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All indices closed lower ahead of the FOMC's looming rate decision on Wednesday. Nvidia (NVDA) was a part of that weakness after the company entered correction territory. Tesla (TSLA) rose to another all-time high after Mizuho upgraded the stock. Pfizer (PFE) saw a nice pop after backing its 2024 earnings and giving more information on 2025 guidance. Caroline Woods breaks down the day's biggest stories.
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A two-week beatdown in value stocks is increasingly leaving the market with no margin for error from tech trades, says OJ Renick.
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Tesla's (TSLA) Forward P/E ratio has ballooned to more than 200 times. As Kevin Green and Caroline Woods explain, there were doubts the company could accelerate when that same ratio was 100 times. They talk about how much of the recent growth is based off speculation and forward optimism of future business channels and discuss how Elon Musk needs to maintain his cozy relationship with President Elect Trump.
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Teva Pharmaceutical (TEVA) closed at its highest stock price of the year after it and Sanofi (SNY) say their IBD treatment had higher remission in trial. George Tsilis looks at how the development can be the first step in a turnaround for the company.
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Today's Charles Schwab Big Picture panel turns its focus to the Fed ahead of its rate decision Wednesday. Nathan Peterson pins the meeting as the reason for the VIX creeping higher with fears of bulls tilting to "one side of the boat" on hopes of a hawkish tone from Jerome Powell. Collin Martin notes that the tone Powell gives Wednesday will chart the course for the Fed's rate cut path in 2025.
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Chris Dearborn looks at the success of ServiceTitan’s (TTAN) IPO, and what can make the “frost shake off” the IPO market as a whole. “This is the best year in three, we expect next year to be the best year in four” for IPOs, Chris adds, but he doesn’t think we’ll get back to the “thousand” level.
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The SPX slipped into negative gamma during the trading day, but Kevin Green says volume and a lack of short-positioning keep a bull thesis intact. However, mega caps will need to pull their weight due to a lack of market breadth.
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Cinthia Murphy looks at ETF trends heading into 2025. She highlights the Nasdaq-100’s rebalancing, which will affect many ETFs and their exposure to different areas of the market – particularly with crypto stock MicroStrategy (MSTR) becoming present in the QQQ. Looking at ETF inflows, she says money is “chasing small caps” and value, showing a “need to diversify.”
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Zed Francis discusses the ramifications of households are buying more bonds than usual, rather than state or institutional players. He also breaks down the Fed’s rate cutting impacts on yields, and how they might impact equities and investors in 2025. He shows BofA’s chart of cash allocation to highlight inflows into risk assets.
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Anthony Ferry and Ted Rossman discuss the November Retail Sales report. Anthony also talks about holiday shopping, saying his data shows consumers are really looking for deals. Ted agrees, saying inflation is “holding people back,” looking at credit card interest rates and debt.
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Kevin Horner returns to Technical Tuesday with charts for the S&P 500 (SPX), Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) and General Mills (GIS). He looks at the $6K level for the S&P and where support levels could be. On ANF, he points out a “nice, long pennant” formation and the stock testing resistance. On GIS, he says bears are well-positioned as it approaches support in a near-term sideways channel.
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Today's Options Corner turns to unusual activity across A.I., ecommerce and internet stocks. Tom White looks at bullish example trades in Palantir (PLTR) and Shopify (SHOP), and a neutral to bullish trade in Baidu (BIDU).
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Zeno Mercer of VettaFi talks about investment strategies to consider as the A.I. race ramps up in robotics. According to Zeno, "it's so early" in applying A.I. in the space, but "we're getting there." He turns to Alphabet's (GOOGL) quantum computing chip as an example. Zeno discusses how the THNQ and ROBO ETFs use names like Nvidia (NVDA), TSMC (TSM) and Ambarella (AMBA) to measure A.I. growth in robotics.
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Ahead of the Fed's rate decision on Wednesday, Octavio Marenzi says he expects to see an inflation resurgence in a year. He believes the Fed's previous rate cuts were hard to justify due to inflation trends, but that could change with the Trump administration weighing tariffs. Octavio believes investments in financial and crypto names offer protection against inflation risk.
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Palantir (PLTR) had a monstrous year on the market. The rising star in A.I. rallied more than 300% in 2024 despite a slight downtrend over the last week. George Tsilis turns to the company's valuation to stock price ratio and weighs if the stock is overbought. His bull thesis behind its growth: scalability and diversification in Palantir's customer base.
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Uber Technologies (UBER) has fallen 30% from its all-time high. LikeFolio's Landon Swan believes the plunge comes from investor concerns around Uber's future in the autonomous driving space, especially with Tesla's (TSLA) positioning in the robotaxi race. Landon says the company's stock can either skyrocket or slip to zero, depending on how it utilizes its customer base.
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Nicolas Owens and Tony Bancroft discuss the Aerospace & Defense sector, noting that NATO is still underspending on defense and the U.S.’s budget is uncertain. However, Tony highlights his Gabelli GCAD ETF for aerospace, saying there is “a lot of opportunities in the industry.” Nicolas agrees that they are well-positioned but doesn’t have a Morningstar 5-star rating on any single stock.
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President-elect Donald Trump will tip the scales on whether TikTok is banned from the U.S., according to Seth Schachner. He says the incoming president, paired with the Supreme Court, will decide if the enterprise will forfeit to a U.S. company. Seth names Snap Inc. (SNAP) and Meta Platforms (META) as winners if the ban happens.
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Jessica Inskip joins Nicole Petallides at the NYSE set to talk about today's Big 3: Alphabet (GOOGL), Apple (AAPL) and Blackrock (BLK). She's bullish on all three names due to their ties to the A.I. trade, which she expects to accelerate in 2025. Rick Ducat dives into the technical trends for each.
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Carol Schleif previews the Fed’s rate cut decision and remarks afterward, highlighting the impact of surprising strength of the U.S. economy and consumer confidence on the Fed’s models. She expects three cuts next year, but likely not until the second half. She likes the industrial and tech sectors.
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United States
Yes TSM is in a lower margin business. but the biggest drag imo s geopolitical
With a company name like Giga Cloud Technologies, one could guess their core business and possibly assign an incorrect esrnings multiple to this fast (relative to its actual business lines) grower. Is this misnomer smart marketing or something different?
I am always interested when share repurchases are discussed in hearing how many market shares are actually reduced vs. what is recycled via shareholder value to stock based compensation by companies. Yet this is often not covered by reporters. Why? Perhaps it is taboo and would diminish executive eagerness to fill your time with dialogue? To me this is a vital part of accessing management mentality on shareholders and a 5 second blurb giving this info on each repurchase chat would enhance value
Sounds like the trillions gubmit wastefully poured into the magic green energy boondoggle is going to end up costing taxpayers even more money via electric scarcity? Congrats to the skimming grafting zealots courageously fighting the evil orange sun monster with everyone else's money. This national union REALLY has become a suicide pact.
How much does the method of debt financing by the Treasury Secretary impact the yield curve?
if you were to buy an ev, why would you buy from a legacy mfg. like gm, f?
j*j*bbjbbb*>Aug 4th Reply
Mattel is finally bringing life into their brands and expanding it into modern times via Netflix and films. I look forward into researching more about its stock.