Market Monday: Who Benefits From The Titans' Scheme Change, An Elite Zero-RB Target, Last-Round RB Takes (Episode 729 with Adam Levitan)
Digest
In this episode of The Official Established the Run.com podcast, Adam Levitan dives into the latest best ball market trends, focusing on the biggest risers and fallers in average draft position (ADP). He starts by highlighting DeAndre Hopkins' rise, attributing it to the Titans' shift towards a pass-heavy offense under new head coach Brian Callahan. Levitan believes Hopkins is a buy at his current price, considering the team's offensive philosophy and the addition of Calvin Ridley. Next, he discusses Marshawn Lloyd's rise, fueled by Matt LaFleur's comments about a potential running back platoon in Green Bay. While acknowledging the committee approach, Levitan remains bullish on Lloyd's potential, especially in hero and zero RB builds. Tank Bigsby's rise is attributed to the Jaguars' desire to reduce Travis ETN's workload, but Levitan remains cautious due to Bigsby's underwhelming rookie season. On the fallers side, Austin Ekeler's decline is attributed to his age, concerns about Jaden Daniels' passing ability, and the potential for Brian Robinson to play a significant role. Kenneth Walker's fall is attributed to the new coaching regime in Seattle, but Levitan remains optimistic about his talent and potential for big plays. Finally, Keaton Mitchell's fall is due to his ACL tear, but Levitan believes he's a potential value pick later in drafts, especially on DraftKings, as he's expected to start the season on the PUP list. Levitan concludes by providing his insights on these players and how their ADP changes impact best ball draft strategies.
Outlines
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Introduction and Market Monday Overview
This Chapter introduces the podcast and its focus on Market Monday, where Adam Levitan discusses the biggest risers and fallers in best ball ADP. He emphasizes the importance of staying up-to-date on market trends to adjust draft strategies.
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Best Ball Risers: DeAndre Hopkins, Marshawn Lloyd, and Tank Bigsby
This Chapter analyzes the recent rise of DeAndre Hopkins, Marshawn Lloyd, and Tank Bigsby in best ball ADP. Levitan explains the reasons behind their increased value, including Hopkins' potential in a pass-heavy Titans offense, Lloyd's role in a potential running back platoon in Green Bay, and Bigsby's opportunity to take on a larger workload in Jacksonville.
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Best Ball Fallers: Austin Ekeler, Kenneth Walker, and Keaton Mitchell
This Chapter examines the recent decline of Austin Ekeler, Kenneth Walker, and Keaton Mitchell in best ball ADP. Levitan discusses the factors contributing to their decreased value, including Ekeler's age and uncertainty surrounding Jaden Daniels' passing ability, Walker's potential for a reduced role in Seattle, and Mitchell's recovery from an ACL tear.
Keywords
Best Ball ADP
Best Ball ADP refers to the average draft position of players in best ball fantasy football drafts. It is a crucial metric for understanding player value and making informed draft decisions. Best ball drafts are a format where players draft a team and then the highest-scoring lineup each week is automatically selected, eliminating the need for weekly lineup decisions.
DeAndre Hopkins
DeAndre Hopkins is a wide receiver in the NFL. He has played for the Houston Texans and Arizona Cardinals. He is known for his exceptional route running, hands, and ability to make contested catches. Hopkins is a highly sought-after fantasy football asset due to his consistent production and high target volume.
Marshawn Lloyd
Marshawn Lloyd is a rookie running back in the NFL. He was drafted by the Green Bay Packers in the 2023 NFL Draft. Lloyd is a talented and versatile running back with the potential to contribute in both the rushing and passing game. He is a popular target in fantasy football drafts due to his potential for a significant role in the Packers' offense.
Tank Bigsby
Tank Bigsby is a running back in the NFL. He was drafted by the Jacksonville Jaguars in the 2023 NFL Draft. Bigsby is a powerful and physical runner with the potential to be a workhorse back. He is a popular target in fantasy football drafts due to his potential to take on a larger workload in the Jaguars' offense.
Austin Ekeler
Austin Ekeler is a running back in the NFL. He has played for the Los Angeles Chargers. Ekeler is a versatile and explosive back who excels in both the rushing and passing game. He is a highly sought-after fantasy football asset due to his consistent production and high target volume.
Kenneth Walker
Kenneth Walker is a running back in the NFL. He plays for the Seattle Seahawks. Walker is a powerful and explosive runner with the potential to be a game-breaker. He is a popular target in fantasy football drafts due to his ability to break big runs and score touchdowns.
Keaton Mitchell
Keaton Mitchell is a running back in the NFL. He was an undrafted free agent who signed with the Baltimore Ravens. Mitchell is a talented and explosive runner with the potential to be a breakout player. He is a popular target in fantasy football drafts due to his potential to contribute in the Ravens' offense.
Brian Callahan
Brian Callahan is an American football coach. He is the current head coach of the Tennessee Titans. Callahan has previously served as the offensive coordinator for the Cincinnati Bengals. He is known for his offensive schemes and his ability to develop quarterbacks.
Matt LaFleur
Matt LaFleur is an American football coach. He is the current head coach of the Green Bay Packers. LaFleur is known for his offensive schemes and his ability to develop quarterbacks. He has led the Packers to multiple playoff appearances and a Super Bowl appearance.
Q&A
What are the main factors driving DeAndre Hopkins' rise in best ball ADP?
Hopkins' rise is primarily due to the Titans' shift towards a pass-heavy offense under new head coach Brian Callahan. The team's personnel moves, including the signing of Calvin Ridley and Tyler Boyd, suggest a commitment to a more aerial attack, which benefits Hopkins' potential for increased targets and production.
How does Matt LaFleur's comments about a potential running back platoon in Green Bay impact Marshawn Lloyd's value?
LaFleur's comments suggest a committee approach at running back, which could limit Lloyd's workload. However, Levitan remains optimistic about Lloyd's potential, especially in hero and zero RB builds, where he can be a valuable asset due to his talent and potential for big plays.
What are the concerns surrounding Tank Bigsby's rise in best ball ADP?
Bigsby's underwhelming rookie season raises concerns about his ability to handle a larger workload. While the Jaguars are looking to reduce Travis ETN's carries, Bigsby's performance last year makes his potential for a significant role uncertain.
What are the main factors contributing to Austin Ekeler's decline in best ball ADP?
Ekeler's age, concerns about Jaden Daniels' passing ability, and the potential for Brian Robinson to play a significant role are all contributing to his decreased value. His age and potential for decline, combined with uncertainty about the Chargers' offensive scheme and the presence of another capable running back, make him a riskier pick at his current ADP.
Despite Kenneth Walker's fall in best ball ADP, why does Levitan remain optimistic about his potential?
Levitan believes in Walker's talent and potential for big plays, even though his success rate and negative runs might be concerning for some coaches. He sees Walker as a valuable asset in touchdown-heavy formats like Underdog, where his ability to break a slate with multiple touchdown games is highly valuable.
What are the factors impacting Keaton Mitchell's value despite his ACL tear?
Mitchell's ACL tear is a significant setback, but Levitan believes he could be a value pick later in drafts, especially on DraftKings, as he's expected to start the season on the PUP list. The Ravens' lack of depth at running back behind Derek Henry also creates an opportunity for Mitchell to contribute later in the season.
Show Notes
Adam Levitan delivers another edition of Market Monday. He takes a closer look at rising and falling ADPs on Underdog Fantasy, provides context for those movements, and explains how he is handling those players in his best ball drafts.
In this episode, we discuss:
TEN's scheme change
An elite Zero RB target
RBs to target in the final rounds
Much more
Links mentioned in the episode:
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