The HC Commodities Podcast

HC Groups’s Q3 Market Review is available to download here: https://www.hcgroup.global/insights/market-reviews/access-market-review-q3-2025400+ notable people moves. An editorial by podcast host Paul Chapman on US talent in turbulent year to date. Articles on APAC liquid fuel trends and how participants are recruiting and training Gen Z and much more.You can also download www.hyperionsearch.com Cleantech and renewables review here: https://interactive.hcgroup.global/hyperion-search-market-review-q3-2025/full-view.html

Today, we are joined by the award -winning author Mark Kurlansky, whose books such as The Big Oyster, Paper, Salt and Cod tell us how commodities have shaped history and in turn the present day. Why commodities sit at the very heart of human history creating cooperation, trade but also war. Mark shares his views on the books and how they fit in with the current world, his views and philosophy on free trade, and how that might be in jeopardy and what his future books porjects are.

The HC Commodities Podcast was invited to host a panel at the excellent Argus Global Markets Conference in London on September 30. We discussed how the commodities world is adapting trading strategies to markets now driven by Truths Socials, algorithmic sentiment, shifting geopolitics and increasing government intervention. A world where the fundamentals of supply and demand are only part of the picture. Is this new or just a reversion to a more normal world? Is it cyclical or structural? What does it mean for skillsets and participants? Our excellent panelists discuss: Saad Rahim, Chief Economist at Trafigura, David Fyfe, Chief Economist at Argus, Nick Kumleben of Greenmantle and Kurt Chapman, legendary oil trader and Director at Levmet.

What actually is systematic trading and the capabilities behind it? How can it generate returns? How can it inform the broader trading desks and organization's decision making? How is it delivering a competitive advantage and strategic edge to companies behind those returns? What have been the developments over the last couple of years? And how is such trading shaping the markets themselves? Our guest is Hans Balgobin, who has had a career as a systematic trader and building systematic trading platforms both in equities and energy, with the likes of HSBC, Shell and Millennium and is now joining Uniperin a systematic trading role. His views expressed herein represent his own and not those of any organization.

Recorded at the Canadian Crude Oil Conference in the wonderful Lake Louise in Canada on 17th September 2025, Randy Ollenberger of BMO Capital Markets, dives into global oil fundamentals, Canadian crude production in a changing world and what that means for oil and gas equities. Sanctions, tariffs, pipeline expansions and Canadian politicians (reacting to a very different relationship with the US meant) has led to profound changes and opportunities in this once quiet sector. Our sincere thanks to the Board of the CCOC (www.ccoconline.com) for the invitation, and in particular to Aarnoud van Weelderen for his support.To view BMO Financial Disclosures visit: https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosure_statements

In this episode, we tackle disputes, arbitration, and the challenges of navigating a fractious commodities world. Energy and natural resources have always sat at the heart of international transactions and, in today’s more volatile climate, disputes are arising more frequently. What happens in international contract disputes? What is international arbitration? And how can companies best mitigate the risks upfront? What are the most effective strategies for handling disputes and arbitrations once you are in them?Our guest is Alex de Gramont, Partner and Head of International Disputes at Womble Bond Dickinson, an international law firm with a strong focus on energy and natural resources. For more on Enco Insights and their expert witness offering, please visit: https://www.encoinsights.com/HC Commodities Podcast Live Event: Rivers of Money Book LaunchOn October 1, HC Group will welcome Colin Bryce and Adi Imsirovic, authors of The Rivers of Money, to our London office for an evening of networking, drinks, and a special live recording of the HC Commodities Podcast. Tickets are free, but spaces are limited. Register here: https://www.eventcreate.com/e/rivers-of-money-event

As we enter the planning season, we consider why business planning in the commodity sector is so challenging. And how uncertainty and a more volatile world has made it even more so? What can organizations do to build in resiliency and flexibility into planning and what tools are available to better manage the downsides and also capture opportunities? Our guest is Savvas Manousos. Savas has spent a long career building and running trading platforms and is now a partner at Enco Insights, a global advisory network dedicated to energy and commodities. As an Enco Insight Partner, Savas and his colleagues are supporting Corporates and Strategics around the world, build, develop and implement plans big and small to meet the challenges of the commodity sector today. Enco Insights provides senior energy & natural resources advisors for short to long -term engagements to the private equity world, the legal world and of course corporates when the stakes are high and the insight matters.Visit www.encoinsights.com for more on their offering

Today, we return to the subject of investing in the global commodities markets. What are the key narratives out there on Main Street, Wall street and K Street and how are they shaping opportunities? How can you sort narrative from thesis? How does policy volatility and geopolitical volatility impact investments? And in a potential return to 1970s -style stagflation, what does that mean for commodities and portfolio theory? Our guest is Shaia Hosseinzadeh, Founder and Chief Investment officer of OnyxPoint Global Management LP, an alternative asset manager focused on businesses serving the commodities sector.For more on OnyxPoint visit: https://www.onyxpointglobal.com/our-firmFor the Argus Global Markets Conference sign up here: https://www.argusmedia.com/en/events/conferences/global-markets-conference

Colin Bryce joins us to discuss ‘The Rivers of Money: Social and Economic History of Modern Oil Trading’, which he co-authored with Adi Imsirovic. Both authors participated in oil trading during its pivotal years and through knowledge of the industry, experience and contacts bring to life this period in rich detail creating a unique book, blending reportage and economic history. Why did London become the epicenter of physical oil trading? Why did Wall St look so different? Why did Singapore become the Asia hub of commodities? What are the origins of the trading houses and how did they come to dominate the sector? This book should be on the shelf of any commodity professional. Rich in anecdotes, characters and rooted in the heart of world history over the last 50 years, the book is both enjoyable and important. You can buy the book here: https://a.co/d/8oiMuWS

Today, we discuss three critical minerals to illustrate, and challenge or reinforce the common narratives out there, the intractable problems those supply chains face - even with projected soaring future demand. And consequently, the influence these elements have on geopolitics and economics. Influence that is only growing. We're talking Yttrium, Rhenium and Graphite and each one tells a different story about our modern economy about the critical mineral supply chain and pricing and some of that challenges that poses to governments, companies and us as individuals. To tell those stories we are rejoined by Ellie Saklatvala, Head of Metals Pricing at the Independent Price Reporting Agency, Argus. 

Today, we're joined by Doomberg, the most popular energy and commodity focused sub-stack. He and his team publish over 90 articles a year on the intersection of global energy and commodity policy, geopolitics, risk and technology. Today, it's Doomberg unleashed. How close are we to World War III? Are we already in it? What does that mean for the energy and commodity supply chains. How sanctions and tariffs not only reshape global commodity flows, but also weaken the West, and what the “One Big Beautiful Bill” means for American industry and the energy transition, and much more. Always a challenging and fascinating discussion. 

Chip War: How semiconductors became the new oil with Chris Miller Semi-conductors, microchips, are the new oil - the scarce resource on which the modern world depends. Today, military, economic, and geopolitical power are built on a foundation of computer chips. This has only accelerated with the emergence of AI. Yet, the supply chain is incredibly concentrated with just a handful of countries and companies dominating. As with oil in the previous century, chips sit at the center of geopolitics, great-power rivalry and trade, especially between the US and China. How did chips become some crucial and their supply chains so concentrated and what does it mean for all our futures? Our guest is economic historian Chris Miller, author of Chip War - The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology, the New York Times best seller.

Today, we do a deep dive into the role and challenges of a transaction lawyer in the energy transition. And why lawyering in the energy transition is lawyering on hard mode? What are the  sources of complexity? What are the pain points about getting a project developed? How has current policy volatility impacted the energy transition particularly in the US? And what might the future hold? Our guest is Daniel Anziska.Daniel is an infrastructure and regulatory lawyer and partner at Troutman Pepper Locke ,a leading US energy transition infrastructure law firm. 

Today, we investigate the intersection of the energy transition, critical minerals and defense. As with commodities, warfare is also going through rapid and profound change, with the electrification of defense over the last 20 year. Batteries proliferate the battlefield and the energy transition is impacting national security. We are seeing the shift from capital assets to small, cheap weapons such as drones that can have profound impacts. This poses a particular problem for the US, where energy dominance has been based in hydrocarbons along with their warfare fighting capabilities. Now in an electrified battlefront, supply chains that support them sit in China, threatening the West's defence capabilities. Our guest is Joe Bryan, principal at Muswell Orange, a boutique consulting firm, focused on energy and particularly its intersection with national security. Before his return to the private sector, Joe was a senior advisor to the Secretary of Defense and was the Department sector, of Defense Chief Sustainability Officer. He previously served as Deputy Assistant Secretary for the Navy for Energy, where he was responsible for policies relating to the Department's installation and operational energy programs. Earlier in his career, Joe led investigations for the Senate Armed Services Committee and served on both Senate's Select Committee on Intelligence and the Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations. He has consulted on energy policy around the world and began his Investigations. He has consulted on energy policy around the world and began his career working on electricity restructuring and state level policies to encourage growth of clean energy markets.

In this episode, we discuss the impact of conflict and war on commodities markets through the lens of a brand new book by Dennis Voznesenski: War and Wheat. Dennis is an agricultural economist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia and prior to that at Rabobank. Thoroughly researched, War and Wheat tells the story of how the agricultural markets fared during World War I, World War II and the recent Russian invasion of Ukraine and elucidates key learnings on how commodity markets function and how commodity traders can better navigate the more volatile times ahead.  The book is available here: https://www.amazon.com.au/War-Wheat-Navigating-markets-conflict/dp/1763580938 

HC Group's Q2 Market Review - our quarterly magazine covering people trends, moves and analysis from within the global energy & commodities sector is available for download.Visit:https://www.hcgroup.global/insights/market-reviews/access-market-review-q2-2025 Likewise you can download Hyperion Search's clean tech and renewables here: https://hyperionsearch.com/ 

 In 2024 the Lithium market saw huge price drops related to oversupply, a slowing EV adoption rate globally, as well as macroeconomic headwinds. Is this a pause or a more structural challenge? What is the long-term demand picture? How does geopolitics fit within that? Does technological change threaten the outlook? And in such a volatile market, why is risk management essential? Our guest is Caspar Rawles, Chief Operating Officer at Benchmark, the Independent Price Reporting Agency for Critical Minerals, including Lithium,  which will soon be launching three Lithium futures contracts with the Intercontinental Exchange, ICE. What are those contracts and what do they mean for the sector?

Today, we return to the subject of commodity supply chain policy, permitting and regulation and policy in the US, with the One Big Beautiful Bill going through reconciliation. Less public, but no less momentous, we cover  the Seven County Infrastructure Supreme Court decision, which may herald Sea change in how new energy and mining projects can get underway to meet both the growing energy demand but also the need for robust and resilient supply chains in the energy transition. Returning to the show is our guest, Peter Stahley, Senior Vice President at Cassidy & Associates, the bipartisan governmental relations firm, where Peter specializes in energy and mining.   

Today, we return to the subject of investing in commodities, this time from an equities angle. How has the sector performed over the last couple of decades and how much diversification does it offer?  How do you analyze and discover value in the sector? And are investors returning and how best to navigate investing in such a rapidly evolving sector? Our guest is Matt Zabloski, founder and chief investment officer of Delbrook Capital Advisors, a Vancouver-based fund manager, focused on alternative investment strategies in the metals and mining sector. Matt has had a long career investing in energy and natural resources including as a portfolio manager with Fidelity.

Today, we return to energy and AI. What will AI mean in terms of global energy consumption up to 2030 and beyond? And could that be offset by efficiencies and transformations generated by AI in our daily lives? Could AI even accelerating the energy transition? To do that, we are discussing International Energy Agency's latest paper -  Energy and AI (https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai). A comprehensive review and deep dive in AI’s impacts on our world energy map. Our guests are the lead authors, Siddharth Singh and Thomas Spencer. Both are also part of the team that produce the World Energy Outlook annually.For more on our senior advisory network, Enco Insights visit - www.encoinsights.com For more on www.Hyperionsearch.com - our clean energy search firmFor commodities search visit www.hcgroup.global