The World of Intelligence

With the situation in Israel and Lebanon continuing to evolve, Janes analysts Elliot Chapman and Suraj Ganesan return to join Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett to provide an update on the situation on the ground and the strategic implications of the conflict for regional security.

Janes analysts Elliot Chapman and Suraj Ganesan join Harry Kemsley to share their insight and analysis on the situation that has escalated in Israel and Lebanon. They explore the impact of the conflict on Israel and Hizbullah resources and the geopolitical and strategic implications emerging from the displacement of civilians.Elliot and Suraj also explore how open-source intelligence accelerates their understanding of the situation and the tradecraft they follow to verify and validate these sources.

Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett take a closer look on the increasing use and threat of misinformation and disinformation. They explore the differences between the two and why now more than ever it is important for analysts to use tradecraft to overcome these threats to ensure analysis is formed on truth and intelligence can be trusted.

Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by IBM master inventor Martin Keene to explore the impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on open-source intelligence. The panel discusses how AI can support tradecraft, the future of AI-driven predictive analytics, and why humans are critical in evaluating AI analysis.

In the second part of this podcast Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are again joined by Janes analysts Dylan Lee Lehrke and James Rands to discuss the lessons learned from the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The panel continue their exploration of the changing tactics being deployed by Russia and Ukraine including the increasing use of unmanned warfare. They explore if their use is an indicator of a change in modern warfare and how the conflict may evolve over time.

In part one of this podcast Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by Janes analysts Dylan Lee Lehrke and James Rands to discuss the lessons learned from the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The panel discusses the changing tactics deployed by Russia and Ukraine during the campaign and what this conflict has told us about the conduct of modern warfare.

Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined in this episode by Janes analysts Puja Banerjee, Sarbhanu Nath and Shivani Gayakwad to discuss the key events relating to the ongoing political instability in Bangladesh.Following weeks of protests and violence, the country is currently being run by an interim government following the resignation of Sheikh Hasina on 5th August. The panel discuss how this instability will impact the country and it's international neighbours and allies. They also share how open-source intelligence provides indicators for predictive assessments of the ongoing situation.

In this podcast Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by Janes analysts Elliot Chapman, James Trigg, Anant Venkatesh and Suraj Ganesan in response to recent events and growing tensions in the Middle East and Levant.The panel provide context on the fast-moving situation in the region and discuss how open-source intelligence can support predictive intelligence to understand the prospect of serious escalations in the conflict.

In this episode Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by Janes analysts Estefania Dominguez and Matthew Herman to provide situational understanding of the potential implications to state stability of the presidential elections being held on 28 July 2024.Estefania provides a contextual overview of why these elections are so significant and the panel discuss how the use of open-source intelligence helps to provide predictive analysis of situations in a relatively closed environment such at Venezuela.

In this podcast James Rands, senior Balkans and military capabilities analyst at Janes, joins Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett to provide a deeper understanding of the High North, Arctic region. With climate change likely to expose a northern sea route in the next decade or so and the potential abundance of natural resources, many countries will want to stake claim on this previously impenetrable region. Rands highlights the military capabilities required to operate in this challenging environment.They also discuss the important role open-source intelligence plays in providing early-warning indicators of activity and any escalation in tensions in what is likely to become a key global strategic area.

In this podcast Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by analysts from Janes Country Intelligence team, James Trigg, Maria Lampoudi and Lewis Smart to understand if the conditions may be right for another Arab Spring similar to that experienced in 2010.The team explores how OSINT can provide valuable early warning signs of potential escalations in tensions, the lessons learned since the previous Arab Spring and why applying tradecraft is so important to its intelligence analysis.

In this episode Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by Phil Ritcheson Ph.D. to discuss why intelligence sharing is now more important than ever. They discuss the growing need for allied and partnership and how by using open sources facilitates more timely intelligence sharing. However, ensuring that the open sources can be trusted and are assured is critical to maintaining strategic advantage.

Ritu Gill, Intelligence Analyst, joins Harry and Sean to discuss the practical use of OSINT to support law enforcement. Ritu discusses it’s use in supporting risk assessments and classified or closed sources of intelligence. She also discusses the tools used to make the most of the open-source intelligence available to analysts.

In this podcast Janes analysts discuss the Iranian attacks on Israel on the 14 April. They highlight the military systems used by Iran and the performance and impact of these on Israel. They also discuss the implications of this attack going forward, potential avenues of Israeli retaliation and considerations for further escalations in global tensions.

In this podcast Janes senior analyst James Trigg, joins Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett to discuss Libya. Historic civil and political unrest have made it a country of interest globally for decades. Whilst other conflicts and world events have forced countries to switch their focus, Libya remains a country which requires attention particularly for countries in Southern Europe and the Middle East.They discuss how open-source analysis can help plug the gap in understanding when attention is focused elsewhere and how using Janes tradecraft with a long-term view, provides a more balanced understanding of the stability, impact and influence Libya has in the region and beyond.  

In this podcast Janes analyst F Xavier Casals joins Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett for a deep dive into China Taiwan relations. Xavier explores how by using the political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, information (PMESII) framework we can gather structured analysis and more complete picture of China’s future intent.  

 In this podcast Harry and Sean are joined by Dr Ingvild Bode to look at the application and challenges of AI use in weapons systems. Dr Ingvild Bode has spent the last year researching this subject for her most recent policy report, Loitering Munitions and Unpredictability: Autonomy in Weapon Systems and Challenges to Human Control, co-authored with Dr Tom Watts. During the podcast Harry, Sean and Dr Ingvild explore how AI is being used today to supplement or delegate not only motor skills but also cognitive skills. They also explore how AI plays a role in how decisions are made about specific aspects of the targeting process.

In this podcast we revisit the conflict in Israel -Gaza.  We explain how using open source intelligence and applying Janes tradecraft allows us to track the situation, its actors, the equipment being used and the implications on neighbouring countries in the region and beyond.

The situation in Yemen is particularly complex. Even before the start of the attacks on shipping in November 2023 by Ansar Allah (commonly known as the Houthis), the country has been of interest to many. A large-scale humanitarian crisis has emerged following a decade of conflict across the country drawing in the Yemeni government, Ansar Allah, southern Yemeni secessionists, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Yemen’s Al-Qaeda affiliate, and a minor Islamic State faction. In this podcast James Trigg, Senior Research Analyst for the Middle East and North Africa Country Intelligence team at Janes joins Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett to explore how open-source intelligence has allowed us to get a deeper understanding of the relatively closed environment of Yemen and the complex situation in the country.

In this podcast Harry Kemsley and Sean Corbett are joined by Amil Khan, the founder and CEO of Valent Projects, to delve deep into the implications of misinformation and disinformation for open-source intelligence. They identify the difference between misinformation and disinformation and how we can overcome thesechallenges to support open-source intelligence.