What's Your Assumption? - November 12, 2025 - Whats Your Assumption - 10 Trades in 10 Minutes: Intraday Pair + Options Gauntlet
Update: 2025-11-12
Description
Tasty Live is back with a rapid-fire trading session: a quick intraday Russell–Nasdaq micro-futures pair scalp (+~$160 in under a minute) sets the tone, followed by defined-risk options structures across CRW, CSCO, UBER, SLV, HIMS, INTC, OKLO, and Nat Gas/UNG. The crew leans on liquidity, monthly expirations, and small sizing—especially around earnings—while calling out IV rank realities (low in UBER/HIMS, elevated in INTC) and choosing wider wings/ratios for forgiveness.
Highlights include: CSCO short diagonal into earnings, UBER Jan/Dec diagonal (1×2 lean), SLV short stock + short 9-day 47 put, HIMS “stupid” (38/42 call spread + short 36 put), INTC Dec 1×3 call ratio (38 vs. 3×43), OKLO wide 1×2 post-earnings for a small credit, and a compact Nat Gas call credit spread near 30-delta. ETSY is a deliberate pass due to poor risk/reward after a sharp bounce. Bottom line: trade what’s moving, define risk, and keep the pairs trade intraday.
Highlights include: CSCO short diagonal into earnings, UBER Jan/Dec diagonal (1×2 lean), SLV short stock + short 9-day 47 put, HIMS “stupid” (38/42 call spread + short 36 put), INTC Dec 1×3 call ratio (38 vs. 3×43), OKLO wide 1×2 post-earnings for a small credit, and a compact Nat Gas call credit spread near 30-delta. ETSY is a deliberate pass due to poor risk/reward after a sharp bounce. Bottom line: trade what’s moving, define risk, and keep the pairs trade intraday.
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