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It's So Over; We Are So Back

It's So Over; We Are So Back

Update: 2025-04-10
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๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Off Chain Weekly Recap โ€“ April 10, 2025

This week, Matt and Austin unpack one of the wildest weeks in markets this year:

๐Ÿ”น Trumpโ€™s Tariff Tsunami: A 10% universal tariff turned into a tit-for-tat trade war with China, peaking at 125% tariffs on Chinese imports. China hit back hard โ€” tariffs, blacklists, and export controls on rare earth minerals.

๐Ÿ”น Global Fallout: Vietnam, India, Japan, and the EU rushed to the negotiating table. Some offered full tariff eliminations to avoid a full-blown trade war.

๐Ÿ”น Apple, Inflation & $30K iPhones?: Concerns about Apple and other US companies absorbing the shock, but signs suggest theyโ€™re more resilient than during Trumpโ€™s first term.

๐Ÿ”น Market Madness: Stocks nosedived early in the week, only to surge midweek after a partial tariff rollback. Crypto pumped. S&P saw its biggest 1-day gain since 2008. But uncertainty looms.

๐Ÿ”น Currency Games: China strategically devalues the yuan to counter tariffs. US Treasury markets spooked. Is a dangerous feedback loop forming?

๐Ÿ”น Outlook:

  • Short-term: More volatility, sideways action unless China escalates.
  • Mid-term: Q2/Q3 could be rough โ€” all eyes on corporate earnings & the Fed.
  • Long-term: DCA and hold. Could look back at Q2 as a massive buying opportunity.

๐Ÿ›ž And yes โ€” the G-Wagon is safe (for now). ๐Ÿ™ƒ

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It's So Over; We Are So Back

It's So Over; We Are So Back

Matthew Howells-Barby & Austin Knight