The Russia Contingency with Michael Kofman

A bi-weekly podcast featuring in-depth analysis of Russia's military power and the war in Ukraine, with your favorite expert on the topic.

On the Ground in Ukraine: Winter 2025

Rob Lee joins Michael Kofman to discuss their insights from their latest field study trip to Ukraine, the current trajectory of the Russo-Ukrainian War, developments on the frontline, and how things have changed since their last trip in October 2024.

02-24
53:29

Assessing Russian Weapons Stocks: How Will They Shape the Russo-Ukrainian War in 2025?

Two open source intelligence experts join Michael Kofman to discuss their collection and data analysis methods particularly in regard to the state of Russian equipment stocks — including tanks, armored fighting vehicles, and artillery — and what it can tell us about Russia's ability to sustain the war.

02-10
48:58

The Russo-Ukrainian War in 2025, Part 2

Sir Lawrence Freedman and Michael Kofman continue their conversation on how to think about the war in Ukraine and its trajectories heading into 2025. In particular, they focus on how to view potential ceasefire negotiations and security guarantees, as well as the role of Washington and Europe in such processes.

01-28
25:48

The Russo-Ukrainian War in 2025, Part 1

Sir Lawrence Freedman joins Michael Kofman to discuss how to think about the war in Ukraine and its trajectories heading into 2025. They also reflect on developments from 2024 as well as where Kyiv and Moscow stand on the current state of the conflict.

01-13
28:09

Russia’s Weakened Economic Outlook in 2025

Alexandra Prokopenko joins Michael Kofman for a detailed conversation on the future of the Russian economy in 2025. Among other topics, they discuss what rising inflation, reduced production capacity, fluctuations in currency valuations, high interest rates, and falling hydrocarbon exports will mean for the war effort this year.

01-06
36:34

Russia’s Woes in Syria: The Consequences of Assad’s Fall for Russian Ambitions

How will the situation in Syria impact Russian operations in the Middle East and North Africa? John Lechner sat down with Michael Kofman to discuss this question and more.

12-10
46:13

Technology, the Battlefield, and Beyond in Ukraine

Michael Kofman and Rob Lee discuss the state of the Russo-Ukrainian War and the role of technology, especially drones. Many of the insights they share are based on their recent research trip to Ukraine.

11-27
57:42

Ukraine Research Trip Notes: Fall 2024, Part 2

In part 2 of this two-part episode, Mike sits down with Rob Lee and Dara Massicot fresh off their trip to Ukraine to discuss what they saw, what they learned, and how their views of the conflict have changed.

11-14
27:36

Ukraine Research Trip Notes: Fall 2024, Part 1

Just back from a trip to Ukraine, Mike sits down with Rob Lee and Dara Massicot to discuss what they saw, what they learned, and how their views of the conflict have changed.

11-06
33:46

Russia’s Approach to AI, Drones, and Automation

What are the latest developments in Russia in terms of drones, unmanned ground vehicles, and autonomous weapons systems? How has the advancement of artificial intelligence affected the use and efficacy of these systems? Mike sits down with Sam Bendett of the Center for Naval Analyses and Leonid Nersisyan of the Applied Policy Research Institute of Armenia to discuss.

10-21
49:26

The Economic Impact of the War in Ukraine

How has the war in Ukraine affected the Russian and Ukrainian economies? Mike sits down with Nataliia Shapoval and Elina Ribakova of the Kyiv School of Economics to discuss.

10-04
44:27

Strategy and Adaptation in the Russia-Ukraine War

What are the main strategic issues that need to be considered, right now, in the Russia-Ukraine war? What is Ukraine’s strategy likely to be going forward? Mike sits down with Mick Ryan, a retired major general in the Australian Army and an expert on strategy and adaptation, to discuss.

09-19
48:18

A European Perspective on the Kursk Offensive

What is the latest from Kursk and how are Ukraine’s European allies viewing the offensive? Mike sits down with Franz-Stefan Gady at the European Forum Alpbach to discuss. This episode was recorded on August 24, 2024, and reflects developments up to that point.

09-05
48:45

What’s Russia Up to in the Middle East?

What, exactly, is Russia’s strategy in the Middle East? Mike sits down with Nicole Grajewski and Hanna Notte to find out.

08-22
44:51

Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive Continues

Mike sits down with Rob Lee to discuss the latest from the Ukrainian offensive into Kursk. This follows up on Mike’s conversation with Dara Massicot about the offensive, which you can listen to here and here. This episode was recorded on the afternoon of Thursday, Aug. 15, and reflects developments up to that point.

08-16
49:14

Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive: What do We Know? Part 2

On August 6th, the Ukrainian military launched a cross-border operation and advanced into Kursk, Russia. What does this incursion mean for the war? What should we be looking for in this incursion? How will Ukraine reinforce the operation? Mike sits down with Dara Massicot, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, to discuss these questions and more.    

08-09
21:36

Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive: What do We Know? Part 1

On August 6th, the Ukrainian military launched a cross-border operation and advanced into Kursk, Russia. What does this incursion mean for the war? What should we be looking for in this incursion? How will Ukraine reinforce the operation? Mike sits down with Dara Massicot, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, to discuss these questions and more.  

08-09
23:12

Lessons from Ukraine’s Offensive Operations with Jack Watling, Part 2

What led to the failure of Ukraine's offensive in 2023? What did we learn about Ukraine's offensive operations in the first two years of the war? Mike sits down with Jack Watling, a senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, to answer these questions and more. Their discussion centers around the Institute's report, "Preliminary Lessons from Ukraine’s Offensive Operations, 2022–23," published on July 18, and is the second of a two-part episode with Jack. If you haven't listened to the first episode, you can do so here.

07-30
49:16

Lessons from Ukraine’s Offensive Operations with Jack Watling, Part 1

What led to the failure of Ukraine's offensive in 2023? What did we learn about Ukraine's offensive operations in the first two years of the war? Mike sits down with Jack Watling, a senior research fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, to answer these questions and more. Their discussion centers around the Institute's report, "Preliminary Lessons from Ukraine’s Offensive Operations, 2022–23," published on July 18, and is the first of a two-part episode with Jack.

07-26
43:14

Fresh Impressions from the Frontlines in Ukraine, Part 3

Fresh off a trip to the frontlines in Ukraine, Mike sits down with Rob Lee to discuss what they saw, what they learned, and what the coming months in the Russo-Ukrainian war might look like. This is the final episode of a three-part discussion about the trip. Be sure to listen to parts one and two if you have not done so already.

07-16
32:19

Henry Ashford

Отличный подкаст! The Russia Contingency with Michael Kofman действительно помогает глубже понять военную стратегию России и события вокруг конфликта в Украине. Я также нашёл интересные аналитические материалы на CaViral, где публикуются свежие новости и мнения по российским темам. https://www.caviral.com/

11-02 Reply

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