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Nuño Sempere - Superforecasting and Global Risk

Nuño Sempere - Superforecasting and Global Risk

Update: 2025-08-01
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⁠Nuño Sempere⁠ is a founding member of the legendary forecasting group ‘Samotsvety’. His track record puts him at the top of the world’s most accurate predictors of the future. I sat down with him last month to discuss forecasting, global risk, and his new non-profit ‘⁠Sentinel⁠’, a free early-warning system for large-scale catastrophes like pandemics, wars, and financial turmoil.

Read the full transcript and more at alethios.substack.com

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Nuño Sempere - Superforecasting and Global Risk

Nuño Sempere - Superforecasting and Global Risk