QAV - Investing In Shares

Time to check your 3PTL alerts; spare a thought for poor Andrew Forrest; NCK’s results; Ophir fund performance; Portfolio updates; Reversal of fortune for BPT, back on the buy list; Some old friends return to the buy list - SUL, BFG and WHC; SGM is a scrap metal recycler tied to the iron ore price; TK mistakenly bought KAR and VEA; he also bought NWS but probably shouldn’t have; Pulled Pork is ABA; PTB enters into scheme implementation deed; JHG price/op cashflow; the outlook for REITs; banks and 'Price to Op cashflow ratio’; TK’s thoughts on a 2nd sell line; has Tony found he has had any better or worse luck on stocks he's repurchased after making a loss; sell line for EHL; who is our Qaverick of the Week?

The AORD dropped this week, as did BOQ, TK does a Pulled pork on RSG. Also in the Club edition: WOW’s CEO threatened with time in the big house, FND does an Indian ATM deal, TK talks about the Pulled Pork and Billionaire Portfolios.

The IMF on China, Diller on Trump Social, Bitcoin and Beanie Babies, pulled pork on A1M. Also in the Club edition: Cash and Armaguard, Anscombe’s Quartet, Regression testing, Tesla veers to the EV slow lane, Ex-defence minister Pyne is Hanwha’s man in Canberra, Karoon plots path from oil junior to major through Gulf of Mexico, and a thought experiment about when TK would sell if the stock market didn't give live prices.

This week: Daniel Kahneman RIP, Sturgeon’s Law, Pulled pork on ASB Plus, in the Club edition: Valuing Bitcoin, Coking coal a sell, New Regression Testing results, Alchemy substack, Collins St does well again, ABB news, the performance of founder lead companies.

This week: Do ASX investors need to get used to expensive stocks, and a pulled Pork on G8 Education (GEM). Also in the Club edition: theories on why KSC spiked, whether AMC CEO’s sudden resignation is a red flag, MEA is being sold, Macquarie’s new FOMO meter, ABB’s Superloop troubles, and what to do if you still own VUK.

This week, while the RBA meets, we talked about ABB dropping 20% in a day, steel and coking coal fall, China’s economy beats expectations in the West, regression testing update, Damstra (DTC) is taken over, and a pulled pork on MSV.

This week: Delisting of TGA, VUK acquisition, Pulled pork on BOQ. In the Club edition only: SD fix NWS issue, IRI loses Chair of Audit Committee, Tony’s testing on 2BL sell trigger, Tony answers questions about how to manage a portfolio if you move overseas, reducing our average daily trades to mitigate risks of the QAV spike, the risks of cap raises, different ways how a company can take on debt, and the benefits of share buy backs.

This week: AORD his another all-time high, reporting season is over (but now we’re in ex-div season), ING recorded a massive profit but the market dumped it anyway, Pulled pork is on Regis Healthcare (REG). Also on the Club edition: Ray Dalio thinks the Mag7 are “fairly priced”, Collins St Value Fund wins again, Cam’s regression tests come up with something interesting, Tony has more to say on the shrinking ASX, and after hours.

This week: We discuss our favourite bits of Buffett’s new annual letter, and Tony does a pulled pork on Vulcan Steel (VSL). Also in the Club Edition: We discuss the results of a new 20% Rule 1 simulation, Reporting Season News, LNG is a sell, Data shows Cathie Wood's Ark is one of the worst funds, NVIDIA results, and TK's perspective on 'Losing too many stocks' to M&A.

This week: The market remains buoyant on the back of positive earnings, DTL crashes 22%, Buridan’s Ass, Pulled Pork AGL. Also in the Club edition: Darryl’s portfolio analysis, Magnificent 7 profits now exceed almost every country in the world, SD ASX 300 change, Jordan’s Renko and hugline regression testing.

This week: Market and portfolio updates; Nick Scali and Myer jump on profit results; the pitfalls of passive investing; the cracks deepen beneath the market’s surface; Woodside Santos merger collapsed; pulled pork on MME. Also in the Club edition: Lithium execs goolies; McDonald’s records first sales miss; Stock tips are for patsies; Matt Walker’s regression testing system; Three Men Make a Tiger; NWS shares in Stock Doctor; WAF’s forecast earnings.

This week on QAV: Market hit all time high, then retreated… because of McDonalds in Gaza?!; Portfolio report; pulled pork on Metcash (MTS). In the Club edition: CCP results and share price; System Justification Theory; Elon’s Tesla strategy; Jordan’s regression testing; hedging QAV with Growth stocks (aka the Anti-QAV); RBA leaves rates unchanged; FPR operating cash flow.

This week we’re talking about: Munger’s final portfolio, Base-Rate Neglect, Pulled Pork - TLS Plus, only on the Club edition: Evergrande liquidation, Aluminium and CAA, Fund managers reveal their big investment mistakes, Crypto still isn’t legit, Reporting season about to start, and using Renko chart to track Duratec’s decline.

On this week’s show: Retail traders are suffering from fatigue; Lithium and tech stocks crashing; AI means the cost of intelligence will plummet. Club edition also includes: Why TK keeps his mortgage facility open; Pulled pork on FND.

Market and portfolio updates, Brent’s secret QAV tweaks which delivered his terrific results, and GNC vs Wheat. In the Club episode, Pulled pork on Brambles (BXB), STOCKOPEDIA NAPS, the “Curse of Knowledge”, more discussion on Average True Range.

TK’s back to talk about: "Santa Claus" rallies, a Pulled pork on Resimac RMC, and using an ATR stop loss. In our club episode, we're also talking about how to score N/A on Health Stable or Increasing, and What I Learned About Investing from Darwin by Pulak Prasad, WHC & Thermal Coal, Skill Compensation, Dogs of the Dow, and the proposed Woodside/Santos merger.

On our first show of 2024, I’m covering how the market and our portfolio ended 2023, adding GEM back to a portfolio, TK has a pulled pork on COF, and I talk to ChatGPT about the role the USD being the world’s reserve currency plays in the strength of the US economy.

On our last episode for 2023, I’m flying solo, but I do have a pre-recorded pulled pork from TK on ERD, and I’m also talking about the sudden falls last week by CLX, MTO, and ASG, as well as the first of Morgan Housel’s “100 LITTLE IDEAS”. Only in the Club edition: I asked ChatGPT to pick out a couple of highlights from our 2023 podcasts for the recap.

On this episode: The AORD is having a good Xmas (so far), STW and AFI above their buy lines, our portfolios are doing well, pulled pork on CXO (Core Lithium) Club: new Commodity Status history feature, PRN poll, FPR net operating cf, CCP on a tear, talking about REITs, pulled pork on CXO (Core Lithium) and why BFG is having a run.

On this episode we’re discussing Charlie Munger, pulled pork on ING, and if QAV is based on momentum and minimizing losses. In the club edition only: PRN’s guidance, ATP’s bump, ADT survey results, portfolio updates, RBA rate hold, MMS losing a govt contract, ASX 200 stocks with single-digit P/Es, thoughts about VYS giving their Managing Director an Interest Free loan.