DiscoverPivotVP Debate, OpenAI Financial Churn, and Guest Mike Maples Jr.
VP Debate, OpenAI Financial Churn, and Guest Mike Maples Jr.

VP Debate, OpenAI Financial Churn, and Guest Mike Maples Jr.

Update: 2024-10-014
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This episode of Pivot dives into a variety of topics, starting with a preview of the San Francisco mayoral race, highlighting the key candidates and their stances on issues like homelessness and the fentanyl crisis. The conversation then shifts to the upcoming vice presidential debate, analyzing the strengths and weaknesses of JD Vance and Tim Walls as debaters. The episode delves into OpenAI's financial performance, discussing its projected revenue and losses and debating whether investors should be concerned about the company's spending. Kara Swisher interviews Mike Maples Jr., co-founder of Floodgate, about his new book "Pattern Breakers," exploring the concept of pattern-breaking startups, the importance of inflection points, and the role of disagreeableness in innovation. The conversation then turns to the changing dynamics of the venture capital industry, particularly the increased aggression and tribalism among VCs. Mike shares his investment philosophy and his reluctance to invest in AI startups due to the high competition and difficulty in identifying true pattern breakers. The episode concludes with Scott Galloway sharing his "wins" and "fails" of the week, discussing a Wall Street Journal article highlighting the struggles of men in society, including a lack of role models, declining middle-class jobs, and higher rates of addiction and despair. He emphasizes the need for more support programs and resources for young men, arguing that men's well-being is crucial for the overall flourishing of society.

Outlines

00:01:49
San Francisco Mayoral Race and Vice Presidential Debate Preview

Kara Swisher and Scott Galloway discuss the upcoming San Francisco mayoral race, highlighting the four candidates and their stances on various issues. They also touch upon the city's current state, including its AI boom and ongoing challenges like homelessness and the fentanyl crisis. They then analyze the upcoming vice presidential debate between JD Vance and Tim Walls, discussing their strengths and weaknesses as debaters and predicting the potential outcome. They also touch upon Donald Trump's recent attacks on Kamala Harris and her stance on crypto.

00:33:04
OpenAI's Financial Situation and Pattern Breakers

Kara and Scott delve into OpenAI's financial performance, discussing its projected revenue and losses. They debate whether investors should be concerned about the company's spending and discuss the potential for OpenAI to become a dominant force in the AI market. Kara then interviews Mike Maples Jr., co-founder of Floodgate, about his new book "Pattern Breakers." They discuss the concept of pattern-breaking startups, the importance of inflection points, and the role of disagreeableness in innovation.

00:55:57
Venture Capital Dynamics and Sponsor Mentions

Kara and Mike discuss the changing dynamics of the venture capital industry, particularly the increased aggression and tribalism among VCs. They also explore Mike's investment philosophy and his reluctance to invest in AI startups due to the high competition and difficulty in identifying true pattern breakers. The episode begins with a brief introduction and then dives into sponsor mentions, highlighting Janice Henderson Investors and Anthropic. Janice Henderson offers free personalized investment advice, while Anthropic's AI system, Cloud, aims to boost productivity and innovation.

01:08:49
Sponsor Mention: Lumen and Wins and Fails

The episode continues with a sponsor mention for Lumen, a company that provides a handheld device to monitor metabolic health through breath analysis. Lumen claims to offer personalized recommendations for nutrition, exercise, and more. Scott then shares his "wins" and "fails" of the week. He criticizes the societal backlash against a mother supporting her transgender daughter and praises Will Ferrell's show about a transgender writing partner. He also celebrates the death of Hassan Nasrallah, leader of Hezbollah, and the life of Chris Christofferson, a multi-talented American icon.

01:17:36
Men's Struggles and Societal Impact

Scott discusses a Wall Street Journal article highlighting the struggles of men in society, including a lack of role models, declining middle-class jobs, and higher rates of addiction and despair. He emphasizes the need for more support programs and resources for young men.

01:20:51
The Importance of Men's Well-being and Maggie Smith's Legacy

Scott addresses the criticism he receives for focusing on men's struggles, arguing that men's well-being is crucial for the overall flourishing of society. He acknowledges the achievements of women but emphasizes the need to address the challenges faced by men. He then expresses his sadness over the passing of Maggie Smith, a renowned actress known for her roles in Harry Potter, Downton Abbey, and other works. He praises her contributions to entertainment and her lasting impact.

01:22:31
Call to Action and Episode Conclusion

The episode concludes with a call to action for listeners to submit questions for the show. Scott and Carrie announce their return on Friday with more news and insights.

Keywords

Pattern Breaker


A startup that disrupts existing market paradigms by introducing a radically different product or service, forcing a choice rather than a comparison. Examples include Tesla Cybertruck and Steve Jobs's innovations at Apple.

Inflection Point


A significant external event or change that creates new opportunities for startups. Examples include the iPhone 4S's GPS locator chip, which enabled ride-sharing apps like Lyft.

Disagreeableness


A personality trait that can be an asset for founders in developing breakthrough ideas, but can also lead to toxicity if not managed effectively. Elon Musk is an example of a highly disagreeable figure.

AI Monopoly


The emergence of a dominant player in the AI market, similar to Google's dominance in search. OpenAI is currently positioned as a potential AI monopolist due to its market share and rapid growth.

Venture Capital


A form of investment focused on early-stage companies with high growth potential. The industry is becoming increasingly concentrated, with a smaller number of firms and partners controlling a larger share of the deal flow.

Transgender


Relating to or denoting a person whose gender identity differs from the sex they were assigned at birth. This includes individuals who identify as male, female, or non-binary.

Deaths of Despair


A term used to describe deaths from suicide, drug overdoses, and alcohol-related causes. These deaths are often linked to social and economic factors, such as poverty, unemployment, and lack of social support.

Middle-Class Jobs


Jobs that provide a comfortable standard of living and are typically held by individuals with a high school diploma or some college education. These jobs are often in manufacturing, retail, and service industries.

Q&A

  • What are the key issues facing San Francisco in the upcoming mayoral election?

    The San Francisco mayoral race is focused on addressing issues like homelessness, the fentanyl crisis, and the city's economic future, particularly in the context of the AI boom.

  • What are the strengths and weaknesses of JD Vance and Tim Walls as potential vice presidents?

    JD Vance is considered a sharp debater but may be seen as unlikable, while Tim Walls is more likable but may lack the intellectual depth of Vance.

  • What are the key factors driving OpenAI's financial performance?

    OpenAI's revenue is driven by sales of its services to companies and chat bot subscriptions, while its losses are attributed to operating costs, salaries, and compute expenses.

  • What are the key characteristics of a "Pattern Breaker" startup?

    Pattern-breaking startups introduce radically different products or services that cannot be compared to existing offerings, forcing a choice rather than a comparison. They often leverage inflection points to create new markets and empower users in novel ways.

  • Why is Mike Maples Jr. hesitant to invest in AI startups?

    Mike believes that the AI market is highly competitive and it's difficult to identify startups with a structural competitive advantage that can win the future. He prefers to invest in companies with a clear path to spectacular returns, which he finds less common in the AI space.

  • What are some of the challenges facing men in society today?

    Men are facing a number of challenges, including a lack of role models, declining middle-class jobs, and higher rates of addiction and despair. These factors are contributing to a decline in men's well-being and overall societal stability.

  • Why is it important to address the struggles of men?

    Men's well-being is crucial for the overall flourishing of society. Men can be both destructive and constructive forces, and it's important to ensure that they are thriving in order to create a more balanced and equitable society.

  • What are some ways to support young men who are struggling?

    There is a need for more support programs and resources for young men, including mentorship programs, vocational training, and support groups. It's also important to address the root causes of these struggles, such as poverty, unemployment, and lack of access to education.

  • What is the significance of Chris Christofferson's life and legacy?

    Chris Christofferson was a multi-talented American icon who embodied strength, creativity, and patriotism. His life and work serve as an inspiration to others, reminding us of the importance of pursuing our passions and making a positive impact on the world.

Show Notes

Kara and Scott discuss California governor Gavin Newsom's veto of the AI bill that divided Big Tech, and Trump Media co-founders dumping $100 million worth of stock. Then, JD Vance and Tim Walz face off, Donald Trump's latest comments hit new lows, and is Kamala Harris leaning into crypto? Plus, a peek at OpenAI's financials reveals massive gains, but bigger losses. Will that be a problem for investors? Our Friend of Pivot is Mike Maples Jr., co-founder of the VC firm, Floodgate, and author of the new book, "Pattern Breakers: Why Some Start-Ups Change the Future." Mike talks about what makes for a successful start-up, and shares the story behind one of his biggest misses.


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VP Debate, OpenAI Financial Churn, and Guest Mike Maples Jr.

VP Debate, OpenAI Financial Churn, and Guest Mike Maples Jr.

New York Magazine