Unexpected Value - Poker · Daily Fantasy · Sports Betting

Jordan Cooper is a poker pro who has played daily fantasy sports & bet player props full-time for a living for over a decade. With his expertise in game theory, he has had numerous six-figure 1st place GPP finishes in NFL, NBA, MLB, MMA and soccer on DraftKings & FanDuel. One of the most tenured educators in the industry, he is the author of the ‘Theory of DFS’ audio courses and teaches the fundamental math & logic of daily fantasy & sports betting regularly on RotoGrinders.

#109: Secrets of Modern Sports Betting

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Ed Miller to discuss his new book, why sports betting is a game of information asymmetry & adverse selection, how the ecosystem is held together by duct tape, the difference between markets & models, why online sports betting is still a "people business", and how one can potentially take advantage of the huge menus offered at modern sports books. Interception: The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting: https://www.amazon.com/Interception-Secrets-Modern-Sports-Betting-ebook/dp/B0CKS8GGX4 Ed Miller on Twitter: https://twitter.com/EdMillerPoker ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

10-17
02:03:43

#108: Eat Your Own Tail

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Daniel Hutchings (nerdytenor) to discuss the effect of contest simulations on the DFS ecosystem, who they could benefit most, their usefulness in large-field GPPs versus small-field ones, backtesting lineups post-lock, duplication concerns, and the race to equilibrium. Daniel Hutchings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/nerdytenor ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

09-25
02:02:13

#107: The Three Ms

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Jennings (CSURAM88) to discuss how profitable DFS players can translate their skills to sports betting including utilizing fantasy-based player projections appropriately, understanding the dynamics of inefficient prop markets, and the pitfalls & perils of scaling your volume. Peter Jennings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/CSURAM88 Unabated: https://unabated.com ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

08-15
01:14:05

#106: Define Optimal

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Brian Hooper (bric75) to debate the merits of fandom, the shifting bankroll mix between DFS and sports betting, portfolio theory in GPP play, duplication prediction, political election betting markets, and more. Brian Hooper on Twitter: https://twitter.com/BrianHooper__ LOLz Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lolz-a-dfs-show/id1506858064 Sportsbook HUD: http://bric75.com/SportbookHUD ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

07-18
02:15:57

#105: Simply Simtacular

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Steve Buzzard (dacoltz) to discuss Stokastic's new sims tool, how it can be useful for both beginner & advanced DFS players, the difference in mindset when creating contest field lineups rather than your own, and if we are in the "end stage" of DFS. Steve Buzzard on Twitter: https://twitter.com/stevebuzzard Stokastic MLB Sims: https://www.stokastic.com/mlb-stokastic-sims ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

06-13
01:46:36

#104: It’s Simtastic!

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss how sportsbooks prioritize liquidity, and the effect of publicly available contest-level simulations on the DFS ecosystem. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

06-07
01:15:22

#103: Death Faking Budget

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Matt Buchalter (PlusEVAnalytics) to discuss the overlap of skills needed to win at DFS and sports betting, cognitive biases, adverse selection issues, the potential of parimutuel markets, and his lawsuit against Caesars.  Matt Buchalter on Twitter: https://twitter.com/PLUSevanalytics Plus EV Analytics: https://plusevanalytics.wordpress.com Art of Sports Betting Analytics: https://analytics.bet/art ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

04-26
01:39:52

#102: Gifts Galore

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss prop tools, managing sports book bonuses and limits as a sharp, and dividing your time & bankroll between DFS play and sports betting. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

04-12
01:05:42

#101: Baseball’s Back

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their contest selection and bankroll allocation plans for MLB DFS this coming season, as well as who they'd put on the Mount Rushmore of DFS players. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

03-29
01:12:46

#100: The Bat Doesn’t Care

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Derek Carty to discuss how the league rule changes will affect MLB DFS this coming season as well as utilizing projections for prop betting. Derek Carty on Twitter: https://twitter.com/derekcarty THE BAT on RotoGrinders: https://rotogrinders.com/the-bat ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

03-15
01:29:30

#99: Extremely Low Scoring

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss XFL DFS, the shuttering of Monkey Knife Fight, misunderstanding sports betting handles, the time value of late swap edges, and more.  ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

03-01
01:08:12

#98: EV Privilege

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Erik Beimfohr to discuss work-life balance, the myriad of ways to grind out edges, diminishing returns on your time, and battling the fear of missing out. Erik Beimfohr on Twitter: https://twitter.com/erikbeimfohr Spike Week: https://spikeweek.com Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

02-15
01:29:30

#97: Pressing & Holding

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss NBA DFS content, FanDuel's recent cancelling of contests, flash drafts on DraftKings, and focusing on exploiting one edge at a time. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

01-18
01:14:36

#96: Where Does The Money Come From?

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield recap their 2022 DFS play and discuss adjustments they plan on making for the new year, including a macro look of exactly where the edges lie. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

01-02
01:43:51

#95: Spreadsheety

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Sammy Reid to discuss the strategic similarities between poker and DFS, how poker theory has changed over the past 20 years, the softness of live games compared to online, and analyze a few hands played recently. Sammy Reid on Twitter: https://twitter.com/SammyReidFI Reid 'Em And Weep Podcast: https://reidemandweep.buzzsprout.com Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

12-27
02:19:37

#94: Arse Squared

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate and how to better measure the accuracy of ownership projections. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

12-06
01:38:21

#93: Swap Slappies

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss late swap strategy for MMA DFS, and the low overall scoring on the past NFL slate. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

11-21
01:16:17

#92: You’re Not That Special

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, when diversification may hinder your overall portfolio EV, and the variables to consider when manually adjusting ownership. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

11-07
01:28:13

#91: Looking Foolish Until You’re Not

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, how to handle tanking teams in NBA DFS, and more. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

10-24
01:07:04

#90: It’s Not About The Feels

Jordan Cooper & Neil Orfield discuss their strategic decisions for this past NFL Sunday slate, what makes pricing & construction "easier" for cash games versus GPPs, the psychology of considering players' range of outcomes, and more. ➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced ➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

10-17
01:03:42

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