Are Yields Telling Us Rates Will Stop Rising?
At the end of January, spotlight will shift from earnings to the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week as they wrap up their 2-day monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, February 1. This wee Brian discusses how market expectations are set for an increase of 25 basis points (bps) in the fed funds rate, which would shift the Fed’s target range up to 4.50%–4.75% from 4.25%–4.50%. There will be no updated Summary of Economic Projections accompanying the meeting, leaving investors to sift through the policy statement and Chair Powell’s post-meeting press conference for any potential clues on the path of future policy.
Chart: 2 Year Treasury Yield vs Fed Fund Target Rate
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