DiscoverUnexpected Value - Poker · Daily Fantasy · Sports Betting
Unexpected Value - Poker · Daily Fantasy · Sports Betting
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Unexpected Value - Poker · Daily Fantasy · Sports Betting

Author: Jordan Cooper

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Jordan Cooper is a poker pro who has played daily fantasy sports & bet player props full-time for a living for over a decade. With his expertise in game theory, he has had numerous six-figure 1st place GPP finishes in NFL, NBA, MLB, MMA and soccer on DraftKings & FanDuel. One of the most tenured educators in the industry, he is the author of the ‘Theory of DFS’ audio courses and teaches the fundamental math & logic of daily fantasy & sports betting regularly on RotoGrinders.
116 Episodes
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#116: Professor Pete

#116: Professor Pete

2025-09-1701:16:25

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Overzet to discuss edges in Underdog draft games, the perils of fantasy football content creation & his experience being on-air for an NFL national broadcast. ➔  Underdog DFS Masterclass (use promo code DFS for 10% off): https://underdogmasterclass.com
#115: Long Time, No Speak

#115: Long Time, No Speak

2025-08-2801:57:21

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Neil Orfield to discuss how to exploit your opponent's mistakes in season-long fantasy football, optimal drafting strategies for unique scoring formats or payout structures, and players to target or fade in casual home leagues. ➔ Subscribe to Neil on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@flannelverse ➔ Follow Neil on Twitter: https://x.com/playerqDFS ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
#114: It's All Storytelling

#114: It's All Storytelling

2025-07-1801:17:04

Jordan Cooper discusses all the shenanigans at this year's WSOP, how poker tournament series have killed cash games, gambling tax changes in the 'big beautiful bill', and the importance of framing things in a way that will garner the most support from laypeople. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
Jordan Cooper discusses his experience playing live poker tournaments for the first time in about 18 years, whether or not tools will ruin Best Ball contests, and why catering to recreational players (and the reasons why they play) is paramount in P2P games. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
#112: Double Penetration

#112: Double Penetration

2025-03-2101:04:58

Jordan Cooper rants about the importance of keeping games accessible for the health of the ecosystem (as well as your profit long-term), mistakes people often make in double board PLO bomb pots, and info on joining the new Discord server! ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
#111: Shared Knowledge

#111: Shared Knowledge

2025-03-1401:14:39

Jordan Cooper rants about the YouTube algorithm, taking breaks when not at 100% mentally, the perils of teaching people who don't want to learn, and how the chess community seems to differ greatly from that of ones in poker, daily fantasy, or sports betting. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
#110: Roots Radicals

#110: Roots Radicals

2025-02-0501:04:34

Jordan Cooper rants about how DFS may be "dead" for some people, the paradox of creating useful sports betting content, why exploitative strategies trump all in live poker, hacking cruise casino comps, and a lot more. ➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper ➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Ed Miller to discuss his new book, why sports betting is a game of information asymmetry & adverse selection, how the ecosystem is held together by duct tape, the difference between markets & models, why online sports betting is still a "people business", and how one can potentially take advantage of the huge menus offered at modern sports books. Interception: The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting: https://www.amazon.com/Interception-Secrets-Modern-Sports-Betting-ebook/dp/B0CKS8GGX4 Ed Miller on Twitter: https://twitter.com/EdMillerPoker ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#108: Eat Your Own Tail

#108: Eat Your Own Tail

2023-09-2502:02:13

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Daniel Hutchings (nerdytenor) to discuss the effect of contest simulations on the DFS ecosystem, who they could benefit most, their usefulness in large-field GPPs versus small-field ones, backtesting lineups post-lock, duplication concerns, and the race to equilibrium. Daniel Hutchings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/nerdytenor ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#107: The Three Ms

#107: The Three Ms

2023-08-1501:14:05

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Jennings (CSURAM88) to discuss how profitable DFS players can translate their skills to sports betting including utilizing fantasy-based player projections appropriately, understanding the dynamics of inefficient prop markets, and the pitfalls & perils of scaling your volume. Peter Jennings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/CSURAM88 Unabated: https://unabated.com ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#106: Define Optimal

#106: Define Optimal

2023-07-1802:15:57

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Brian Hooper (bric75) to debate the merits of fandom, the shifting bankroll mix between DFS and sports betting, portfolio theory in GPP play, duplication prediction, political election betting markets, and more. Brian Hooper on Twitter: https://twitter.com/BrianHooper__ LOLz Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lolz-a-dfs-show/id1506858064 Sportsbook HUD: http://bric75.com/SportbookHUD ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#105: Simply Simtacular

#105: Simply Simtacular

2023-06-1301:46:36

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Steve Buzzard (dacoltz) to discuss Stokastic's new sims tool, how it can be useful for both beginner & advanced DFS players, the difference in mindset when creating contest field lineups rather than your own, and if we are in the "end stage" of DFS. Steve Buzzard on Twitter: https://twitter.com/stevebuzzard Stokastic MLB Sims: https://www.stokastic.com/mlb-stokastic-sims ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#104: It’s Simtastic!

#104: It’s Simtastic!

2023-06-0701:15:22

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss how sportsbooks prioritize liquidity, and the effect of publicly available contest-level simulations on the DFS ecosystem. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#103: Death Faking Budget

#103: Death Faking Budget

2023-04-2601:39:52

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Matt Buchalter (PlusEVAnalytics) to discuss the overlap of skills needed to win at DFS and sports betting, cognitive biases, adverse selection issues, the potential of parimutuel markets, and his lawsuit against Caesars.  Matt Buchalter on Twitter: https://twitter.com/PLUSevanalytics Plus EV Analytics: https://plusevanalytics.wordpress.com Art of Sports Betting Analytics: https://analytics.bet/art ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#102: Gifts Galore

#102: Gifts Galore

2023-04-1201:05:42

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss prop tools, managing sports book bonuses and limits as a sharp, and dividing your time & bankroll between DFS play and sports betting. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#101: Baseball’s Back

#101: Baseball’s Back

2023-03-2901:12:46

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their contest selection and bankroll allocation plans for MLB DFS this coming season, as well as who they'd put on the Mount Rushmore of DFS players. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
Jordan Cooper welcomes on Derek Carty to discuss how the league rule changes will affect MLB DFS this coming season as well as utilizing projections for prop betting. Derek Carty on Twitter: https://twitter.com/derekcarty THE BAT on RotoGrinders: https://rotogrinders.com/the-bat ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#99: Extremely Low Scoring

#99: Extremely Low Scoring

2023-03-0101:08:12

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss XFL DFS, the shuttering of Monkey Knife Fight, misunderstanding sports betting handles, the time value of late swap edges, and more.  ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#98: EV Privilege

#98: EV Privilege

2023-02-1501:29:30

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Erik Beimfohr to discuss work-life balance, the myriad of ways to grind out edges, diminishing returns on your time, and battling the fear of missing out. Erik Beimfohr on Twitter: https://twitter.com/erikbeimfohr Spike Week: https://spikeweek.com Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
#97: Pressing & Holding

#97: Pressing & Holding

2023-01-1801:14:36

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss NBA DFS content, FanDuel's recent cancelling of contests, flash drafts on DraftKings, and focusing on exploiting one edge at a time. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com
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Comments (2)

Mr Mongoose

Basically, it’s like a job you spend a ton of time on, but you’re never sure if you’ll get paid or end up with nothing. For me, gambling and betting on https://msportbetug.com/ is more of a leisure thing. I’ve got a great job, and placing a bet is just like a little break at the end of the day. Why not? And if I get lucky and win something that's awesome.

Jul 21st
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John Smith

Tbh, I feel like “secrets” in betting are just basic strategies that newbies haven’t come across yet. It’s all out there, and experienced bettors already use it to their advantage. A good bookmaker like the 1xBet app on https://gogogothegame.com gives you everything you need: analytics, predictions, different bet types. Over time, as you get more experience, you’ll figure out how to analyze matches yourself. That’s the real secret.

Feb 14th
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