DiscoverGeopolitics Decanted with Dmitri AlperovitchWhy The China Trade Truce Is Unlikely to Last
Why The China Trade Truce Is Unlikely to Last

Why The China Trade Truce Is Unlikely to Last

Update: 2025-10-31
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Dmitri Alperovitch talks with Sarah Stewart, CEO at Silverado and former senior US trade negotiator, about the Trump-Xi meeting in South Korea. They discuss the details of the agreement reached and why it is a temporary trade truce at best.


00:00 Introduction


01:13 US Objectives for the Trump-Xi Meeting


08:43 The Rare Earths Truce


11:29 A Temporary Truce, Not a Deal


12:31 China's Historical Record of Delivering on Their Commitments


16:11 Why This Truce Is Unlikely to Last a Year


17:39 Deals With the Rest of the World


18:45 Strategic Implications of the Malaysia Trade Deal


20:27 No Concessions on AI Chips Export

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Why The China Trade Truce Is Unlikely to Last

Why The China Trade Truce Is Unlikely to Last

Dmitri Alperovitch, Sarah Stewart