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tastylive: Engineering The Trade

tastylive: Engineering The Trade
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Description
Jermal Chandler shares his insight regarding what's going on in various markets, identifies notable option flow, and dishes out actionable trade ideas.
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In this episode of Engineering the Trade, Jermal discusses strategies ahead of the upcoming FOMC meeting. He emphasizes a cautious trading approach, noting his significant positions in Salesforce (CRM) and the Russell 2000 index. Jermal explores the potential for increased volatility and shares insights on buying volatility through VIX options. He also covers gold trades and his expectations for Fed-induced market reactions, while encouraging viewers to consider risk management and adjustments in their trading strategies during key economic events.
Risk is heightened in the markets, with equities, gold, bonds, and volatility trending positively. Tesla (TSLA) sees a notable stock increase, spurred by CEO Elon Musk's renewed involvement. The talk around a potential TikTok deal suggests possible benefits for Oracle (ORCL). The transcript highlights upcoming retail sales data and the FOMC's rate decision, emphasizing the market's anticipation of volatility in a largely quiet earnings week. Risk management strategies and recent IPO options trading also receive attention.
In this episode of "Engineering the Trade", Jermal Chandler and Josh Fabian discuss the week’s market developments, focusing on significant movements in stocks such as Oracle (ORCL), which saw a notable spike post-earnings. They also explore the ongoing mergers in media, including Skydance and Warner Brothers. As gold and silver prices reach new highs, the hosts consider various trading strategies amid low volatility and prepare for potential market shifts with the upcoming Fed meeting. They highlight the activity surrounding recent IPOs, including Klarna, and the challenges of navigating short-term trades.
Inflation remains a key focus as the CPI report shows increases, affecting job claims. Stocks like Opendoor (OPEN) have surged 74% amid lower rates, while Alibaba (BABA) and Baidu (BIDU) make strides in AI. Speculators are notably net short volatility (VIX), hinting at a potential market correction. The 10-2 year yield spread is flattening, indicating uncertainty for the Fed's dual mandate between managing inflation and job growth. Upcoming earnings from Adobe (ADBE) could impact sentiment.
In this episode of Engineering the Trade, host Jermal Chandler welcomes back Mat Cashman from the Options Industry Council to discuss the evolving landscape of options trading and macroeconomic factors affecting markets. They explore the complexities of the cryptocurrency space, including crypto treasury developments and the implications of Fed rate cuts on market volatility. Cashman emphasizes the importance of understanding implied volatility metrics like the VIX when assessing market conditions. They also analyze trading strategies in gold (GC) and silver (SI), highlighting the risks of trading commodities versus ETFs.
Inflation reports are set to be released this week, with expectations influencing market sentiment. The discussion highlights upcoming IPOs, specifically Klarna and Gemini, and their potential impact, particularly in a buy-now-pay-later environment. Bond movements are also a key focus, as market participants anticipate rate cuts due to recent job reports. Overall, the speakers suggest a rotation towards banks and consumer staples, considering current economic signals indicating a potential downturn.
In this episode of Engineering the Trade, Jermal Chandler and guest Errol Coleman analyze the recently released jobs report, which fell short of expectations, and its impact on market sentiment. They discuss the implications for potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and explore trading strategies, particularly regarding SPX (S&P 500 Index) options. Coleman shares insights on his positions in various stocks, including Google (GOOGL) and Lululemon (LULU), while evaluating trends in gold and silver. The conversation wraps up with reflections on trading strategies and market dynamics.
Salesforce (CRM) reported weaker earnings, raising concerns about its competitiveness against AI. As job growth slows, a potential Federal Reserve rate cut could benefit stocks, bonds and the U.S. Dollar -- not to mention the housing and banking sectors. With the NFL season starting, sportsbooks anticipate a record year for betting, projecting an 8% increase to around $30 billion. Finally, volatility in the market is decreasing, possibly leading to higher equity prices.
Gold (GC) and silver (SI) have surged recently, driven by expectations of interest rate cuts. Kraft Heinz (KHC) announced plans to dissolve its merger, aiming to refocus on grocery and sauce businesses after failing to achieve anticipated growth. Meanwhile, crude oil (CL) rose over 2% amid speculation about potential OPEC+ supply cuts. The week ahead features the non-farm payroll report, which may significantly impact market sentiments. Key financial metrics indicate a weak equity market as traders remain cautious ahead of economic indicators.
In this episode of "Engineering the Trade," Jermal Chandler discusses market conditions following NVIDIA's earnings and highlights the upcoming jobs report as key for the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts. With the S&P 500 and other indices remaining near highs, he notes a low-volatility environment, particularly with the VIX around 15. Chandler shares his trading thoughts on CRM (Salesforce) and considers entering a Zebra options strategy post-earnings. He also discusses recent trades on gold (GC) and shares insights into his market positions amid fluctuating volatility.
The discussion on today's Engineering the Trade centers around recent economic indicators, particularly the GDP report, which indicates resilient consumer spending despite concerns over tariffs. NVIDIA (NVDA) reported earnings amid uncertainties in China, leading to a flat stock performance. Tesla (TSLA) faces challenges with declining European sales. Jermal shares thoughts on hurricane damage statistics in light of Hurricane Katrina's twentieth anniversary and highlights a low-volatility trading environment, emphasizing the importance of consumer discretionary spending in the current market landscape.
Apple (AAPL) is seeking AI enhancements for Siri to remain competitive and is set to launch new products, including the iPhone 17, on September 9. Meanwhile, Nvidia (NVDA) is gearing up for earnings, with an expected move of 6%, lower than its historical average. The market appears subdued, with volatility in contango. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions may impact Nvidia's revenue from China, heightening interest in alternative positions tied to the tech sector.
In this episode of "Engineering the Trade," Jermal Chandler welcomes Josh Fabian as they discuss the recent lack of volatility in the markets, particularly following a significant upward movement in the S&P 500 (SPX) after the Jackson Hole meeting. They analyze the lack of follow-through in market momentum, particularly absent on Monday. The conversation shifts to NVIDIA's (NVDA) upcoming earnings report amid low volatility in the market, and the challenges of finding attractive trades in a generally stagnant environment. They also touch on the intersection of option trading and sports betting.
On today's Engineering the Trade, Jermal Chandler delves into Walmart's (WMT) recent earnings results compared to Target (TGT), emphasizing the stark differences in their business strategies amid ongoing tariff challenges. He also outlines what to expect from Chair Powell's upcoming speech at the Jackson Hole event and its potential implications for market dynamics. Moreover, Jermal touches upon Zoom's (ZM) upcoming earnings and its evolving competitive landscape. Tune in for insights on these pivotal developments!
Intel (INTC) received a $2 billion investment from SoftBank, signaling its potential resurgence amid ongoing tariff discussions. Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) faced setbacks in a weight loss trial, raising questions about its market viability. Target (TGT) is set to report earnings after struggling with flat sales and missed estimates for ten consecutive quarters. The ongoing volatility in the markets reflects broader trends,
Terawolf (WOLF) is experiencing significant movement due to increased interest from Google (GOOGL), prompting discussions about potential trades. Lilly (LLY) is planning a bond offering to bolster cash reserves amid concerns over market volatility. Solar stocks (TAN) are also on the rise due to recent legislative changes, capturing the attention of market participants. Given the current low volatility environment, traders are advised to maintain a cautious approach and consider small, strategic trades as September could bring increased activity.
In today's From Theory to Practice, Dr. Jim works through his profitable Poor Man's Covered Put in MSFT. Given the unique flexibility of a Poor Man's Covered Put, the profit objectives aren't as clearly outlined as they are for many other option strategies. Therefore, deciding whether to leave a profitable PMCP on or take it off often comes down to the trader's discretion.
Dan Dan the Crypto Man returns to discuss recent crypto market dynamics, noting a pullback following July's strong performance. He attributes this to typical August slowdown rather than fundamental changes, suggesting it presents buying opportunities for undervalued tokens.