DiscoverThe Bill Simmons PodcastNFL Playoff Locks, the Desperate Jets, and Million Dollar Picks With Mike Lombardi
NFL Playoff Locks, the Desperate Jets, and Million Dollar Picks With Mike Lombardi

NFL Playoff Locks, the Desperate Jets, and Million Dollar Picks With Mike Lombardi

Update: 2024-10-18
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This podcast episode delves into the world of NFL football, focusing on team identities, playoff predictions, and individual game analysis. The hosts begin by discussing the importance of team identity in the NFL, highlighting how it impacts a team's success and their ability to navigate the playoff picture. They then analyze the current playoff standings, discussing the strengths and weaknesses of various teams and their chances of making the playoffs. The conversation shifts to specific matchups, with the hosts providing in-depth analysis of key players, strategies, and potential outcomes. They also share their million dollar picks for Week 7, revealing their predictions for the Eagles vs. Giants, Seahawks vs. Falcons, and other games. The episode concludes with a discussion of the Philadelphia 76ers and their reliance on Joel Embiid, highlighting concerns about his durability and its impact on the team's overall success.

Outlines

00:00:00
Introduction and Team Identity

The podcast episode begins with a brief introduction, highlighting the theme of deception and the upcoming discussion about people's best tales of deception. The hosts then delve into the importance of team identity in the NFL, discussing how it impacts a team's success and their ability to navigate the playoff picture.

00:02:26
NFL Playoff Picture Analysis

The discussion shifts to the NFL, focusing on team identities and the playoff picture. The hosts analyze various teams, discussing their strengths, weaknesses, and potential for success. They also discuss the impact of team identity on playoff performance.

00:49:53
Million Dollar Picks and Game Predictions

The hosts discuss their million dollar picks for the upcoming week, focusing on the Eagles vs. Giants game and the Seahawks vs. Falcons game. They analyze the matchups and provide their predictions based on their analysis of the teams' strengths and weaknesses. The discussion then expands to include predictions for other Week 7 games, including the Green Bay Packers vs. Houston Texans, Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings, New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Los Angeles Chargers vs. Arizona Cardinals, and New England Patriots vs. Chicago Bears.

01:15:06
Philadelphia 76ers and Joel Embiid

The conversation shifts to the Philadelphia 76ers and their reliance on Joel Embiid. The speakers express concerns about Embiid's durability and his impact on the team's overall success. They discuss the risk of relying on a player who is prone to injuries and the importance of having a balanced team.

Keywords

Team Identity


The unique characteristics and playing style that define a team's approach to the game. It encompasses factors like offensive and defensive schemes, player roles, and overall team culture.

Playoff Picture


The current standings and projected outcomes of teams competing for a spot in the playoffs. It involves analyzing team records, remaining schedules, and potential for improvement.

NFL Futures Profit Boost


A promotional offer by Fandall Sportsbook that enhances the potential winnings on bets placed on future NFL events, such as team win totals or playoff appearances.

Million Dollar Picks


The hosts' predictions for specific games, with a significant financial incentive attached to their accuracy.

Durability


The ability to withstand wear, tear, or stress over time. In sports, it refers to a player's ability to stay healthy and perform consistently throughout a season.

Q&A

  • What are some of the key factors to consider when analyzing a team's identity in the NFL?

    Key factors include offensive and defensive schemes, player roles, team culture, and how the team performs in different game situations.

  • What are some of the teams that have a clear identity in the NFL, and what are their defining characteristics?

    Teams like the San Francisco 49ers (run-first offense, strong defense), Green Bay Packers (explosive offense, turnover creation), and Minnesota Vikings (strong defense, balanced offense) have established identities.

  • How does the concept of team identity impact the playoff picture in the NFL?

    Teams with a strong identity are often more consistent and predictable, making them more likely to succeed in the playoffs. Teams that lack a clear identity can struggle to adapt to different opponents and game situations.

  • What are some of the key factors to consider when making playoff predictions in the NFL?

    Key factors include team records, remaining schedules, player health, coaching quality, and overall team performance.

  • What are the speakers' concerns about the Philadelphia 76ers' reliance on Joel Embiid?

    The speakers express concerns about Embiid's durability and his impact on the team's overall success, highlighting the risk of relying on a player who is prone to injuries.

  • What are the speakers' Super Bowl predictions and million dollar picks for Week 7?

    The speakers share their Super Bowl predictions and reveal their million dollar picks for Week 7, discussing their reasoning for each pick, highlighting key factors like team performance, injuries, and matchups.

Show Notes

The Ringer's Bill Simmons is joined by Michael Lombardi to discuss which NFL teams have found an identity, what adding Davante Adams will do for the Jets, T.J. Watt's dominance, and more (2:48 ). They then look at the early playoff picture and see which teams they can find odds value in (26:30 ). Later, they go over the weekend's slate of games and pick their favorites, before talking a little Patriots and 76ers dysfunction (52:50 ). Finally, Bill makes his Million Dollar Picks for NFL Week 7 (1:19:15 ).


Host: Bill Simmons

Guest: Michael Lombardi

Producer: Kyle Crichton



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NFL Playoff Locks, the Desperate Jets, and Million Dollar Picks With Mike Lombardi

NFL Playoff Locks, the Desperate Jets, and Million Dollar Picks With Mike Lombardi

The Ringer