“🟢 Taiwan defense rehearsals, Israel-Syria ceasefire, IMO Gold at OpenAI | Global Risks Weekly Roundup #29/2025.” by Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur, belikewater, Tolga Bilge, scott eastmanphoto.com
Description
Executive summary
Taiwan conducted its largest-ever defense drills to prepare for a possible Chinese invasion, while the US has been pushing Japan and Australia to clarify whether they would get involved in a US-China war over Taiwan. Forecasters estimated the probability of a Chinese invasion by 2027 conditional on Japan saying it would not intervene to be 11.5%, and 22% conditional on Trump or the Defense Secretary saying the US would not intervene.
In the Middle East, the Houthis continue to attack Israel, and Israel responded today with strikes on a Houthi-controlled port in Yemen. Israel also intervened in Syria following renewed sectarian violence between Druze and Sunni Bedouin groups, later reaching a ceasefire deal with the Syrian government.
OpenAI launched ChatGPT Agent and [...]
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Outline:
(00:21 ) Executive summary
(01:32 ) Geopolitics
(01:35 ) Asia-Pacific
(03:43 ) Middle East
(05:47 ) Europe
(06:52 ) United States
(08:20 ) Africa
(08:30 ) Technology
(14:21 ) Biorisk
(14:40 ) Economy
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First published:
July 21st, 2025
Source:
https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/taiwan-defense-rehearsals-israel
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