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Harris Gains In The Polls

Harris Gains In The Polls

Update: 2024-08-053
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The podcast delves into the 2024 presidential election, focusing on the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. The hosts begin by discussing the speculation surrounding Harris's running mate, considering candidates like Josh Shapiro, Tim Walz, and Mark Kelly. They then analyze the latest polling averages, revealing a close race with Harris slightly ahead of Trump, but emphasizing the importance of the Electoral College and the potential for voter bias. The podcast explores the shifting electorate, highlighting the increased engagement of young black voters and the growing importance of foreign policy issues. They then discuss key events from the past week, including Trump's comments on voting, his questioning of Harris's racial identity, and the prisoner swap between Russia and the US. The hosts also analyze the latest economic news, including a decline in hiring and an increase in unemployment, and explore its potential impact on the campaign. Finally, they briefly discuss Doug Emhoff's past affair and conclude that it is unlikely to have a significant effect on the race. The podcast concludes with a summary of the week's news and a reminder to listeners to subscribe, rate, and review the show.

Outlines

00:00:00
The 2024 Presidential Election: A Deep Dive

This episode delves into the 2024 presidential election, analyzing the race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. The hosts discuss the speculation surrounding Harris's running mate, the latest polling averages, and the shifting electorate. They also explore the potential impact of key events from the past week, including Trump's comments on voting and the prisoner swap between Russia and the US.

00:10:09
Economic News and its Impact on the Campaign

The hosts discuss the latest economic news, including a decline in hiring and an increase in unemployment, and analyze its potential impact on the campaign. They also explore the public's perception of the economy and how it might influence their voting decisions.

00:33:27
Doug Emhoff's Past Affair and its Impact on the Campaign

The podcast briefly discusses Doug Emhoff's past affair and its potential impact on the campaign. The hosts conclude that the scandal is unlikely to have a significant effect on the race.

00:34:36
Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The podcast concludes with a summary of the week's news and a reminder to listeners to subscribe, rate, and review the show.

Keywords

Kamala Harris


Kamala Harris is the current Vice President of the United States and the Democratic nominee for president in the 2024 election. She is the first woman and first person of color to hold the office of Vice President.

Donald Trump


Donald Trump is the former President of the United States and the Republican nominee for president in the 2024 election. He is known for his controversial views and his populist rhetoric.

Josh Shapiro


Josh Shapiro is the current Governor of Pennsylvania and a potential running mate for Kamala Harris. He is considered a moderate Democrat and is seen as a strong candidate for the position.

Tim Walz


Tim Walz is the current Governor of Minnesota and another potential running mate for Kamala Harris. He is known for his progressive views and his ability to connect with voters.

Mark Kelly


Mark Kelly is a Democratic Senator from Arizona and a former astronaut. He is considered a moderate Democrat and is seen as a strong candidate for the position.

Electoral College


The Electoral College is a system used in the United States to elect the president. Each state is assigned a certain number of electors based on its population. The candidate who wins the majority of electoral votes wins the presidency.

Economy


The economy refers to the system of production, distribution, and consumption of goods and services in a country. It is a major issue in political campaigns, as voters are often concerned about their personal finances and the overall health of the economy.

Q&A

  • What are the key takeaways from the latest polling averages for the 2024 presidential election?

    The polling averages show a close race with Harris slightly ahead of Trump. However, the margins are within the margin of error, making the race a toss-up. The hosts emphasize the importance of the Electoral College and the potential for voter bias to affect the results.

  • How is the electorate shifting its preferences and issue priorities in the lead-up to the election?

    The hosts discuss the increased engagement of voters, particularly young black voters, who are showing a strong preference for Harris. They also note that foreign policy issues are becoming more prominent in the race, although voters don't seem to have a strong preference for either candidate on this issue.

  • What are some of the key events from the past week that could impact the campaign?

    The hosts discuss Trump's comments on voting, his questioning of Harris's racial identity, and the prisoner swap between Russia and the US. They analyze the potential impact of these events on the race and explore the public's reaction to them.

  • How could the latest economic news affect the campaign?

    The hosts discuss the decline in hiring and the increase in unemployment, and they analyze the potential impact of these developments on the campaign. They also explore the public's perception of the economy and how it might influence their voting decisions.

  • What is the potential impact of Doug Emhoff's past affair on the campaign?

    The hosts conclude that the scandal is unlikely to have a significant effect on the race, as it occurred before Harris was in the picture and the couple seems to have moved on from the incident.

Show Notes

On Friday, Vice President Kamala Harris secured enough delegate votes in the DNC virtual roll call to become the nominee and the announcement of her running mate is imminent. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew looks at how the contours of the presidential race have changed in the two weeks since Harris became the expected nominee. In our newly relaunched polling averages, Harris has a slim lead nationally and across the northern battleground states.

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Harris Gains In The Polls

Harris Gains In The Polls

ABC News, 538, FiveThirtyEight, Galen Druke