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The Basewinner Podcast

Author: Basewinner; Professional MLB Baseball Betting Podcast

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Our approach is to simplify complex sabermetrics into actionable MLB baseball betting information. MLB betting picks, trends, and tips. MLB baseball handicapping software, systems, and advanced sabermetrics.
300 Episodes
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2023 Season, Episode 2

2023 Season, Episode 2

2023-04-2829:01

Scott talks with the Basewinner about how great the 2023 model is doing (up more than 12 units!) and about the current state of starting pitching in the leagues. Charts for Show Make sure to go to basewinner.com and sign up for the premium package - it's only $99 for the season.
2023 Season, Episode 1

2023 Season, Episode 1

2023-03-3131:33

Scott talks with Basewinner about his modeling for the 2023 season. Charts for the show
Scott talks with Basewinner about the upcoming wildcard playoff games. Show Charts 
Scott talks with the Basewinner about the importance of the 3-man starting rotation and its implications for the postseason. Charts for the Show
2022 Season, Episode 8

2022 Season, Episode 8

2022-06-0334:35

Scott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify offensive "luck". Show Charts
2022 Season, Episode 7

2022 Season, Episode 7

2022-05-2734:02

Scott talks with the Basewinner about how to quantify defensive "luck" and what makes a pitcher "lucky". Episode Charts
2022 Season, Episode 6

2022 Season, Episode 6

2022-05-2025:19

Scott talks with the Basewinner about the starter "Stuff+" metric from The Athletic and how it can be used for betting. Show Charts The Athletic Article on Stuff+
2022 Season, Episode 5

2022 Season, Episode 5

2022-05-1327:52

Scott talks with the Basewinner about bullpens and the "Bullpen Stuff" metrics. Charts from this Episode
2022 Season, Episode 4

2022 Season, Episode 4

2022-05-0531:33

Scott talks with the Basewinner about how standardizing the humidification and temperature of stored balls affect their travel. Basewinner also looks at hard Hard Hit vs. OPS numbers to see which teams might regress. Here's the link to The Athletic article on MLB's plan to standardize humidors at all parks. This week's chart  
2022 Season, Episode 2

2022 Season, Episode 2

2022-04-1428:01

On this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss how to use OPS with RISP to identify teams that are candidates for regression and the current futures markets for NL Cy Young awards. Episode Charts
2022 Season, Episode 1

2022 Season, Episode 1

2022-04-0718:09

On this week's episode, Mark and Scott discuss the Basewinner Pre-Season Component Ranks and the projected Division Win Percentages versus what the sportsbooks are offering. Download Episode Content
The Log Cutter is back baby! After too long of a hiatus, the Basewinner has worked long hours, some even under candlelight to bring back this classic handicapping tool back to power the Crunch model.  The new version more detailed and sustainable. BW gives you a sneak peek on this podcast. Basewinner shows you how he used the log cutter to adjust the numbers for Kutter Crawford, who is Boston's starter for the focus game which is the Yankees vs. Red Sox. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
2022 Season, Episode 9

2022 Season, Episode 9

2022-08-0527:27

Scott talks with the Basewinner about the current status of Basewinner Crunch, then they look at the divisional futures and discuss the importance of bullpens. Charts for the Show  
Basewinner looks at an AL West matchup on the Thursday card between the Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros. BW looks at the detailed BW game logs for Logan Gilbert and Jose Urquidy. He also digs into the Crunch model numbers for each man in each lineup. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner looks at an AL matchup on the Wednesday card between Cleveland Guardians and Boston Red Sox. BW looks at the detailed BW game logs for Cal Quantril and Nate Eovaldi. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner looks at an NL West matchup on the Saturday card between Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres. BW digs into both starters numbers and ratings. He also talks about both team's bullpens and goes over the invidual and team numbers for each team's relief corps. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner looks at good pitching matchup on the Friday card between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants. BW digs into Brandon Woodruff's s game logs, xxxERA and bwERA. He also talks in good detail about the Brewers bullpen individual ratings and the difference between the top part and underbelly of this team's relief corps. Also, the pros and cons of betting games early as opposed to waiting are talked about The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
Basewinner dives into a game on the Thursday card between the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals. BW goes over both starters game logs, xxxERA's and bwERA's. He also talks in good detail about both teams bullpen individual ratings and how they are set up in the Crunch model for this game. The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
On this quick hitter, Basewinner dives into a game on the Wednesday card between the Seattle Mariners and Washington Nationals. BW gives you a quick look at how he injects a teams bullpen into the model. He also talks in good detail about the Seattle bullpen as a whole and the strength and weakness of the individuals that make up the Mariner relief corps.  The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
On this quick hitter, Basewinner dives into a game on the Saturday card between the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves. He talks in good detail about some important numbers for Patrick Corbin and the Nationals offense. He points out a couple of things to consider in this game and when betting on the Nationals in general.  The BW Crunch pod helps you break down the daily MLB betting card and gives you key numbers to help you with all of your baseball bets.
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