It's So Over; We Are So Back
Description
๐๏ธ Off Chain Weekly Recap โ April 10, 2025
This week, Matt and Austin unpack one of the wildest weeks in markets this year:
๐น Trumpโs Tariff Tsunami: A 10% universal tariff turned into a tit-for-tat trade war with China, peaking at 125% tariffs on Chinese imports. China hit back hard โ tariffs, blacklists, and export controls on rare earth minerals.
๐น Global Fallout: Vietnam, India, Japan, and the EU rushed to the negotiating table. Some offered full tariff eliminations to avoid a full-blown trade war.
๐น Apple, Inflation & $30K iPhones?: Concerns about Apple and other US companies absorbing the shock, but signs suggest theyโre more resilient than during Trumpโs first term.
๐น Market Madness: Stocks nosedived early in the week, only to surge midweek after a partial tariff rollback. Crypto pumped. S&P saw its biggest 1-day gain since 2008. But uncertainty looms.
๐น Currency Games: China strategically devalues the yuan to counter tariffs. US Treasury markets spooked. Is a dangerous feedback loop forming?
๐น Outlook:
- Short-term: More volatility, sideways action unless China escalates.
- Mid-term: Q2/Q3 could be rough โ all eyes on corporate earnings & the Fed.
- Long-term: DCA and hold. Could look back at Q2 as a massive buying opportunity.
๐ And yes โ the G-Wagon is safe (for now). ๐