DiscoverThe Real Investment Show Podcast11-27-25 Thanksgiving Day Special - Market Cycles, Tariff Checks, & 50-Year Mortgages
11-27-25 Thanksgiving Day Special - Market Cycles, Tariff Checks, & 50-Year Mortgages

11-27-25 Thanksgiving Day Special - Market Cycles, Tariff Checks, & 50-Year Mortgages

Update: 2025-11-27
Share

Description

Full market cycles matter more today than at any point in the last 15 years. Lance Roberts breaks down why valuations, history, and market structure all point to a simple truth: Every bull market is only half the story. The other half is the bear. Lance's approach isn't bullish or bearish. It's risk-focused. Your job as an investor isn't to predict the next crashβ€”it's to avoid catastrophic losses that erase years of gains during the completion of a full market cycle. Lance and Danny Ratliff ponder Tariff Rebates and 50-year mortgages, and Lance and Michael Lebowitz pontificate on what Michael would do if he ran the Fed. Happy Thanksgiving, y'all! 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Full market Cycles Encompass Bulls & Bears 4:54 - A History of Markets' Performance 6:33 - Market Cycles Have Rhythm - The Wycoff Cycles 8:39 - There is No Evidence of Imminent Crash 10:14 - Full market Cycle Analyses 11:50 - Navigating Markets Now 14:25 - Betting Against Buffett 17:33 - Market Dynamics Can Drive Bull Markets for a While 20:12 - Tariff Rebates & 50-Year Mortgages 37:42 - What Would Michael Do (if he was Fed Chairman) πŸ‘‰ Subscribe for weekly insights on investing, behavioral finance, and practical money management. πŸ“ More at RealInvestmentAdvice.com Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:" https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #Premarket #TechnicalAnalysis #NvidiaEarnings #InvestingNews #MarketCycles #InvestingStrategy #BearMarket #StockMarketAnalysis #Valuations
CommentsΒ 
loading
In Channel
loading
00:00
00:00
1.0x

0.5x

0.8x

1.0x

1.25x

1.5x

2.0x

3.0x

Sleep Timer

Off

End of Episode

5 Minutes

10 Minutes

15 Minutes

30 Minutes

45 Minutes

60 Minutes

120 Minutes

11-27-25 Thanksgiving Day Special - Market Cycles, Tariff Checks, & 50-Year Mortgages

11-27-25 Thanksgiving Day Special - Market Cycles, Tariff Checks, & 50-Year Mortgages