Control of House of Representatives Runs Through New York

Update: 2024-10-02

Digest

This podcast delves into the upcoming House races in New York, highlighting the Democrats' strategy to regain seats lost in 2022. The discussion emphasizes their coordinated campaign, focusing on crime and safety issues, and the role of the SALT deduction in the races. The podcast explores the SALT deduction, explaining its impact on New York races and the political implications of the 2017 Trump tax bill's cap on the deduction. It also examines the potential for ticket splitting in the upcoming election, particularly in blue states where the presidential candidates are not campaigning. The discussion analyzes the likelihood of the House mirroring the presidential outcome and the significance of the presidential race in these states.

Outlines

00:00:42

New York's House Races: A Battleground for Control of Congress

This chapter discusses the upcoming House races in New York, focusing on the Democrats' efforts to regain seats lost in 2022. The discussion highlights the Democrats' coordinated campaign, their focus on crime and safety, and the role of the SALT deduction in the races.

00:07:51

The SALT Deduction and its Impact on New York Races

This chapter delves into the state and local tax deduction (SALT) and its impact on New York races. The discussion explains the 2017 Trump tax bill's cap on the SALT deduction, its political implications, and Trump's recent reversal on the issue.

00:11:08

Ticket Splitting and the Presidential Race's Influence

This chapter explores the potential for ticket splitting in the upcoming election, particularly in blue states where the presidential candidates are not campaigning. The discussion examines the likelihood of the House mirroring the presidential outcome and the significance of the presidential race in these states.

Keywords

SALT Deduction

The state and local tax deduction (SALT) allows homeowners to deduct their state and local property taxes from their federal income taxes. The 2017 Trump tax bill capped this deduction, impacting homeowners in high-cost states like New York and California.

Ticket Splitting

Ticket splitting refers to voters casting ballots for candidates from different parties in the same election. It is becoming increasingly rare, particularly in Senate races. The upcoming election will reveal whether ticket splitting remains a significant factor in House races.

Coordinated Campaign

A coordinated campaign involves a unified effort by a political party to support candidates across multiple races. Democrats in New York have launched a coordinated campaign to regain House seats lost in 2022, focusing on resources, staffing, and voter engagement.

New York House Races

The upcoming House races in New York are crucial for both Democrats and Republicans, as they could determine control of Congress.

Crime and Safety

Crime and safety are major concerns for voters in New York, and Democrats are focusing on these issues in their campaign to regain House seats.

Presidential Race

The presidential race is expected to have a significant impact on the House races in New York, particularly in blue states where the presidential candidates are not campaigning.

Q&A

What factors contributed to the Democrats' loss of seats in New York's House races in 2022?
Democrats admit they were unorganized and unprepared to address concerns about rising crime rates and border security. They lacked coordination across the state, leaving House candidates vulnerable.
How are Democrats attempting to regain those seats in 2024?
They have launched a coordinated campaign with increased resources, staffing, and voter engagement. They are focusing on crime and safety issues and emphasizing the importance of voter turnout in a blue state.
What is the SALT deduction, and how does it play a role in New York races?
The SALT deduction allows homeowners to deduct state and local property taxes from their federal income taxes. The 2017 Trump tax bill capped this deduction, impacting homeowners in high-cost states like New York. This issue is a major concern for voters in these districts.

Show Notes

Democratic under-performance in New York state cost the party control of the House of Representatives in 2022. Now, a new coordination strategy has the party hopeful that it can reclaim the chamber — as their chances of holding the Senate continue to dwindle.

This episode: voting correspondent Miles Parks, congressional correspondent Deirdre Walsh, and senior national political correspondent Mara Liasson.

The podcast is produced by Jeongyoon Han, Casey Morell and Kelli Wessinger. Our editor is Eric McDaniel. Our executive producer is Muthoni Muturi.

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