Griffin Warner and Lonte Smith talk CFB betting for week 3.

Game Previews

Georgia at Tennessee (6:05 – 12:39 )

Line: Georgia -3.5 (down from -7.5).

Smith: “I don’t really trust Gunner Stockton… it’ll be a run heavy approach on both sides.”

Stat: Georgia top 10 in rush success rate. First-time road starters are 3-10 straight up, 3-9-1 ATS.

Lean: Under 49.5, with Tennessee backers getting value if they grabbed +7.

Clemson at Georgia Tech (13:33 – 15:59 )

Line fell from -9 to -3.5.

Smith: “This is a good buy low spot for Clemson.” Concern over GT QB Haynes King’s health and their 91st-ranked pass success rate.

Clemson’s defense and potential WR return could tilt the matchup.

Florida at LSU (17:24 – 23:12 )

Line: LSU -7, total 48.5.

Florida’s discipline issues showed with 11 penalties for 101 yards.

Smith: “Under would be the only way I would look.” LSU’s defense is improving, while QB Lagway’s success depends on teammates cleaning up mistakes.

Texas A&M at Notre Dame (23:13 – 30:33 )

Line: Notre Dame -7, total 49.5.

Smith stresses urgency: “This is a must win for Notre Dame.”

Player stat: Jeremiah Love had 14 touches for 78 yards; Smith insists he must see 20+ carries.

A&M ranks outside top 100 in 3rd/4th down success rate.

Lean: Notre Dame under 7 and under the total.

Best Bets (31:47 – 35:15 )

Lonte Smith: Southern Miss +2.5. “I think Southern Miss wins this game outright.” He cites App State’s struggles against weak opponents and the Marshall-to-Southern Miss coaching/player pipeline.

Griffin Warner: Tennessee +3.5. “It’s great to be a Tennessee Vol.” He backs the Knoxville home-field edge against Georgia.

Takeaway

The discussion highlights Florida’s lack of discipline, the volatility of young QBs like Stockton, and Notre Dame’s must-win spot. The week closes with confidence in two home underdogs—Southern Miss and Tennessee—as the sharpest plays.

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