The Rundown 11/7/25: Can $1 Trillion Truly Build a Stronger Canada? Inside the 2025 Budget Breakdown with Mark McQueen
Description
In this episode of Tank Talks, host Matt Cohen is joined by John Ruffolo and special guest Mark McQueen, Founder of Wellington Growth Partners and one of Canada’s leading voices on capital markets and policy, as they dive into Canada’s 2025 Federal Budget. Together, they unpack the implications of Ottawa’s newly tabled “Building a Stronger Canada” budget, one that promises $1 trillion in investment over five years, with a heavy focus on productivity, infrastructure, defense, and innovation.
The three dissect everything from the $78B deficit and 40,000 public service cuts, to new measures for AI, fintech, and open banking. Mark brings a pragmatic lens to the table, calling out where policy meets politics, and where Canada’s ambitions fall short compared to U.S. spending.
They debate whether this really is the “FinTech Budget,” explore the Bank of Canada’s new stablecoin oversight, and discuss how Canada’s pension funds, capital markets, and innovation ecosystem might respond. The conversation also touches on AI infrastructure, quantum tech, and the Build Canada Exchange, before ending with an analysis of the surprise party floor crossing in Parliament and what it signals about political volatility ahead of the next election.
This is a data-driven, no-spin breakdown of the biggest budget in Canadian history, filled with insights for founders, investors, and policymakers navigating the next decade of Canadian innovation.
Market Reactions and Fiscal Discipline (01:51 )
* How the bond market’s muted reaction signals investor confidence
* What a 3.07% 10-year yield says about fiscal credibility
Political Optics and Policy Recycling (03:16 )
* Mark’s take on why budget speeches feel like déjà vu from 2016
* How repeating “middle-class growth” messaging masks deeper issues
Canada’s AI Spending Reality Check (05:39 )
* $186M in new AI funding versus $207B in U.S. venture capital
* Mark calls Canada’s AI plan a “rounding error” in global competition
Housing, Media, and Missed Opportunities (07:26 )
* Why Canada’s housing policy still taxes development and stifles growth
* How inflated consultant costs drain infrastructure progress
Private Capital and the $500B Question (08:51 )
* Mark explains why private-sector “recycling” of assets rarely works as advertised
* The hidden costs behind selling public infrastructure
The Rise of the FinTech Budget (13:15 )
* John calls this the “FinTech Budget” for its zero-cost innovation plays
* How open banking and stablecoin regulation could unlock private innovation
Policy Over Capital: A New Model (14:46 )
* Why regulation, not spending, may be the most powerful innovation tool
* How Minister Champagne’s policy shift empowers private players
The Stablecoin Debate (17:46 )
* John explains tokenization and one-for-one backing of digital assets
* Mark questions whether consumers can truly distinguish trust in DeFi
Canada’s Shot at Becoming “Switzerland of DeFi” (21:01 )
* How upcoming legislation could make Canada a global leader in digital finance
* Why trust, not capital, is Canada’s biggest competitive advantage
Why Execution Matters More Than Promises (27:04 )
* Matt, John, and Mark close with a reality check: policy means nothing without follow-through
* Why 2025 will test whether the government can turn big ideas into real results
About Mark McQueen
Mark McQueen is a veteran Canadian venture capitalist, financial commentator, and former Chair of the Toronto Port Authority. As President and Executive Managing Director of Wellington Financial LP, he has financed hundreds of high-growth companies across North America and is known for his sharp insights into capital markets, infrastructure, and public policy. A regular contributor to BNN Bloomberg and The Toronto Star, Mark offers a pragmatic, data-driven perspective on how fiscal decisions and government budgets shape Canada’s innovation economy.
Connect with Mark McQueen on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-r-mcqueen/
Connect with John Ruffolo on LinkedIn: https://ca.linkedin.com/in/joruffolo
Connect with Matt Cohen on LinkedIn: https://ca.linkedin.com/in/matt-cohen1
Visit the Ripple Ventures website: https://www.rippleventures.com/
This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit tanktalks.substack.com























