Hey Wealth Dome readers,

Eli Lilly (LLY) just dropped a bombshell—both good and bad. The Q2 2025 earnings were stellar on paper, yet the market punished the stock with a 14% post-earnings sell-off. Let's dive into the key metrics, chart analysis, sentiment, and my short-, medium-, and long-term price predictions.

🧾 Earnings Highlights – Q2 2025

* Revenue: $15.6 billion (+38% YoY)

* Non-GAAP EPS: $6.31 (+61% YoY)

* Full-year guidance: $60B–$62B

Star products Mounjaro and Zepbound continue to drive growth, but the market reaction tells a different story...

❌ Why Did Eli Lilly (LLY) Stock Crash?

The sell-off was triggered by disappointment in the oral version of its GLP-1 weight loss drug, Orforglipron, which showed only 11.5% placebo-adjusted weight loss, lagging behind Novo Nordisk’s (NVO) injectable alternatives (14–15%).

Investor sentiment tanked due to:

* Weaker-than-expected weight-loss results

* Concerns over long-term efficacy

* Skittishness from a previously overbought chart

📉 Chart & Technical Analysis

Current Price: ~$633RSI: 25 (deeply oversold)Major Moving Averages: Below 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-day MAsKey Resistance Levels:

* $680–$700 (23.6% Fibonacci)

* $750 (38.2% Fibonacci)

* $800 (50% Fibonacci)

If these levels break, we could see LLY either bounce or enter a multi-year correction.

📈 Price Predictions (Not Financial Advice)

Short-Term (1–4 weeks): Rebound to $680–$700Medium-Term (1–3 months): Range-bound between $650–$760Long-Term: Only bullish if $800 level is retested and held. Be cautious if 200-day MA breaks on the 5Y chart.

⚠️ Final Thoughts

While earnings are strong, sentiment rules the short-term game. Orforglipron’s underwhelming results have spooked investors, despite LLY’s solid fundamentals.

Personally, I’m not bullish on the stock, but I’ll share any trades I make in the Weekend Edition. Stay cautious out there.

—Noble B.M.I protect wealth. This is Wealth Town.

🔗 Mentioned Links

* Eli Lilly (LLY) IR Page

* Mounjaro Drug Info

* Zepbound Drug Info

* Orforglipron Overview

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