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Description
The tastylive network teaches investors innovative, simple ways to trade stocks, options, and futures, take advantage of market volatility and build a successful portfolio. Tom Sosnoff leads an irreverent and playful band of floor traders who are showing America a new way to quickly find low risk, high return strategies in bullish, bearish and sideways markets.
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Liz and Jenny discuss various trading strategies and market trends, reflecting on their recent earnings trades, including diagonal spreads in UPS and PayPal. They emphasize the volatility surrounding major companies like Microsoft and Meta leading up to earnings, while also exploring positions in energy like natural gas. The duo shares light banter about personal achievements in their fantasy football league and wraps up by analyzing significant market movements influenced by recent news, especially regarding Nokia's investment from NVIDIA.
Recent data reveals the November to January trading period delivers better returns and higher win rates than the rest of the year, according to a tastylive Market Measure segment focused on "holiday euphoria."
The five-year study of S&P 500 ETF (SPY) examined 16-delta strangles across different volatility environments, finding win rates improved across all scenarios during the holiday window, with particularly strong performance during high implied volatility periods.
Risk metrics showed conditional value at risk decreased approximately 62% during the November-January window compared to non-holiday periods. While these patterns reflect recent market behavior with fewer sell-offs occurring during holiday periods, traders should view this as a probability tilt rather than a guarantee.
The analysis reinforces the importance of trade management, appropriate position sizing, and seeking high implied volatility opportunities regardless of season.
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