Digest

In this episode of The Official Established the Run.com podcast, Adam Levitan dives into the latest best ball market trends, focusing on the biggest risers and fallers in average draft position (ADP). He starts by highlighting DeAndre Hopkins' rise, attributing it to the Titans' shift towards a pass-heavy offense under new head coach Brian Callahan. Levitan believes Hopkins is a buy at his current price, considering the team's offensive philosophy and the addition of Calvin Ridley. Next, he discusses Marshawn Lloyd's rise, fueled by Matt LaFleur's comments about a potential running back platoon in Green Bay. While acknowledging the committee approach, Levitan remains bullish on Lloyd's potential, especially in hero and zero RB builds. Tank Bigsby's rise is attributed to the Jaguars' desire to reduce Travis ETN's workload, but Levitan remains cautious due to Bigsby's underwhelming rookie season. On the fallers side, Austin Ekeler's decline is attributed to his age, concerns about Jaden Daniels' passing ability, and the potential for Brian Robinson to play a significant role. Kenneth Walker's fall is attributed to the new coaching regime in Seattle, but Levitan remains optimistic about his talent and potential for big plays. Finally, Keaton Mitchell's fall is due to his ACL tear, but Levitan believes he's a potential value pick later in drafts, especially on DraftKings, as he's expected to start the season on the PUP list. Levitan concludes by providing his insights on these players and how their ADP changes impact best ball draft strategies.

Outlines

00:00:00

Introduction and Market Monday Overview

This Chapter introduces the podcast and its focus on Market Monday, where Adam Levitan discusses the biggest risers and fallers in best ball ADP. He emphasizes the importance of staying up-to-date on market trends to adjust draft strategies.

00:01:13

Best Ball Risers: DeAndre Hopkins, Marshawn Lloyd, and Tank Bigsby

This Chapter analyzes the recent rise of DeAndre Hopkins, Marshawn Lloyd, and Tank Bigsby in best ball ADP. Levitan explains the reasons behind their increased value, including Hopkins' potential in a pass-heavy Titans offense, Lloyd's role in a potential running back platoon in Green Bay, and Bigsby's opportunity to take on a larger workload in Jacksonville.

00:06:31

Best Ball Fallers: Austin Ekeler, Kenneth Walker, and Keaton Mitchell

This Chapter examines the recent decline of Austin Ekeler, Kenneth Walker, and Keaton Mitchell in best ball ADP. Levitan discusses the factors contributing to their decreased value, including Ekeler's age and uncertainty surrounding Jaden Daniels' passing ability, Walker's potential for a reduced role in Seattle, and Mitchell's recovery from an ACL tear.

Keywords

Q&A

• What are the main factors driving DeAndre Hopkins' rise in best ball ADP?

  Hopkins' rise is primarily due to the Titans' shift towards a pass-heavy offense under new head coach Brian Callahan. The team's personnel moves, including the signing of Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd, suggest a commitment to a more aerial attack, which benefits Hopkins' potential for increased targets and production.

• How does Matt LaFleur's comments about a potential running back platoon in Green Bay impact Marshawn Lloyd's value?

  LaFleur's comments suggest a committee approach at running back, which could limit Lloyd's workload. However, Levitan remains optimistic about Lloyd's potential, especially in hero and zero RB builds, where he can be a valuable asset due to his talent and potential for big plays.

• What are the concerns surrounding Tank Bigsby's rise in best ball ADP?

  Bigsby's underwhelming rookie season raises concerns about his ability to handle a larger workload. While the Jaguars are looking to reduce Travis ETN's carries, Bigsby's performance last year makes his potential for a significant role uncertain.

• What are the main factors contributing to Austin Ekeler's decline in best ball ADP?

  Ekeler's age, concerns about Jaden Daniels' passing ability, and the potential for Brian Robinson to play a significant role are all contributing to his decreased value. His age and potential for decline, combined with uncertainty about the Chargers' offensive scheme and the presence of another capable running back, make him a riskier pick at his current ADP.

• Despite Kenneth Walker's fall in best ball ADP, why does Levitan remain optimistic about his potential?

  Levitan believes in Walker's talent and potential for big plays, even though his success rate and negative runs might be concerning for some coaches. He sees Walker as a valuable asset in touchdown-heavy formats like Underdog, where his ability to break a slate with multiple touchdown games is highly valuable.

• What are the factors impacting Keaton Mitchell's value despite his ACL tear?

  Mitchell's ACL tear is a significant setback, but Levitan believes he could be a value pick later in drafts, especially on DraftKings, as he's expected to start the season on the PUP list. The Ravens' lack of depth at running back behind Derek Henry also creates an opportunity for Mitchell to contribute later in the season.

Show Notes