Claim Ownership

Author:

Subscribed: 0Played: 0
Share

Description

 Episodes
Reverse
In this episode, we spoke with Dr. Ataman Ozyildrim from The Conference Board.  We discussed leading economic indicators and its importance in tracking the economy's business cycle. He provided his insights on the current situation of the economy. He continued by pointing to the changes in supply chain trends. We also talked about the digital economy and measuring innovation in organisations.  This is only a glimpse into the many excellent insights from Ataman and The Conference Board.  Recommended book: Business Cycles: Theory, History, Indicators, and Forecasting by Victor Zarnowitz Recommended paper:  On the aggregation of probability assessments: Regularized mixtures of predictive densities for Eurozone inflation and real interest rates by FX Diebold, M Shin, B Zhang 
Polly Mitchell-Guthrie

Polly Mitchell-Guthrie

2022-09-1441:04

Polly Mitchell-Guthrie is the VP of Industry Outreach and Thought Leadership at Kinaxis.In this episode, Polly talks to us about the collaboration between the academic and business worlds. She tackles topics such as possible synergies, building trustful cooperation and proper forecasting communication. She also shares with us the forecasters' ABCs rule.
Trevor Sidery

Trevor Sidery

2022-08-1443:21

Trevor Sidery is a Lead Data Scientist at Tesco PLC. In this episode, Trevor unveils the mystery of how astrophysics and fluid dynamics studies leads to forecasting.Trevor discusses the forecasting process within a large retail company, and which business component models are predicting and how models are selected. He elaborates on best practices on scaling forecasting models on large amount of time series.
Jim Hoover

Jim Hoover

2022-07-1250:48

Jim Hoover is a clinical professor and Director of Business Analytics and Artificial Intelligence Center at the Warrington School of Business, University of Florida. In this episode, Jim shares some of his experiences in the US Navy where he worked in several decision-making roles and used forecasting/operation research tools for over two decades. Jim emphasises the importance of open source software development and calls for academic cooperation on building an open access platform for sharing the best forecasting practices with industry practitioners and SMEs. He also shares his thoughts on bridging the gaps between industry and academia.Jim recommends Forecasting Principles and Practices by Rob Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos as a great textbook for forecasters. 
Len Tashman

Len Tashman

2022-06-1441:50

 Our next guest is Len Tashman, Professor Emeritus of business administration at the University of Vermont, US. He is the founding and continuing editor of Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting.Len tells us how the “Foresight” journal was established in 2005, the main idea behind it, and how it is going now. This journal provides up-to-date research for practitioners and forecasters, and it has an impressive background story. Len highly recommends a prominent book by Daniel Kahneman “Thinking, Fast and Slow” as well as a new book released by Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein, “Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment”.
Jennifer Castle

Jennifer Castle

2022-05-1245:011

Jennifer Castle is an Economics Fellow at Magdalen College, Oxford University and a research fellow at Climate Econometrics, Oxford University.Jennifer talks about economic forecasting models and the role of structural breaks (e.g., Covid pandemic) in forecasting. We also discuss climate change and how it can be forecasted using econometric tools and scenario analysis.Jennifer recommends two books Fortune Tellers by Walter Friedman and The Undercover Economist by Tim Harford, and one paper-book chapter, 'Towards a Theory of Economic Forecasting', In Hargreaves, C. (Ed.) (1994), Non-stationary Time-series Analysis and Cointegration, with M.P. Clements.
Evangelos Spiliotis

Evangelos Spiliotis

2022-04-1242:19

Evangelos Spiliotis is a Research Fellow at the Forecasting and Strategy Unit, National Technical University of Athens (NTUA). He co-organised the M4 and M5 Forecasting Competitions and is an organiser of the M6 competition.Evangelos talks about his research directions, highlighting the role of machine learning algorithms in time series forecasting within current business processes. He also discusses the M competitions which have been organized by Professor Spyros Makridakis and Evangelos for the last several years. The M6 competition, a competition on forecasts of stock price (returns) and risk, is live now and will be finalised in February 2023.Evangelos recommends Forecasting: Principles and Practice (3rd ed) by Rob J Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos and Practical Time Series Forecasting with R: A Hands-On Guide by Galit Shmueli and Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr.He also recommends the following papers: Forecasting: Theory and Practice by Petropoulos et al., Retail forecasting: Research and Practice by Fildes, Ma and Kolassa, and the special International Journal of Forecasting issues on the M competitions. 
Paul Goodwin

Paul Goodwin

2022-03-0839:21

Our next guest is Paul Goodwin, Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, United Kingdom.Paul is a fantastic speaker, well-known for his research in judgemental forecasting, and author of numerous books. This conversation developed into several exciting tracks. We discussed uncertainty and human perception, a combination of statistical models (especially in spreadsheets) and judgments, and their use in the current forecasting software.Paul recommends Principles of Business Forecasting by Keith Ord, Robert Fildes and Nikolaos Kourentzes. 
Elaine Deschamps

Elaine Deschamps

2022-02-0829:29

This episode’s guest is Elaine Deschamps, Executive Director of the Washington State Caseload Forecast Council, an independent state agency. Elaine has spent 25 years in public service, previously as Senior Fiscal Analyst for the Washington State Senate Ways and Means Committee, in charge of the low-income health care and public health budgets.Elaine explains how public service forecasting works and the role of judgment and scenario planning in policy settings. Also, we talk a bit about a “new normal” in the Covid era and the challenges it imposes on forecasters.Elaine recommends “Foresight” Guidebooks, especially “Improving Your Forecasting Process”, “Forecasting Methods Tutorials”, and “Forecast Accuracy Measurement: Pitfalls to Avoid and Practices to Adopt”.
Our next guests are John Boylan, Professor and Director of Centre for Marketing Analytics and Forecasting (CMAF) at Lancaster University (UK), and Aris Syntetos, Professor of Operational Research and Operations Management at Cardiff University. John and Aris have recently published a book titled “Intermittent Demand Forecasting: Context, Methods and Applications”, a book aimed at practitioners and early career researchers which summarises everything known about intermittent demand forecasting up to date. In this episode, we introduce this book and then talk about good practices for research and industry collaborations.John recommends “Inventory and Production Management in Supply Chains” by E. Silver, D. Pyke, D. Thomas, and Aris talks about “Statistical forecasting for inventory control” and “Smoothing, Forecasting and Prediction of Discrete Time Series” by Robert Goodell Brown.
Anne Robinson

Anne Robinson

2021-12-1435:09

This episode’s guest is Dr. Anne Robinson, Chief Strategy Officer at Kinaxis. Anne is a thought leader in the field of analytics and digital transformation, with expertise in operations, supply chain and strategy.In this episode, Anne talks about her career path from academia to the customer and software vendor experience. We also discuss the role of trust and analytical and soft skills that are key to success in the field. What are the crucial components of agile planning, forecasting and supply chain management? Anne shares her vision and ideas, enjoy!
Feng Li

Feng Li

2021-11-1429:50

Our next guest is Feng Li, Associate Professor of Statistics in the School of Statistics and Mathematics at Central University of Finance and Economics in Beijing, China.    In this episode, he describes the current status of forecasting science and practice in China, his research focus, and his lab KLLAB, where he and his wife Dr Yanfei Kang are focused on computing, forecasting and learning with massive machines. We also discussed in depth one of his papers entitled "Time series forecasting with imaging". 
Nada Sanders

Nada Sanders

2021-10-1447:54

Our next guest is Professor Nada Sanders, Distinguished Professor in Supply Chain Management at Northeastern University, US. She has written several books (e.g., “Big Data Driven Supply Chain Management” (Pearson), “Foundations of Sustainable Business”, “Forecasting Fundamentals”), her latest publication is “The Humachine: Humankind, Machines, and the Future of Enterprise”.In this episode, Nada emphasizes the important role of humans in decision-making and predictions. Despite humans’ fallacies and biases, we bring valuable contextual information into analytics. While there are many open questions about the use of human judgment in forecasting, another level of complexity is arising—the use of algorithms and support systems. Nada also encourages academics and practitioners to work together, especially given the global problems in supply chain and forecasting that have arisen with the COVID pandemic. Nada recommends “Judgment and Choice” by Robin Hogarth and the collective body of papers by Robert Fildes and Paul Goodwin.
Pierre Pinson

Pierre Pinson

2021-09-1443:13

This episode’s guest is Pierre Pinson, Professor of Operations Research at the Technical University of Denmark (DTU), Department of Technology, Management and Economics (Management Science division), and Editor-in-Chief for the International Journal of Forecasting. In this episode, we talk about weather forecasting and communicating uncertainty to a broader audience. Following the current trends, we discuss energy consumption and the possibility of using renewables across the world. Pierre also shares his experience being Editor-in-Chief of the IJF and his views on the future of forecasting. Pierre recommends Forecasting: Principles and Practice (3rd ed) by Rob J Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos, and also the paper “Computing and graphing highest density regions” by Rob Hyndman.
Bahman Rostami Tabar

Bahman Rostami Tabar

2021-08-1738:08

In this episode, we had the honour to host Dr. Bahman Rostami-Tabar from Cardiff University. Bahman is a Senior Lecturer (Associate Professor) in Management Science at Cardiff Business School. His research focuses on forecasting, modelling and its link to decision making, particularly in forecasting for social good. He is the organizer of the Forecasting for Social Good workshops which investigate how and where forecasting can be used to create societal impact. He is also the organiser of the Democratising Forecasting workshops, an initiative sponsored by the International Institute of Forecasters, which provides forecasting tools in developing countries. In addition, he hosts a book club on forecasting — if you want to improve your forecasting skills, you can join along.Bahman’s book suggestions include Forecasting: Principles and Practices, by Rob J Hyndman and George Athanasopoulos, and Demand Forecasting for Managers, by Enno Siemsen and Stephan Kolassa.
Michael Gilliland

Michael Gilliland

2021-07-1534:21

Our next guest is Michael Gilliland, Product Marketing Manager at SAS, member of the board of directors of the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) and Associate Editor of Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting.In this episode, Mike tells us how he started his career in forecasting and became a part of the IIF. We also discuss ML/AI methods' role in forecasting and the potential problems and challenges. At the end of this talk, Mike gives several recommendations for must-reads.
This special episode is dedicated to the International Institute of Forecasters (IIF) and the International Symposium on Forecasting (ISF). George Athanasopoulos, the current IIF President, is the Professor and Deputy Head of the Department of Econometrics & Business Statistics at Monash University, Australia. Pam Stroud has been the IIF Business Director for the last 15 years. In this episode, we talk about some details of conference organisation, funny "behind the scenes" stories, and new features and directions.If you miss the warm and friendly atmosphere of the ISFs, join us in this lovely chat!
Spyros Makridakis

Spyros Makridakis

2021-06-1435:34

Our next guest is Spyros Makridakis, Professor at the University of Nicosia, the director of the Institute For the Future (IFF), and an Emeritus Professor at INSEAD. Spyros is also one of the co-founders of the IIF and has significantly contributed to the field by running famous forecasting M-competitions.In this episode, we get his advice on how to build a forecasting career and why strategy is so important. He shares his opinion on the best current forecasting methods and practices.  Spyros recommends some of his favourite books,  Forecasting Methods for Management and Business Forecasting: Practical Problems and Solutions, along with these papers Accuracy of Forecasting: An Empirical Investigation, and A brief history of forecasting competitions.
Stephan Kolassa

Stephan Kolassa

2021-05-1443:16

This episode’s guest is Stephan Kolassa, Data Science Expert at SAP Switzerland AG, Honorary Researcher, and Associate Editor for the practitioner-oriented journal Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting.Stephan’s varied work allows him to bring insights from business into academia, combining the best of both worlds. This episode discusses his day-to-day job, his research, and advice on how to build a connection between the two.Stephan mentioned his recent webinars:Forecasting Retail Demand: https://youtu.be/sUlToPvftFw Forecast Accuracy: https://youtu.be/pD_yEmEQCeo
This episode’s guest is Gloria González-Rivera, Professor of Economics and Associate Dean, College of Humanities, Arts and Social Sciences, at the University of California Riverside, USA. In the episode, we discuss important topics such as the issues with diversity in our community and how to advocate for positivity and open-mindedness, especially in connections between academic forecasters and practitioners. These collaborations and relationships are critical to the industry’s progress. Gloria also shares her forecasting story and philosophy for life.
Comments 
Download from Google Play
Download from App Store