Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks + Puerto Rico Open
Update: 2025-03-05
Description
-Cognizant review -Discussing top 9 players on AP odds board -1 t10 -3 outrights
-Sleeper, 2 FRL, 2 lineups -Scoring, bet bet for AP -1 outright and 3 p2p for Puerto Rico Open
-1 sleeper for Astara Chile Classic For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @ drmedia59
Week 10 Overview and Tournament Preview
Arnold Palmer Invitational (API) at Bay Hill, Orlando: 70 superstars in the field, including 45 of the top 50 golfers from the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR).
Puerto Rico Open at Grand Reserve: 132-player field with lower-ranked players and potential breakthrough candidates.
- The show covers full API picks, four Puerto Rico picks, and one Corn Fairy Tour pick in Chile.
Season performance update:- Minus 1.7 units for Week 9
Total loss: 40.5 units for the season, indicating the need for a turnaround.
Arnold Palmer Invitational Analysis
Course Insights for Bay Hill
- Challenging conditions:
Four-inch rough – Players missing fairways will struggle.
Water on 9 of 18 holes – Course management is key.
Bermuda greens running at 13.5 speed – Requires strong putting.- Winning formula:
- Elite total drivers (accuracy and distance)
- Solid Bermuda putters
Top 9 Players Analysis
[Scotty Scheffler] (4-1 odds)
- Defending champion, won by 5 shots in 2023.
- Strengths: Best driver in the field, improved putting.
- Pick: Outright winner bet (4-1).
[Rory McIlroy] (8.5-1)
- Former winner (2018), solid Bay Hill history.
- Concerns: Struggled with putter and driving accuracy at Torrey Pines.
PASS on betting.
[Ludvig Åberg] (16-1)
- Won Genesis Invitational.
- Strong iron play but lost shots in chipping at Bay Hill previously.
- Pick: Top 10 at +130 (MGM).
[Collin Morikawa] (22-1)
- Consistent season, but below-average Bermuda putter.
Missed cuts last two starts at Bay Hill.
PASS.
[Xander Schauffele] (22-1)
- Returning from rib injury, solid Bay Hill history.
PASS due to lack of value at current odds.
[Justin Thomas] (28-1)
- Improved ball-striking and recent putting success on Bermuda.
- Pick: Top 10 at +175 (MGM).
[Patrick Cantlay] (30-1)
T4 at Bay Hill two years ago, recent strong ball-striking form.- Pick: Outright bet at 30-1.
[Tommy Fleetwood] (30-1)
- Consistent form but poor matchups and betting value.
PASS.
Other API Picks
Best bet: Ludvig Åberg Top 10 at +130 (MGM).- First-round leader bets:
- Scheffler (10-1, MGM)
- Åberg (22-1, MGM)
DraftKings lineup: Oberg, Cantlay, Henley, Theegala, Thompson, Gracerman.
Winning score prediction: -11 under par.
Puerto Rico Open Picks
Outrights and Placement Bets
- Adrian Dumont de Chassart (60-1 outright, +190 for top 20)
Finished 6th last year, strong recent form.- Pick: Top 20 and outright winner bet.
- Henrik Norlander (+225 top 20)
- Great iron play and top 20 in last two Puerto Rico Opens.
- Pick: Top 20 bet.
- Davis Riley (+500 top 20)
Two-time PGA Tour winner, elite putter on Paspalum greens.- Pick: Sleeper top 20 bet.
Corn Fairy Tour – Astara Chile Classic
[Giuseppe Puebla] (11-1 for top 10)
16-year-old prodigy, recent runner-up at a high-profile junior event.- Won twice on minor league golf tour.
- Pick: Top 10 bet at 11-1.
Final Thoughts
Week 10 preview ends with a call to action: Follow @DRMedia59 on X and @KingDr1 on Instagram for updates.
Next week: Players Championship preview.
Summary of Picks
Arnold Palmer Invitational:
Outright winners: Scheffler (4-1), Cantlay (30-1), Gracerman (110-1).
Top 10: Åberg (+130), Thomas (+175).
First-round leaders: Scheffler (10-1), Åberg (22-1).
Puerto Rico Open:
Outright winner: Dumont de Chassart (60-1).
Top 20: Dumont de Chassart (+190), Norlander (+225), Riley (+500).
Astara Chile Classic:
Top 10: Giuseppe Puebla (11-1).
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