 - Penn State vs. Indiana Recap
11:09 - Noah Cain out for PSU
11:37 - Positive Takeaways from the game
17:34 - Are Devyn Ford and Todd Gurley related?
18:14 - Michigan's Joe Milton plus other Week 8 games
18:50 - Wisconsin's QB room is decimated
28:06 - What the heck is Elo?
33:15 - How does Devyn Ford compare to last year's backs?
37:03 - Ohio State vs. Penn State picks
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E15 - October 28th, 2020 - 2020 Week 8
The Big Ten is BACK this weekend. We share the Big Ten preseason Elo ratings, discuss what losing Journey Brown means for PSU, and predict the East and West division winners, plus the conference champion.
1:55 - Journey Brown might be out for Penn State
3:40 - Big Ten Elo Ratings
4:05 - Big Ten season simulation results
6:57 - East, West, and Big Ten Conference Champions
9:51 - Penn State @ Indiana pick
11:10 - #18 Michigan @ #21 Minnesota
13:30 - Week 7 Recap
13:45 - Florida St. knocks off #5 UNC and our bet pays off
15:32 - ‘Bama handles Georgia, but questionable on defense
18:25 - Syracuse disappoints and Elo betting update
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E14 - October 21st, 2020 - 2020 Week 7
We interview Michigan Math and Physics undergrad and college football analytics writer Conor McQuiston.
2:30 - How Conor got into College Football analytics
3:30 - Predicted Drive Points
9:08 - What factors are most important to predicting drive points
17:01 - Michigan Football Analytics Society
20:55 - The 2020 NFL Big Data Bowl
26:45 - Post-Game Win Probability
28:09 - What goes into the stat
29:06 - Kansas St. were lucky to beat Oklahoma
30:11 - Success Rate and Total EPA (TEPA)
37:00 - Conor’s Michigan season outlook
42:42 - Michigan vs. Minnesota
44:12 - Our Penn State Outlook
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E14 - October 21st, 2020 - 2020 Week 7
ESPN's FPI rankings are out and we explain what the heck they even mean. Plus, we discuss the ideal time for a college football game to kickoff, talk Week 6 results and pick the Week 7 Top 3 matchup between Georgia and Alabama.
1:42 - Should the Big Ten bother playing any games?
2:18 - Drew's first random COVID screening is more complicated than I expected
5:45 - When is the ideal kickoff time in CFB?
9:01 - ESPN FPI Rankings and Explanation
16:57 - Biggest Elo Movers
20:15 - Kyle struggles to explain a meme
21:05 - Elo Betting Update
23:19 - The Air Raid requires a competent QB to succeed
24:46 - Miami can't handle Clemson
28:20 - VT loses to UNC, plus advanced stats from UNC courtesy of @statsowar's cfb-graphs.com
32:38 - LSU's rating drops like a rock
36:08 - This is the worst Kyle's seen the 'Bama defense, and we love the surprise onside kick
40:50 - Week 7 Pick: Georgia vs. 'Bama
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E13 - October 14th, 2020 - 2020 Week 6
Welcome to the Staturdays Podcast! This is your go-to resource for weekly college football stats and analytics for the common fan. We break down the weekly games, make CFB Playoff predictions, give betting advice, and make it simple and fun to understand the stats behind our favorite sport and our favorite day of the week. Give our latest episode a listen and let us know what you think by tweeting us @Staturdays. Thanks for stopping by! Let's get started.
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
We dive into the analytics of the decision-making process when deciding to go for the 2-point conversion vs. kicking the extra point. Spoiler alert: you should probably go for two, like, every time...
1:22 - Acrylic Pour Painting and Pumpkin Carving: We're getting all our fall stuff out of the way before the Big Ten season returns
7:59 - The math behind going for two, and the factors that influence that decision in CFB and the NFL
9:40 - Kyle is fed up with shotgun run plays on 4th and 1.
11:35 - Easy expected value explanation
24:29 - Week 5 Recap
30:05 - Will the Big 12 get anyone in the CFB Playoff?
33:32 - A rough week, but the Staturdays Special shines
40:05 - Week 6 Picks (VT @ UNC, TENN @ UGA, MIA @ CLEM)
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And as always, please rate 5 stars, subscribe, and share with friends! Thank you!
S3E12 - October 7th, 2020 - Week 6
The SEC returns in a big way, the air raid is here to stay, the Pac-12 is back, and we had a historic weekend for upsets.
0:08 - We run through the slate of crazy games from this past weekend
6:38 - LSU and Oklahoma both go down
10:30 - How will the Air Raid last in the SEC
16:35 - Texas's chances to win the Big 12 just went up
19:39 - Top 25 Rankings Reaction
24:31 - The Pac-12 will play 7 games
26:36 - Kyle's new betting strategy
35:11 - Week 5 Picks
Join the conversation on Facebook Live Tuesday nights at 8 PM
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S3E11 - September 30th, 2020 - Week 5
Stay positive, test negative everyone. This is not a drill. The Big Ten is back for real this time.
1:32 - Big Ten Football is coming back
3:37 - How many games do they need to play to earn a CFB Playoff bid?
11:01 - How many games will we realistically see from the Big Ten?
17:25 - Why did our preseason COVID predictions go so wrong?
24:45 - The ACC needs to do a better job
27:54 - Week 3 Recap
30:40 - Week 4 Preview and Picks
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S3E10 - September 23rd, 2020 - Week 4
College Gameday is back on the road and Lee has what looks to be a large gathering at his house.
2:12 - The Demon Deacon Cooks Lee Corso Breakfast
5:07 - Week 2 Recap
8:33 - Biggest Elo Movers from Week 2
11:12 - Biggest Plays of the Week by EPA
15:18 - UNC Covers Syracuse Last Minute
19:50 - Staturdays Bets Hit
22:18 - Our Miami - Louisville Pick
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S3E9 - September 16th, 2020 - Week 3