This is the second episode of This Won’t Last. The show is a monthly conversation between Logan Bartlett of Redpoint, Keith Rabois at Khosla Ventures, Kevin Ryan at Alleycorp, and Zach Weinberg, biotech founder (Curie.Bio) and investor. This episode covers Khosla’s initial investment into OpenAI, runaway AI CapEx, long-term AI leaderboards, and regulatory implications in AI.

This Won't Last is part of the Turpentine podcast network.

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Links:

• OpenAI and Anthropic revenue data: https://www.tanayj.com/p/openai-and-anthropic-revenue-breakdown
  


• Anthropic CEO on future $10B model: https://www.dwarkeshpatel.com/p/dario-amodei
  


• Hardware costs in Scaling AI: https://fortune.com/2024/04/04/ai-training-costs-how-much-is-too-much-openai-gpt-anthropic-microsoft/
  


• Comparing Quality/Speed/Price of AI models: https://artificialanalysis.ai/
  


• CA banning election deep fakes on social media: https://techcrunch.com/2024/09/17/californias-5-new-ai-laws-crack-down-on-election-deepfakes-and-actor-clones/
  


• Life expectancy relative to spending in Healthcare: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/life-expectancy-vs-health-expenditure
  

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Timestamps:

(00:00 ) Intro

(01:39 ) Show origins

(02:39 ) OpenAI funding, Khosla’s initial investment

(06:40 ) Talent shortage and power law engineers

(11:47 ) Engineer tenure at startups

(15:12 ) OpenAI metrics

(19:26 ) AI CapEx

(25:01 ) Zach’s Pixel vs iPhone

(25:36 ) OpenAI vs Perplexity and Google

(32:03 ) Safety concerns in AI

(40:38 ) Misinformation regulation

(46:38 ) Regulations in healthcare

(48:44 ) Gambling regulations

(58:49 ) Hidden downsides of regulations

(01:03:59 ) Individual responsibilities

(01:13:33 ) Closing