America has waited 43 days for a simple number. Not a moon-landing, nor a breakthrough cancer cure: just the September reading of the Personal Consumption Expenditures index (PCE), the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. After a government shutdown froze the release of official statistics, the PCE has acquired an unlikely aura: less a data point than a national mood ring. Verdict at 10 am ET.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
After the recent government shutdown left policymakers flying blind, the first meaningful signpost - the upcoming PCE inflation report - is eagerly awaited by investors, analysts, and anyone who enjoys pretending they understand monetary policy , hoping it confirms what they already believe: that the Federal Reserve is finally ready to start cutting rates. According to CME's FedWatch Tool and LSEG, markets are now pricing in roughly an 85% to 87% chance of a 25-basis-point cut as soon as next week.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
Wall Street opened Wednesday with the kind of confidence usually reserved for a well-timed Fed leak, pushing futures modestly higher as traders leaned hard into the idea that next week's meeting will deliver the long-awaited rate cut. It's an impressive level of conviction for a market navigating patchy data, jittery crypto flows, and a labour report that just surprised everyone by shrinking when it was supposed to grow.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
Markets do not usually enjoy surprises, yet they keep receiving them. Markets brought an end yesterday to the late-November rebound. Indices, having run their course, ultimately ran out of steam. Investors now face a week of waiting, watching and worrying. Friday brings the Personal Consumption Expenditures Index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure, and with it the final clues before next week's rate-setting meeting. Expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut have surged to 87.2%, up from roughly half that a month earlier. Recent economic data - cooling manufacturing, a gradually slowing economy, and a dour start to December for equities - have helped solidify the case for easing.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
The world economy is starting December in an oddly split-screen mood. On one side, investors are busy betting that America's central bank is about to cut interest rates again. On the other, reality keeps sending reminders that prices are still sticky, politics is jumpy and even the safest assets can wobble.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
A rare freeze at CME Group’s data centers halted trading in key U.S. futures markets, offering a jarring reminder of how fragile the plumbing of global finance can be. The outage arrived on an otherwise quiet post-Thanksgiving session, just as investors were grappling with uneven economic signals and the kickoff to the holiday shopping season. With November’s market fate still hanging in the balance, the episode underscores how even brief disruptions can ripple through a system already searching for direction. An unexpected paralysis at CME Group, the world's largest derivatives marketplace, jolted financial markets. A cooling failure at the firm's CyrusOne data centres late on Thursday froze trading in futures tied to America's flagship equity benchmarks, as well as a swathe of currencies and commodities.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
America's economy, it seems, is delivering just the right amount of disappointment.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
The global economy remains in flux, full of abrupt developments and shifting expectations. Yet the latest news shows that progress hasn't stalled. Tech giants are once again outperforming, central bankers are rekindling optimism among investors, and geopolitics is back to offering both market risks and unexpected prospects.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
With the data pipeline jammed, markets are stumbling through the dark - clutching at Fed whispers and trading on hunches rather than hard numbers. A nervous rally here, a tech wobble there, and a holiday season loaded with both promise and peril have left investors guessing at the real state of the American consumer. Until the statistical fog lifts, markets will keep oscillating between hope and heartburn.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
A year defined by extraordinary enthusiasm for artificial intelligence is now ending with doubt, forcing traders to wonder if the future has been overpriced. Tech companies have spent two years convincing the world that the next industrial revolution is already in progress. And in many ways, it is. Yet revolutions are rarely linear. Even record revenues from AI bellwethers have not prevented sharp sell-offs. Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
America's economy is offering investors a curious split-screen moment: a labour market that is cooling and a technology sector that refuses to get the memo. September's jobs report hints at a gentler phase of growth, even as Nvidia's soaring results revive enthusiasm for all things AI. The challenge now is to understand which story will matter more in the months ahead, and whether the markets' optimism can outpace the economy’s steadier, slower rhythm.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
For much of this year, investors have treated artificial intelligence as a kind of all-purpose upgrade: something that could smooth over worries, simplify business stories and make almost any company, from chipmakers to delivery-app operators, seem poised for extraordinary growth. Now comes a reality check.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
America's stock market is getting more and more volatile. The AI dream machine is sputtering, the Fed has misplaced its magic wand, and even the tech titans look like they’ve misplaced their capes. With investors this twitchy, a single factory-orders print could send Wall Street either sprinting for the exits or inventing a new bubble before lunch.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
After six weeks of government silence, America's statistical machinery is humming back to life. The country has just emerged from its longest-ever government shutdown, a political achievement only in the sense that it broke a record nobody wanted broken. Now, investors, policymakers and bored economists can once again look forward to the comforting rhythm of jobs figures, inflation prints and other indicators that help them pretend the world is predictable. They may not like what they see.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
Investors accept volatility as part of the landscape, though the recent bout is beginning to test their patience. Signals from the Federal Reserve turned muddled this week, turning December's hoped-for rate cut into a coin toss. High-flying technology shares lost altitude as valuations met a dose of sobriety. And the recently ended U.S. government shutdown left economic indicators missing, delayed, or simply uncertain.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
Washington may have booted the government back online, but only on a trial basis, leaving the country's finances running on borrowed time. Markets, hungry for clarity, now have to navigate a data stream warped by the shutdown, squinting at numbers that feel more like guesses than gospel. And with tech giants wobbling and investors rotating toward safer ground, Wall Street is moving with the edgy energy of a system rebooting.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
After 42 days of bureaucratic paralysis, America's government looks set to reopen. The pending compromise to end the shutdown has cheered investors, who appear relieved that food inspections and airport security will no longer depend on volunteerism.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
Today's session, like yesterday's, is marked by the end of a record-breaking budgetary deadlock in the United States. Wall Street weathered the latest political drama of over 40 days relatively well. After a brief rebound, equities looked queasy on Tuesday morning, as investors reconsidered whether technology shares might have flown too close to the sun.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
America's federal government is inching toward functionality again: a modest ambition, but one markets are happy to cheer. After weeks of legislative brinkmanship, senators have advanced a measure that could reopen Washington's closed doors, at least until the end of January. Investors, who have spent the past month in an economic data blackout, greeted this with relief. Futures for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all rose on Monday morning.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.
There are few things more delicate than market optimism. It can soar on the promise of artificial intelligence and crumble at the sight of a spreadsheet. This week, it has done both. U.S. markets, giddy for much of the year on the prospect that machines might think for us, and make us rich, have stumbled into self-doubt.Hosted by Audiomeans. Visit audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite for more information.