Lead-Lag Live

Navigate the perplexing currents of today's investment landscape with us, Michael Gayed and expert analyst Sam Burns from Mill Street Research, as we dissect the S&P's dominance and the challenges of traditional diversification. Gain valuable insight into the shifting sands of asset allocation, where the once-reliable tactics now stumble in the face of large-cap earnings surprises and the creeping dread of 'zombie companies' amidst rising interest rates. Our conversation spans from the perplexing behavior of small-cap stocks to the potential economic ripples of the November elections, painting a comprehensive picture of a market at a crossroads.As we parse through the intricate economic recovery, Sam and I scrutinize the historical echoes of inflation and how today's landscape differs, considering the impacts on housing, the auto industry, and consumer spending. We delve into the enigma of emerging markets and China's influence, probing the gap between GDP growth and corporate earnings while dissecting the sector allocation mix affecting investment returns. Join our intricate dance through economic indicators and the commodities market, as we shed light on gold's breakout and the shifting tides that may influence your next investment move.Thank you for tuning in to an episode brimming with insights and a forward-looking perspective on fiscal policy, bank credit growth, and the economic indicators that matter most in our post-COVID world. For those keen on staying abreast of market trends and expert analysis, follow us on Mill Street Research, Twitter, and LinkedIn. A heartfelt nod to Sam Burns for his invaluable expertise and to our listeners for embarking on this journey through the financial landscape with us. Here's to more enlightening episodes and engaging discourse ahead.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Embark on a journey through the evolving world of finance with none other than Caleb Silver, the Editor-in-Chief of Investopedia, as your guide. You're in for an enlightening conversation that traverses Caleb’s illustrious career from Bloomberg to CNN, and his passionate advocacy for financial literacy. We tackle how the fast-paced nature of today's media impacts the integrity of business journalism and the challenges of sifting through vast data to uncover the genuine economic narratives. By the end of our chat, you'll have a deeper understanding of why positive economic indicators and public sentiment often don't align, and just how predictive Investopedia's search trends and Anxiety Index can be for the markets.Feel the pulse of economic anxiety as it ebbs and flows with the tides of political discourse. Our discussion with Caleb reveals the intricate relationship between market fluctuations and our collective psyche, dissecting how political leanings can skew our economic perceptions. As we peel back the layers of media influence, question the motives behind the dramatization of financial news, and shine a light on the latest craze in options trading, we expose the raw nerves of investor behavior and market volatility. This episode paints a vivid picture of the current financial climate and the role media plays, extending beyond simple market updates to the very heart of personal finance concerns.As we round off this comprehensive exploration of the financial landscape, we take a heartfelt look at the need for financial education, with Caleb sharing his evolution from TV producer to a champion of financial literacy. We delve into Investopedia's initiatives to make financial knowledge accessible, discussing the importance of ethical investing and the pitfalls ensnaring rookie traders. Witness the cultural shift towards zero-commission trading and its effects on investors' behaviors, and soak in the stories of market phenomena like AMC and GameStop. With this episode, your arsenal for navigating the financial markets responsibly will be significantly enhanced, and you'll be primed for our upcoming session with Sam Burns from Mill Street Research, promising to keep you at the forefront of financial acumen.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Unlock the secrets behind the ever-evolving world of retail investing with our special guest, Stephen Sikes, COO at Public. This episode promises a journey into the heart of modern market dynamics, where we shatter the myth of the "dumb money" investor and introduce you to the savvy, diverse profiles making their mark on the financial landscape. Stephen brings his seasoned expertise to the table, revealing how Public has opened doors for an influx of younger investors since 2018, and demonstrating the platform's commitment to education and long-term investment strategies, despite the allure of options trading and speculative assets.The allure of volatility is undeniable, and our conversation with Stephen dives into how retail investors are riding the waves shaped by Bitcoin ETFs, the Reddit IPO, and the narratives that fuel their investment choices. We examine the robust performance of certain tech giants, the surprising agility of small-cap sectors, and how retail investors are increasingly preferring individual stories to broad ETFs. Stephen and I also tackle the complexities of options trading in a fluctuating market, discussing how retail investors balance their portfolios between ambitious trades and dependable, long-term investments.As we wrap up this episode, we focus on the recent shift toward more conservative investment vehicles such as bonds, showcasing Public's innovative bond trading platform. We dissect the divergent outcomes for AMC's equity and bondholders, illustrating the critical importance of a diversified portfolio. And by challenging the stereotype of retail investors as careless risk-takers, we underscore the calculated strategies they employ, highlighting Public's role in fostering an informed and strategic investing community. Join us and equip yourself with invaluable insights that redefine what it means to be a retail investor today.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Unlock the mystery behind the surging gold prices as I, Michael Gayed, sit down with the esteemed Alasdair Macleod. With his unparalleled experience spanning the financial spectrum, Alasdair sheds light on the intricate dance between currency value and gold—a beacon of stability in an unpredictable economic seascape. Our discourse journeys through the global lens, where gold is not merely a commodity but the bedrock of wealth, and we dissect the possibility that rising gold prices may signal a waning dollar instead of a gold rush.Venture through a world where Bitcoin and gold clash in a battle for the title of true financial security. Alasdair, with his wisdom, guides us through the labyrinth of these two assets as hedges against counterparty risk, and unravels the tapestry of investing in gold, both in paper form and its tangible allure. We navigate the silver market's curious dynamics, touching upon manipulation, industrial demand, and the investment horizon in the mining sector, all set against the backdrop of escalating geopolitical tensions and interest rate hikes.As we wrap up our conversation, Alasdair and I contemplate the implications of global economic currents on gold's gleaming ascent. We scrutinize the faltering US dollar, the influence of interest rates on the G7 economies, and the stark realities facing the European banking system. The episode culminates with a glimpse into the profound challenges of recapitalizing the European Central Bank, offering listeners a riveting panoramic view on the pressing issues shaping the world's financial future. Join us as we unravel these golden insights, equipping you with the foresight to traverse the tumultuous tides of our global economy. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Prepare to have your perspectives on asset management and digital assets revolutionized as we're joined by the astute James Sayffart from Bloomberg Intelligence. Together, we navigate the complex terrain of the mutual fund and ETF industry, with an intriguing focus on the burgeoning world of Bitcoin ETFs. Our discussion is not just timely—given the legal entanglements like the Grayscale court case—it's crucial for anyone seeking to understand the implications of ETFs as both trading instruments and long-term investment solutions, and how their structure influences investor behavior within the tempestuous Bitcoin market.Venturing beyond, we dissect the fabric of the Hong Kong ETF market, contrasting it with its U.S. counterpart and speculating on the future of a Dogecoin ETF amidst stiff regulatory winds. We address the seismic industry shift from high-cost to low-cost asset management, scrutinizing why traditional fund managers are hesitant to cut fees in the face of low-cost giants like Vanguard. Additionally, we look into the burgeoning realm of active ETFs, examining their role in market flows and the fine balance they must strike between innovation, cost efficiency, and the pressures to justify their fees.As our conversation culminates, we forecast the prospective dominance of ETFs over mutual funds, debunk liquidity myths, and consider direct indexing as a rival to the traditional ETF model. We unpack the complexities of tokenized funds and how blockchain might redefine asset ownership and custody. As we bid farewell, we express our heartfelt gratitude for the community's engagement and leave you with a teaser for the future of these enlightening discussions. For those who thrive on in-depth analysis and foresight in finance, this episode is an invaluable treasure trove.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Embark on a thrilling exploration of the financial world's ebbs and flows with Michael Howell, a luminary in the realm of global liquidity. Prepare to dissect the monumental role liquidity shifts play in the markets, the intriguing monetary dances of central banks, and the subtle maneuvers that have the power to send shockwaves through your personal finances. From the Federal Reserve's ledger balancing acts to China's post-festive resurgence, Howell and I lay out how financial titans' strategic moves ripple through economies and touch the common investor.As we journey through the intricacies of Japan's influence on global cash flow, the allure of gold in a fluctuating interest rate landscape, and the head-to-head of traditional havens against digital currencies, you'll gain a new appreciation for the delicate balance of international finance. This episode peels back the layers of market sentiments, revealing the surprising resilience of gold, the dance of inflation, and the emerging narrative of a commodities renaissance that echoes the bygone '70s. All this while pondering the potential upheavals that a surge in oil prices could unleash upon an already tense global stage.Finally, join us as we navigate the often-misunderstood signals of economic health—the yield curve and credit spreads—and their real-world implications on job data and your pocketbook. We tackle the conundrum of a strong US dollar, the shadows of currency manipulation, and the specter of fiscal alliances that could redefine global economic alliances. As we unveil the state of global liquidity and the forces that could pivot the financial markets, our discussion will arm you with insights to understand the waves you surf in the vast ocean of global economics.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Unlock the secrets to financial sovereignty with Lisa Hough, a beacon in the realm of Bitcoin and personal empowerment. As a colleague of Caitlin Long at Custodia, Lisa brings her wealth of experience from the trenches of energy trading and a firm belief in the revolutionary potential of self-custody. This episode is not just a journey through Lisa's impressive career from Unchained Capital to Salomon Brothers and Enron, but a masterclass in harnessing the volatility of the energy sector for financial independence. Her advocacy for energy maximalism is a clarion call for anyone yearning to break free from traditional financial constraints and make bold, confident decisions about their economic future.As the conversation steers towards the broader impact of Bitcoin, you'll be thrust into the heart of global economics and media narratives that shape the perception—and reality—of cryptocurrencies. We grapple with Bitcoin's role in reshaping global reserve currencies, the advent of AI in transactions, and the contentious debate surrounding Bitcoin ETFs and market behavior. Furthermore, the dialogue shifts to the vital inclusion of Bitcoin education within academic curricula, sharing personal vignettes and the triumphs of thought leaders who are paving the way for a financially literate generation. This episode is an essential listen for those intrigued by the intersection of finance, technology, and education, offering both an informative and provocative perspective on the future of money.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Support the Show.

Join the conversation with the acclaimed Hal Brands, historian and strategist, as we navigate through the labyrinth of geopolitical shifts that are forging new narratives in world affairs. Our engaging dialogue traverses the precipice of global economic uncertainty, sparked by events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the conflict in Ukraine, and the simmering tensions across the Middle East. Brands' expertise shines as he dissects the concept of mutually assured economic destruction, particularly spotlighting the precarious US-China relationship. By extrapolating insights from his book "Danger Zone," we also scrutinize the shadow of conflict that looms over these superpowers.Strap in as we dissect the emerging alliances that are redrawing the geopolitical map in Eurasia, where powers like Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea are crafting a new world order through strategic partnerships. The intricate web of military and economic exchanges is laid bare, revealing a burgeoning alliance system that stands to challenge the existing US-centric global structure. We pay close attention to the pivotal role of Western military assistance in Ukraine, weighing the global support against internal American sentiment and the surprising outcomes that have arisen since the conflict's inception.Finally, we cast an analytical eye on the American political landscape and the hurdles that face US aid to Ukraine. The intricacies of Capitol Hill politics are dissected, revealing the complexities behind aid allocations and the unexpected beneficiaries within the US military-industrial complex. The delicate dance of global oil prices and their influence on domestic politics, coupled with the cautious stance of the US and EU on Russian energy sanctions, are examined through a geopolitical lens. Brands and I conclude by envisaging the potential foreign policy pivots in a future US administration, pondering the strategic moves that could reshape US-China relations and the broader global economic fabric.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Unlock the secrets of macro trading with trading maestro Jonathan Matthews, as he shares the wisdom gleaned from his illustrious career at Brevin Howard. I'm your host, Michael Gayed, Publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, and in this episode, we delve into Jonathan's transition from handling equity derivatives and FX to revolutionizing the way retail subscribers view the markets with his 'Super Macro' analysis. Our exchange is sprinkled with tales of volatility and the rare, golden moments that define a trader's journey, offering you a front-row seat to the thought processes of an industry veteran.The Fed's recent mixed messages have traders and analysts alike scratching their heads—what's their endgame? Jonathan and I dissect this bewilderment, contemplating the interplay between economic signals, such as the soaring core PCE inflation rate, and the silent response from the Fed. We examine the peculiar timing of rate cut speculations considering global financial uncertainties and the upcoming U.S. election, giving listeners an edge in understanding these cryptic strategies.To cap off, we probe the U.S. economy's surprising resilience to the Fed’s rate hikes and what this means for inflation control efforts. The conversation transitions to the broader market, where we discuss vulnerabilities and the capacity for potential deleveraging events, contrasting current market conditions with those in the run-up to the 2008 crisis. Plus, we shine a light on the curious case of precious metals amidst a skeptical market. Join us for a session packed with expertise to help you navigate the tumultuous waters of finance.The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Unlock the secrets of the energy market with the astute insight of Amena Bakr from Energy Intelligence Group. Our conversation journeys through Amena's transition from a journalism background into becoming a vital voice on energy trends, focusing on the delicate interplay of oil prices and Gulf economies. We dissect the roadmap these nations traverse, balancing economic diversification with maintaining oil prices that fuel their development ambitions while steering clear of demand destruction. Amena's profound knowledge brings to light the intricate dynamics of the Middle East's energy landscape, providing a rare glimpse into the strategies employed by countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE to secure their economic future.Imagine a world where global economic uncertainties and geopolitical chess moves set the stage for an unpredictable energy market. This episode paints a vivid picture of the current geopolitical risks, including the curious case of how major events once capable of causing oil price shocks now barely ripple through the market. We discuss potential oil price spikes tied to conflicts in the Middle East, OPEC's delicate dance to manage market expectations, and the looming question of whether technology and AI could redefine our understanding of the energy sector. With Amena's invaluable expertise, we scrutinize the shifting landscapes that investors and policymakers must navigate.Journey with us as we wrap up our dynamic discussion with a peek into Amena's meticulous process of energy analysis and research. We share resources for those hungry to dive deeper into the energy sector, spotlighting where to access Amena's comprehensive reports and the latest updates. This episode goes beyond the surface, offering a powerful synthesis of the complexities that shape the global energy narrative. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Unlock the secrets of weathering financial storms with PNC's Chief Investment Officer, Amanda Agati, as she delivers an enlightening perspective on investment strategies for the modern market. In our enthralling conversation, Amanda dissects the complexities of post-pandemic finance, where old certainties have crumbled, and the wisdom of maintaining diversified portfolios has never been more critical. From the poetic market sentiment echoed by the Rolling Stones to the perplexing behavior of credit spreads and small caps, we're peeling back the layers of today's economic conundrums.Tune in for a rare glimpse into the Federal Reserve's chess game with interest rates and inflation, as Amanda Agati breaks down the current state of play. She explains why the Fed might hold off on dramatic moves, despite the hovering specter of persistent inflation in the energy and service sectors. Furthermore, Amanda challenges the notion that moderate inflation is a market malaise, suggesting that it might actually fuel the fire of earnings growth and valuation expansion. We also ponder the repercussions of a slight rate reduction by the Fed and the importance of managing the market's emotional tide over time.As we wrap up, the conversation shifts to the lopsided landscape of the stock market and the potential for a resurgence among the overlooked majority of S&P 500 companies. Amanda shares her aspiration for a more broad-based market rally and the sparks that could ignite such a shift. Finally, we turn our eyes to the horizon, where AI looms large with its promise to revolutionize productivity and economic growth. We spotlight companies like NVIDIA that are at the vanguard of this transformative wave and close with pointers on how to keep abreast of emerging trends that could redefine our financial future.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Embark on a journey to the heart of systematic investment strategies with Dan Russo, Portfolio Manager at Potomac Fund Management. This episode promises to elevate your understanding of professional money management, as Dan recounts his evolution from the dynamic NYSE floor to masterfully employing technical analysis and a disciplined, rules-based investment approach. Our conversation cuts through the noise of financial folklore, showcasing how to test and quantify the predictive power of market indicators using innovative tools, and peeling back the layers of history to uncover what truly moves the market needle.We zero in on the pivotal practice of risk management, where Dan and I dissect Potomac's composite model approach to investment decisions, explaining its influential role in navigating market participation. The delicate dance of understanding when to harness the potential of different funds and mandates is unraveled, as we emphasize the significance of tail risk indicators like the VIX. We also unravel the self-adjusting nature of asset correlation and market cycles, presenting an eye-opening glimpse into a strategy that sidesteps the need for individual stops, instead favoring a dynamic rotation that responds to market ebb and flow.Finally, we wade into the bond market's murky waters, exploring the shifting relationship between treasuries, credit spreads, and stock market volatility. As we analyze the transformation from an inverse to a positive correlation between stocks and bonds, our conversation offers valuable insights into portfolio implications amidst the current inflationary backdrop. Listen closely as Dan imparts wisdom on the precursors of market turmoil and underscores the art of loss mitigation—a cornerstone of enduring investment triumph. This episode is an essential guide through the ever-evolving investment landscape, assuring listeners a richer understanding and a sharper toolkit for financial decision-making.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Every so often, we encounter stories that starkly remind us of the incredible resilience of the human spirit. This episode features an extraordinary individual whose journey from the depths of domestic violence and crime to the peaks of entrepreneurship and philanthropy embodies this resilience. Our guest's candid revelation of his transformative life story, spurred by pivotal mentorships and a relentless pursuit of self-improvement, will undeniably inspire you. He discusses the power of choice and the belief that we are not defined by our past, but rather by the actions we take to shape our future.Navigating through the labyrinth of business success, our conversation turns to the invaluable lessons learned from failures. Our guest shares his insights into the importance of strategic planning, building assets, and the realization that success encompasses not just profit, but also creating value for the community. We delve into his commitment to tackling social issues, including domestic violence and human trafficking, revealing the profound impact that one's success can have on the lives of others when directed towards the greater good.Lastly, we explore the foundational elements of a robust business culture, the importance of conversation, and the community in entrepreneurship. Our guest emphasizes the role of culture as the guiding force during challenging times and the necessity for leaders to understand and support their team's goals. This episode is not just a recount of triumph over adversity, but also a masterclass on the resilience needed for entrepreneurship and the transformative effect of giving back. Join us for a powerful lesson in how, with the right mindset and support, you can overcome your circumstances and contribute positively to the world.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Discover the underlying currents of monetary policy with Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence's lead US interest rate strategist, as we explore the Federal Reserve's communication intricacies and the recent dovish signals that have left the markets buzzing. With a seasoned eye, Ira dissects the balancing act the Fed performs while steering the economy, providing an expert's take on how their guidance, or lack thereof, sends ripples through the interest rates and risk assets. Expect a deep dive into the challenges of forecasting in an unpredictable economic landscape and the implications of the Treasury's actions on market stimulation.Venture with us into the realm of government fiscal policy where the impact on household spending and the economy is as complex as it is profound. Let's scrutinize the role of government transfers, such as Medicare and Medicaid, in supporting household income and debate the sustainability of these programs against the backdrop of swelling deficits. This conversation doesn't shy away from the controversial; we tackle the paradoxical effects of fiscal stimulus on inflation and growth, and even ponder the future of labor in the age of artificial intelligence.In our concluding segment, we peel back the curtain on the mechanisms of Treasury auctions and the corporate credit landscape. This episode is a treasury of knowledge for those keen to understand the forces that shape our financial world and the hidden levers that move markets. Join us for a journey through the intricate web of economics, policy, and trading that you won't want to miss.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Prepare to navigate the treacherous currents of the fixed income market as I, Michael Gayed, along with the astute Althea Spinozzi from Saxo Bank, impart pivotal insights into a decade of fixed income strife and strategies. Our latest Lead-Lag Live voyage casts a spotlight on the inflationary tumult and investor risk perceptions that have molded the financial seascape, with Althea expertly dissecting the ebbs and flows from the European debt crisis to today's volatile treasuries. Catch the drift as we scrutinize the enduring strength of credit spreads amidst a swift rate hike cyclone and discern the foreboding clouds amassing over the junk bond horizon.Feel the pulse of the Federal Reserve's monetary machinations and their enigmatic influence on long-duration treasury yields through the lens of Althea's profound expertise. As we probe the complex dance between fiscal policy and the looming US election, we weigh the Fed's prospects of navigating the economy without tipping the political scales. This delicate balance underscores the paramount discussion for investors and policymakers alike, highlighting the Fed's pivotal role in maintaining economic equilibrium as we edge closer to 2024.Venture further into the global theater where the chess pieces of international investors and national policies sway the fate of US Treasuries. Acknowledge the seismic potential of a Japanese investment retreat and the consequent shockwaves that could jolt the global markets. We also cast our gaze towards China and Europe, dissecting how their economic strategies resonate with the US financial ecosystem. With Althea's expertise at the helm, brace for a comprehensive analysis of transatlantic rate dynamics, served directly from her Saxo Bank analyses and Twitter dispatches, ensuring you remain a move ahead in the strategic game of fixed income markets.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Embark with me, Michael Gayed, as we navigate the ever-shifting terrain of financial advising, featuring the remarkable insights of Kurt Altrichter, the mind behind Ivory Hill. As the financial markets oscillate with the uncertainty of our times, Kurt's leap from a conventional wirehouse broker-dealer to the helm of his own firm during a pandemic is nothing short of inspiring. Together, we unravel the tapestry of today's investment challenges, discussing the nuances of asset allocation in an era where the S&P 500's dominance challenges diversification strategies. Our conversation traverses the delicate balance between the stability of dollar-cost averaging and the protective strategies like buffer ETFs that shield against volatility.The art of investment is a masterpiece of patience and strategy, particularly poignant during bear market cycles that test the resolve of even the most seasoned investors. This episode sheds light on these historic stretches of stagnant markets, such as the years from 1964 to 1982, and the "lost decade" that began the new millennium. Kurt and I reflect on the psychological battles investors face, and how such trying times catalyze a shift towards more proactive asset management. By embracing technical analysis and dividend strategies, we reveal how calculated risks can transform upward trends into opportunities for substantial returns.As retirement planning looms on the horizon, we dissect the transformation of 401k plans and the increasing popularity of model portfolios. Through client stories and real-world scenarios, we demonstrate how goal-based financial plans can triumph over age-old adages in securing a more comfortable future. Kurt illuminates the battle against inflation's erosive effects on fixed incomes, stressing the necessity to preserve purchasing power for those golden years. Whether you're an investor seeking clarity in a fog of market complexity or a financial advisor hoping to sharpen your edge, this episode is a wellspring of wisdom for the financially curious.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Unlock the mysteries of the Nordic equity markets with insight from David Bagge, a distinguished stockbroker and head of a single-family office. In our thorough exploration, we dissect Sweden's OMX S30 index, shining a spotlight on its leading sectors, banking, and industrials. You'll see how currency strength, particularly the Swedish krona, is affecting powerhouse exporters like Volvo and Atlas Copco. Experience a rare look into the curious case of macroeconomic indicators diverging from equity performance, a phenomenon not exclusive to Germany and a signal of caution for investors amid market highs.Venturing into the realm of real estate, we draw parallels between Swedish and U.S. housing markets, examining the current landscape shaped by mortgage rate hikes and the shift from low-rate fixed mortgages. Our dialogue takes a turn as we question the real influence of AI in investment and labor markets, discussing its portrayal in financial media and its embryonic presence in Sweden compared to the U.S. Concluding with a golden touch, we delve into the strategic inclusion of commodities like gold and silver in a diversified portfolio and discuss the expected surge in their value, sharing insights that could steer investors toward substantial growth opportunities.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.Support the Show.

When philosophy meets the stock market, you get the insightful musings of Mark Ritchie II, a trader whose lineage and passion for strategy games have deeply entrenched him in the unpredictable world of trading. Our conversation meanders through his family's storied history in the markets, the philosophical underpinnings that guide his approach, and how a life of evaluating odds has equipped him for the rollercoaster ride of risk management. Ritchie's narrative is a fascinating tapestry of legacy, logic, and the allure of the trade.Navigating the choppy waters of market volatility requires a keen eye for trends and a dedication to mastering one's chosen trading strategies. We dissected the volatile nature of markets, sharing personal anecdotes of when to hold back or engage, and the significance of narrowing your focus to excel in specific strategies. The discussion pivots around recognizing warning signals like high volume selling, and understanding the dance between riding out bull markets and weathering bearish downturns. All the while, Ritchie's probabilistic wisdom underscores our exploration of the nuanced art of risk management.Wrapping up this episode, the virtues of a steadfast investment process are held up to the light, alongside the challenge of staying true to one's trading style in the fast-paced, information-heavy age of social media. Newcomers to the trading scene are implored to understand the distinction between analysts and traders and to recognize the mirage of perfection in the trading world. For those hungry for more insights, the episode extends an open invitation to follow and engage with our analyst from Minervini Private Access. Together, we've charted a course that covers the essence of what it takes to navigate the markets with acumen— a journey as philosophical as it is financial.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Have you braced yourself for the economic tempest on the horizon? Tuomas Malinen joins us to share his contrarian forecasting methods and discusses why preparing for the grimmest scenarios could be crucial for survival in today's volatile market landscape. We delve into the paradoxes of global liquidity, where central banks are fueling markets while preaching monetary tightening, and what this means for your investments.This episode is a deep dive into the ripples caused by central bank strategies and their potential to churn the seas of global market volatility. We examine the potential impact of China's liquidity strategies and the looming expiration of key financial programs, offering insights into the indicators that could signal the next big market shake-up. Plus, we navigate through the nebulous territory of inflation and fiscal stimuli, unpacking their intricate relationship and what it spells for your financial future.In a world where economic stability can feel as elusive as a mirage, we dissect the banking system's vulnerabilities and investment strategies that could weather the storm. From the perplexities of the Federal Reserve's actions to the European banking system's struggles and the encircling clouds over US commercial real estate, we cover all bases. And as we grapple with geopolitical tensions and their financial reverberations, we also touch on the delicate art of economic risk forecasting. So, if you're looking to make sense of the economic chaos and seek shelter from potential financial downturns, this is the discussion you won't want to miss.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.

Discover the invisible forces shaping our dinner plates as Josh Linville from StoneX unveils the high-stakes world of the global fertilizer market. Our latest episode takes you on a journey through the geopolitical chessboard, where the moves of countries like the Middle East, Russia, and China dictate the flow of nutrients that power agriculture worldwide. As we navigate the turbulent waters of trade disruptions and regional conflicts, Josh dissects how these events ripple through food production and the wallets of consumers everywhere.Shipping routes aren't just lines on a map—they're lifelines that carry the essentials for our harvests. Amidst the backdrop of a world reeling from the Russian invasion of Ukraine, we probe the delicate dance of transporting fertilizer, with a particular focus on the pivotal role of the Middle East. As Josh shares anecdotes of vessels rerouting to avoid conflict zones and the consequent impacts on delivery schedules, it becomes clear just how intricate and vulnerable our supply chains are—a puzzle where the pieces are constantly shifting.Technology in agriculture isn't solely about the latest tractor model—it's a revolution happening at the very roots of our crops. Josh walks us through the cutting-edge developments in fertilizer application, from stabilizers to biologicals, and how these may redefine our approach to farming. Yet, as the industry grapples with high prices, we consider the possibility of a silver lining: a rethinking of fertilizer use that could make our food supply more resilient. Join us, as we explore the rich tapestry of market dynamics, innovative strides, and the hard decisions farmers face in the quest to feed the future.Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive. Foodies unite…with HowUdish!It’s social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world’s first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today: Support the Show.