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Voting Is About To Begin. How Has The Electorate Changed?

Voting Is About To Begin. How Has The Electorate Changed?

Update: 2024-09-034
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This episode of the NPR Politics Podcast explores the evolving demographics of the US electorate and their implications for the upcoming election. The podcast examines key voting groups, including white voters with and without college degrees, Latino voters, and Asian Americans, analyzing their changing size and voting habits. The discussion highlights the growing influence of Latino voters, particularly in the Southwest and Florida, and the increasing significance of Asian Americans in states like Nevada and Georgia. The podcast also focuses on the demographic shifts in North Carolina and Georgia, two key battleground states, highlighting the role of black voters and white college-educated voters in shaping the political landscape. The podcast examines how these demographic changes are influencing the strategies of both Democratic and Republican campaigns, with Democrats increasingly relying on white college-educated voters and Republicans focusing on mobilizing white voters without college degrees.

Outlines

00:00:34
The Changing Electorate: Demographics and Voting Trends

This episode of the NPR Politics Podcast discusses the shifting demographics of the US electorate and their implications for the upcoming election. The focus is on key voting groups like white voters without college degrees, white voters with college degrees, Latino voters, and Asian Americans. The podcast analyzes how these groups are changing in size and voting habits, and how these changes are impacting the strategies of both Democratic and Republican campaigns.

00:07:59
Latino Voters and Asian Americans: Growing Influence

The podcast delves deeper into the Latino voting bloc, highlighting its diversity and growth. The discussion focuses on the differences in voting patterns between Latinos in different regions, particularly the Southwest and Florida. The podcast also explores the impact of Vice President Kamala Harris's candidacy on Latino voters, particularly Hispanic women. The podcast then expands its analysis to include Asian Americans, emphasizing their growing influence in states like Nevada and Georgia. The discussion examines how these demographic factors are shaping the campaigns' strategies.

00:13:26
Battleground States: North Carolina and Georgia

The podcast focuses on the demographic shifts in North Carolina and Georgia, two key battleground states. The discussion highlights the significant presence of black voters in both states and how their voting patterns have contributed to Democratic gains. The podcast also examines the role of white college-educated voters in North Carolina and how their presence has influenced the state's political landscape.

Keywords

White Voters Without College Degrees


This demographic group is shrinking in size and has traditionally leaned Republican. Their declining numbers and lower propensity to vote present challenges for the Trump campaign.

White Voters With College Degrees


This group is growing in size and has shifted towards the Democratic party. Their higher propensity to vote gives Democrats an advantage in low-turnout elections.

Latino Voters


Latinos are the fastest-growing demographic group in the US and are increasingly becoming a political force. Their voting patterns vary significantly by region and sub-group, making them a complex and crucial group to understand.

Asian Americans


Asian Americans are a growing and influential voting bloc, particularly in states like Nevada and Georgia. Their increasing presence is reshaping the political landscape in these states.

Suburban Voters


Suburban voters are a key demographic in states like North Carolina and Georgia. Their diversity and shifting political preferences are making these states increasingly competitive.

Research Triangle Park


A major technology and research hub in North Carolina, home to a high concentration of college-educated voters. This area has historically leaned Democratic and is a key target for campaigns.

Q&A

  • How are the changing demographics of the US electorate impacting the strategies of both Democratic and Republican campaigns?

    Democrats are increasingly relying on white college-educated voters, who have a higher propensity to vote and are shifting towards the Democratic party. Republicans, particularly the Trump campaign, are focusing on mobilizing white voters without college degrees, who are a shrinking but still significant group.

  • What are the key differences in voting patterns between Latino voters in the Southwest and Florida?

    Latinos in the Southwest are more likely to be of Mexican descent and are less receptive to messages about communism, which Trump has used to appeal to Cuban-American voters in Florida.

  • How are Asian Americans becoming a more significant voting bloc in states like Nevada and Georgia?

    Asian Americans are a growing demographic in these states, particularly in Nevada, where they make up almost 10% of the eligible voting population. Their increasing presence is making these states more competitive.

  • How are the demographics of North Carolina and Georgia shaping the campaigns' strategies?

    Both states have significant black populations, which have helped Democrats gain ground. North Carolina also has a large white college-educated population, which leans Democratic and is a key target for campaigns.

  • What is the significance of Research Triangle Park in North Carolina?

    Research Triangle Park is a major technology and research hub with a high concentration of college-educated voters. This area has historically leaned Democratic and is a key target for campaigns.

Show Notes

There are fewer white people without college degrees, more Latino potential voters in key states and a rise in Asian American voters in Nevada. We have a detailed conversation about what that could mean as presidential election voting gets underway this week.

This episode: national political correspondent Sarah McCammon, voting correspondent Ashley Lopez, and senior political editor and correspondent Domenico Montanaro.

The podcast is produced by Casey Morell and Kelli Wessinger. Our editor is Eric McDaniel. Our executive producer is Muthoni Muturi.

Listen to every episode of the NPR Politics Podcast sponsor-free, unlock access to bonus episodes with more from the NPR Politics team, and support public media when you sign up for The NPR Politics Podcast+ at plus.npr.org/politics.

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Voting Is About To Begin. How Has The Electorate Changed?

Voting Is About To Begin. How Has The Electorate Changed?