Quantium Research

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) shares his thoughts on NFTs, DAOs, and "The Metaverse" (including crypto "play-to-earn" games such as "Axie Infinity"), with real-world examples. Ryan finishes the episode off by talking about where he thinks the newly defined "web 3.0" is headed. 

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) presents an investment case for Huya and DouYu ($HUYA, $DOYU).    He looks at company financials for both $HUYA and $DOYU, comparing them to "Twitch" (Owned by $AMZN), their largest international competitor in the streaming space. He also touches upon the recent merger between $HUYA and $DOYU, sharing his thoughts on whether it will really happen (risks/benefits of/to completion), the influence of "Tencent" in this deal, and his final thoughts on the valuations of both companies (separately, versus one "giant" combined firm).          ~Ryan Rahimikia 

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) introduces the concepts of "short squeezes" and "gamma squeezes" with respect to companies like GameStop and AMC Theatres. He also explains how options work (buying and selling calls & puts - risks/rewards involved).   He also dives into the financials of a select few (AMC Theatres & Gamestop), discussing possible ways to maximise shareholder value in each company (the hope that management can act in the best interest of its dearest shareholders).   We discuss what we think could happen next at the end of this episode...         ~ Ryan Rahimikia

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) presents an investment case for Alibaba Group ($BABA).    He also dives deep into the company's financials (P/E ratios, earnings data stats, relative valuations to peers etc...). We bring up the recent fears of a rotation away from "growth" stocks, and into "value" stocks, discussing the degree of truth that appears within.   After a messy battle with regulators, Ant's IPO failed to complete (the company was expected to be valued at around $280bn vs the previous expectation of $150bn, as a result of a surge in investor interest for the listing). Ryan outlines both positive and negative potential newsflow & factors which will determine the direction in which $BABA shares will go next.         ~ Ryan Rahimikia

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) looks at how takeaways work for businesses (3rd party & own processes). He introduces the idea of a commission structure from brands such as Uber Eats, Just Eat, Grub Hub, Postmates, Doordash, and many others.   He also shares thoughts on the restaurant business, divided into three main categories - the state of the industry, ways to survive and thrive as a restaurant (high margins, high volumes, and generally lower prices being the way forward), and Ryan's thoughts on the future of the restaurant business.                    ~ Ryan Rahimikia

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) looks at the idea of preventing large, one-off exogenous risks. He first briefly introduces portfolio-focused hedging techniques (the traditional buying of "puts" in a long-focused portfolio), to then look at recent headlines regarding Lebanon & Mauritius.   He also touches upon the fatal "Deepwater Horizon" disaster and its costs (to date) of $65bn for BP, with an emphasis on how the responsible actions of executives at competing firms have prevented the occurrences of similar disasters in the present day.   "Sometimes, the real heroes go unnoticed, simply because they know how to get their jobs done - without fail"

Ryan Kia (of Quantiumresearch.co.uk) introduces 4 equity-focused ETF's that look at the UK, China, Japan and Emerging Markets (referred to in the episode as EEM). Ryan looks at the components within these ETF's and the relevant exposures within. He concludes with the significance of the technology sector with regards to mentioned outperformance/underperformance of the ETF's in the episode's dataset. After this, Ryan emphasises the importance of diversification, stressing that if an investor chooses to diversify, it is paramount to diversify their portfolio efficiently, leading onto a new discussion for a later date in the future. *Data used with reference to the 11th June 2020*

In this first part of "Predicting Recessions, International Shipping Stocks and The Truth About the Yield Curve", Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at a failed trade on BT.A (BT Group) to emphasise the importance of "Risk Management" for all investors - particularly with this example, he looks at the benefit of this for traders. Ryan then takes a dive into the fundamentals of "Maersk" (the Danish shipping giant) and "Hapag LLoyd" (a German company, joining Maersk in the "top 10 worldwide shipping liners"). He compares the two, on a fundamental basis, with a brief look at some of the risks posed to the sector, given the current COVID-19 crisis. The podcast finishes with some two possible trade ideas on the stocks, from both a long, and a short perspective.   *Fundamental data used in this episode was timestamped at 15:24 BST on the 8th May 2020*  

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) looks at the macro-economic picture as a result of the past few months of extreme market volatility.   He begins by highlighting common misconceptions regarding market drawdowns (peak to trough moves) by newbie investors. Then, he goes on to discuss the current state of the financial markets (with indexes approaching technical resistance levels), the heavy contrast between small and mid-caps, in one group, and large caps (blue-chip stocks) in another, and the likely outlook moving forward.   Throughout this episode, Ryan includes up to date examples of different stocks across various industries and indexes to provide context to the discussion and encourage our listeners to be proactive in these times, and not simply stick to the same sectors/markets, hoping to achieve positive investment returns. In this case, you'll likely avoid getting caught out from wider market moves.   Ryan finishes the episode by including his thoughts regarding some of the most vulnerable companies moving forward from international COVID-19 shutdowns.   The companies mentioned in this podcast include: Carillion, Caterpillar, Easyjet, Cineworld, Asos, IBM, Tesla, Tui, Lastminute, EDreams, Centrica, Aston Martin, Debenhams, Ocado, Microfocus   At the moment of recording, nor Ryan or anyone from the quantiumresearch.co.uk team holds a position long or short any of the companies mentioned, nor receives anything in return for talking about the stocks in this podcast.

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) begins this episode by looking at L Brands' recent 55% sale of its shareholding in Victoria's Secret's lingerie, beauty divisions and its "Pink" business to Sycamore Partners (a private equity firm). He looks at the chance of this deal falling through and also dives deeper into the financials of the Victoria's Secret brand. Through evaluating the metrics at the point of the offer being put on the table, to the present financial situation of the company as a result of the coronavirus pandemic, Ryan concludes his thoughts on the current valuation of L Brands (NYSE: LB) and its future.

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) begins this episode looking at the impact of the nation-wide economic shutdown on small businesses. He focuses on a friend’s family restaurant and why it decided to not use traditional food delivery firms such as Just Eat and Uber Eats, and instead take the bold decision to terminate operations until the shut-down is over, despite being offered 80% of staff costs by government. He then goes macro, looking at airlines, oil and gas and traditional retail companies, outlining some clear mistakes from history (such as excessive buybacks) that have increased the vulnerability of such companies in the present day. He finishes the episode by reiterating the difference between short-term market fluctuations (including temporary recessions/depressions) and long-term market moves. It is important to remember that investors in US stocks would have been roughly 15-20 times up on their initial investment from 1987 (pre-crisis) to the present day (amidst an ongoing crisis).

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) looks back over the extremely volatile week and analysis the Chinese travel and tourism sector in extreme detail to determine whether widespread contagion could be seen as a result of declines in the sector. He evaluates using recent data and a keen focus on Chinese international tourism expenditure and the relevance of a multiplier effect on international growth (through the example of Chinese tourists in the United States). Ryan also talks about the most vulnerable companies to a decline in the Chinese economy.

Ryan Kia of Quantium Research creates a picture of NMC Health and Carson Block as two opposites, detailing the entire story of events that unfolded from the day of Muddy Waters Capital's short position to the rise, on the 10th February 2020, of approximately 30% due to assumed bid interest for NMC Health in episode 64 titled, "Carson Block vs NMC Health - The Battle for Disclosure". He also provides two technical based outcomes as a result of the ahead of results coming up in early March.   Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates.

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) interviews Beth Botham (Of rejuvenatekits.com), a cancer survivor who was inspired to start up her own business. Some of the topics discussed include overcoming negativity, keeping focus at all times, and how to move forwards from persistent setbacks in the journey of running your own business. Beth's Youtube (Beth The Entrepreneur) - https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFaPAw-bE5VEzXIx6NPM3Nw/featured Beth's Instagram (@BethBotham) - https://www.instagram.com/bethbotham/?hl=en   Rejuvenate Kits' Instagram (@rejuvenatekits) - https://www.instagram.com/rejuvenatekits/?hl=en   Quantium Research Website - https://www.quantiumresearch.co.uk/   

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at the "Rise of The Coca-Cola Company": Coca Cola is one of the most iconic brands on the planet. But with 127 years of history, it has been a long and bumpy road. In last week's episode of the rise of the coca-cola company, we looked at the developments that led up to the explosion in the demand for bottled coke in the domestic American consumer market.     Part 4 looks at the events that led to Asa Candler (CEO of the Coca-Cola Company, at the time) making a huge mistake, that resulted in his disposal of shares in the company for a sum of $25m. In next week's episode, we will look at some of the aggressive measures that the new owners of the coca-cola company had put in place to effectively force out the bottlers and regain control of the wonderful drink that is coca-cola. Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates.

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at the "Rise of The Coca-Cola Company": Coca Cola is one of the most iconic brands on the planet. But with 127 years of history, it has been a long and bumpy road. Part 3 looks at the developments leading up to an explosion in the demand for bottled coke in the domestic American consumer market Previously on "The Rise of The Coca-Cola Company": In last week's episode of the "Quantium Cast", we introduced two new characters: Benjamin Franklin Thomas and Joseph Brown Whitehead. These two characters presented a proposition of bottling coke to Asa Candler (the CEO of the coca-cola company at the time). We also included some context surrounding the come-up of Asa Candler. We then arrive at his firm response to the bottling proposition, influenced heavily by his past attachment to the business, seeing as he had been building up the coca-cola brand for over a decade. Candler believed that the cost of the bottling machinery and the general capital expenditure required would simply be too much for the firm to handle. He also believed that investing in such a risky idea for the firm would be unnecessary as they had been delivering growth on profit forecasts, year after year. Candler ultimately relented and, under the assumption that Thomas and Whitehead would likely bankrupt themselves, Candler issued the two businessmen with "perpetual contracts" of which consisted of them purchasing the syrup from Coke at a large mark-up to use in bottling coke.  In next week's episode, we will be looking at how the bottlers engaged with the coca-cola company (and any disputes). We will then round the episode off with an introduction to "Candler's great mistake", leading to his sale of the company in 1919.  Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates.

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at the "Rise of The Coca-Cola Company": Coca Cola is one of the most iconic brands on the planet. But with 127 years of history, it has been a long and bumpy road. Part 2 looks at the Joseph Biedenharn's "Great Idea" to bottle Coca Cola in the late 19th century, intended to open up Coke beyond its largest sales channel of "Soda Fountains" (businesses popularised by figures like James Tufts, the Massachusetts Entrepreneur, in 1876). Ryan also introduces two new characters: Benjamin Franklin Thomas, and Joseph Brown Whitehead. These characters present their proposition of bottling Coca-Cola to Asa Candler, building on Biedenharn's initial idea. Including some context as to how Candler got to where he was in Coca Cola, we arrived at his conclusion, influenced heavily by his past attachment to the business (working there for over a decade). Candler believed that the cost of bottling machinery and the general capital expenditure required to carry out such an operation would simply be "too much" for the firm to handle. Candler also believed that investing in such a risky idea for the firm would be unnecessary as they were continuously beating profit expectations (year on year). His overthinking of the proposition viewed it as "potentially harmful" to the existing sales channel through the "Soda Fountains".  

Ryan Kia (of quantiumresearch.co.uk) takes a look at the "Rise of The Coca-Cola Company": Coca Cola is one of the most iconic brands on the planet. But with 127 years of history, it has been a long and bumpy road. Part 1 looks at the humble beginnings of Coca Cola in the late 19th century where the biggest sales channel for the firm had been through "Soda Fountains" (businesses popularised by figures like James Tufts, the Massachusetts Entrepreneur, in 1876). 

Ryan Kia of Quantium Research summarises the concept of drawdowns in investment by referring to what they are and their application to investment strategies with analysis of the "60/40" benchmark portfolio's individual components. He also analyses the impact of dealing with long and sizeable drawdowns with reference to the 1979 study carried out by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky. Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates and further investment analysis.

Ryan Kia of Quantium Research collates historical data for Metro Bank in episode 57 titled, "A Summary of Metro Bank Shares ahead of Tomorrow's Q3 Trading Update". He also provides two technical based outcomes as a result of the Q3 Trading Update for Metro Bank due to be reported on 23/10/2019.    Be sure to sign up to quantiumresearch.co.uk for updates.