Life in the Markets

The Fed raised rates this week, and the bond market barely blinked. The 10-year Treasury briefly crossed 5% for the first time since 2007 before settling at 4.991%, but yields stayed remarkably flat, a far cry from the wild ride of 2022 and 2023. This week we explain why the percentage change matters more than the basis points, and why bonds may finally be getting back to being the boring, steady part of your portfolio. Visit the Show Notes page. Watch on YouTube Subscribe to The Stewardology...

This week brought a strong jobs report, a hotter-than-expected core CPI, and housing affordability slipping further out of reach. But underneath the headline numbers is a quieter trend worth our attention: men's employment has gone flat while women's has climbed, and the marriage data suggests that shift reaches well beyond anyone's portfolio. Visit the Show Notes page. Watch on YouTube Subscribe to The Stewardology Podcast Purchase Tim's Book, The Good Steward Visit TheLifeGroup.org The to...

Kevin Warsh gave his first Jackson Hole speech as Fed chairman on Friday, and while he never said the words "rate hike," traders heard them anyway. Odds of a September increase jumped from 35% to 62% by the afternoon. We also look at a new Venezuela oil deal, Nvidia's blowout quarter, and why the jobs report this Friday may matter more than anything Warsh said. Visit the Show Notes page. Watch on YouTube Subscribe to The Stewardology Podcast Purchase Tim's Book, The Good Steward Visit TheLife...

The national debt crossed $40 trillion this week, and it took just four and a half years to add the last $10 trillion of it. Meanwhile, the Fed and the Treasury spent the week moving in opposite directions on bond rates... One willing to let them rise to bring inflation down, the other buying bonds to push rates lower. Here's what that means for the overall markets. Visit the Show Notes page. Watch on YouTube Subscribe to The Stewardology Podcast Purchase Tim's Book, The Good Steward Visit Th...

Inflation is finally cooling, but why doesn't 3.4% feel like it? This week we break down what's really driving the numbers, why bankruptcies are quietly climbing even as the S&P 500 hits new highs, and what a wave of trillion-dollar IPOs (including Anthropic's) might be telling us about where this market is headed. Visit the Show Notes page. Watch on YouTube Subscribe to The Stewardology Podcast Purchase Tim's Book, The Good Steward Visit TheLifeGroup.org The topics discussed in t...