“On the Rationality of Deterring ASI” by Dan H
Update: 2025-03-22
Description
I’m releasing a new paper “Superintelligence Strategy” alongside Eric Schmidt (formerly Google), and Alexandr Wang (Scale AI). Below is the executive summary, followed by additional commentary highlighting portions of the paper which might be relevant to this collection of readers.
Executive Summary
Rapid advances in AI are poised to reshape nearly every aspect of society. Governments see in these dual-use AI systems a means to military dominance, stoking a bitter race to maximize AI capabilities. Voluntary industry pauses or attempts to exclude government involvement cannot change this reality. These systems that can streamline research and bolster economic output can also be turned to destructive ends, enabling rogue actors to engineer bioweapons and hack critical infrastructure. “Superintelligent” AI surpassing humans in nearly every domain would amount to the most precarious technological development since the nuclear bomb. Given the stakes, superintelligence is inescapably a matter of national security, and an effective [...]
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Outline:
(00:21 ) Executive Summary
(01:14 ) Deterrence
(02:32 ) Nonproliferation
(03:38 ) Competitiveness
(04:50 ) Additional Commentary
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First published:
March 5th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XsYQyBgm8eKjd3Sqw/on-the-rationality-of-deterring-asi
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Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
Executive Summary
Rapid advances in AI are poised to reshape nearly every aspect of society. Governments see in these dual-use AI systems a means to military dominance, stoking a bitter race to maximize AI capabilities. Voluntary industry pauses or attempts to exclude government involvement cannot change this reality. These systems that can streamline research and bolster economic output can also be turned to destructive ends, enabling rogue actors to engineer bioweapons and hack critical infrastructure. “Superintelligent” AI surpassing humans in nearly every domain would amount to the most precarious technological development since the nuclear bomb. Given the stakes, superintelligence is inescapably a matter of national security, and an effective [...]
---
Outline:
(00:21 ) Executive Summary
(01:14 ) Deterrence
(02:32 ) Nonproliferation
(03:38 ) Competitiveness
(04:50 ) Additional Commentary
---
First published:
March 5th, 2025
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XsYQyBgm8eKjd3Sqw/on-the-rationality-of-deterring-asi
---
Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.
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