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The Weekly Trend

Author: David Zarling, Ian McMillan

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The Weekly Trend is a conversation on various publicly-traded markets, seen through the eyes of technical analysis.
223 Episodes
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In this week’s episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the S&P being flat this week, risk off areas in fixed income, if recent movement in Utilities and Staples contradicts the risk off view, the Japanese Yen and Nikkei, and recent performance of value areas like Financials, Materials, and Industrials.
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued strength from equities, gold, and what a falling dollar means for an array of assets.
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the market rebound above 5400, the long-term environment, and the concept of a “broad market”. Is Growth vs. Value the same for all pieces of the market? What have been the ripple effects of a weak dollar? Is “insider” selling something to concern yourself about?
Episode 217: Theses

Episode 217: Theses

2024-08-0941:21

In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the gap down in the S&P 500 on Monday, the increase in volatility, election year seasonality, and the recent move in the Nikkei.
In this week’s episode, David rides solo and provides an important update after seeing the start of August off to its worst start since 2002. With plenty of outside uncertainty (assassination attempts, Presidents removing themselves from consideration, Crowdstrike server outages, Venezuela uprising) it is important to focus on price. In this episode, David highlights the current market environment including important market levels to pay attention to.
Episode 215: Breaking?

Episode 215: Breaking?

2024-07-2634:34

In this week's episode David and Ian discuss recent performance of the major indices, the notable 2% down day witnessed this week, emerging sectors and industries like financials, the presidential election and seasonality, and international equities.
In this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss the origin of Fish in Barrel, the once in 1.3 Million year event that took place this week, the efficiency of markets, and the significance of this week on the rest of the year.
In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the continued dominance of mega caps, the continued non-relevance of small caps, consolidations in industrials, financials, and healthcare, recent performance in commodities, and Bitcoin breaking down.
Episode 212: Thin

Episode 212: Thin

2024-06-2814:04

In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss breadth and the continued thin nature of this market. They also touch on sector relative strength, metals and miners, the Yen, and the U.S. Dollar.
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued strength from Tech and Semis, the potential breadth flush, and weakness overseas.
Episode 210: Tech Week

Episode 210: Tech Week

2024-06-1418:12

In this week’s episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the continued dominance from large cap tech names like AAPL and MSFT, while discussing the relative underperformance from the rest of the sectors. They also cover the recent performance of international areas, how bonds are starting to show signs of life, the US Dollar, and Japanese Yen.
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued opportunity cost of owning Small Caps, lack of risk parity in Treasuries, the trade weighted dollar, credit spreads, sector analysis, and market breadth deterioration.
In this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss Nvidia earnings and stock split announcement, other recent stock splits, Dow Theory and divergences, semiconductor seasonality, recent market performance, and the holiday weekend.
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the solid rebound in equities and metals, including Gold and Copper. Interest rates find likely support for a move higher. What is a ‘weight of the evidence’ approach? And a potential summer return for Tech and Mega Caps.
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the volatile week in stocks, what’s holding up underneath the surface, and why relying on headline data for market moves may not be the best choice.
In this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss US Equities hangin’ around important levels, normal seasonality for election years and the strongest / weakest 6 months in a 12 month period. Kevin highlights developments in the bond and commodities markets. David touches base on investor behavior while Kevin brings up the importance of understanding your time frame. Many important topics and nuggets are provided in this episode. Take a listen, let us know what you think, and share with others ...
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued sell off in equities. The Nasdaq and areas such as Tech have been the hardest hit over the last few weeks. Will that continue? Gold and Bitcoin continue to hold up well, even in the face of a rising US Dollar.
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the first two-week correction in stocks since late October, the continued rise in Gold and base metals as a whole, and the big picture view from where we stand across all assets.
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