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Future of Life Institute Podcast

Future of Life Institute Podcast
Author: Future of Life Institute
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The Future of Life Institute (FLI) is a nonprofit working to reduce global catastrophic and existential risk from powerful technologies. In particular, FLI focuses on risks from artificial intelligence (AI), biotechnology, nuclear weapons and climate change.
The Institute's work is made up of three main strands: grantmaking for risk reduction, educational outreach, and advocacy within the United Nations, US government and European Union institutions.
FLI has become one of the world's leading voices on the governance of AI having created one of the earliest and most influential sets of governance principles: the Asilomar AI Principles.
The Institute's work is made up of three main strands: grantmaking for risk reduction, educational outreach, and advocacy within the United Nations, US government and European Union institutions.
FLI has become one of the world's leading voices on the governance of AI having created one of the earliest and most influential sets of governance principles: the Asilomar AI Principles.
195 Episodes
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Darren McKee joins the podcast to discuss how AI might be difficult to control, which goals and traits AI systems will develop, and whether there's a unified solution to AI alignment.
Timestamps:
00:00 Uncontrollable superintelligence
16:41 AI goals and the "virus analogy"
28:36 Speed of AI cognition
39:25 Narrow AI and autonomy
52:23 Reliability of current and future AI
1:02:33 Planning for multiple AI scenarios
1:18:57 Will AIs seek self-preservation?
1:27:57 Is there a unified solution to AI alignment?
1:30:26 Concrete AI safety proposals
Mark Brakel (Director of Policy at the Future of Life Institute) joins the podcast to discuss the AI Safety Summit in Bletchley Park, objections to AI policy, AI regulation in the EU and US, global institutions for safe AI, and autonomy in weapon systems.
Timestamps:
00:00 AI Safety Summit in the UK
12:18 Are officials up to date on AI?
23:22 Objections to AI policy
31:27 The EU AI Act
43:37 The right level of regulation
57:11 Risks and regulatory tools
1:04:44 Open-source AI
1:14:56 Subsidising AI safety research
1:26:29 Global institutions for safe AI
1:34:34 Autonomy in weapon systems
Dan Hendrycks joins the podcast again to discuss X.ai, how AI risk thinking has evolved, malicious use of AI, AI race dynamics between companies and between militaries, making AI organizations safer, and how representation engineering could help us understand AI traits like deception. You can learn more about Dan's work at https://www.safe.ai
Timestamps:
00:00 X.ai - Elon Musk's new AI venture
02:41 How AI risk thinking has evolved
12:58 AI bioengeneering
19:16 AI agents
24:55 Preventing autocracy
34:11 AI race - corporations and militaries
48:04 Bulletproofing AI organizations
1:07:51 Open-source models
1:15:35 Dan's textbook on AI safety
1:22:58 Rogue AI
1:28:09 LLMs and value specification
1:33:14 AI goal drift
1:41:10 Power-seeking AI
1:52:07 AI deception
1:57:53 Representation engineering
Samuel Hammond joins the podcast to discuss how AGI will transform economies, governments, institutions, and other power structures. You can read Samuel's blog at https://www.secondbest.ca
Timestamps:
00:00 Is AGI close?
06:56 Compute versus data
09:59 Information theory
20:36 Universality of learning
24:53 Hards steps in evolution
30:30 Governments and advanced AI
40:33 How will AI transform the economy?
55:26 How will AI change transaction costs?
1:00:31 Isolated thinking about AI
1:09:43 AI and Leviathan
1:13:01 Informational resolution
1:18:36 Open-source AI
1:21:24 AI will decrease state power
1:33:17 Timeline of a techno-feudalist future
1:40:28 Alignment difficulty and AI scale
1:45:19 Solving robotics
1:54:40 A constrained Leviathan
1:57:41 An Apollo Project for AI safety
2:04:29 Secure "gain-of-function" AI research
2:06:43 Is the market expecting AGI soon?
Are we doomed to a future of loneliness and unfulfilling online interactions? What if technology made us feel more connected instead?
Imagine a World is a podcast exploring a range of plausible and positive futures with advanced AI, produced by the Future of Life Institute. We interview the creators of 8 diverse and thought provoking imagined futures that we received as part of the worldbuilding contest FLI ran last year
In the eighth and final episode of Imagine A World we explore the fictional worldbuild titled 'Computing Counsel', one of the third place winners of FLI’s worldbuilding contest.
Guillaume Riesen talks to Mark L, one of the three members of the team behind 'Computing Counsel', a third-place winner of the FLI Worldbuilding Contest. Mark is a machine learning expert with a chemical engineering degree, as well as an amateur writer. His teammates are Patrick B, a mechanical engineer and graphic designer, and Natalia C, a biological anthropologist and amateur programmer.
This world paints a vivid, nuanced picture of how emerging technologies shape society. We have advertisers competing with ad-filtering technologies and an escalating arms race that eventually puts an end to the internet as we know it. There is AI-generated art so personalized that it becomes addictive to some consumers, while others boycott media technologies altogether. And corporations begin to throw each other under the bus in an effort to redistribute the wealth of their competitors to their own customers.
While these conflicts are messy, they generally end up empowering and enriching the lives of the people in this world. New kinds of AI systems give them better data, better advice, and eventually the opportunity for genuine relationships with the beings these tools have become. The impact of any technology on society is complex and multifaceted. This world does a great job of capturing that.
While social networking technologies become ever more powerful, the networks of people they connect don't necessarily just get wider and shallower. Instead, they tend to be smaller and more intimately interconnected. The world's inhabitants also have nuanced attitudes towards A.I. tools, embracing or avoiding their applications based on their religious or philosophical beliefs.
Please note: This episode explores the ideas created as part of FLI’s worldbuilding contest, and our hope is that this series sparks discussion about the kinds of futures we want. The ideas present in these imagined worlds and in our podcast are not to be taken as FLI endorsed positions.
Explore this worldbuild: https://worldbuild.ai/computing-counsel
The podcast is produced by the Future of Life Institute (FLI), a non-profit dedicated to guiding transformative technologies for humanity's benefit and reducing existential risks. To achieve this we engage in policy advocacy, grantmaking and educational outreach across three major areas: artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and biotechnology. If you are a storyteller, FLI can support you with scientific insights and help you understand the incredible narrative potential of these world-changing technologies. If you would like to learn more, or are interested in collaborating with the teams featured in our episodes, please email worldbuild@futureoflife.org.
You can find more about our work at www.futureoflife.org, or subscribe to our newsletter to get updates on all our projects.
Let’s imagine a future where AGI is developed but kept at a distance from practically impacting the world, while narrow AI remakes the world completely. Most people don’t know or care about the difference and have no idea how they could distinguish between a human or artificial stranger. Inequality sticks around and AI fractures society into separate media bubbles with irreconcilable perspectives. But it's not all bad. AI markedly improves the general quality of life, enhancing medicine and therapy, and those bubbles help to sustain their inhabitants. Can you get excited about a world with these tradeoffs?
Imagine a World is a podcast exploring a range of plausible and positive futures with advanced AI, produced by the Future of Life Institute. We interview the creators of 8 diverse and thought provoking imagined futures that we received as part of the worldbuilding contest FLI ran last year
In the seventh episode of Imagine A World we explore a fictional worldbuild titled 'Hall of Mirrors', which was a third-place winner of FLI's worldbuilding contest.
Michael Vasser joins Guillaume Riesen to discuss his imagined future, which he created with the help of Matija Franklin and Bryce Hidysmith. Vassar was formerly the president of the Singularity Institute, and co-founded Metamed; more recently he has worked on communication across political divisions. Franklin is a PhD student at UCL working on AI Ethics and Alignment. Finally, Hidysmith began in fashion design, passed through fortune-telling before winding up in finance and policy research, at places like Numerai, the Median Group, Bismarck Analysis, and Eco.com.
Hall of Mirrors is a deeply unstable world where nothing is as it seems. The structures of power that we know today have eroded away, survived only by shells of expectation and appearance. People are isolated by perceptual bubbles and struggle to agree on what is real.
This team put a lot of effort into creating a plausible, empirically grounded world, but their work is also notable for its irreverence and dark humor. In some ways, this world is kind of a caricature of the present. We see deeper isolation and polarization caused by media, and a proliferation of powerful but ultimately limited AI tools that further erode our sense of objective reality. A deep instability threatens. And yet, on a human level, things seem relatively calm. It turns out that the stories we tell ourselves about the world have a lot of inertia, and so do the ways we live our lives.
Please note: This episode explores the ideas created as part of FLI’s worldbuilding contest, and our hope is that this series sparks discussion about the kinds of futures we want. The ideas present in these imagined worlds and in our podcast are not to be taken as FLI endorsed positions.
Explore this worldbuild: https://worldbuild.ai/hall-of-mirrors
The podcast is produced by the Future of Life Institute (FLI), a non-profit dedicated to guiding transformative technologies for humanity's benefit and reducing existential risks. To achieve this we engage in policy advocacy, grantmaking and educational outreach across three major areas: artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and biotechnology. If you are a storyteller, FLI can support you with scientific insights and help you understand the incredible narrative potential of these world-changing technologies. If you would like to learn more, or are interested in collaborating with the teams featured in our episodes, please email worldbuild@futureoflife.org.
You can find more about our work at www.futureoflife.org, or subscribe to our newsletter to get updates on all our projects.
Steve Omohundro joins the podcast to discuss Provably Safe Systems, a paper he co-authored with FLI President Max Tegmark. You can read the paper here: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2309.01933.pdf
Timestamps:
00:00 Provably safe AI systems
12:17 Alignment and evaluations
21:08 Proofs about language model behavior
27:11 Can we formalize safety?
30:29 Provable contracts
43:13 Digital replicas of actual systems
46:32 Proof-carrying code
56:25 Can language models think logically?
1:00:44 Can AI do proofs for us?
1:09:23 Hard to proof, easy to verify
1:14:31 Digital neuroscience
1:20:01 Risks of totalitarianism
1:22:29 Can we guarantee safety?
1:25:04 Real-world provable safety
1:29:29 Tamper-proof hardware
1:35:35 Mortal and throttled AI
1:39:23 Least-privilege guarantee
1:41:53 Basic AI drives
1:47:47 AI agency and world models
1:52:08 Self-improving AI
1:58:21 Is AI overhyped now?
What if AI allowed us to communicate with animals? Could interspecies communication lead to new levels of empathy? How might communicating with animals lead humans to reimagine our place in the natural world?
Imagine a World is a podcast exploring a range of plausible and positive futures with advanced AI, produced by the Future of Life Institute. We interview the creators of 8 diverse and thought provoking imagined futures that we received as part of the worldbuilding contest FLI ran last year.
In the sixth episode of Imagine A World we explore the fictional worldbuild titled 'AI for the People', a third place winner of the worldbuilding contest.
Our host Guillaume Riesen welcomes Chi Rainer Bornfree, part of this three-person worldbuilding team alongside her husband Micah White, and their collaborator, J.R. Harris. Chi has a PhD in Rhetoric from UC Berkeley and has taught at Bard, Princeton, and NY State Correctional facilities, in the meantime writing fiction, essays, letters, and more. Micah, best-known as the co-creator of the 'Occupy Wall Street' movement and the author of 'The End of Protest', now focuses primarily on the social potential of cryptocurrencies, while Harris is a freelance illustrator and comic artist.
The name 'AI for the People' does a great job of capturing this team's activist perspective and their commitment to empowerment. They imagine social and political shifts that bring power back into the hands of individuals, whether that means serving as lawmakers on randomly selected committees, or gaining income by choosing to sell their personal data online. But this world isn't just about human people. Its biggest bombshell is an AI breakthrough that allows humans to communicate with other animals. What follows is an existential reconsideration of humanity's place in the universe. This team has created an intimate, complex portrait of a world shared by multiple parties: AIs, humans, other animals, and the environment itself. As these entities find their way forward together, their goals become enmeshed and their boundaries increasingly blurred.
Please note: This episode explores the ideas created as part of FLI’s worldbuilding contest, and our hope is that this series sparks discussion about the kinds of futures we want. The ideas present in these imagined worlds and in our podcast are not to be taken as FLI endorsed positions.
Explore this worldbuild: https://worldbuild.ai/ai-for-the-people
The podcast is produced by the Future of Life Institute (FLI), a non-profit dedicated to guiding transformative technologies for humanity's benefit and reducing existential risks. To achieve this we engage in policy advocacy, grantmaking and educational outreach across three major areas: artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and biotechnology. If you are a storyteller, FLI can support you with scientific insights and help you understand the incredible narrative potential of these world-changing technologies. If you would like to learn more, or are interested in collaborating with the teams featured in our episodes, please email worldbuild@futureoflife.org.
You can find more about our work at www.futureoflife.org, or subscribe to our newsletter to get updates on all our projects
Media and resources referenced in the episode:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Life_3.0
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1_the_Road
https://ignota.org/products/pharmako-ai
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Ministry_for_the_Future
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-scientists-are-using-ai-to-talk-to-animals/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occupy_Wall_Street
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sortition
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iroquois
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Ship_Who_Sang
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sparrow_(novel)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/After_Yang
If you could extend your life, would you? How might life extension technologies create new social and political divides? How can the world unite to solve the great problems of our time, like AI risk? What if AI creators could agree on an inspection process to expose AI dangers before they're unleashed?
Imagine a World is a podcast exploring a range of plausible and positive futures with advanced AI, produced by the Future of Life Institute. We interview the creators of 8 diverse and thought provoking imagined futures that we received as part of the worldbuilding contest FLI ran last year
In the fifth episode of Imagine A World, we explore the fictional worldbuild titled 'To Light’. Our host Guillaume Riesen speaks to Mako Yass, the first place winner of the FLI Worldbuilding Contest we ran last year. Mako lives in Auckland, New Zealand. He describes himself as a 'stray philosopher-designer', and has a background in computer programming and analytic philosophy.
Mako’s world is particularly imaginative, with richly interwoven narrative threads and high-concept sci fi inventions. By 2045, his world has been deeply transformed. There’s an AI-designed miracle pill that greatly extends lifespan and eradicates most human diseases. Sachets of this life-saving medicine are distributed freely by dove-shaped drones. There’s a kind of mind uploading which lets anyone become whatever they wish, live indefinitely and gain augmented intelligence. The distribution of wealth is almost perfectly even, with every human assigned a share of all resources. Some people move into space, building massive structures around the sun where they practice esoteric arts in pursuit of a more perfect peace.
While this peaceful, flourishing end state is deeply optimistic, Mako is also very conscious of the challenges facing humanity along the way. He sees a strong need for global collaboration and investment to avoid catastrophe as humanity develops more and more powerful technologies. He’s particularly concerned with the risks presented by artificial intelligence systems as they surpass us. An AI system that is more capable than a human at all tasks - not just playing chess or driving a car - is what we’d call an Artificial General Intelligence - abbreviated ‘AGI’.
Mako proposes that we could build safe AIs through radical transparency. He imagines tests that could reveal the true intentions and expectations of AI systems before they are released into the world.
Please note: This episode explores the ideas created as part of FLI’s worldbuilding contest, and our hope is that this series sparks discussion about the kinds of futures we want. The ideas present in these imagined worlds and in our podcast are not to be taken as FLI endorsed positions.
Explore this worldbuild: https://worldbuild.ai/to-light
The podcast is produced by the Future of Life Institute (FLI), a non-profit dedicated to guiding transformative technologies for humanity's benefit and reducing existential risks. To achieve this we engage in policy advocacy, grantmaking and educational outreach across three major areas: artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and biotechnology. If you are a storyteller, FLI can support you with scientific insights and help you understand the incredible narrative potential of these world-changing technologies. If you would like to learn more, or are interested in collaborating with the teams featured in our episodes, please email worldbuild@futureoflife.org.
You can find more about our work at www.futureoflife.org, or subscribe to our newsletter to get updates on all our projects
Media and concepts referenced in the episode:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terra_Ignota
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Transparent_Society
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instrumental_convergence#Paperclip_maximizer
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Elephant_in_the_Brain
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Matrix
https://aboutmako.makopool.com/
Johannes Ackva joins the podcast to discuss the main drivers of climate change and our best technological and governmental options for managing it. You can read more about Johannes' work at http://founderspledge.com/climate
Timestamps:
00:00 Johannes's journey as an environmentalist
13:21 The drivers of climate change
23:00 Oil, coal, and gas
38:05 Solar, wind, and hydro
49:34 Nuclear energy
57:03 Geothermal energy
1:00:41 Most promising technologies
1:05:40 Government subsidies
1:13:28 Carbon taxation
1:17:10 Planting trees
1:21:53 Influencing government policy
1:26:39 Different climate scenarios
1:34:49 Economic growth and emissions
1:37:23 Social stability
References:
Emissions by sector: https://ourworldindata.org/emissions-by-sector
Energy density of different energy sources: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-022-25341-9
Emissions forecasts: https://www.lse.ac.uk/granthaminstitute/publication/the-unconditional-probability-distribution-of-future-emissions-and-temperatures/ and https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adg6248
Risk management: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6JJvIR1W-xI
Carbon pricing: https://www.cell.com/joule/pdf/S2542-4351(18)30567-1.pdf
Why not simply plant trees?: https://climate.mit.edu/ask-mit/how-many-new-trees-would-we-need-offset-our-carbon-emissions
Deforestation: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.ade3535
Decoupling of economic growth and emissions: https://www.globalcarbonproject.org/carbonbudget/22/highlights.htm
Premature deaths from air pollution: https://www.unep.org/interactives/air-pollution-note/
How do low income countries affected by climate change imagine their futures? How do they overcome these twin challenges? Will all nations eventually choose or be forced to go digital?
Imagine a World is a podcast exploring a range of plausible and positive futures with advanced AI, produced by the Future of Life Institute. We interview the creators of 8 diverse and thought provoking imagined futures that we received as part of the worldbuilding contest FLI ran last year.
In the fourth episode of Imagine A World, we explore the fictional worldbuild titled 'Digital Nations'.
Conrad Whitaker and Tracey Kamande join Guillaume Riesen on 'Imagine a World' to talk about their worldbuild, 'Digital Nations', which they created with their teammate, Dexter Findley. All three worldbuilders were based in Kenya while crafting their entry, though Dexter has just recently moved to the UK. Conrad is a Nairobi-based startup advisor and entrepreneur, Dexter works in humanitarian aid, and Tracey is the Co-founder of FunKe Science, a platform that promotes interactive learning of science among school children.
As the name suggests, this world is a deep dive into virtual communities. It explores how people might find belonging and representation on the global stage through digital nations that aren't tied to any physical location. This world also features a fascinating and imaginative kind of artificial intelligence that they call 'digital persons'. These are inspired by biological brains and have a rich internal psychology. Rather than being trained on data, they're considered to be raised in digital nurseries. They have a nuanced but mostly loving relationship with humanity, with some even going on to found their own digital nations for us to join.
In an incredible turn of events, last year the South Pacific state of Tuvalu was the first to “go virtual” in response to sea levels threatening the island nation's physical territory. This happened in real life just months after it was written into this imagined world in our worldbuilding contest, showing how rapidly ideas that seem ‘out there’ can become reality. Will all nations eventually go digital? And might AGIs be assimilated, 'brought up' rather than merely trained, as 'digital people', citizens to live communally alongside humans in these futuristic states?
Please note: This episode explores the ideas created as part of FLI’s worldbuilding contest, and our hope is that this series sparks discussion about the kinds of futures we want. The ideas present in these imagined worlds and in our podcast are not to be taken as FLI endorsed positions.
Explore this worldbuild: https://worldbuild.ai/digital-nations
The podcast is produced by the Future of Life Institute (FLI), a non-profit dedicated to guiding transformative technologies for humanity's benefit and reducing existential risks. To achieve this we engage in policy advocacy, grantmaking and educational outreach across three major areas: artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and biotechnology. If you are a storyteller, FLI can support you with scientific insights and help you understand the incredible narrative potential of these world-changing technologies. If you would like to learn more, or are interested in collaborating with the teams featured in our episodes, please email worldbuild@futureoflife.org.
You can find more about our work at www.futureoflife.org, or subscribe to our newsletter to get updates on all our projects
Media and concepts referenced in the episode:
https://www.tuvalu.tv/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trolley_problem
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change_in_Kenya
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_von_Neumann
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Brave_New_World
https://thenetworkstate.com/the-network-state
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Culture_series
What if we had one advanced AI system for the entire world? Would this led to a world 'beyond' nation states - and do we want this?
Imagine a World is a podcast exploring a range of plausible and positive futures with advanced AI, produced by the Future of Life Institute. We interview the creators of 8 diverse and thought provoking imagined futures that we received as part of the worldbuilding contest FLI ran last year.
In the third episode of Imagine A World, we explore the fictional worldbuild titled 'Core Central'.
How does a team of seven academics agree on one cohesive imagined world? That's a question the team behind 'Core Central', a second-place prizewinner in the FLI Worldbuilding Contest, had to figure out as they went along. In the end, this entry's realistic sense of multipolarity and messiness reflect positively its organic formulation. The team settled on one core, centralised AGI system as the governance model for their entire world. This eventually moves their world 'beyond' nation states. Could this really work?
In this third episode of 'Imagine a World', Guillaume Riesen speaks to two of the academics in this team, John Burden and Henry Shevlin, representing the team that created 'Core Central'. The full team includes seven members, three of whom (Henry, John and Beba Cibralic) are researchers at the Leverhulme Centre for the Future of Intelligence, University of Cambridge, and five of whom (Jessica Bland, Lara Mani, Clarissa Rios Rojas, Catherine Richards alongside John) work with the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, also at Cambridge University.
Please note: This episode explores the ideas created as part of FLI’s worldbuilding contest, and our hope is that this series sparks discussion about the kinds of futures we want. The ideas present in these imagined worlds and in our podcast are not to be taken as FLI endorsed positions.
Explore this imagined world: https://worldbuild.ai/core-central
The podcast is produced by the Future of Life Institute (FLI), a non-profit dedicated to guiding transformative technologies for humanity's benefit and reducing existential risks. To achieve this we engage in policy advocacy, grantmaking and educational outreach across three major areas: artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and biotechnology. If you are a storyteller, FLI can support you with scientific insights and help you understand the incredible narrative potential of these world-changing technologies. If you would like to learn more, or are interested in collaborating with the teams featured in our episodes, please email worldbuild@futureoflife.org.
You can find more about our work at www.futureoflife.org, or subscribe to our newsletter to get updates on all our projects
Media and Concepts referenced in the episode:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Culture_series
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Expanse_(TV_series)
https://www.vox.com/authors/kelsey-piper
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gratitude_journal
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Diamond_Age
https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-mind-of-an-octopus/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_workspace_theory
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alien_hand_syndrome
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperion_(Simmons_novel)
Tom Davidson joins the podcast to discuss how AI could quickly automate most cognitive tasks, including AI research, and why this would be risky.
Timestamps:
00:00 The current pace of AI
03:58 Near-term risks from AI
09:34 Historical analogies to AI
13:58 AI benchmarks VS economic impact
18:30 AI takeoff speed and bottlenecks
31:09 Tom's model of AI takeoff speed
36:21 How AI could automate AI research
41:49 Bottlenecks to AI automating AI hardware
46:15 How much of AI research is automated now?
48:26 From 20% to 100% automation
53:24 AI takeoff in 3 years
1:09:15 Economic impacts of fast AI takeoff
1:12:51 Bottlenecks slowing AI takeoff
1:20:06 Does the market predict a fast AI takeoff?
1:25:39 "Hard to avoid AGI by 2060"
1:27:22 Risks from AI over the next 20 years
1:31:43 AI progress without more compute
1:44:01 What if AI models fail safety evaluations?
1:45:33 Cybersecurity at AI companies
1:47:33 Will AI turn out well for humanity?
1:50:15 AI and board games
How does who is involved in the design of AI affect the possibilities for our future? Why isn’t the design of AI inclusive already? Can technology solve all our problems? Can human nature change? Do we want either of these things to happen?
Imagine a World is a podcast exploring a range of plausible and positive futures with advanced AI, produced by the Future of Life Institute. We interview the creators of 8 diverse and thought provoking imagined futures that we received as part of the worldbuilding contest FLI ran last year
In this second episode of Imagine A World we explore the fictional worldbuild titled 'Crossing Points', a second place entry in FLI's worldbuilding contest.
Joining Guillaume Riesen on the Imagine a World podcast this time are two members of the Crossing Points team, Elaine Czech and Vanessa Hanschke, both academics at the University of Bristol. Elaine has a background in art and design, and is studying the accessibility of technologies for the elderly. Vanessa is studying responsible AI practices of technologists, using methods like storytelling to promote diverse voices in AI research. Their teammates in the contest were Tashi Namgyal, a University of Bristol PhD studying the controllability of deep generative models, Dr. Susan Lechelt, who researches the applications and implications of emerging technologies at the University of Edinburgh, and Nicol Ogston, a British civil servant.
There's an emphasis on the unanticipated impacts of new technologies on those who weren't considered during their development. From urban families in Indonesia to anti-technology extremists in America, we're shown that there's something to learn from every human story. This world emphasizes the importance of broadening our lens and empowering marginalized voices in order to build a future that would be bright for more than just a privileged few.
The world of Crossing Points looks pretty different from our own, with advanced AIs debating philosophy on TV and hybrid 3D printed meats and grocery stores. But the people in this world are still basically the same. Our hopes and dreams haven't fundamentally changed, and neither have our blindspots and shortcomings. Crossing Points embraces humanity in all its diversity and looks for the solutions that human nature presents alongside the problems. It shows that there's something to learn from everyone's experience and that even the most radical attitudes can offer insights that help to build a better world.
Please note: This episode explores the ideas created as part of FLI’s worldbuilding contest, and our hope is that this series sparks discussion about the kinds of futures we want. The ideas present in these imagined worlds and in our podcast are not to be taken as FLI endorsed positions.
Explore this worldbuild: https://worldbuild.ai/crossing-points
The podcast is produced by the Future of Life Institute (FLI), a non-profit dedicated to guiding transformative technologies for humanity's benefit and reducing existential risks. To achieve this we engage in policy advocacy, grantmaking and educational outreach across three major areas: artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and biotechnology. If you are a storyteller, FLI can support you with scientific insights and help you understand the incredible narrative potential of these world-changing technologies. If you would like to learn more, or are interested in collaborating with the teams featured in our episodes, please email worldbuild@futureoflife.org.
You can find more about our work at www.futureoflife.org, or subscribe to our newsletter to get updates on all our projects.
Works referenced in this episode:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Legend_of_Zelda
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ainu_people
https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/34846958-radicals
http://www.historyofmasks.net/famous-masks/noh-mask/
Are today's democratic systems equipped well enough to create the best possible future for everyone? If they're not, what systems might work better? And are governments around the world taking the destabilizing threats of new technologies seriously enough, or will it take a dramatic event, such as an AI-driven war, to get their act together?
Imagine a World is a podcast exploring a range of plausible and positive futures with advanced AI, produced by the Future of Life Institute. We interview the creators of 8 diverse and thought provoking imagined futures that we received as part of the worldbuilding contest FLI ran last year.
In this first episode of Imagine A World we explore the fictional worldbuild titled 'Peace Through Prophecy'.
Host Guillaume Riesen speaks to the makers of 'Peace Through Prophecy', a second place entry in FLI's Worldbuilding Contest. The worldbuild was created by Jackson Wagner, Diana Gurvich and Holly Oatley. In the episode, Jackson and Holly discuss just a few of the many ideas bubbling around in their imagined future.
At its core, this world is arguably about community. It asks how technology might bring us closer together, and allow us to reinvent our social systems. Many roads are explored, a whole garden of governance systems bolstered by Artificial Intelligence and other technologies. Overall, there's a shift towards more intimate and empowered communities. Even the AI systems eventually come to see their emotional and creative potentials realized. While progress is uneven, and littered with many human setbacks, a pretty good case is made for how everyone's best interests can lead us to a more positive future.
Please note: This episode explores the ideas created as part of FLI’s Worldbuilding contest, and our hope is that this series sparks discussion about the kinds of futures we want. The ideas present in these imagined worlds and in our podcast are not to be taken as FLI endorsed positions
Explore this imagined world: https://worldbuild.ai/peace-through-prophecy
The podcast is produced by the Future of Life Institute (FLI), a non-profit dedicated to guiding transformative technologies for humanity's benefit and reducing existential risks. To achieve this we engage in policy advocacy, grantmaking and educational outreach across three major areas: artificial intelligence, nuclear weapons, and biotechnology. If you are a storyteller, FLI can support you with scientific insights and help you understand the incredible narrative potential of these world-changing technologies. If you would like to learn more, or are interested in collaborating with the teams featured in our episodes, please email worldbuild@futureoflife.org.
You can find more about our work at www.futureoflife.org, or subscribe to our newsletter to get updates on all our projects.
Media and concepts referenced in the episode:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_market
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/
'Veil of ignorance' thought experiment: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Original_position
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isaac_Asimov
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Liquid_democracy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Dispossessed
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terra_Ignota
https://equilibriabook.com/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Rawls
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radical_transparency
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Audrey_Tang
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quadratic_voting#Quadratic_funding
Coming Soon…
The year is 2045. Humanity is not extinct, nor living in a dystopia. It has averted climate disaster and major wars. Instead, AI and other new technologies are helping to make the world more peaceful, happy and equal. How? This was what we asked the entrants of our Worldbuilding Contest to imagine last year.
Our new podcast series digs deeper into the eight winning entries, their ideas and solutions, the diverse teams behind them and the challenges they faced. You might love some; others you might not choose to inhabit. FLI is not endorsing any one idea. Rather, we hope to grow the conversation about what futures people get excited about.
Ask yourself, with each episode, is this a world you’d want to live in? And if not, what would you prefer?
Don’t miss the first two episodes coming to your feed at the start of September!
In the meantime, do explore the winning worlds, if you haven’t already: https://worldbuild.ai/
Robert Trager joins the podcast to discuss AI governance, the incentives of governments and companies, the track record of international regulation, the security dilemma in AI, cybersecurity at AI companies, and skepticism about AI governance. We also discuss Robert's forthcoming paper International Governance of Civilian AI: A Jurisdictional Certification Approach. You can read more about Robert's work at https://www.governance.ai
Timestamps:
00:00 The goals of AI governance
08:38 Incentives of governments and companies
18:58 Benefits of regulatory diversity
28:50 The track record of anticipatory regulation
37:55 The security dilemma in AI
46:20 Offense-defense balance in AI
53:27 Failure rates and international agreements
1:00:33 Verification of compliance
1:07:50 Controlling AI supply chains
1:13:47 Cybersecurity at AI companies
1:21:30 The jurisdictional certification approach
1:28:40 Objections to AI governance
Jason Crawford joins the podcast to discuss the history of progress, the future of economic growth, and the relationship between progress and risks from AI. You can read more about Jason's work at https://rootsofprogress.org
Timestamps:
00:00 Eras of human progress
06:47 Flywheels of progress
17:56 Main causes of progress
21:01 Progress and risk
32:49 Safety as part of progress
45:20 Slowing down specific technologies?
52:29 Four lenses on AI risk
58:48 Analogies causing disagreement
1:00:54 Solutionism about AI
1:10:43 Insurance, subsidies, and bug bounties for AI risk
1:13:24 How is AI different from other technologies?
1:15:54 Future scenarios of economic growth
On this special episode of the podcast, Jaan Tallinn talks with Nathan Labenz about Jaan's model of AI risk, the future of AI development, and pausing giant AI experiments.
Timestamps:
0:00 Nathan introduces Jaan
4:22 AI safety and Future of Life Institute
5:55 Jaan's first meeting with Eliezer Yudkowsky
12:04 Future of AI evolution
14:58 Jaan's investments in AI companies
23:06 The emerging danger paradigm
26:53 Economic transformation with AI
32:31 AI supervising itself
34:06 Language models and validation
38:49 Lack of insight into evolutionary selection process
41:56 Current estimate for life-ending catastrophe
44:52 Inverse scaling law
53:03 Our luck given the softness of language models
55:07 Future of language models
59:43 The Moore's law of mad science
1:01:45 GPT-5 type project
1:07:43 The AI race dynamics
1:09:43 AI alignment with the latest models
1:13:14 AI research investment and safety
1:19:43 What a six-month pause buys us
1:25:44 AI passing the Turing Test
1:28:16 AI safety and risk
1:32:01 Responsible AI development.
1:40:03 Neuralink implant technology
Joe Carlsmith joins the podcast to discuss how we change our minds about AI risk, gut feelings versus abstract models, and what to do if transformative AI is coming soon. You can read more about Joe's work at https://joecarlsmith.com.
Timestamps:
00:00 Predictable updating on AI risk
07:27 Abstract models versus gut feelings
22:06 How Joe began believing in AI risk
29:06 Is AI risk falsifiable?
35:39 Types of skepticisms about AI risk
44:51 Are we fundamentally confused?
53:35 Becoming alienated from ourselves?
1:00:12 What will change people's minds?
1:12:34 Outline of different futures
1:20:43 Humanity losing touch with reality
1:27:14 Can we understand AI sentience?
1:36:31 Distinguishing real from fake sentience
1:39:54 AI doomer epistemology
1:45:23 AI benchmarks versus real-world AI
1:53:00 AI improving AI research and development
2:01:08 What if transformative AI comes soon?
2:07:21 AI safety if transformative AI comes soon
2:16:52 AI systems interpreting other AI systems
2:19:38 Philosophy and transformative AI
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Brilliant!
What is with the demographics of the people interviewed? White male circle jerk? Few women and fewer POC.
as great as usual
great insightful conversation, thanks for sharing!
her best advice is to buy organic? wtf?
interviewer has amazing questioning skills impressive very open n concise.. however interviewee..Gonzalez fella could be less monotone, some enthusiasm n be concise. some pause,less jargon... im so harsh! haha..honestly its constructive criticism.. i ma perfectionist.