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We walk through a volatile week where shutdown politics, CPI relief, and global trade headlines moved cattle limit down while grains firmed. From Argentina beef optics to a possible Trump–Xi meeting, we connect DC decisions to cash flow, price risk, and the week ahead.

• shutdown timing linked to ACA premium hikes and party leverage
• partial FSA reopening and roughly 3bn dollars in payments to producers
• CPI at 3 percent yoy, equities rally, odds of another Fed cut rise
• beef inflation stubborn, cattle limit-down driven by optics and fear
• Argentina imports small in scale versus US consumption
• screwworm controls, Mexico cattle border reopening scenarios
• trade cards: 301 probe on China, soy and sorghum deliverables
• Canada talks pause, Japan signals added US commodity buys
• Brazil tariffs, coffee prices, and hamburger flows
• API withdraws support for year-round E15 and seeks reforms
• Senate hearing on seed and fertilizer market power and history
• market highs, debt surge, and risks from congressional dysfunction

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Thank you, Tommy G