DiscoverThe Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary
The Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary
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The Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary

Author: Mike Goodman and Michael Caley

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Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary with hosts Mike Goodman and Michael Caley
303 Episodes
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Ralf Rangnick

Ralf Rangnick

2021-11-2936:292

United have a new manager and a new... consultant? We look at Rangnick's limited but striking statistical profile over the last decade and the style of pressing that is evident in the numbers. And then we ask, what will he do with a United squad that is significantly but also clearly not entirely a good fit for this pressing style?Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Things finally went so bad at United that Ole is out but it's not clear any of the underlying problems are solved. Arsenal got whooped and we're on the aggregates beat again. And have Chelsea turned it around (yes, we know they're in first place but unlike with Arsenal, there's a real underlying stats story here).Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
We know a lot about quality of teams in the Premier League. We also know there's a lot we don't know. Trying to nail down our questions and our uncertainties about Liverpool, Chelsea, West Ham and Manchester United.Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Antonio Conte

Antonio Conte

2021-11-0437:30

Tottenham have a new manager. He's real good at managing. What do we expect to see from Conte at Spurs (hint: he's not precisely a "defensive manager" as many PL fans have known him) and just how good is this Tottenham talent that will suddenly have an elite manager in charge of them?Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Is this, finally, the moment that United's leadership realizes they've effectively been in crisis for years? They lost 5-0 to Liverpool and the performances on the pitch really are worse than they've been in a while, but are things going to change this time?Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Opening from Really??? With Mike & MikeThe Premier League season resumed and every game seemed to encapsulate a different narrative and statistical issue we've been following. Liverpool, Chelsea, Brentford, West Ham, Newcastle, what have we learned so far?Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
What Is Sportwashing?

What Is Sportwashing?

2021-10-1242:45

Newcastle are now owned by the sovereign wealth fund of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. What is the KSA government trying to buy? Everyone calls it "sportwashing" but what exactly is that, what different forms can it take, and what will this mean for how Newcastle gets run in the next few years?Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Two parts of this podcast: what's going on in the NWSL as the players, league and fans negotiate a crisis of abuse of power by management and ownership, and then the big game between Liverpool and Man City.Meg Linehan, "This Guy Has A Pattern": https://theathletic.com/2857633/2021/09/30/this-guy-has-a-pattern-amid-institutional-failure-former-nwsl-players-accuse-prominent-coach-of-sexual-coercion/Molly Hensley-Clancy, "Women Describe 'Old Boys' Club" Culture At Washington Spirit": https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2021/09/22/washington-spirit-workplace-women-nwsl/Steph Yang, "A Fear-Based System": https://theathletic.com/2862063/2021/10/01/a-fear-based-system-how-the-structure-of-sports-protects-abusers-of-power/Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Barcelona's crisis just keeps rolling. Is the manager the problem? Could anything solve the problem in the near term? And then we stay in La Liga where there is no obvious Real Madrid crisis but it remains unclear that they're, like, particularly good. And while Atletico don't find the theme, Mike has takes y'all.Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
It's five matches into the season and everyone knows the table is lying... but is the xG table lying? More specifically, what can statistics tell us this early in the season, what does it mean that statistics "become reliable" after a certain period of time, and how does this inform how we're thinking about Tottenham and Chelsea and Arsenal and Everton?Caley's R2 charts: https://cartilagefreecaptain.sbnation.com/2015/10/19/9295905/premier-league-projections-and-new-expected-goalsSupport the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
One match down in this season's Champions League and we're all struggling to get our bearings. The Mikes talk about what we've seen so far from Barcelona, Bayern Munich, PSG, Real Madrid and Inter Milan and ask, is this anything?Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Berhalter did a bunch of very interesting stuff and it didn't work at all, and Southgate did all the same uninteresting stuff and it wasn't great either. This is mostly about Berhalter because, see above, it was *interesting* but they form a useful counterpoint for thinking about international managers.(sorry for the audio gremlins, still getting used to the transatlantic podcasting and need to update our pre-record checklist)Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
content notice: discussion of rape and sexual violenceCaley is really mad about the media coverage of the Ronaldo transfer, and Goodman has his own thoughts about the dilemmas that drive and screw up the media here.And there was also an incredibly dramatic transfer window! United and Madrid and Barcelona and Atletico and Chelsea and around we go.We discuss Jessica Luther and Kavitha Davidson's book Loving Sports When They Don't Love You Back: https://utpress.utexas.edu/books/luther-davidson-loving-sports-when-they-don%27t-love-you-backWe are sponsored by thepowerrank.com, Ed Feng's website and newsletter for sports betting and analytics. Check it out, he's a friend of the pod too!Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Kane and Mbappe

Kane and Mbappe

2021-08-2536:04

News! Breaking! Kane stays with Tottenham and Madrid lodge a frankly unbelievable bid for Mbappe and PSG even more unbelievably turn it down. What's going on in the striker market, in the business of football at the tippy-top level, and what does it all mean?Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
We get into some hard agreements at the five minute mark and just keep rolling. Brentford, Arsenal, Leicester, Wolves, West Ham, Spurs, City, Liverpool, it's all here.Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
We try to rank the whole Premier League. Here's part one.Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Messi Out

Messi Out

2021-08-0633:29

Lionel Messi is leaving Barcelona because they cannot pay him any money. It's a financial story and a football story and we get into it -- what is Barcelona's best way back and how long will it take them? Where is Messi going and if it's PSG, what is that gonna look like?Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
We take your questions on soccer and how it works, discussing struggleball and pressing, xG in video games and what it reveals about what analytics is, and the ongoing search for WAR. (also uh lol sorry Heather we'll actually answer your question on an upcoming pod.)Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Italy Win the Euros

Italy Win the Euros

2021-07-1232:09

A dramatic game with a lot to dig in to! We talk about England's impressive opening goal and good first half, how Italy regained control in the second half and what went wrong for England in their attempt to respond in turn. And the penalties, yeah, the penalties. But really it's the stuff before that that matters.Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
Italy were fortunate to get through, England were a defensive powerhouse again... without Spinazzola, is there anything Italy can do? We talk about why Southgate has done a very good job despite the Saka and subs weirdness, the dynamics we expect in the final, Kyle Walker, Bonucci and Chiellini, Sterling dribbling... all the stuff.Support the show (http://patreon.com/doublepivot)
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Comments (2)

Stefan Turk

honestly the best soccer podcast out there if you care about why teams really win and lose.

Jul 12th
Reply

Paul Kennedy

Man U have conceded the 3rd fewest goals in the league and fewer than their expected rate. Defense isn't the problem. Your thesis was absurd.

Dec 29th
Reply
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