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Lead-Lag Live

Author: Michael A. Gayed, CFA

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Welcome to the Lead-Lag Live podcast, where we bring you live unscripted conversations with thought leaders in the world of finance, economics, and investing. Hosted through X Spaces by Michael A. Gayed, CFA, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report (@leadlagreport), each episode dives deep into the minds of industry experts to discuss current market trends, investment strategies, and the global economic landscape.

In this exciting series, you'll have the rare opportunity to join Michael A. Gayed as he connects with prominent thought leaders for captivating discussions in real-time. The Lead-Lag Live podcast aims to provide valuable insights, analysis, and actionable advice for investors and financial professionals alike.

As a dedicated listener, you can expect to hear from renowned financial experts, best-selling authors, and market strategists as they share their wealth of knowledge and experience. With a focus on topical issues and their potential impact on financial markets, these live unscripted conversations will ensure that you stay informed and ahead of the curve.

Subscribe to the Lead-Lag Live podcast and follow @leadlagreport on X to stay updated on upcoming live conversations and to gain exclusive access to a treasure trove of financial wisdom. Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to learn from the best and brightest minds in the business.

Join us on this journey as we explore the complex world of finance and investments, one live unscripted conversation at a time. Be sure to like, comment, and share the Lead-Lag Live podcast with your network to help others discover these invaluable insights.

Stay tuned for the latest episode of the Lead-Lag Live podcast, and remember to turn on notifications so you never miss a live conversation with your favorite thought leaders. Happy listening!

782 Episodes
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Volatility has returned to markets with a vengeance, but is this something to fear or embrace? It depends entirely on your perspective and preparation. When markets plummet, most investors panic. But what if market downturns actually represent opportunity? For younger investors with decades ahead, buying assets at discounted prices might be the best possible scenario. As Meb Faber points out, "You want to dollar cost average when stocks are at a PE of 10, not a PE of 40." The conversation d...
Ever wonder why markets seem to overreact to news we all saw coming? Cullen Roche challenges conventional wisdom about market efficiency with a refreshing perspective: "The price is always wrong." This fundamental insight transforms how we should approach investing during uncertain times. When tariffs send markets plunging, investors face the classic struggle between what they intellectually know they should do versus what feels right in the moment. Roche expertly dissects why traditional ri...
The markets have shifted into a new volatility regime, and traders need fresh tools to navigate these choppy waters. In this illuminating conversation, Michael Gayed hosts David Dziekanski (Founder and CEO of Quantify Funds), Mike Venuto (Co-Founder of Tidal ETF Services), and Michael Silva (trader and host of Figuring Out Money) to explore innovative trading strategies for today's challenging market environment. David introduces Quantify's groundbreaking launch of four new "stacked" ETFs th...
In a world where traditional income sources fall short and market volatility threatens portfolio stability, finding the sweet spot between yield and growth becomes increasingly challenging. Enter Cullen Capital's Enhanced Equity Income Strategy (DIVP), a thoughtfully constructed approach that's been delivering consistent results for over 14 years. Unlike many covered call strategies that sacrifice upside potential for current income, DIVP takes a more selective approach. By writing options o...
Market volatility has soared, and investors are more bearish than they've been since 2008 – even more so than during COVID. But what if this extreme pessimism is actually a buying signal? Eric Nyquist of Howard Capital makes a compelling case that "bears sound smart, but they're usually wrong," highlighting how contrarian indicators often provide the clearest path forward during market uncertainty. In this fascinating conversation, Eric breaks down Howard Capital's systematic approach to nav...
When financial stress tore Eric Nyquist's family apart during the mid-2000s, it sparked his lifelong mission to understand how to both grow and protect wealth. Now leading fund sales and distribution at Howard Capital Management, Eric shares how personal experience shaped his investment philosophy and why protecting capital during market downturns is just as crucial as capturing upside. The cornerstone of Howard Capital's approach is their proprietary HCM Byline – a trend-following indicator...
Amid rising market turbulence, finding stable income sources has become increasingly crucial for investors seeking portfolio resilience. In this compelling discussion, Jay Hatfield draws on his 35 years of Wall Street experience to illuminate the path forward for income-focused investing strategies that can weather economic uncertainty. Hatfield challenges conventional wisdom with his razor-sharp macroeconomic analysis, demonstrating why tariffs are actually deflationary rather than inflatio...
The financial world stands at a crossroads where unprecedented US stock market valuations meet revolutionary portfolio strategies and tax solutions. Meb Faber, founder of Cambria Investment Management, cuts through market noise to deliver essential insights for investors navigating today's challenging landscape. With US stocks experiencing one of their four major valuation peaks in history and the S&P 500 delivering a 10-bagger return since 2009, many investors find themselves trapped in...
The financial landscape is shifting dramatically, and Public.com is at the forefront of this transformation. Co-founder Leif Abraham takes us behind the scenes of the five-year journey that's reimagining what an investment platform can be for today's generation of investors. Abraham reveals how Public differentiated itself from day one by focusing on people who want to take their investing more seriously rather than just speculating. The platform's technological innovation extends far beyond...
The transformative power of inner change ripples through every aspect of Coach JV's extraordinary life story. From the depths of opiate addiction and a suicide attempt in 2006 to building multiple successful companies and achieving financial freedom, his journey reveals that our external reality shifts dramatically when we address our internal landscape first. "When I changed me, the environment changed," Coach JV explains, sharing how he went from selling everything he owned to feed his add...
Jay Hatfield cuts through market noise with a refreshingly clear perspective on inflation: stick a yellow sticky note on your mirror that says "inflation is caused by excessive monetary growth." This fundamental principle helps investors avoid being misled by commodity price fluctuations that resolve naturally through market mechanisms rather than representing true inflation. The current market volatility, Hatfield explains, largely reflects normal seasonal patterns during non-earnings perio...
As market uncertainties rise, an age-old asset is regaining its allure—gold. In this episode, we delve into the shifting dynamics of the gold market, featuring insights from experts who navigate this fertile landscape. With gold prices climbing, there's palpable excitement among industry players, but is it justified? Our discussion uncovers the reasons behind the renewed interest in gold mining stocks, contrasting the performance of larger companies versus promising junior miners. We take yo...
Dive into the intricacies of small-cap investing as Michael Gayed and Brian Drubetsky explore the current economic landscape and its implications for market opportunities. With interest rates being a pivotal factor for many small-cap firms, our discussion unpacks the latest trends in earnings growth and the potential for favorable shifts in monetary policy. From analyzing the essential characteristics that can help small-cap stocks thrive, to recognizing the undervalued opportunities in sect...
Dive into the intriguing world of endowment investing as we explore the performance strategies of Yale University, one of the top-performing institutions. With unique insights from experts, we dissect why Yale's model has consistently outperformed traditional portfolio allocations and what lessons everyday investors can apply to their financial strategies. In this episode, we take you through an analysis of Yale's innovative investment strategies, including their remarkable asset allocation,...
Are you aiming for steady income from your investments? Discover the ins and outs of covered call strategies in our engaging episode featuring Howard Chan from Kurv Investments. We dive deep into how this strategy can generate additional returns while strategically managing risks. Throughout the episode, we unpack the mechanics of writing covered calls and explore the volatility premium's significance in this context. Howard sheds light on when this strategy is best employed and the underlyi...
Dive into the world of investment strategies with our latest episode focused on risk parity and the innovative ETFs, RPAR and UPAR. Join financial expert Alex Shahidi as he unpacks the evolving landscape of portfolio management, encouraging listeners to reassess their traditional views on asset allocation. The conversation covers the importance of diversification, revealing the limitations of the conventional 60/40 model that many investors continue to favor. With insights backed by hi...
Prepare to transform your income strategy as we explore the world of High Income Pass-Through Securities (HIPS) with our expert guest, Will. Discover how these unique investment vehicles can serve as robust alternatives during high inflation by tapping into the power of REITs, MLPs, closed-end funds, and business development companies. These securities not only offer the potential for higher income levels than traditional fixed-income sources but also come with significant tax advantages. Joi...
Unlock the secrets to navigating the complex world of commodity trading with insights from Jake Hanley and Sal Gilberti of Tucreum ETFs. As key industry voices, Jake and Sal dissect the intricate relationship between tariffs, the strength of the dollar, and their profound effects on capital markets, especially agricultural commodities. With the looming possibility of Donald Trump's re-election in 2024, they offer an analysis of potential tariff strategies and their impact on U.S. trade relati...
Unlock the secrets of informed investing and sidestep the pitfalls of market gambling with insights from Jay Hatfield of Infrastructure Capital Advisors. Explore the nuanced interplay between tariffs, political narratives, and inflation expectations, as revealed by a University of Michigan survey. Jay shares his 35-year Wall Street journey, highlighting the stark differences between hedge fund analytical frameworks and traditional investment analysis, all while emphasizing the critical import...
Why is gold shining brighter while the yen wobbles? Join us for an enlightening conversation as we host Michael Gayed, the astute mind behind The Lead-Lag Report, who doesn't shy away from bold predictions. Michael explores the complexities of Japan's interest rate hikes and their impact on global market volatility. We dissect the turbulent trade winds blowing between the US, China, Canada, and Mexico, scrutinizing how tariffs and erratic policies from the Trump era might reshape businesses a...
Unlock the secrets to achieving true diversification in your investment portfolio with insights from Seth Cogswell of Running Oak. Ever wondered if your large-cap portfolio is truly diversified, or if it's just another tech-heavy collection? We tackle the illusion of diversification, using SCHG as a critical case study, and reveal how active ETFs can be leveraged to balance exponential growth with sustainable returns. This episode promises to equip you with a strategic, risk-aware approach th...
Unlock the secrets of agricultural markets with Sal Gilberti as we unpack the dynamics behind key commodities like corn and wheat. Discover how these markets are influenced by a web of factors, from unpredictable weather patterns to the global ripple effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Sal shares his insights on price rationing and the cyclical nature of grain production, offering a promising perspective on corn prices that could reshape your investment strategy. Peek into the world of a...
Craig Shapiro, esteemed hedge fund expert and macro strategist for the Bear Traps Report, joins us for a compelling exploration of the intricate world of Federal Reserve policies and their interplay with artificial intelligence. Unravel the complexities of recent monetary decisions amidst a politically charged atmosphere, as we dissect the impacts on bond markets and business confidence. With inflationary pressures mounting, Craig offers his insightful take on the potential consequences and f...
Unlock the secrets of crafting a robust investment portfolio with insights that challenge conventional wisdom. Join me, Michael Gayed, alongside experts Matt O'Brian and Brad Barrie, as we explore the critical role of diversification and the potential risks when concentration takes center stage. We'll unravel the intricacies of true diversification, discuss "line item risk," and emphasize why preparation should be prioritized over prediction in the ever-volatile market landscape. Our convers...
What if investing in India could unlock unprecedented growth opportunities for your portfolio? Join us as we unravel the dynamic transformation of India's entrepreneurial and economic landscape, highlighting insights from Chris Getter of Simplify, and Anupam Ghose from System 2 Advisors. With first-hand accounts of navigating the complexities of India's evolving market, this episode offers a front-row seat to understanding India's mercantilist roots, its challenges during the 1980s, and the r...
After years of struggling with chronic health issues, Craig Brockie found himself questioning the effectiveness of traditional Western medicine, particularly after experiencing the disruptive effects of antibiotics like tetracycline on his microbiome. Craig joins us to share his personal journey from battling acne and anxiety to embracing naturopathic medicine and other holistic practices. Together, we explore the limitations of Western medical paradigms focused on medication and surgery, and...
Ready to uncover the secrets of advanced investment strategies in today's evolving market landscape? We're thrilled to have Howard Chan, the founder and CEO of Kurv Investment Management, join us. With a background in electrical engineering and critical roles at Goldman Sachs and PIMCO, Howard shares his unique insights into asset allocation and fixed income management. Discover how regulatory changes have paved the way for more innovative and tax-efficient ETF strategies, making them accessi...
Join me, Michael Gayed, and my esteemed guest Mike Larson, Editor-in-Chief at Money Show, as we unravel the bold investment strategies that have reshaped the financial landscape in 2023. Discover how offensive investing styles have not only outperformed but also paved the way for potential recovery in the bond market, particularly high-quality treasuries. We delve into the vibrant Money Show events in Las Vegas, a hotbed of dynamic investment insights, featuring luminaries like Ralph Acampora...
Prepare to challenge everything you thought you knew about the macroeconomic landscape as we welcome Michael Gayed, the insightful founder of the Lead Lag Report, to dissect the future of global markets with a particular glance at 2025. With a bold statement about the reverse carry trade, especially through the lens of Japan's unique financial environment, Michael draws connections between low interest rates, currency strength, and international borrowing dynamics. Listen as he unravels the p...
What if everything you thought you knew about the financial markets was wrong? Join us as we welcome back seasoned market analyst Michael Gayed to dissect the pervasive notion of market manipulation. Together, we unravel the intricate roles that liquidity and algorithms play in shaping the financial landscape. As we navigate through the current state of limbo, Michael provides a thought-provoking analysis on how potential political shifts, specifically a Trump presidency, might reshape the re...
Walter Deemer joins us to unravel the fascinating dynamics of small caps versus large caps in today's stock market, sparking the question: Are small caps the unsung heroes poised to lead future market trends? Together, we examine historical market parallels, particularly the early 1970s, and discuss whether we're witnessing a repeat of those cycles or something entirely new. Key insights are shared on sector weight differences and the potential impact of speculative behavior among younger tra...
Ever wondered how the intricate dance between central banks shapes the global economy? Join me in a fascinating conversation with Nomi Prins, a former Wall Street senior manager and acclaimed author, as we unravel the complex dynamics at play. Together, we explore whether the actions of these financial powerhouses teeter on the edge of coordination or collusion, and what their increasing gold reserves mean for the global monetary landscape. Gain fresh insights into the strategic maneuvers of ...
Unlock the secrets to strategic investing as Jeff Cullen and Cathy Howse from Schafer Cullen captivate us with their insights on the evolving world of dividend yield and its cyclical allure. Imagine institutional investors turning their gaze from high-flying large-cap momentum stocks to the steady allure of dividend-heavy plays. Jeff shares his excitement about Schaefer Cullen's venture into the burgeoning ETF market, while Cathy reflects on the firm's remarkable growth, all while upholding i...
Join us for an enlightening conversation with Jay Hatfield, a Wall Street veteran, where he dissects the intricate world of financial markets with a focus on deregulation and its potential ripple effects on inflation. We'll guide you through the complexities of the fixed income market and the unique benefits of active management. Jay provides invaluable insights into how biases in rating agencies might actually offer hidden investment opportunities, especially in niche sectors like pipelines ...
What if everything you thought you knew about diversification was wrong? Join us for a compelling conversation with Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, and Jeff Sarti from Morton Wealth as we challenge the status quo on what it means to truly diversify an investment portfolio. In a world of unpredictable markets, we discuss the vital importance of holding assets that may not always be in vogue but can safeguard against economic downturns. From the shifting reliability of bonds to...
Renowned trader and educator Timothy Sykes joins us to unravel the fascinating story of his pivot from a promising tennis career to mastering the stock market with his bar mitzvah money. Imagine an injury altering your life's path so dramatically that it leads you to become a millionaire trader. Timothy's journey offers a tapestry of invaluable lessons—from his initial trading days to managing larger accounts and eventually dedicating himself to teaching others. Explore how his background in ...
Uncover the surprising links between narcissism and career paths in finance, medicine, and law with renowned personality dynamics expert, Vance Barse. This episode promises an enlightening exploration into the multifaceted nature of clinical narcissism, dissecting its overt and covert forms. We go beyond surface-level traits, examining how these behaviors play out in professional environments and personal lives. Listen as we break down the phases of love bombing, idealization, devaluation, an...
What if options trading isn't as complex as it's made out to be? Join us as we welcome Euan Sinclair, a distinguished expert in the field, who challenges the common perception of options as intricate financial instruments. Discover how the landscape has transformed in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, driven by a surge of retail traders who have redefined the market dynamics. Euan shares his insights into the inherent simplicity of options that facilitate effective modeling, and we explore t...
Ever felt overwhelmed by the sheer number of investment options, much like trying to choose from dozens of toothpaste brands? Join us for a fascinating discussion with Paisley Nardini, a seasoned CFA charterholder, as she pulls back the curtain on the world of alternative investments. Discover how Paisley's extensive experience at Simplify Asset Management, Invesco, and PIMCO equips her with unique insights into navigating market volatility and enhancing portfolio management. This episode pro...
What if political connections, not just systemic issues, are the real drivers of income inequality? Join us for a compelling conversation with political economist Vuk Vukovic, who challenges conventional wisdom with his insights into the intricate web of elite networks. With his expertise and his book "Elite Networks," Vuk unpacks how these connections significantly amplify the wealth gap, often leaving the middle and lower classes behind. He shares compelling evidence from the US and UK, spa...
Join us as we sit down with Hal Lambert of Point Bridge Capital, where he unveils the politically conscious investment strategies that are shaking up the financial world. Can political beliefs truly influence your investment portfolio? Hal makes a compelling case with his America First ETF (MAGA), which taps into companies backing conservative agendas. We sift through the impact of deregulation on sectors like industrials, financials, and oil and gas, painting a picture of how these areas cou...
What if a political resurgence could reshape financial landscapes? Join me, Michael Gayed, alongside the seasoned financial strategist Julian Brigden, as we dissect the hypothetical "Trump 2.0" scenario. We tackle its potential ripple effects across growth, equities, fixed income, and the dollar, with a special spotlight on the evolving role of cryptocurrency. Julian, a veteran from Lehman Brothers, HSBC, and the mastermind behind MI2 Partners, brings unique insights into how retail investors...
Unlock the secrets of strategic investing with Phil Wool from Reliant Global Advisors as he shares how machine learning is revolutionizing portfolio management by focusing on individual company analysis over macroeconomic speculation. Gain insights into the current dynamics of US equities as they navigate through expectations of a soft landing and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance. Explore the complexities of how policy volatility and tariff changes can shape market sentiment and investme...
From the football field to the boardroom, discover how Kyle Kazan's journey from college athlete to real estate mogul reshaped his vision for the cannabis industry. Listen to Kyle as he reveals how he navigated the worlds of law enforcement, special education, and real estate investing before becoming a pivotal player in cannabis. His insights offer a masterclass in resilience and strategic acumen, shedding light on his success despite the daunting challenges of federal illegality and complex...
Uncover cutting-edge strategies in the world of ETFs with our special guest, Meb Faber from Cambria. We dive into the shifting landscape of fixed income yield spreads and explore how these changes influence the transition from traditional mutual funds to innovative ETF structures. Meb opens up about Cambria's bold approach with their open enrollment strategy, offering an insider's view of their impressive suite of 16 ETFs, and shares candid insights into the strategic decision to close their ...
Can Bitcoin reshape the societal structures we know today? Join us as I, Michael Gayed, publisher of The Lead Lag Report, engage in a compelling dialogue with Aleks Svetski, a seasoned Bitcoin enthusiast and entrepreneur, who shares his transformative journey from skepticism to profound understanding of Bitcoin's intricate relationship with global economic systems. Together, we unravel the constant waves of criticism Bitcoin faces, from claims of being a Ponzi scheme to the challenges posed b...
Join us for an insightful conversation with Lakshman Achuthan from the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI), where we promise you'll gain a deeper understanding of the complex world of economic cycles. Lakshman, a veteran in business cycle analysis, shares his expertise on the intricate dance between growth, inflation, and employment, and how these cycles, though interconnected, often march to the beat of their own drums. Our discussion highlights why economies are inherently cyclical, bu...
Join us as Max Osbon of Osbon Capital Management reveals how tech investments can thrive amid market volatility and unpredictable times. Discover how to anticipate market pullbacks while unlocking the potential of semiconductor giants like Nvidia, which are essential for navigating hype cycles. Max provides expert insights on managing risk assets and grasping stock-specific momentum, crucial for making informed investment decisions in today's shifting market landscape. Our conversation also ...
Discover the unexpected consequences of a post-pandemic housing market with renowned housing analyst Amy Nixon. As mortgage rates rise, the phenomenon of mortgage lock-in is holding homeowners back from selling, creating an intriguing paradox of constrained supply amidst cooled demand. We unravel the unconventional tactics like builders buying down mortgage rates and the rise of cash transactions, while navigating the unique challenges confronting first-time buyers. With a spotlight on region...
What if your emotions are driving your investment choices more than actual market changes? In our latest episode, we sit down with Charles Rotblutt, Vice President of the American Association of Individual Investors, to uncover the complex dynamics of market sentiment and its surprising influence on investment decisions. With a focus on the rapid information flow in today's markets, we examine the emotional rollercoaster investors often experience, even when their portfolios remain steady. Ch...
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