Talking Property Development with John Kenel

Final Property Development Club podcast for 2025! Andrew Crosby joins me to wrap up the year and look ahead to what's coming.   We dive deep into the government's new development levies system - how it'll replace development contributions and what it means for developers. Plus, economist Cameron Bagrie's bombshell claim that we're actually overbuilding in New Zealand right now (34,000 consents vs 20,000 homes needed).   Andrew shares his LinkedIn poll results, we cover contractor availability, the two-tier market, and why some suburbs are up 10%+ while townhouses struggle.   Also: Goldman Sachs predicting gold at $5,000, rates caps for councils, and why everything might actually get fixed in 2026.

I've been investing in property since 1997 and developing since the early 2000s. I've seen every boom and bust. Here's my take on where house prices are heading in 2026.   I break down the three key drivers: interest rates, immigration, and confidence, plus what could derail things.   Learn the 17-step development process in 42 short videos with The Property Development Club: https://thepropertydevelopmentclub.com

People joke Gen Z will own nothing and be happy. They won’t be happy. If we keep tilting rules toward big corporate landlords, ownership concentrates and everyone else rents.   I’ve built more than 1,000 homes in NZ. Most were made possible by private investors backing real projects. That’s how we actually add supply.   In this video: why private landlords matter, what build-to-rent does and doesn’t solve, how student debt and low wages delay deposits, and what policies and practical steps would put Gen Z back on the ownership path.   Learn the 17-step development process in 42 short videos with The Property Development Club: https://thepropertydevelopmentclub.com

Queenstown’s on a different planet: $30m sales, talk of $100m builds, and a wave of $5m+ buyers.   Meanwhile in Auckland you can still find new townhouses around $599k. First-home buyers are 27% of the market. The NZD sits near 0.56 USD, 0.86 AUD, 0.45 CHF. Consents are up, concrete pours are still down. And Auckland’s MDRS flip has blindsided projects.   We cover Queenstown’s ultra-lux market, FHB momentum, investor sentiment, rents easing 3% to $628, Waikato vs Waipa prices, and whether apartments and leasehold stack up. Plus the council red tape that kills confidence.   Learn the 17-step development process in 42 short videos with The Property Development Club: https://thepropertydevelopmentclub.com   Education only, not financial advice. #johnkenel #assuredproperty

If Labour’s CGT lands, rental supply falls, rents rise, and redevelopment grinds to a halt, here’s what to do. John Kenel’s take on Labour’s proposed Capital Gains Tax. No fluff. Practical consequences for landlords, developers and investors. What I cover: • Why Treasury modelling points to roughly a 5% immediate rent rise. • How targeting property only will shrink rental supply and clog redevelopment. • Small business and home-office carveouts that may be lost. • Why local trades and councils lose out when capital leaves for offshore shares. • Practical steps: re-run feasibilities, check ownership, consider timing and restructuring. Learn more at thepropertydevelopmentclub.com. Subscribe for developer-grade insights, not fluff. #johnkenel #assuredproperty #capitalgainstax #propertydevelopment #nzproperty #housing #developers

Builders, investors, and council-watchers: Hon. Tama Potaka, associate Minister for Housing joins John Kenel to tackle housing bottlenecks, consents, infrastructure funding, council (in)efficiency, emergency housing, and the granny-flats policy. They also unpack GST sharing ideas, water entities, and why certainty matters for development. Education only, not financial advice.

Is New Zealand really a safe haven for anxious millionaires—or just political window dressing? In this wide-ranging chat, John Kenel (21 years, 1,000+ homes built) and Darcy dig into: • NZ’s “Active Investor Plus” $5m visa, why demand may be limited, and a fairness take on foreign-buyer levies • Cost-of-living angle: using a levy to fund GST-off-food • Immigration settings vs “tax the rich” politics, and Australia’s Division 296 super tax • What “rich” even means now (and why $2–3m is just middle class housing) • De-globalisation and tariffs, then AI as a deflation engine for small business • Gold + Bitcoin as “sound money” and a hedge against money printing Chapters 00:00 Intro 01:18 NZ as a safe haven, $5m visa, foreign-buyer levy, GST on food 12:23 Immigration settings, Division 296, “what is rich?” 24:21 Tariffs & de-globalisation → AI deflation → Gold & Bitcoin 38:39 Where to find John + course If you’re building, investing, or just trying to protect your savings, this one’s for you. Follow John on TikTok, YouTube, LinkedIn, Instagram  @johnkenel Check out John’s Property Development Club course to learn step-by-step residential development. Disclaimer: This conversation is for education only and is not financial advice.

In this mini podcast episode — just 5 minutes — I chat through what’s really going on in the market right now and why I reckon this could be the perfect time for property developers to get moving. We’ll look at what’s shifting, what it means, and how smart developers can make the most of it. I’ll share a few strategies, a couple of things to watch out for, and hopefully give you a bit of clarity if you’re thinking about your next move. Whether you’ve done a few projects or you’re just starting to look into development, there’s something in here for you.

If you own a modest home, you're now in the firing line. This video exposes why the lefts “Tax the Rich” spin is setting Kiwis against each other while the ultra-wealthy keep buying up more assets.   For more Property, Economics and Political commentary Watch more of my videos on Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@JohnKenel   💡 Want to get ahead financially? Check out my free ‘Build It Up’ series on YouTube — a no-fluff financial literacy series for Kiwis who want to build real wealth over time. 👉 Watch now: https://youtu.be/g4wvLtxV7wU?si=A0MiIfYMvczqjq82    #johnkenel #assuredproperty #propertyinvestment #developmentstrategy #nzhousing #wealthcreation #nzinvestors #taxtherich #wealthtaxes

If you're feeling stuck, uncertain, or just plain frustrated with where the property market’s heading — this episode will shake you awake. In this action-packed episode of The Property Development Club Podcast, John and Andrew dive deep into: Whether house prices are actually affordable or it’s all smoke and mirrors Why youth unemployment is sitting at a shocking 18% in Auckland The rise of robots like "Flippy" and what it means for young workers The return of investors and where they're quietly buying John Key's call to slash rates by 100 basis points — and why John agrees Council rates, rising power prices, and why inflation is out of your control Bitcoin vs Property: Would you sell your family home for crypto? Why NZ must attract global wealth instead of pushing it away What’s holding back construction — and what could get it moving again It’s blunt, insightful, and full of sharp takes you won’t hear anywhere else. Whether you're a first-home buyer, investor, or just watching from the sidelines — this episode is your cheat sheet for what’s really going on. Watch the full podcast video on my YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@JohnKenel 👉 Ready to learn property development from someone who’s built over 1,000 homes? Visit www.thepropertydevelopmentclub.com for access to John's 17-step course and start today.    

Global politics aren’t just headlines—they’re shaping the cost of living, the price of oil, and even what your house is worth. In this episode, I connect the dots between wars in Europe, US debt and politics, and why oil could hit $150 a barrel. You’ll learn how these global forces flow through to New Zealand—driving building costs, inflation, rents, and ultimately the value of your property. I’ll also share thoughts on gold, shares, and where opportunities might lie in an uncertain world. This is not financial advice—everyone’s situation is different, so please speak to a professional financial adviser before making any investment decisions.

NZ Property 2025: Rising Costs, Stalled Growth… But the Smart Move is Starting Now while headlines focus on falling prices and oversupply, because the real shift is already underway. In this video, John Kenel and Andrew Crosby expose the truth about NZ property development in 2025 — rising infrastructure costs, council dysfunction, rental pressure, and why this could be the most important buying window we’ve seen in years. This isn’t hype — it’s pattern recognition. And those who get ahead now will be positioned for the next wave. 🏗️ What You’ll Learn: • Why development costs are rising even as build prices ease • The 64% spike in fibre + power connection fees — and what it signals • Why rental stock is stacking up (and what to do if you're an investor) • Tourism, migration, and why NZ is still “undervalued” globally • OCR forecast impact — and why the recovery may be closer than you think • Why now is the time to landbank, renovate, or negotiate distressed stock • The coming risks of vilifying landlords & the future of build-to-rent 🔥 For Developers, Builders & Investors Who Actually Want to Get Ahead This isn’t for spectators. If you’re serious about building wealth in this market — now’s the time to move while everyone else is sitting still. 👉 Subscribe for real talk on: • NZ housing cycle shifts • OCR & rate forecast breakdowns • On-the-ground developer insights • Property investment strategy that works in 2025 🔔 Tap Subscribe and turn on notifications — no fluff, no sales pitch, just sharp strategy. 🛠️ NZ property is shifting under the surface. Are you watching… or waiting?   #johnkenel #assuredproperty #NZProperty2025 #RealEstateNZ #PropertyInvestmentNZ #CouncilCosts #BuildToRent #Landbanking #OCRForecast #HousingMarketNZ #PropertyStrategy #InvestSmartNZ #InfrastructureCrisis #MarketCycleNZ

On this episode of The Building Pulse Podcast, host Tim Haycock  sits down with seasoned developer John Kenel to explore one of the biggest questions in the housing market today: Is innovation still possible—or even necessary—to keep developments moving in New Zealand? With over 1,000 homes built and 20+ years navigating the trenches of property development, John shares what’s changed, what’s broken, and why navigating red tape has become a developer’s biggest risk. In Part 1, they cover: How New Zealand’s consenting process has evolved—and not always for the better The disconnect between local councils and central government The cultural shift in how Kiwis see landlords and developers Why innovation might not be optional anymore Whether you’re in development, investing, or just trying to make sense of the housing crisis—this episode brings the perspective of someone who’s seen the full cycle, and still believes New Zealand can build its way forward. 👉 Stay tuned for Part 2—where John dives deeper into solutions, strategies, and what it’ll take to fix the system.

This week I cover everything from Trump’s tariff chaos to the Reserve Bank’s drip-feed rate cuts—and why both are killing confidence. I break down what’s really happening in the NZ housing market, with the latest stats from REINZ, and share my take on the government's granny flat policy. Sounds good on paper… but is it another regulation trap? Plus, I give a behind-the-scenes update on my Moore Street project, explain why I’ve stopped developing in Hamilton, and preview my live appearance on Radio New Zealand tomorrow at 9am. If you care about housing, development, or just want the straight talk—this episode’s for you.

In this video, John Kenel breaks down the current state of the New Zealand property market and economy. With inflation still running hot and rents rising, he explains why staying invested in appreciating assets like real estate is more important than ever. Learn what’s changed since 2021, how affordability has quietly improved, and why “getting rich slowly” still works—if you know what to do.

In this episode of The Property Development Club Podcast, hosts John Kenel and Andrew Crosby sit down with Johnny Gordon of Iconic Construction to explore the groundbreaking world of 3D printing in construction. Together, they dive into how this innovative approach is transforming the housing market in New Zealand and beyond. From the efficiency and cost savings of 3D printed homes to the challenges of adapting to evolving market trends and regulatory environments, this episode sheds light on the future of sustainable and innovative building practices. Key discussion points include: The state of the current housing market and mortgage rates. How 3D printing accelerates construction while reducing waste. The role of unique designs and architectural collaboration in 3D printed concrete homes. The importance of sustainability in modern construction practices. Challenges in bringing 3D printing mainstream in New Zealand. If you’re interested in property development, market insights, and cutting-edge construction technologies, this is an episode you won’t want to miss. 3D printing, construction, housing market, property development, innovative building, Iconic Construction, Johnny Gordon, market trends, mortgage rates, sustainable building   If you'd like to learn how to become a property developer, or learn how to be a better, more profitable developer then check out my course https://thepropertydevelopmentclub.com/ Thanks for listening. John Kenel

In this compelling episode of the Property Development Club, hosts John Kenel and Andrew Crosby sit down with Shane Brealey, Managing Director of Simplicity Living, one of New Zealand's leading Build-to-Rent developers. With decades of experience and a clear vision for the future, Shane brings a wealth of knowledge on New Zealand’s property challenges, the Build-to-Rent (BTR) movement, and the impact of government policies on development. Shane shares insider insights on how Simplicity Living is reshaping the rental market with quality, long-term rental solutions and dives deep into the potential of BTR to address housing shortages. From market predictions to the urgent need for smarter building practices, this episode is packed with practical advice and bold reflections on the future of New Zealand housing. Whether you're an investor, a developer, or just curious about property trends, this episode offers a unique perspective on how BTR could transform New Zealand's housing market. Join us and discover the opportunities and challenges facing today's property sector!

Want to avoid the most common mistakes developers make and get ahead in the NZ property game? n this episode of Talking Property Development, John, Andrew, and Dave dive into the New Zealand property market. We focus on the critical role of surveying with insights from Dave McCracken, an experienced surveyor whose expertise can make or break a development. Dave explains why accurate surveying is crucial for avoiding costly mistakes and setting your development up for success. From site information to boundaries and levels, proper surveying is the foundation for everything else. We also uncover how it can reveal hidden profit opportunities. Get the inside scoop on compliance, common mistakes, and why great communication is key. Whether you're just starting out or looking to level up, this episode is packed with insights to help you make smarter moves in the property market. Hit play and make your next development a winner!   Chapters 00:00 Current Property Market Overview 03:50 Challenges in Property Development 15:29 Introduction to Surveying in Development 16:13 Importance of Site Research 25:17 Navigating Resource Consent Challenges 30:07 Sustainability in Development 35:33 The Role of Surveyors in Development 46:17 Building a Development Team

www.thepropertydevelopmentclub.com In this episode, John Kenel and Andrew Crosby host a discussion with Blair Chappell from Williams Corporation.   They focus on the intricacies of property development, particularly in the context of townhouses. They explore the journey of Williams Corporation, the challenges of scaling a business in the construction industry, and the impact of market dynamics and government intervention on development projects. The conversation also delves into the importance of effective team management, the challenges faced in the construction industry, and the potential for innovation in building practices. In this conversation, the speakers discuss the pressing issues surrounding housing costs, infrastructure failures, and the challenges of urban planning in New Zealand. They delve into the impact of government policies on home ownership and the complexities of property investment. The discussion highlights the importance of quality of life, commuting issues, and the dynamics of the housing market, emphasizing the need for effective solutions to improve the current state of affairs.

In this episode, John Kenel takes a deep dive into the current challenges of the New Zealand property market, explaining why—despite economic downturns and high interest rates—now could be the perfect time to invest. Drawing on years of experience in property development, John shares his best strategies to help investors navigate this difficult landscape and turn obstacles into opportunities for growth. John emphasizes the importance of smart research, from building a personal database of properties to efficiently assessing potential investments. He also highlights the often overlooked role of real estate agents in a tough market and explains how partnering with the right agents can give you a major advantage. Additionally, John introduces The Property Development Club, a community designed for people who want to learn how to get into property development. Whether you’re just starting out or you’ve already completed a few developments, the club provides valuable insights, networking opportunities, and advanced strategies to help you succeed and continue improving. Throughout the episode, John underscores the importance of having a clear mindset—setting personal goals, staying focused, and not letting external negativity hold you back. His practical advice and expert knowledge will leave you inspired to take action, even in a challenging market. This episode is packed with actionable insights to help you thrive in today’s property market—don’t miss it!